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EURUSD 29-2 Feb 2024 W5 Weekly Analysis - EUR CPI - US FOMC/NFPThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 29-2 Feb 2024 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ INT Extreme 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. We still in the Daily Pullback Phase and price reached the last Daily demand zone. As Swing is Bearish, Expectations that there is a high probability that we will take the Strong INT low. On the Flip Side (Bullish) we could hold the current Demand/INT Low to target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price had mitigated the adjusted Supply zone (Was mapping only the Inside Bar) that caused the bearish CHoCH and continued down. Current PA is so corrective and doesn't have any momentum. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. But be mindful that the OF is so bearish in the Swing Pullback Phase and Demand is not holding and we see momentum. And with the Daily Bearish Swing there is a high probability that we will continue down. So be cautious with the Bullish Structures as it could be only Fake-Out. More price development needed with the current PA. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. We have seen that Price swept the LIQ below the Strong INT Low and created a Bullish CHoCH but still Supply in Control. If the last demand created from the LIQ sweep failed and we confirmed a close below the INT Low, My expectations will be that the Daily Swing Continuation in Play and we will take the Current 4H Swing low and Daily INT Low. This week is so volatile as we have EUR Zone GDP and CPI also USA FOMC and NFP. So be cautious this week. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 26 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - US PCEThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish INT INT Bearish At Swing Extreme 2. Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday. After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH. INT Structure turned bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback. 3. Price currently at the Extreme Swing low and there is a high probability that we are going to take the 15m Strong Swing Low according to the Bearish PA.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 25 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT INT Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday. After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH. Currently price reached the EQ and 15m/4H demand zones for potential continuation of the Bullish Swing and targeting the Weak Swing High. The 4H Demand is big so be cautious of a deeper pullback within the Swing. My expectations that we will continue Bullish as long we don't close below the 15m Swing Low. 3. Extreme 15m Swing Demand.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 24 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMI / US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range. Still the OF is bearish and if the 4H Bullish swing is going to continue Bullish we need to see bullish reaction at least a bullish CHoCH. On the flip side, if these demand zones failed to hold, there is a high probability that the Bearish Daily/Weekly structures are in play and we are in a HTF Bearish move. Let's see the LTF development to have a clear guide. 3. Price reached the Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. As OF is bearish we need to see the formation of demand at least with a Bullish CHoCH and that demand to hold. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continued Bearish with the recent BOS. After the Swing BOS we expect a Pullback to start, which is currently reacting from the 4H/Daily Demand zones. As per the structure, expectations that the Swing will continue bearish and there is a potential short plays from the 15m/4H Supply within the Swing. (This will solidify the point that the 4H Swing low is the target) But be mindful that we had mitigated a HTF POIs (4H/Daily Demands) in a Bullish 4H Swing so there is also high expectations that the current 15m Swing High could be taken out and turn bullish to confirm the 4H Swing Pullback is over and we are in the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation. Following the structure is the optimum way and we have now 2 scenarios with HTF narratives. Lets wait for price to guide us. 3. Price had tapped into 4H/Daily demand zones and initiated the 15m Swing Pullback. After the ChoCH we will have a confirmed Swing Low.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 23 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Cons. ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Note: Nothing changed much since yesterday and yesterday analysis still the same. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure. Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low. 4. Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure. Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low. 4. Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 Weekly Analysis - EUR Rate DecisionThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ INT Extreme 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price managed to get out of the range and approaching a Daily demand zone. We didn't mitigate it yet but price is bouncing up from the Swing EQ. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - EU Con ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. Currently the new INT structure is Bullish and we had reached the extreme and price respected the INT Low and continued up. Expectation that we are going to target the INT High as long we respect the Swing Low. Also there is a high probability that we may break the Swing low as we didn't mitigate any HP POI to initiate a pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - ECB MinutesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. Finally we are out of the range where the 15m Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback. I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option. 3. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 17 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail/ EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. Finally we are out of the range where the Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback. I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option. 3. INT structure is continuing bearish and i would expect the continuation bearish till we reach the Daily/4H Demand zone as current targets. No HP supply zone within the current INT structure as all are mitigated. I'll be waiting for the next INT structure for Shorts if we didn't reach the Daily/4H Demand zones first.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 16 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - German CPI/ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Still price is ranging and i'm waiting for a break out of that range. Order flow on 4H is currently bearish within the INT Structure so my expectation is to stay bearish and may target the 15m Swing Low. A formation of Bearish Structure will indicate that the 4H Swing pullback is not yet done and we may have a deep pullback within the 4H Swing. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : No much development in price since NFP (2 Weeks). Can't see suitable option within that range knowing that it's a big range. But best is always wait for the setups that you are trained on and not to force a setup in current market behavior. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Previous week PA was ranging within the INT Structure EQ. Crossroads now for price. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
I LATE PUBLISHED THIS, BTC wyckoff schematic #1:Brace yourselves! The chart is a crystal clear warning siren for an impending crash in the Bitcoin market. What we're seeing here is the textbook setup of a Wyckoff distribution phase, a manipulative masterpiece played out by the smart money to trap unsuspecting retail investors before the rug is pulled. Phase A was just the smart money dipping their toes, testing the waters for liquidity. Phase B, the buildup, was where they revved up the engines, creating a façade of a bullish frenzy, drawing in the crowd with the hype. But then, boom! Phase C hit with the Outthrust After Distribution (UTAD), the classic fake-out move. It's the smart money whispering, 'This is as high as we go, folks,' before they start offloading their bags onto the latecomers. Now, as we edge into Phase D, the Sign of Weakness (SOW) has revealed itself. This isn't just a dip to buy; it's a cliff edge. The Last Point of Supply (LPSY) attempts are feeble, and the demand is drying up faster than a puddle in the Sahara. And what's next? Phase E. The markdown. The avalanche. This isn't just going to be a correction; it's shaping up to be a freefall. The volume profile is whispering secrets of a sell-off that's ready to stampede. Those support lines? They'll snap like twigs under a boot. We're not just talking about testing lows; we're talking about rewriting the bottom line. This is the moment where fortunes are lost, where the latecomers holding the line get burned. The chart is screaming caution. It's not a matter of if, but when. The crash is looming, and it's going to be cataclysmic. Don't be the one left holding the bag when the smart money has cashed out and left the building. This is your warning! | TO BE FORMAL AND PROFESSIONAL. Here's a breakdown of the typical phases and events in the Wyckoff Schematic #1, as they might relate to your chart: Phase A: This phase marks the stopping of the prior uptrend. Key elements include: Preliminary Supply (PSY): Where large interests begin selling the coin and volume increases. Buying Climax (BC): Where demand is fully satiated, and there is heavy buying from the public, leading to a sharp rally and subsequent sell-off. Automatic Reaction (AR): The immediate sell-off after the buying climax, setting a range for the trading range (TR). Phase B: This phase is characterized by building a cause for the new downtrend. Secondary Test (ST): Where the market tests the supply and demand balance at the upper and lower bounds of the TR established in Phase A. Upthrust (UT): A test above the TR that fails and falls back into the range, showing that demand is not strong enough to break through the supply. Phase C: This phase indicates the readiness to leave the TR and begin a new downtrend. Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): A sign of weakness, where price goes above the TR again but attracts heavy selling from the smart money, confirming they are distributing their holdings. Phase D: The price begins to move downward as the distribution phase is ending. Sign of Weakness (SOW): Price action that moves below the support level of the trading range, suggesting that supply is overwhelming demand. Last Point of Supply (LPSY): The final attempt to move up into the TR, which fails due to lack of demand. Phase E: This is the markdown phase where the price declines. The chart depicts a series of lower highs and lower lows, consistent with a bearish trend. The annotations on your chart suggest that the analyst is anticipating a bearish market based on the Wyckoff distribution phases. They have marked out specific events and are forecasting a continued downtrend into the future phases (D and E). It's important to note that while Wyckoff's methodology is respected among some traders, it's not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques. The chart also includes some narrative annotations about market events, like SEC announcements, which the analyst is using to support their interpretation of the price action within the framework of the Wyckoff Method. These external factors are used to give context to the price movements and potentially indicate the actions of institutional investors. I hope I was early to warn everyone but I did, just forgot to do it here in TradingView.
Short
by osodatsismoso