Structure
New week, new opportunities!I’m expecting the week to start and take all of the liquidity above those highs (red dots). The volume of that move higher will be very important to take into consideration.
The issue is, the week needs to make a new low and that fact alone will probably give bears an advantage from my POV. To make a significant low on the weekly, price will probably have to break H4 structure and if it does, the next demand that I’ll be paying attention is around 1.075.
As traders, we need to take into consideration different scenarios and how to act upon them. So here’s how I’ll trade next week.
If price starts breaking bellow Fridays low, I’ll start looking for shorts aggressively and considering the possibility that it will reach 1.075. When it does, I’ll look for longs, because price should take liquidity from above, before continuing with bearish momentum if that’s the case. Also important to notice that level is inside weekly demand and if it breaks, the bearish momentum would be very aggressive. I don’t consider that as likely to happen, unless there’s some catalyst from high impact news.
The other scenario that I’ll be looking for, is price holding Fridays low and continue higher to take the liquidity as mentioned above. In that case, I’ll consider shorts from around 1.097 BUT since price is coming from daily demand it will depend on how it gets there and even if I take positions, I’ll manage my expectations about the results.
Monday and Tuesday don’t have any high impact news, which is perfect for price to grind higher, which is my main expectation for the beginning of the week. Wednesday there’ll be PMI data on EU and US, should be very volatile. Thursday, unemployment claims from the US and Friday consumer sentiment and Powell speech after.
The goal is to remain truthful to the plan and enjoy trading for what it is!
H4 demand in playThis is a continuation of my first post, please go read if you haven't. Price is inside daily demand, provided a reaction and then came back deeper to the H4 level that I had marked.
Today the M15 internal structure changed and it's now bullish, suggesting that the pb is over and price is ready to move higher. The first target is the most recent H4 high and then it's necessary to reevaluate the situation, because the way I see it, price is in a crucial moment.
If it breaks lower from today's low, there's still the M15 at the very bottom, which is the last level before the break of H4 structure. If that happens, it's suggesting that price wants to mitigate a lower level on the daily and then it's valid to consider shorts.
Institutional Demand: NZD/CAD LongHi traders!
Hope you're having a great summer! Meanwhile, I am watching NZD/CAD for a long play, I love how the daily time-frame created new demand, and how it is nicely stacked with weekly value.
Now the 4hour just shaped up perfectly, allowing us to take a simple 1:3 risk to rewards setups by our trading plan. Of course, do your own analysis!
If you want more charts, like this post and follow us here!
Kind regards,
Max
EURUSD Trade Recap 11th August 2023Breakeven taken on EURUSD last Friday, very happy with the management. Full explanation in the recap.
🧠Emotional Log
---
**Pre-Trade**
I understand all the confluences within my thesis, I accept this risk as I know if it is a loss I clearly understand exactly why I took to the trade. My stop is protected and if price takes me out there is a chance it is forming something else anyway. Do not be greedy, but also do not hesitate. These are the trades I must allow myself to take.
**During Trade**
My stop is protected, allow price to do its thing. My entry is valid, and I understand structure over candlesticks. I utilised the timeframes as best I could, working from the 1H structure filtering down to the 15M without jumping in. Do not choke the trade, mini 90% rule is in play so let price do its thing.
**Post-Trade**
I understand that price created a mini scoop for a much sharper entry, however, how can we guarantee this will always happen. My entry was valid, and stop was protected, I understood the 90% rule kicking in and managed risk accordingly to price action on the 1H. Nothing more I could have done in this situation and capital was protected.
GMXUSDTGMXUSDT is trading in bearish channel and smoothly following technical pattern of break and retest of structure. currently the instrument is retesting the broken support level and seems like it is getting ready for another sell off.
VGXUSDTVGXUSDT has broken very important support zone and currently retesting that support. As the price is under 50 EMA pressure it seems like after successful retest of broken structure price may head even lower.
