Structure
BNB SWING LONGSwing Long BNB Opened:
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The 2021 all-time high is the most critical level for me to watch. Historically, this level has acted as a strong support and resistance zone. Additionally, the price recently tapped the first 4H order block, showing a solid reaction from a 4H perspective.
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My trade strategy is grounded in sentiment (ATR) and general average price. Currently, all indicators have flipped green, even though the price hasn’t yet broken the previous internal swing high (1D perspective).
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Key Levels:
2021 All-Time High, as strong support especially with the current 4H reaction from it
Current ATH, This level will be my 75% TP, since its bove 3R (which is my minimum required R per trade, also This level holds liquidity and offers potential for price discovery above, where i will take the 25% (1.2 dev)
Last Internal daily Swing High, Breaking this level could create upward momentum tp reach the minimum target of the ATH.
The daily ATR sentiment confirms a bullish bias with a green signal,. (Main criteria for system)
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Trade Details:
Stop-Loss: Below the lowest wick from the 4H OB test. This area also aligns with the 4H 24/42 EMA, meeting my SL criteria.
Targets, 75% of the position will be exited at the current ATH. The remaining 25% will aim for the 20% deviation zone above the all time high, ($829.23 on Phemex linear charts).
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This trade offers a potential R of 4.2, with a maximum of 5.1R in total on average.
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Comparative Analysis:
Looking at the weekly BNB chart versus the daily BTC chart, I noticed similarities in structural behavior. While the timeframes differ, the fractal nature of the market validates this comparison.
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Both charts show clear break-of-structure patterns with higher-low formations. On the BTC weekly chart, three BOS moves have occurred since the last low, mirroring 2 break of structures on the BNB chart. BNB is approaching its ATH without significant rejections, which I interpret as a sign of strength.
41-Day Sentiment mastery missionGM WARRIORS
I'm on a mission to master the SuperTrend indicator by testing all 42 combinations of its key settings: Factor, ATR (Average True Range), and Time Periods.
Each day, I’ll backtest 50 trades on a new combination to refine a 15-minute day trading system, focusing on trend precision and market sentiment. The combinations include:
21 Factors (2.0 to 4.0 in 0.1 increments).
2 Timeframes (15M and 30M).
Goal: Identify the optimal SuperTrend configuration, master early trend reversals, and sharpen market insights within a month.
Results will be shared daily via a public sheet and incorporated into my ongoing SuperTrend study. If you’d like updates, let me know, and I’ll tag you in this journey!
📊 Progress Sheet: docs.google.com
📘 SuperTrend Study: docs.google.com
Institutional Supply: USD/JPY shortsHey,
For a long time I have been very bullish for the USD.
With that in mind, this play is a little bit risky, but if the 4hour shapes up nicely..
I'll consider taking shorts on USD/JPY for a daily pullback play.
Let's wait till the markets reaches the zone.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
Normally I don't share lower-timeframe crypto charts, cuz I find that irrelevant.
However, due to the massive amounts of greed and fear in the markets...
It might be nice to get my view on things.
The market is sitting in the last push (which can be the largest)
But this type of price-action and volatility goes both ways.
A chart never just moves up without printing hh's and hl's.
A chart has structure, and makes sense.
Total3 tapped below the 1trillion.. after spiking to new ATHs.
I see it go higher from this clean demand area later this week.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
ETH Chart updateHey,
The Ethereum chart which I was raving on about in my last post..
I'm happy to see that my bias was right.
ETH managed to reach the 2024 high level at $4090 to the dot and is now rejecting is level on the BTC pullback.
I have a very high conviction that the ATH price at $4870 is being reached within a matter of time.
One thing backing this statement up is the ETH ETF inflow data since last week.
These numbers are just insane and it's showing a rotation of capital into ETH just like we expected.
Institutional Supply: GBP/CAD shortshey,
as mentioned in my prior post, I expect cad strenght this week.
with that in mind, this chart is looking ready for the pullback from trendline supply.
if you don't know how these zones work, watch the videos on my profile.
yes, again waiting for star patterns to occur in or slightly above the zones.
kind regards,
Max Nieveld
Institutional Demand: CAD/CHF longshey,
the rest of my watch list besides safe heaven pairs as chf and jpy is focused at CAD.
expecting cad strenght against GBP/CAD and here at CAD/CHF.
price is sitting in demand and I'll be waiting again for the 4-hour chart to shape up.
same stuff, different chart.
kind regards,
Max Nieveld
Institutional Demand: AUD/JPY longsmorning,
last week was busy with traveling, so last week I did not post much here.
but we're back, and the markets are looking good.
first chart on watch is this one.
price is within the demand zone, and together with nzd/jpy looking ready.
the 4-hour chart is slowly shaping up, I am waiting for a star pattern.
regards,
max nieveld
ETH ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #ETH Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 As we said earlier #ETH performed the same. Right now #ETH is trading around its major resistance zone and if the price closes above the resistance zone then we would achieve our new Target otherwise it will retest first then a bullish move will be seen.
💸Current Price -- $3970
📈Target Price -- $4440
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
All Time Highs on the Horizon!!!Price is on a Bullish Up trend In a Current Retracement.
This Thesis uses several different concepts. Based off of Market structure, support & resistance, RSI Divergence, Fib lvl's, ICT Concepts,
Daily: Bullish, Price is Rejecting Bullish TL and Testing structure , 61.8 prz (Daily Breaker Block forming)
H4: Bullish, Morning star R Pattern at H4 lvl
H1: Bearish (Wait for price action to return Bullish before entering)
Thesis:
Looking for price to bullish break H4 lvl to order block
and retest back to daily lvl 20595 / previous structure high zone, for bullish entry.
Notes:
price has a overall retracement 61.8 prz
Price rejecting off bullish Trend line
Price rejecting 4H FVG
H4 Hidden Bullish Divergence
Daily Bullish Breaker Block
Cons:
-4H could be a Head and shoulders Pattern if price rejects and doesn't break through Daily lvl 20595
Wait for H1 Time frame and Execution time frames to line up with macro Bullish Trend before Executing!
TP1: 21,150
TP2: 21,468 (ATH)
TP3: 22,242 Stretch Goal (ATH)