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EURUSD 19 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - Middle East TensionThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Prior to delving into the Intraday Analysis, I emphasized the significance of the ongoing Weekly Analysis, particularly in light of heightened tensions in the Middle East following Iran's strike on Israel. Monitoring these tensions and the subsequent reports from Israel regarding a response to Iran's strike, it's crucial to anticipate the potential for another volatile weekend, prompting investors to seek refuge in safe havens such as the US Dollar, GOLD, JPY, and CHF. Stay alert to any shifts towards safe havens today amid the uncertain situation in the Middle East leading into the weekend. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed with the Middle East Tension. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish / Sub Internal Bearish Swing Continuation 2. After a BOS we expect a PB. INT Structure turned Bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback. 3. With the tension in Middle East. Pulled back to the Swing extreme mitigating the last 15m Demand zone within the 4H Demand. Expectation is set to the 15m Swing Low to hold and target the Weak Swing High to facilitate the 4H Pullback Phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. As expected the PB started after the Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand Zone and confirming the Bearish INT Structure Low. Expectations is set for continuing Bullish till a HP POI. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price created a Bullish BOS based on the 4H/Daily need for a Pullback. After a BOS we expect a PB. As INT structure is Bullish, a Bearish iBOS will be the confirmation that the 15m Swing PB is starting. But be mindful that price in a Bullish momentum and a deep Swing PB is not often happen on the start of the move. Following the Bullish Phase we are in, looking for longs is the best option till the mitigation of the close 4H Supply zone. 3. Extreme Demand zone within the 15m Swing for possible Longs if reached. But be mindful if we reached this Demand, PA is not looking in Bullish momentum and there will be a HP that the Swing low will be run.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 17 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After BOS we expected a pullback. INT Structure turned Bullish to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback. 3. As price reached the 15m Swing Premium and mitigated the 1H/15m Supply, Price initiated the Swing Bearish continuation and INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the Swing Low and failed to break. So current PA is ranging. I'll wait for Bullish BOS to confirm that the 4H Swing PB started instead of following the Shorts which could end at anytime.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 16 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US PowellThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. After BOS we expect a pullback. Bullish iBOS will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting. But as we didn't mitigate any HTF POI any PB could be limited. Also the 4H Swing requires a Pullback so there is a HP that the 15m will be run at least as a 4H CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 15 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish - Pullback Phase 2. After the Bearish iBOS, price continued bearish till the 4H Demand. With the mitigation of the 4H Demand we formed a Bullish iBOS which confirmed the Swing Low and the initiation of the 15m Swing Pullback Phase. Expectations is set for price to continue bullish to facilitate the PB till a HP 4H Supply Zone. 3. 4H Supply zone for possible Shorts. Be mindful that the 4H supply is having Liq above it so there is a HP that this supply will fail to sweep the Liq above.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS. Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish 2. Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS. With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation. This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts. 3. Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
by Amr-Sadek
4
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish. Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS. No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it. IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply. Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase. 3. After a BOS, we expect a pullback. Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum. CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure. Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 9 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. INT Structure failed to continue bearish and turned bullish after reaching the 15m Swing EQ and tapping into a daily demand zone. Expectations is set to continue Bullish following the 15m Bullish Swing Continuation Phase with target of the Weak Swing High.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. 4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS. Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI. Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High. Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 4 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis-ECB Minutes/US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 4 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. 4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. Bearish Swing failed and we created a Bullish BOS which aligns with the 4H request to initiate the 4H INT Pullback. But be mindful that we reached the 4H INT Structure EQ and Premium where we could see a bearish continuation. Shorts are mostly viable after we mitigate a HTF POI and/or a bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 1 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - US PMI This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback. Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure. More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase. 3. As price failed to initiate a pullback from the 4H demand, price continued bearish to the Daily demand zone. Possible reaction ONLY from the Daily demand as we are in the momentum phase of targeting the 4H Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price still in the bearish momentum following the HTF continuation. Price tapped into the daily demand which could provide a reaction to facilitate the INT Bearish Structure Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 Weekly Analysis - NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback. Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure. More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase. 3. 4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 28 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP/JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 3. Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback. Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure. More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase. 3. 4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price reached the 4H demand and the nested 15m Demand which is mitigated after the bullish CHoCH initiating the 15m INT Structure Pullback. Expectations is set for price to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. But be mindful that price could continue bearish targeting 4H Weak Swing Low. 3. 15m/4H Supply zones for possible short options once reached.
by Amr-Sadek