EURUSD I Approaching previous structureWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Harmonic + OB + IMB + OTE: Failed1. I used the Previous OTE ZONE as my entry area when it has already been tapped a few times...
2. I did not plot a fib ret on the latest swing low/high for some reason despite there being a ChoCh present.
One thing to note about this though, is that the FIBRET is Reversed. Seeing the non-reversed version meant there was no OB + OTE confluence anywhere.
Maybe that's why I didn't bother with it.
Here's the thing though.. and what is probably a crucial information that I wouldn't have learned if I didn't lose this trade:
Putting fibret on reverse, meant it confluenced with the FVG.
So what I've learned:
1. OTE + FVG MIGHT JUST BE AS VIABLE AS OTE + OB.
2.Try out both reversed and non-reversed versions of fib ret. There might be a confluence you are not seeing.
ALSO, VERY IMPORTANT NOTE:
If price left your entry point, and reached target take profit (liquidity, fvg, s/r levels, etc) first...
Close the trade.
Reaching the target take profit means the market maker move is done.
It means the intention has been fulfilled, and it's time to make a new price action setup.
So the next time it reaches your target entry point, the price has a higher chance of not bouncing, because price is already moving with different intent.
CANCEL COMPLETED TRADES.
SAVE YOUR CAPITAL.
DON'T GIVE IT UP EASILY.
BUY limit XAUUSD at 1937-1940 | Target 1960 to1980I use the Elliott wave and wave structure at H4 timeframe to come up with the following OANDA:XAUUSD trading plan below:
On the H4 time frame, I have found wave 3, and am waiting for wave 4 to form at the 38.2 Fibonacci price zone ( 1937-1940).
---------
My Setup:
Entry BUY: 1937-1940
Stoploss: 1925
TP1: 1960
TP2: 1980
---------
Thank you for your cmt and boost
GBP/JPY Potential Forecast|HTF Analysis| Wednesday, 12 July 2023Hi everyone!
-GBP/JPY give us a nice bullish price delivery previous week and for now is changin the direction (switch in orderflow)
-It have a lot of liquidity and IMB below him so that can be your potential target.
-If you are gonna enter on supply use confirmations.
I hope you will have a great trading day.
EURCAD I Key resistance broken and more upsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
BTC Long-Term Outlook/Analysis + Life GoalsI've charted this since last year, maybe since May, idk.
It shows two possible directions depending on what structure breaks.
Well, it broke Market Structure towards the upside, and has been following the price path that I laid out almost to a T/tee/tea(whatever).
So yeah. It just might follow it, or it might not and just straight up dumps on the higher timeframe, but that's unlikely?
Like, what could cause a worldwide massive sell off that would plummet the BTC price?
Well, of course, if the people and organizations that hold the massive BTC wallets would just randomly sell off their holdings. That would crash BTC.
But why would they do that?
So, in the end, my point is, if you think about it...
The dollar and current worldwide economy is crashing... so where do they turn to?
Bitcoin.
Not gold, not USD, but Bitcoin.
I think gold is also a "stablecoin", something you can rely on to hold value.
I think, going forward, I would like to keep accumulating bitcoin and gold, when I have the money to accumulate.
My goal in my financial life would be, to keep accumulating cash daily(through business, work, and trading), and keep DCA'ing into Bitcoin and Gold regardless of the market.
AUDUSD – LONGThe bullish momentum confirmed with ChoCH on D1. Liquidity was grabbed at the IDM level. Opportunity to buy on a false breakout of the Gann line. The target is the next Supply Zone.
AUDUSD – LONG
ENTRY PRICE - 0.66720
SL - 0.65900
TP - 0.69820
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
USDJPY uptrend scalp to higher highThe daily closed bullish but with some buy exhaustion which led me to believe that there still some bullish momentum but not much. The 1H made a clear higher high and decided to hold at its lows but created some bullish reversal signals on top of support. The moving avergae plays as support as well. Upon the breach of a 30min correction trendline. I believe price is on its way back to test its high or create a new one. Afterall, this is an overall uptrend.