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GBP/USD: Bearish OutlookGBP/USD Analysis 1. Recent Performance Current Trend: GBP/USD trades in positive territory above 1.2650 in the second half of Monday. Following a strong performance due to upbeat PMI data on Friday, the US Dollar has weakened amid a positive shift in risk sentiment, allowing GBP/USD to extend its rebound. Previous Movements: GBP/USD fell below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2640 on Friday but closed the week above this level, indicating sellers' hesitancy. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has recovered toward 50. 2. Technical Analysis Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is at 1.2700 (200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart). Additional resistance is found at 1.2720-1.2730 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the latest uptrend, 100-period SMA) and 1.2800 (psychological level, static level). Support Levels: If GBP/USD falls below 1.2640 and uses it as resistance, the next bearish targets are 1.2600 (psychological level, static level) and 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement). Market Indicators: Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD touched its weakest level since mid-May near 1.2620 on Friday. Despite ending the week in negative territory, GBP/USD stages a correction and trades above 1.2650 on Monday. 3. Fundamental Context US Dollar Dynamics: The USD gained strength heading into the weekend after the preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI for June showed robust expansion in the US private sector. Early Monday, the USD stays under modest bearish pressure amid an improving risk mood, helping GBP/USD hold its ground. Upcoming Data: The US economic docket will feature the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index. These are unlikely to trigger significant market reactions, with investors likely remaining focused on risk perception. Market Sentiment: Mixed actions in Wall Street, with Dow Futures up 0.3% and Nasdaq Futures down 0.1%, could make it difficult for GBP/USD to continue stretching higher. 4. Pound Sterling Performance Current Position: The Pound Sterling gains ground against the US Dollar, trading around 1.2650 in early New York session on Monday, rebounding from last week’s sharp sell-off. The upside move in the US Dollar Index (DXY) has paused and struggles to extend above the immediate resistance of 106.00. Economic Indicators: The near-term outlook for the USD has strengthened after the S&P Global PMI report showed unexpected expansion in the manufacturing and service sectors, with the Composite PMI jumping to 51.7. Despite the improved PMI figures, inflation concerns have eased, aligning with the Fed's 2% inflation target. 5. Bank of England and Market Expectations Interest Rate Outlook: Market speculation for the Bank of England (BoE) to begin lowering its key borrowing rates in August has increased after a dovish monetary policy statement. The BoE’s decision to hold interest rates at 5.25% was “finely balanced,” signaling potential rate cuts. Annual headline inflation has returned to the desired rate of 2%, but officials remain cautious about persistent service inflation, which decelerated to 5.7% in May. UK Economic Outlook: The UK’s economic outlook faces uncertainty after the preliminary S&P Global/CIPS PMI report showed unexpected slowing in the service sector, though the Manufacturing PMI expanded faster than expected. The slowdown reflects business environment uncertainty ahead of the general election, causing a hiatus in decision-making. Conclusion The GBP/USD pair is currently trading above 1.2650, showing signs of recovery amid a weakened US Dollar and positive risk sentiment. Technically, the pair faces immediate resistance at 1.2700 and has support at 1.2640 and below. Fundamentally, the outlook is influenced by US PMI data and BoE's interest rate expectations. The market will continue to monitor risk sentiment and upcoming economic indicators for further direction.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EUR/USD Recovery: Navigating Key Resistance Amid Mixed SignalsEUR/USD Analysis 1. Recent Trend Recovery Trend: EUR/USD is showing a recovery momentum, approaching 1.0750 after closing the previous week in negative territory. Improved Risk Sentiment: The improved risk sentiment hampers USD demand, aiding EUR/USD's rise. 2. Technical Analysis Moving Averages: On the daily chart, EUR/USD is below all its moving averages. The bearish 20 SMA crosses below the 100 and 200 SMAs, all in the 1.0780/90 price zone. Technical Indicators: The technical indicators are slightly higher, moving away from oversold levels but still far from their midlines. Short-Term Scenario: The short-term picture shows increasing buying pressure. The EUR/USD pair is above the 20 SMA, while the longer moving averages maintain their bearish slopes above the current level. Technical indicators aim higher around neutral levels but struggle to surpass their midlines. 