FOMO & An Inside Bar Entry Into A Larger Head & Shoulder PatternAn handful of lessons in this video so hang on.
1) We take a look at the dangers that come with entering a trade too early & what you should do if you ever find yourself in that situation.
2) A discussion ion inside bars, what they are, how to trade them and an indicator that will help you spot them.
3) How to use that inside bar as an entry reason into a bigger head and shoulders pattern on the larger timeframe.
Please leave any questions or comments below!
Akil
Structureanalysis
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown
EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction.
This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior.
🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel
🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone
🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities
📍 2. Breakout Confirmation
The breakout was confirmed by:
A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline
Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405)
Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used)
This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab.
🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone
After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move:
🔄 What’s Being Retested?
✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel
✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415)
✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs
✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept)
✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move
This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries.
🔍 4. Key Technical Observations
Element Description
📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias.
🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it.
🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level.
📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest.
📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again.
🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan
If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are:
✅ Primary Target – 0.8460
A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs
Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension
⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430
Previous intra-channel resistance level
May serve as a short-term reaction point
❌ Invalidation Level
A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure
This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout
🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point)
Take-Profit 1: 0.8430
Take-Profit 2: 0.8460
This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation.
🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations
Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence).
Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups.
Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits.
✅ Conclusion
This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading:
A well-defined channel breakout
Followed by a clean pullback to structure
With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels
If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups.
📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
AUD/USD On the weekly timeframe, AUD/USD approached a previously tested resistance zone around 0.63926, marked by prior price interactions. On the 1-hour chart, the price broke out above this level, signaling bullish momentum. On the 15-minute chart, a backtest of the breakout level occurred, with the price retesting the 0.63926 zone, now acting as support, before continuing upward.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Entered a buy trade at 0.64072 after the backtest confirmation.
Take Profit (TP): Targeting 0.64352, aligning with the next significant resistance level.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at 0.63926, just below the breakout level, to protect against a false breakout.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): The distance to TP is 280 pips (0.64352 - 0.64072), and the distance to SL is 146 pips (0.64072 - 0.63926), yielding an RR of approximately 1:1.9.
This AUD/USD trade capitalizes on a breakout and backtest strategy, offering a structured setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio for potential upside.
09.05.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:EURCAD
FX:USDCHF
FX:EURUSD
FOREXCOM:COFFEE
Heads up guys!! I will be heading to Greece today so next week my morning forecast videos may not be as consistent, due to internet and just not having my full equipment, so I will do my very best to get some forecasting posted for you all!
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
-1% GBPAUD & +2.5% GBPCHF Trade RecapsTwo positions I took over the last 10 trading days, both 4H entries, one long and one short.
FX:GBPAUD Short -1%
FX:GBPCHF Long +2.5%
Top down analysis explained in the video and also my thought processes behind playing both entries as limit orders to maximise R:R and protect stops much better.
Gold: Breakdown in Motion (15m Chart)Just price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Momentum Long — Price broke out from a base with clean volume. MA structure aligned, and bulls had control early.
⛔ Top Reversal — Price peaked and printed a clean rejection. Volume faded. Sellers rotated in.
⛔ Lower High Rejection — Attempt to reclaim highs failed fast. Fib and MA structure stacked against continuation.
⚠️ Temporary Recovery Attempt — Brief bounce off support, but no structure regained. No follow-through = no entry.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed — Price lost all support levels with conviction. Volume backed the flush. Breakdown held and extended.
👀 Current Pressure Point — Price still pressing lows. Watching to see if momentum continues or if we get exhaustion behavior.
Always happy to be helpful.
SPX Play-by-Play: From Trap to Trend and Back AgainJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Early Short Trap / Failed Breakdown — Sellers tried to press lower early, but price held key levels and reversed. That shift became the foundation for the entire move that followed.
✅ Breakout Long Trigger — After reclaiming structure, price drove into new highs with strong follow-through. Volume confirmed the breakout.
⛔ Top Rejection — Price pushed into resistance but couldn’t hold. Momentum faded, candles hesitated, and sellers stepped in.
✅ Fib-Based Bounce — After the pullback, price responded cleanly off fib-based support. The bounce was sharp, and volume backed it.
✅ Steady Uptrend Structure — Price moved in an orderly fashion. Small pullbacks held structure, and volume stayed supportive — a textbook controlled climb.
⛔ Range Resistance — Price returned to a previously rejected zone. Wicks and hesitation reappeared.
👀 Current Breakout Watch — Price is testing that resistance again. A reclaim with strength signals continuation. Another fade? Let it go.
Always happy to be helpful.