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EURUSD: My FED Day OutlookAs many of you know today is FED day as the FOMC has its Interest rate Decision & Statement coming out today at 2pm (New York). The expectation is that there will be no changes made at this particular time so most of the “volatility” and “reaction” will be based off of the tone of the statement as trader hunt for any clues of when the rate hike may occur. This is one of those fundamental events that I stay away from as we can potentially see some massive moves and larger spreads during those moves. Ever been stopped out of a position without your stops actually being hit? Yup! Although I won’t be trading during it, I still like to perform my technical analysis and see if I can predict where price action may shoot too after all of the madness is said and done. After all I firmly believe that the technicals tell you where the market will go and the fundamentals just help push it there faster. To the bearish side I have a potential Gartley pattern on the daily along with a level of previous structure support which could prove to be a good holding area. While to the bullish side I’m still eying up the intermediate level of resistance that we were looking at in yesterday’s trading session. (Here’s the video in case you missed it www.youtube.com There’s more resistance to the upside but its way too far to be attacked today as it’s over 400pips away….but hey you never know, that’s why I don’t try and predict these things. Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst at Trade Empowered Click here for 20+ hours of FREE Training tradeempowered.com Click the link below to subscribe for more FOREX TRADING videos www.youtube.com Facebook: www.facebook.com Twitter: twitter.com
by Akil_Stokes
4
NZDCAD. Retest of lows with at market Gartley patternHey, traders. This week starts with NZDCAD setup. As usual I look for a trend and enter in it's direction using advanced patterns such as gartley, cypher and bat. On the chart above you see a series of lower lows and lower highs wich is a definition of a trend. I already entered it and while I was typing this message priceaction went a bit away from my entry point wich is exactly 1,272AB extention. Don't hesitate to enter short if priceaction pulls back to entry point before it hits 0,382AD - in this case Gartley remains valid. I place my stops above X and my target is a retest of A-point. Look at the related ideas links to see how this setups work. Press like if you find the information interesting. Follow me on Tradingview to never miss my ideas
Short
by Alexander_Nikitin
8
NZDUSD: Get ready for mondaySo, here on FX:NZDUSD there is a very good trend following opportunity that should be monitored during the next trading week. I am looking the market to do the following moves: As we are in a bear market right now I look for the retest structure, price should enter the reversal zone and then fall down. As you see we have fibs confluence of 38.2 right at the resist level and 61.8 little bit higher which is a critical reversal level. If price does these moves we should be looking for the short entry and potential ABCD pattern formation, due to we have no structure below, we should use fibs extension tool and form ABCD pattern for your profit targets, depending the pullback is at 38.2 or 61.8. Target 1 is the least aggressive setup.
Short
by RCP
USDJPY Potential Bat pattern completion above structureHere at last we got a Bat pattern to look out for during the night, it got very good R:R but what worries me is that price have to come above structure before it gets to our buy zone! I only take this trade because we have a pretty high completion rate of Bat patterns on this pair. RSI is moving into overbought area so its good and you know the rules for Stops, Entry and Targets. If price goes south before hitting our entry the setup becomes invalid at the close below C point. Its been a busy night analysing i got 9 pending orders on my 10 pair portfolio and its 2AM right now so its going to be a busy nigt and day tomorrow with news and all. Its the name of the game! Please comment if you like these simple sharings from me. Kind Regards Thomas Jeff
Short
by UnknownUnicorn101425
3
EURUSD: Counter Trend @ 1.12s or TCT In Anticipation of the moveA lot of my radar today going around my trading portfolio including the EURUSD. After being stopped out for a loss on yesterday’s bullish Bat pattern, we re-did our IPDE process and started making predictions for our next opportunities. I still don’t see a structure level that I’m a fan of on this pair that is until/unless we get down to the 1.1000 area, but the next potential speed bump may come around the 1.1200 even handle number. Aside from it being a psychological number, we have multiple harmonic moves setting up in that area, some Fibonacci extensions, and most importantly, looking left we’ve got structure leaving clues. As discussed in yesterday’s live session, the question just isn’t “where