3. Key Levels Support: 1.0705 1.0660 1.0615 Resistance: 1.0755 1.0805 1.0845 4. Fundamental Context USD Pressure: The US Dollar is under mild selling pressure ahead of Wall Street's opening, giving up modest intraday gains. EUR/USD trades around 1.0730, recovering from an intraday low of 1.0681. Inflation and Political Jitters: Focus is on political concerns and inflation, particularly the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation gauge. FOMC Minutes: The macroeconomic calendar will include the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with limited impact on financial markets due to the Fed's recent economic projections. 5. European Economic Data German IFO: Germany published the June IFO Business Climate Index, which unexpectedly fell to 88.6 from 89.3 in May, missing the estimate of 89.7. Expert Assessment: FX strategists at Societe Generale note that expectations are down. 6. Future Outlook Short-Term Scenario: The EUR/USD pair needs to surpass 1.0760 to confirm positive momentum and extend gains towards the 1.0810 price zone. Market Considerations: Despite lowered expectations, the Euro is advancing even with tepid local data and might face resistance in reaching higher levels like 1.08. Conclusion The technical and fundamental outlook for EUR/USD suggests that despite a recovery momentum, the pair remains under pressure with significant resistance around 1.0760 and beyond. Economic dynamics and market expectations will continue to play a crucial role in the pair's performance, with particular attention to US economic data and Fed decisions.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WBA before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 17.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-7-19, for a premium of approximately $0.41. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:WBALong
by TopgOptions
1
Trading pullbacks and handling fearOur last trade was a pullback, I will share the M1 timeframe for more clarity on this. But it still went out on Exit 1. So how do we handle the fear of a reversal or mistakes? Even if volatility is huge and we have a direction but we see that for example there has been a bigger reversal against our trade, but of course do not know how long it will last. Having a checklist in these kind of situations is always THE orientation that you need. Trading is not about always knowing where the market is going, because no one knows it. We only have a mechanical list that helps us in our decision making, and sometimes the worst thing that can happen, if I do not enter too late or exit too early is to simply taking the pullback and be out (or at break even) fast. If you do not have a checklist for my strategy, take a look at my education. I provide you with everything you need for profitable trading here: beacons.ai Don't miss this one time chance, because this offer runs out on 1st of July and won't come back for at least the next year. Grab you chance now and get everything you will ever need on the charts today :)
VANTAGE:DJ30
by Heaven10
XAUUSD: Big Swing Buy Coming Up Worth 2200+ PIPS! Dear Traders, Gold rejected at $2450 and dropped more than 1200+ pips, indicating a strong bearish takeover. Still we expect the same to continue, as bearish momentum is so strong that price ranged between 2330-2340 area for a long period on Friday. Which suggested that bears large number of volume Is still there in the market. Going forward, we can expect price of Gold to drop around 2280-2290 this key level remain strong for buyers. That move will be worth thousands of pips we expecting around 2200 pips if not more targeting 2500$ which will be record high. **Please like and comment the idea, for more do follow us which will encourage us to bring more educational chart analysis** Do your own analysis, always follow risk management. Team SetupsFX_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
33
TRADING TIPS That SERIOUS Traders Know ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)Trading can be like... following a diet🥨 You need a clear plan, but also some space for cheats. If you're prone to jump-in trading, have some funds available for it - trading should be fun! Take that risk. But plan for it. If you've spent your 10% high risk capitol for the month/quarter, then that's that. - Look for Fractals Fractals in higher timeframes such as the weekly are often reliable, as it points towards the cyclic nature of the market. How did I make +118% on SOL? By following a fractal from the previous bull market: - Learn Elliot Wave Theory From the DOGE chart, we can see that Point 5 is not going to happen. (not that it won't happen at all, but just that it won't happen for the short term). How do I know this? ...Elliot Wave Theory. The EWT tells us that if point 4 retraces beyond point 1, the bullish impulse is invalidated. We are now more likely to slow bleed down to Point 2. - Look for Reliable Patterns Sometimes, certain patterns can be seen moments before they are