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Structure
EURUSD 23 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - EU/US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Today's EUR/USD Forex market is going to be influenced by big economic news. This includes updates on the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for both the Eurozone and the USA.
Right now, the EUR/USD pair is ranging as we get ready for today PMI updates. Both the US and Europe will be releasing their PMI numbers today.
These PMI numbers tell us a lot about how well the economy is doing and can really impact the EUR/USD. If the numbers come in higher than expected, it's likely good news for the currency, but if they're lower than expected, it could mean trouble for the currency.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
INT / Swing Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH, Price is ranging within the Fractal High/Low. No clear direction and price is ranging between Weak Supply / Demand but expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases.
4.
4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
Price is ranging within the Bullish 15m Swing with INT structure is shifting between Bullish/Bearish.
This is clear that we have a complex INT Structure which shows uncertainty of clear direction.
3.
With the current INT Structure is Bullish, Expectations is set to continue Bullish and run the Weak INT High to target the Weak Swing High as long the INT Strong Low holds.
EURUSD 22 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - EU ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
The sentiment for the EUR/USD pair today is largely influenced by macroeconomic factors. On one hand, the Eurozone economy has been sluggish, which is holding back the Euro. On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance is keeping the US dollar underpinned.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
INT / Swing Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed.
Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases.
4.
4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bearish after mitigating the 4H Supply zone.
Sub internal is currently Bullish and there is a HP that the Strong INT High will get run based on the Bullish Swing Objective and the current Swing Continuation Phase.
3.
15m Demand Zones nested within a partially mitigated 4H Demand.
Wouldn't be much confident to look for long entries from here if we didn't have a Bullish BOS as when price is here it will mean that INT is so bearish that the current 15m Swing Low / 4H Low will be run.
EURUSD 22-26 Apr 2024 W17 Weekly Analysis – EU PMI / US PCEThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
In light of the recent passage of an aid bill for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan by the U.S. House of Representatives, it is anticipated that this could escalate geopolitical tensions. This, in turn, may prompt investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, thereby bolstering the strength of the U.S. dollar. This trend is likely to be further reinforced by the divergent monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.
The market will also be looking at the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing.
3.
After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback.
Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left.
Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand.
CHoCH is currently away from current price so maybe we can create a new low before we initiate the INT PB Phase.
More price development required.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
INT / Swing Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed.
Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases.
4.
4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 19 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - Middle East TensionThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Prior to delving into the Intraday Analysis, I emphasized the significance of the ongoing Weekly Analysis, particularly in light of heightened tensions in the Middle East following Iran's strike on Israel. Monitoring these tensions and the subsequent reports from Israel regarding a response to Iran's strike, it's crucial to anticipate the potential for another volatile weekend, prompting investors to seek refuge in safe havens such as the US Dollar, GOLD, JPY, and CHF. Stay alert to any shifts towards safe havens today amid the uncertain situation in the Middle East leading into the weekend.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
With the Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed with the Middle East Tension.
Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback.
4.
4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish / Sub Internal Bearish
Swing Continuation
2.
After a BOS we expect a PB. INT Structure turned Bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback.
3.
With the tension in Middle East. Pulled back to the Swing extreme mitigating the last 15m Demand zone within the 4H Demand.
Expectation is set to the 15m Swing Low to hold and target the Weak Swing High to facilitate the 4H Pullback Phase.
EURUSD 18 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
As expected the PB started after the Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand Zone and confirming the Bearish INT Structure Low.
Expectations is set for continuing Bullish till a HP POI.
4.
4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price created a Bullish BOS based on the 4H/Daily need for a Pullback.
After a BOS we expect a PB. As INT structure is Bullish, a Bearish iBOS will be the confirmation that the 15m Swing PB is starting. But be mindful that price in a Bullish momentum and a deep Swing PB is not often happen on the start of the move.
Following the Bullish Phase we are in, looking for longs is the best option till the mitigation of the close 4H Supply zone.
3.
Extreme Demand zone within the 15m Swing for possible Longs if reached.
But be mindful if we reached this Demand, PA is not looking in Bullish momentum and there will be a HP that the Swing low will be run.
EURUSD 17 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After BOS we expected a pullback. INT Structure turned Bullish to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback.
3.
As price reached the 15m Swing Premium and mitigated the 1H/15m Supply, Price initiated the Swing Bearish continuation and INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the Swing Low and failed to break. So current PA is ranging.
I'll wait for Bullish BOS to confirm that the 4H Swing PB started instead of following the Shorts which could end at anytime.
EURUSD 16 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US PowellThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
After BOS we expect a pullback. Bullish iBOS will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting.
But as we didn't mitigate any HTF POI any PB could be limited.
Also the 4H Swing requires a Pullback so there is a HP that the 15m will be run at least as a 4H CHoCH.
EURUSD 15 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish - Pullback Phase
2.
After the Bearish iBOS, price continued bearish till the 4H Demand.
With the mitigation of the 4H Demand we formed a Bullish iBOS which confirmed the Swing Low and the initiation of the 15m Swing Pullback Phase.
Expectations is set for price to continue bullish to facilitate the PB till a HP 4H Supply Zone.
3.
4H Supply zone for possible Shorts.
Be mindful that the 4H supply is having Liq above it so there is a HP that this supply will fail to sweep the Liq above.
EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing.
3.
After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback.
Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left.
Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand.
More price development required.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish
2.
Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS.
Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited.
Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
2.
Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS.
With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation.
This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts.
3.
Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish
2.
As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish.
Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows.
3.
Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS.
No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it.
IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply.
Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase.
3.
After a BOS, we expect a pullback.
Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum.
CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure.
Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI.
Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting.
3.
15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
EURUSD 9 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI.
Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting.
3.
15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
EURUSD 8 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
INT Structure failed to continue bearish and turned bullish after reaching the 15m Swing EQ and tapping into a daily demand zone.
Expectations is set to continue Bullish following the 15m Bullish Swing Continuation Phase with target of the Weak Swing High.
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation / INT Continuation
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low.
Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH.
3.
Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left.
With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS.
Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI.
Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High.
Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.