will we go?” but “how will we get there?” And this offers yet another trend continuation (TCT) opportunity if the market were to retrace in anticipation on that 1.1200 level being hit. Of course counter trend (CT) traders, this makes no difference to you as you’re only waiting for the next structure level. We’ve got the Jackson Hole Symposium going on today which may provide some movement along with Pre-GDP and our normal Thursday Unemployment Claims out at 8:30am & Pending Home Sales at 10:00am. I don’t even try to pretend that I can predict the outcome of these events, but keep those in mind while trading today. We’ll be keeping an eye out for this one in our live trading room today along with potential trades on the GBPUSD, EURJPY, GBPJPY & USDCAD which are all high on my radar. Also it’s THURSDAY so make sure you check out my Youtube page later for my weekly Forex Trading Video www.youtube.com Have a great day of trading gang! Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered Click here for 20+ hours of FREE Training tradeempowered.com Click the link below to subscribe for more FOREX TRADING videos www.youtube.com Facebook: www.facebook.com Twitter: twitter.com
by Akil_Stokes
23
EURUSD: Looking for Shorts at this decision pointIf you saw my post yesterday then you know that I’ve been waiting for a potential short on this pair. (Here’s the video link explaining the trade www.youtube.com) My initial killzone was pretty large and after a brief test of the bottom levels of it, price has rallied back to the top providing me with the opportunity that I was waiting for. The reason I didn’t enter the trade yesterday was strictly due to the fact that I wouldn’t get the risk reward that I wanted. Risk reward will still be difficult at this level because of how close the structure levels are but if I’m able to get the entry that I want, my stops may be short enough to make it work. The London session extension gave us another equal measured move back into structure looking left and some Fibonacci extensions. The bulls gave a nice test of the highs and were beaten back after the first attempt to break through. As I type I’m watching this on the 15 minute chart waiting for a reason to enter, all depending on how this current candle completes. For targets I’ll be looking for a move back down into our previous new structure highs, and certainly looking to aggressively manage this one during my live trading room hours. We’ll see how this one pans out “Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan” Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered Click Here for 20+ hours of FREE Training tradeempowered.com Click the link below to subscribe for more FOREX TRADING videos www.youtube.com Facebook: www.facebook.com Twitter: twitter.com
Short
by Akil_Stokes
24
EURJPY: Potential 2618 Trade with (How to video in description)Here on the EURJPY we have a potential 2618 setup in the works. I say potential because I have no clue what the future of this current leg is, all I can do is Identify, Predict, Decide & then Execute. Here’s a link where you can take the FREE training on this particular strategy (tradeempowered.com ) but essentially, what I’m looking at is a double bottom signaling a reversal and a retest of that that simple pattern as a way to hop on the next leg of the move. Slow trading this morning were you guys over in London fast asleep? Anyway, aside from this setup all I’ve got is the GBPUSD, EURAUD and GBPAUD on my radar this morning. I think GBPAUD is a steal of an opportunity, hopefully I’ll have a reason to get involved this week before I head out of town. The last thing I want to do is be worried about how my trade is going while up in the air. As always good luck today traders and below are some links if you’re interested in any more free trading content. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst at www.TradeEmpowered.com Click the link below to subscribe for more FOREX TRADING videos www.youtube.com Facebook: www.facebook.com Twitter: twitter.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
4
NZDUSD: New Structure Low, Outside Return, New Structure Low?Hey gang, first of all thank you for all of the great comments on yesterday's youtube video "How Do Know If My Trading Strategy Is Failing" (www.youtube.com) You guys said that you've learned a lot and please continue to let me know exactly what that was in the comments section on Youtube. Today I've got bearish cypher patterns on both EURJPY and EURAUD on my radar, but felt like sharing a structure based trade with you this Friday to mix things up. Similar to the AUDUSD (but not the same), the Kiwi has just broken and closed below a level of structure, with a much more significant level resting below. I like to say that structure acts like a magnet so I'm predicting that the market will be pulled towards that lower level. Therefore I'll be looking for reasons to short the Kiwi this morning in the Live Room as the market creates a pullback. Obviously there;s no way to tell now if I'll actually get involved in the trade or not, but my eyes will be glued to this one on the lower timeframes. Wishing all of you a great weekend and do me a favor, if you liked the video above, make sure you subscribe to my channel. I'd like to inspire as many traders as possible so tell your trading buddies to check it out! Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Short