finally "finished" forming. It's important to know the rules of these patterns, and trade reactively. I knew where to short ETH. How did I know? The M-Pattern: Deep Dive guide on Pattern-Trading here: - Learn to Manage Risk with Leverage Let's not duck around - Trading is risky but crypto trading is VERY RISKY. Make sure you have a strategy. - Learn To Trade the Rotations There's a secret pattern in the relationship between Bitcoin, Bitcoin Dominance and altcoins by market cap. Make sure you understand it before you take a leveraged trade: - Pick a few Technical Indicators and STICK TO THEM It's tempting to use whatever new indicator is the flavor of the day... but how will you ever learn the secrets? Technical indicators have "secrets". They look different on different markets. For example, SOL can be "Extremely Overbought" without correcting much for an extended period of time, where as Bitcoin usually corrects when the "Extremely Overbought" signal flashes. (This is an observation from using one indicator on many charts). Personally, I love Bollinger Bands, Moving averages and Cryptocheck START V3.5 as my combo indicator. That's how I called the beginning of the new Bullish season in November 2023: It's important to note that none of these strategies are 100% fail proof. Even the best Wallstreet traders average on 58% per annum. Stop trying to follow people who claim to make +1000000....% per annum. Often, these guys have lots of money to lose, in other words it's more a fly-by-night than studying charts for consistent wins. As long as you're making more than interest rates from a fixed deposit at the bank - you're winning! ________________________
by CryptoCheck-
EURUSD is ready for a new lowEUR/USD has regained buying interest and reclaimed the 1.0700 level due to renewed weakness in the US Dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts. A continued downtrend could see EUR/USD revisit the June low of 1.0667, the May low of 1.0649, and eventually the 2024 bottom of 1.0601. On the upside, the 200-day SMA appears at 1.0788, followed by the weekly high of 1.0852, the June high of 1.0916, and the March peak of 1.0981. The US Dollar started the week weak after a strong rebound last week, driven by expectations that the Fed will implement only one rate cut this year. In this environment, EUR/USD reversed from multi-week lows near 1.0670 despite ongoing political concerns in Europe, especially in France. Market participants are assessing the Fed's hawkish stance from the June 12 meeting and rising expectations for a December rate cut. Neel Kashkari, Minneapolis Fed President, stated it is a "reasonable prediction" for the Fed to lower rates once this year, likely in December. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, there is now nearly a 65% chance of a rate cut by the September 18 meeting. In the short term, the ECB's recent rate cut versus the Fed's hold has widened the policy gap, potentially weakening EUR/USD further. However, the emerging economic recovery in the Eurozone and perceived US economic slowdowns should help mitigate this disparity in the longer term, providing some support to the pair. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane mentioned that the full impact of earlier rate hikes on Eurozone inflation is yet to be seen and that current bond market upheaval, particularly in France, is not chaotic, implying no need for ECB action. He emphasized the importance of a decline in service inflation momentum this year in supporting the ECB's disinflation narrative, with minimal new material expected before the July meeting. Lane is confident inflation will return to the 2% target next year despite some "noisy" inflation.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Exxon Mobile (XOM): Awaiting Long Term Entry at $65Our group has recently revisited Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), and while there hasn't been much change, it's worth reassessing. The stock has entered the zone between 100% and 138%, which we identify as the level for Wave A and has respected this level. Long-Term Outlook: We anticipate a significant downward movement over the long term, potentially reaching the $65 level. This is where we plan to make substantial long-term purchases. The range between $65.50 and $64.40 has been consistently respected, reinforcing our strategy to wait for these levels before entering the market heavily. Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, Exxon has been trading within a range for nearly a year and a half. It briefly broke below this range to complete the larger Wave (A)and then broke above it to finish the sub-wave A. We are now entering a potential Wave B zone. Current Strategy: - Long-Term: We are waiting for the price to drop to the $65 range before making significant purchases. - Short-Term: We are monitoring the $104 to $100 zone, which looks attractive for a potential reversal. However, given the risk, we are not placing any entries yet and will wait to observe the market's reaction.
NYSE:XOMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Top 3 Tips on How to Avoid FOMO Trading (Fear of Missing Out)Here you are, casually sipping your coffee and watching the clock go by while you wait for the market to open so you can buy a few shares of your new stock pick. Remember, you chose that one after deep research and careful planning. And then “ WHAM! ” Twitter notifications start flying. GameStop (ticker: GME ) is once again rocketing to the moon after some livestream on YouTube unleashes a huge buying spree. “MUST. GET. IN.” — you, probably, after you get your emotions shaken and stirred by something called FOMO. 🔔 What’s FOMO? FOMO is an abbreviation for Fear Of Missing Out. This little four-word phrase can throw your investment rationale, thesis and analysis out the window so it could settle in your prefrontal cortex where your brain goes to make life decisions. In this blog, we’ll talk about that little gremlin FOMO and what steps you can take to prevent it from overriding your emotions and decisions. And for the sake of your time, we’ll keep it short. Let’s go. 💡 Tip 1: Plan Your Trade Plan your trade in advance and don’t sink into the moment. Knowing your entry, take profit and stop loss before you move into your position will eliminate the urge to rush in when things get hot. 🔴 Problem: News Releases, Earnings Reports We all know how intense markets can get when there are news reports coming out. Company data such as earnings reports or some of America's top economic events , such as the widely anticipated nonfarm payrolls , or the Federal Reserve’s market-moving interest rate decisions can spur volatility and cause trading instruments to seesaw and fluctuate in both directions. And because these events are well-known in advance — the Fed only meets eight times a year — these moments can be an attractive invitation to make a profit. 🟢 Solution: Plan your trade and understand that news reports and earnings releases are a double-edge sword and even if the data supports a certain narrative, i.e. lower inflation = higher gold prices, this isn’t always the case. Take a step back, regulate your breathing and keep your emotions in check. Wait it out until the noise tones down. 💡 Tip 2: Avoid Revenge Trading Revenge trading is the trading you do when you want to get back at the market after getting smacked in the face with a loss. Next time you stare at a losing position, notice if you feel the urge to jump right back in and make up what you lost. That's revenge trading. 🔴 Problem: Losses and Missed Opportunities Taking a beating from Mr. Market can be a painful experience. Yet, not taking the loss the right way can lead to even more pain and wiped out funds. Whenever you’re staring at a losing position, you might be tempted to sell out and jump right back in an effort to make back what you lost. 🟢 Solution: Avoid revenge trading. Recognize that pesky feeling, which — whenever you lose money on a trade — makes you want to pare back your losses with one quick trade. That quick trade could be a) more aggressive (for more potential profit), and b) cost you even more money because you’ve been impatient. 💡 Tip 3: Don’t Chase the Pump Any pump usually has a strong pull, because it makes gains look easy. All you need to do is catch the speed train (or get onboard the rocket ship) and, boom, you're in profit. Although, it's not as easy as it looks. 🔴 Problem: Pump and Dump Schemes Quite often we see some little-known stock or a cryptocurrency with a small market capitalization perform some outstanding moves. It may shoot higher by 100% or more and that may trigger some FOMO in you, causing you to panic-buy and then watch your investment evaporate like snow in water. 🟢 Solution: Don’t chase the pump. It’s simple. A pump can play with your decision-making capabilities and cause you to make irrational choices out of the desire to join the volatility train. But many of those pumps end up as dumps. Pump and dump schemes are real — the gains go as quickly as they came and you don’t want any of that. Final Considerations Forming a deep emotional connection with the market isn’t a bad thing. This place is your passion and you’ve chosen to participate in it, together with its ups and down. What you should pay attention to is how you react to its changing moods and whether you behave logically or illogically to get what you want. Acting illogically can lead you to trip up so you want to distinguish that. Use your emotions to get rational inspiration and excitement about what you want to accomplish. 📣 Your Turn! Have you ever tripped up over a FOMO trade that hurt your account? What was your trigger and subsequent result? Let us know in the comment section below!