by Akil_Stokes
16
EURUSD: Been Waiting All Week & Finally Got My ReasonAfter stalking the EURUSD this entire week, price action has finally made its way down into my kill zone and has also given me a reason to get long in the form of a bullish bat pattern that completed during the early London session. There are so many ways to take targets on this trade and instead of laying them all out I’ll just ask you these questions. Why are you involved in the trade (advanced pattern or trend continuation)? And (of course) What do your rules say to do? I know you guys hate hearing that, but hey, that’s the reality of trading. Each of us are different and as I tell my clients, your trading style should match your personality making it fit you like a fine tailored suit. BIG NEWS OUT AT 8:30 eastern! We’ve got USD: Advance GDP, Trade Balance & Unemployment. This should certainly give us some action early on in the New York session so be careful. The underlying market sentiment still looks to be very bullish the USD especially since yesterday’s (lack of hawkish tone) FOMC statement showed little movement before being shaken off my the market. Yesterday’s USDCAD didn’t go my way and if you’d like to read about it here’s the link to my trading blog. tradeempowered.com Also it’s Thursday so that means my weekly video is coming out so make sure you head over to YouTube and SUBSCRIBE to my channel, that way you don’t miss it. I’ll most likely be talking about dealing with failing strategies and looking at equity curves…we’ll see. Good luck today traders and let’s ROCK the markets on this wonderful Thursday! Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
76
USDCAD: It's Not Greedy, It's Just Another Good Opportunity A few weeks ago I made a very controversial call on the USDCAD looking to go long despite a major level of resistance and an advance pattern on the higher timeframe. (You can see the video explanation of that trade here www.youtube.com) Well after finally being taken out for the remaining part of my position Canada has come back to a level that looks prime for another buying opportunity and more importantly, just like last time, I don’t have to have that much at risk in order to get involved. This is a simple structure based trade. Price action has come back down to test previous structure support, and IF this trend is going to remain intact, THEN that level should hold. (See how I snuck that IF/THEN thought process in there). If it doesn’t then I’ll be wrong and taken out of the trade. With stops below the 1.2900 even handle number I only have about 35pips at risk, with a potential reward of around 100pips of reward if we move back across to the right shoulder. With that being said it may not be an easy ride, as I’ve marked off a few key levels of interest that I’ll need to pay attention to. This is certainly one of those trades that I will need to actively manage, especially with the FOMC statement on the horizon. Good luck today traders and PLEASE continue to hit that LIKE button if you’re enjoying my posts here. Also check out my blog over at www.tradeempowered.com Yesterday I wrote one talking about my trading day and how being over prepared to trade is a good thing. tradeempowered.com Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
8
EURUSD: Looking For Another Buying Opportunity I couldn’t have asked for a better start to this trading week. Unlike last week everything I’ve touched has turned to gold giving me a very nice cushion going into my first real day of active trading. There is a lot on my radar today including the EURJPY, USDJPY, USDCAD, NZDUSD & EURAUD, but I wanted to share my EURUSD idea with you guys since we’ve been tracking this pair a lot as of late (see related charts). After pulling off massive profits on the big Gartley pattern, the Euro buyers is now giving some relief and I’m looking for an area where they might be interested in purchasing once again. My “A-Kill” zone rests from 1.1015’s-1.0920’s and I’ll be sure to keep a close eye on this pair in the live room looking for opportunities to get long. I do think we can retest our previous major structure level at 1.12’s but I would be sure to get at least partial profits off at a much safer level like 1.11’s for example. Here's a link to the blog post i wrote yesterday titled "A Much Needed Easy Day" tradeempowered.com Also, I’m not sure how many of you use the app Periscope, but I’ll be doing an interview with FXTC Magazine around 4:30pm (Eastern) and they said they were going to stream it live on there. First I’ve heard of the app, but if you’re not doing anything feel free to check it out. Good luck today traders and remember “Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan!” Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