NYSE:GMEEducation
by TradingView
10
The Wick Phenomenon: How and Why Big Wicks Get FilledIn trading, wicks on candlestick charts represent the highest and lowest prices during a given time period. Long wicks can often be seen as a sign of market indecision, but they also tend to get filled by subsequent price action. This phenomenon occurs frequently and can provide valuable insights for traders looking to capitalize on price movements. In this article, we’ll explore how and why big wicks get filled through practical examples. Understanding Wicks and Their Significance Wicks, also known as shadows, appear on candlestick charts when the price moves significantly above or below the opening and closing prices within a specific time frame. A long upper wick indicates that prices were pushed up but then fell back down before the close, showing selling pressure. Conversely, a long lower wick suggests that prices were driven down but then recovered before the close, indicating buying pressure. Usually, at least 50% of the wick will be filled, and sometimes the entire wick will get filled before the reversal happens. Why Do Wicks Get Filled? 1️⃣Market Psychology: Traders often see long wicks as areas of interest. For instance, if the price reaches a high but then falls, traders might anticipate a retest of that high. 2️⃣Liquidity Zones: Long wicks indicate areas where a lot of trading activity took place. These areas are often revisited as the market seeks liquidity. 3️⃣Mean Reversion: Prices tend to revert to their mean over time. A wick can be seen as a deviation from the mean, and the subsequent filling of the wick is part of the reversion process. How To Trade It? It all depends on your trading plan. Here are some options: Aggressive traders can buy/sell immediately after the wick has been formed. Semi-conservative traders can look for a reversal pattern on a lower timeframe to confirm it. Extra conservative traders can wait for the candle with the wick to be broken from the other side before entering. Additionally, considering more confluences like key levels, market structure, and the overall trend will give you a better edge. Why Now? You might be wondering why I am posting this article now. As you may have noticed, we had a dip yesterday, giving us a practical example on many altcoins and stocks. For this example, I have chosen DOGE, 4H chart. I hope you like the content and found it useful. Are you taking wicks into consideration in your trading plan? If yes, how? If not, why? What would you like me to discuss next? Always remember: 📚 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
28
Learn How To Trade Tradingview's new BBTrend Indicator! Introduction In this analysis I want to take a closer look at Tradingview's newly released BBTrend indicator. It's an indicator on the widely popular Bollinger Bands. You can find more information about the indicator here: www.tradingview.com Indicators are nice to use, but the most important question remains whether they are useful in trading or not? I want to present you a very simple, but powerful trading strategy using this new indicator. Indicators used - BBTrend: determine the best reversal entries. - 200-period EMA: assess whether we're trading bullish or bearish. Strategy Bullish: price should be above 5% of the 200-period EMA. Light-red BBTrend has to change in trend and become dark red. Bearish: price should be below 5% of the 200-period EMA. Light-green BBTrend has to change in trend and become dark green. Investment: risk 5% per stop loss. This means that you lose 5% of your balance if the stop is hit, but gain 15% once the profit target is hit. Stop and profit targets Stop-loss: place stop just above the most recent swing-high. Take profit: 3x the stop-loss distance. Results Win-rate: 4/8, 50% Profit: +42% (1.15*1.15*0.95*0.95*0.95*1.15*1.15*0.95) I'm aware of trading within existing trades, but for the sake of simplicity I use this easy profit calculation method. Final remarks This strategy works well in strongly trending markets due to the higher probability of the trend continuing the current direction. In periods of prolonged trading around the 200-period EMA it can get tricky to get a good trade in, hence we only trade once we're at least at 5% distance of the EMA. This trend-following strategy can be used on every asset and on every time frame. Just make sure to be consistent. Good luck!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FieryTrading
Filecoin (FILUSD): Preparing for a Gap Fill - Levels to WatchFor Filecoin (FILUSD), we are currently looking at a scenario where there is a Weekly Fair Value Gap above us. We are quite confident that this gap will be filled; the only question is when. We believe there is a potential good entry point at the current levels. Below us, we have several supports. The first support is a 12-hour demand zone. Additionally, we have an Order Block Cluster and a simple support zone. These levels, combined with a favorable volume profile, should provide enough momentum and support for an upward move. Our primary target is the Weekly Fair Value Gap close. Once this target is reached, we will reassess the situation to determine whether the price will continue upwards or face a sell-off. This reaction will guide our next positioning. For now, our strategy is to aim for the gap close and position ourselves accordingly. Additionally, when we examine the Liquidation Heatmap for Filecoin, we notice several liquidations above our current level, specifically between $6.35 and $6.65, just above the recent high. This indicates two possible scenarios: Liquidations Triggered and Pullback: We might move up to trigger these liquidations, then experience a deeper pullback. Liquidations Triggered and Continuation Upwards: Alternatively, we