17
USDCAD: Long at StructureVERY BIG DAY for me today (here's the video link www.youtube.com) and before I call it a night I wanted to share with you one more trade that I recently got involved in. Now I apologize for the short explanation but I'm a little tired after just recording video number 2 tonight, but here's a trade I just sent over to my Syndicate members looking at a bullish trade I just took on USDCAD. This is a simple structure trade and hopefully my primitive drawing gives you enough info, but one of my main reasons for entry came from watching the reaction of the dollar after this mornings poor Core Retail sales release. Have a great night gang, I've got a hot meal and a soft couch awaiting me! Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
58
USDJPY: CALL ME CRAZY but despite structure I'm looking longThe USDJPY has traded back into previous structure & is currently consolidating at the resistance level. To most traders this opportunity would have SHORT written all over it but I’m actually looking in the other direction. For those of you who I work with on a regular basis you know how I feel about the personality of the USDJPY and how it moves and looking on the daily chart we’re currently coming out of one of those pullbacks looking to retest previous structure highs in my opinion. The fact that we’ve come into resistance on the LTF is concerning for a buyer but I think it’s more concerning that the market hasn’t been able to move off of that level and as instead consolidated right at it. This tells me that the sellers aren’t too strong and this could be an area where the buyers are simply looking to grab some relief and involve themselves once again if the sellers can’t move this market down. In order to trade this I’ll be looking for potential opportunities down on the 15 minute chart during today’s Live Room session. I see a potential gartley setting up already which would do the trick, but any chance I get to buy near those lows, I’ll be looking to take. On the fundamental side of things we have the BOJ Monetary Statement coming out tonight/tomorrow morning which may play a role for those looking to take extended targets. Syndicate members we talked about this with the GBP in last night’s video and look how that played out. So we’ll see JPY doesn’t some tricky things and is usually comes with devaluing their currency. Good luck in the markets today traders and as always, do me a favor and hit that like button if you enjoyed this post. Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
23
EURAUD: Got the breakout, now Looking for the pullbackAlthough I don’t day trade on Monday’s I have a handful of pairs on my radar for my swing trading portfolio. Multiple patterns on the EURUSD, a few setups on USDJPY, NZDUSD and of course the chart above on EURAUD. We were watching this pair last week for the bullish breakout and now that we’ve gotten it, the next chance to hop on would be at a pullback. Looking on the hourly we also have a potential bullish bat pattern setting up as well which lines up with what my top down analysis is telling me. If the buyers want to maintain control over this pair then we shouldn’t see a dip below that 1.48 level as that even handled number would be a cheap price to reinvest. I’m expecting a busy week in the markets so be careful out there. Lots of news coming out, especially between Tuesday & Wednesday. Good luck this week traders and if you didn’t get a chance to this weekend, make sure you check out my latest YouTube video talking about market Psychology & why we see the movements that we do. www.youtube.com Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
Long
by Akil_Stokes
19
NZDUSD: Invalid Bat but still a Valid Short A few potential trades on my radar this morning including EURUSD, AUDUSD & AUDCAD (Long from overnight), but one that just caught my attention came on the NZDUSD. Even if you're new to reading a price chart it should be pretty obvious that the Kiwi has been in a downtrend. During this bearish movement I've been looking for different places to join the party each time the market puts in an outside return (retracement). Our most recent retracement came in the form of a bearish bat pattern. Now technically the Bat pattern is invalid because of the "X" leg being penetrated, but it still makes from an excellent opportunity to get short as price action is retesting the highs of our previous pullback. The wick on the "big" candlestick also provides me with some clues about the importance of that level. There a re a lot of these trend continuation setups out there so it's important that you try and find the best opportunity and not overexpose yourself in the markets. Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst at www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Short
by Akil_Stokes
21