might fill our current support levels and then move upwards towards these liquidations. If these liquidations are absorbed, we could either shoot through and continue upwards, or we might pull back after triggering them, leading to a potential continuation to the downside. It's important to be aware of these scenarios. Given that there are few liquidations below the current level, we do not expect significant downward wicks or deep pullbacks. Looking at Filecoin on the VWAP chart, we observe a sideways movement where the price repeatedly moves up and down but always returns between the 2024 Q1 VAL and the 2023 Q4 VAH. These two levels appear to be holding as our current range. We expect a small pullback, supported by the 2024 Q2 VAL and the 2023 Q4 VAH. These should act as our support zones on the VWAP chart. On the upside, our target is the 2024 Q1 VWAP at $7.70. Above this level, we anticipate resistance around $9.32. This analysis suggests a short-term strategy of buying at the support levels and targeting the identified resistance points.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
JD.com (JD): Key Levels to Watch Amid Potential BreakoutFor the Chinese stock JD.com listed on the Nasdaq, we observe a significant pattern. Initially, we had a prolonged sideways movement that concluded with an initial surge, establishing the current resistance zone. This zone held twice before the price fell through. Starting from point X in our Elliott Wave count in November 2018, we saw a rapid increase of approximately 470% in a short period. However, this was followed by a steep sell-off, leading to the formation of Wave (2) within a trend channel. The correction's time horizon places it in the perfect zone, typically between 2 and 2.618 on the higher time frame, which is a good indicator that this could indeed be Wave (2). To continue the upward movement, it is crucial for JD.com to flip this resistance zone. The current question is whether the price will first return to the High-Volume Node Point of Control (POC) or break out upwards directly. Flipping the support-resistance zone will be key for any significant upward momentum. We'll be closely monitoring these levels to determine the next move. Zooming in on the 12-hour timeframe, we can observe the scenario at the end of the assumed Wave (2). This pattern is characteristic of what we like to see at the conclusion of Wave 2. Initially, we experienced an accumulation phase, which transitioned into a manipulation phase, followed by an expansion phase. This sequence is generally a positive sign. Currently, we are witnessing a pullback after touching the resistance level. Despite this, we maintain our outlook that the price should continue to rise and not retest the $20 mark. There's a breakout gap that partially filled but remains open near the bottom. This gap formed just before we entered the expansion phase, and it's a critical point to consider. Given the ongoing volatility in the Chinese market and the uncertainty among investors, we remain cautious. We are closely watching how JD.com behaves within the $24.50 to $26.80 range. With a drop towards the gap close near $21, we will consider making significant buys. If the price breaks out upwards, we will look for opportunities to enter positions.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
Consistent Daily Trading Strategy for NZD/USD with 100% Win RateDescription: In this strategy, I employ a consistent daily trading approach for NZD/USD, focusing on capturing small profit targets while maintaining strict risk management. The strategy has been backtested from the year 2021, demonstrating robust performance with a 100% win rate. Below are the key aspects and performance metrics of the strategy. Strategy Overview: The strategy is designed to open a new long or short position at the start of each trading day based on the previous day's market conditions. Key parameters include: Profit Target: 0.3% Loss Target: 0.2% Initial Capital: $1000 Commission: 0.1% per trade Key Features: Daily Trading: Positions are opened at the start of each day, ensuring regular market participation. Profit and Loss Targets: The strategy aims for a modest profit target of 0.3% and enforces a stop-loss at 0.2% to manage risk effectively. 100% Win Rate: Over 36 closed trades, the strategy achieved a 100% win rate, highlighting its consistent performance. Dynamic Position Management: In case of a short position stop-loss, a new long position is immediately opened to replace it, ensuring continuous market exposure. Performance Summary: Net Profit: $222.05 (22.2%) Gross Profit: $223.26 (22.33%) Gross Loss: $1.22 (0.12%) Max Run-up: $236.99 (19.17%) Max Drawdown: $161.35 (13.75%) Buy & Hold Return: $316.51 (31.65%) Sharpe Ratio: 0.266 Sortino Ratio: 2.298 Profit Factor: 183.136 Total Closed Trades: 36 Number Winning Trades: 36 Percent Profitable: 100% Avg Trade: $6.17 (0.57%) Largest Winning Trade: $21.12 (1.96%) Commission Paid: $80.15 Chart Explanation: The chart plots the entry prices for both long and short positions, along with labels indicating the profit/loss percentages for ongoing trades. The strategy's performance is visually represented, showing the consistency and reliability of the trading approach. Green Lines: Entry prices for long positions. Red Lines: Entry prices for short positions. White Labels: Display current profit/loss percentage for ongoing trades. Conclusion: This NZD/USD trading strategy offers a balanced approach to daily trading with a strong emphasis on risk management and consistent profitability. It is suitable for traders looking for a systematic and disciplined trading methodology. Give this strategy a try and share your feedback! Let's discuss its potential improvements and share insights on its performance.
by alexanderbkl
Trading Psychology: How to trade economic data.As traders, one of the biggest challenges we face is deciding what factors to consider when opening a trade: should we base ourselves on charts, news, macroeconomic data? Many opt for a combination of all these elements, and although all traders go through the same stages, there are different routes to success. The problem with following the crowd is that you end up doing exactly what everyone else is doing. The solution: forge your own path, with all the challenges this entails. Most traders follow the news, analyze the data and then compare them with the charts to try to determine the best entry point. And as if that were not enough, they often seek the opinion of other online traders to confirm their decision. However, consulting the opinions of others can be counterproductive, as they can alter, for better or worse, any personal opinion about the analysis we are conducting. We always tend to think that others know more than us and that if they think differently, it must be for some reason and that we will not be the ones who are right. This is just another example of market psychology and the human tendency to always follow the crowd, regardless of whether it is right or not. I believe that in order to make a living from trading, research must start with yourself, it is essential. And this is necessary to confirm or refute the information with which the market bombards us every minute. You need very intense training and experience to make a living from trading. How many traders trade intraday based on economic calendar data? How many really make money? It’s not worth it. Aware of the multitude of traders who congregate around the platform at key times, market makers have all kinds of tricks. Their favorite; the sweep. Up, down and both sides at the same time. Is a mental stop better? In my case, no. I don’t know how mentally strong you are, but the word says it all: mental-stop. When you expose yourself to letting the mind think, you are entering dangerous psychological terrain and it is very difficult, if you are losing, to close with discipline in each and every operation. Notice that I say in each and every one, because with not respecting a single one and that the price does not return in that operation to the entry point, it will be your elimination as a trader. Therefore, anything that can cause a loss is worth discarding. Greed doesn’t let you, we know that with a data in favor of our position you can make a lot of money but if the data is contrary and also forms a gap, no one will save us. And let’s not talk about if you are leveraged. Being leveraged and having the position run against you is one of the hardest experiences a trader can have. Seeing how your capital is destroyed at forced marches, how losses increase, how you are not able to close because you expect a recovery to do so is dramatic. Realizing that first loss, which at first seemed big to you and now doesn’t seem so much. You would “kill” to lose only that. Then, once you are losing a lot you will no longer be able to close. There comes a time when you assume it and let the losses run as far as they go. You have accepted it. You risk the account in the hope of recovering. This means hours of waiting for the desired recovery. In addition, the market is very rogue. After the fall comes the rebound, usually up to half. You get the idea that it is going to recover completely and instead of closing you hold on to see if the moment comes when you no longer lose anything. The market will make you believe that this is going to happen. You may even average (add more positions) so that the recovery is faster and by the way, if the price goes beyond where you have opened the first operation, you even come out with profits. But, as I say, the market is very cruel and when you start to dream and have hope again, it turns around and falls with even more force if possible, crushing your account and destroying your morale. The result we all know. If the account does not have enough capital to withstand the bleeding, margin call will “come to see us”. And if it does, it will take you days, weeks, months or even years to recover your capital, if you do. Days, weeks, months and even years without liquidity to do what you like the most, trading. In view of this, stoploss, as well as avoiding any situation that makes you lose is more than justified.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
The art of trading: The Power of SpecializationYou’re never going to find a trading technique that is 100% reliable. But you can become a specialist using a single specific technique. The one you have the most affinity with will always work better. It doesn’t matter if it’s the best or the worst, don’t waste your time on that. Just look for one you like and evolve it, perfect it to the beyond… Make it yours! Only yours! Personal and non-transferable. The more you perfect a technique, the more reliable you make it, the higher percentage of reliability you get. Remember Bruce Lee’s saying: “I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.” Try to be good at something and not mediocre at everything. Therefore, choose that strategy that you like the most and develop it. Always operate with it, perfect it, personalize it, get used to it, look for its strengths and weaknesses… Now do a test: Look only for channels in the chart and trade with them for a week using any Time Frame. You’ll tell me the results.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
XAUUSD UPDATE (Risky-ShortTrem Setup) Hey team Hope you are Enjoying our ideas and Analysis, Today in Trading Session we are monitoring XAUUSD Looking for Bearish But there is Alot of Risks in Bearish Because That Breaks all Support levels.... XAUUSD (UPDATE)....!! RISKY SHORT FROM ALL TIME HIGH.. Gold is trading in a Strong Uptrend but the price Failed to reach the Supply Zone 2438-2445, Which is also a Resistance Level which in Turn indicates that the market is likely that we will first see a Bearish reaction on Gold from the Resistance Good luck Guy's.....
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by MagickeyFX