Structuretrading
Week 8: Are we going to see the 10.5k? =DSince the beginning of the year we have been in a very strong downtrend, but technically the trend has turned bullish on the 4H-Chart as soon as the Blue Structure level was violated after forming a Head & Shoulders.
Since the breakout the price has been in a strong upward movement until the RSI became extremely Oversold and on the next resistance in Green. Since then, the Price is getting some seller pressure.
If the price respects that resistance, it opens up 2 good opportunities to get long.
Scenario 1 (Green Arrows) : This scenario is my preferable one, because:
Breakout Confirmation of the Blue Structure
Breakout Retest of the Head & Shoulders formation
Fibonacci Confluence (61.8% from last leg & 38.2% from last bottom)
If the price retests the Blue Area, I will wait for a candlestick formation to get long for a retest of the previous High Target 1: @9k and an extended Target 2: @10.5k
Scenario 2 (Yellow Arrows) : This scenario is also a possible long opportunity if the price does not break and close below that area, because if it does, I will no longer be interested in a Buy, also on this scenario my targets would be more conservative: instead of aiming for an extended target I would only buy for a retest @7.5k for Target 1 and Target 2 a retest of the previous High @9k.
If you like the Idea give it a thumbs up, leave a comment if you want to discuss it or have any question.
Take care & Happy Pip-Hunting
BITCOIN Did Not Bottom, YetAs expected BTCUSD fell down into wave (c) a third leg of decline that we have been talking about a lot in our past updates. Wave (c) is a motive wave, so it must be made by five subwaves before we may even consider that correction is finished.
Well, if we take a look at current price move on BTCUSD we see very slow structure, thus it’s probably just a wave 4 within still ongoing wave (c). So, sooner or later we expect new decline into wave 5 of (c), where final support zone can be between 8700 level for (A)=(C) and 6800 level towards channel support line and 161,8% Fibo. extension of wave 4.
GBPJPY - Start of Week Daily Chart AnalysisI'm not sure if I've ever shared a higher timeframe chart here on TradingView, but something that i do at the start of each trading week is a simple Daily Chart analysis, where I lpook at key levels in the market and begin to set up my overall theories for the week.
Akil
EURUSD 1HR - the importance of structure ----ABCD- 2618Had a very nice conversation about this pair with one of my clients last night and wanted to share this morning now that not much has changed overnight. There are 2 setups on this chart one was a double bottom which can now potentially turn into a 2618 opportunity at MINOR structure & the second is a potential AB=CB pattern with fibonacci confluence that can potentially complete at major structure.
The conversation had yesterday was about how to determine when structure was "Major" vs. "Minor" & how that may affect our trading decisions.
Personally i prefer to look my trading opportunities at major structure as it allows me to be more aggressive with my approach due to the risk reward that is often gained there. Plus we all no that "good moves don't last long" However that doesn't mean that you can't look for trading opportunities at minor structure as well. You certainly can, it just may be worth taking a more cautious approach & waiting for extra confirmation before pulling the trigger.
Well, it's almost 7am, time to double check stops and targets before the today's Monetary policy. A more hawkish than expected tone would work perfectly with my current positions.
GOOD LUCK TODAY TRADERS, HAVE A GREAT TRADING DAY!! See you this weekend with another video... Or maybe today, you never know
Akil
GBPJPY - READY FOR ONE BIG MOVE DOWN? - SIMPLE STRUCTURE TRADINGNot much to say other than the fact that we could be setting ourselves for a big move down, following the trend. We can already see the pair forming a bearish flag so watch closely for the break down.
Trade safe and do your own due diligence before entering the trade.
For further insights join me at:
www.valuedbusinessconsulting.com
GBP/CAD SIMPLE STRUCTURE TRADELooks like we have a valid bearish continuation pattern, and even though the trendline (light blue) has been broken I still don't feel like hopping on the trade, as we have a major level of Key Daily Structure just beneath. Therefore I prefer waiting for that level to break, retest it (by bouncing of the S1 daily PP) and then enter to get a better entry point.
All other details are displayed on the chart
DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE ENTERING THE TRADE. NOT A TRADING SIGNAL.
ETHUSD Short Let me start by saying that this is not something I trade.
Price is currently trending lower. I have some areas marked as a potential entry point and then the levels I would look
to take profits. IF price closes below 75.12 look out the turd could appear really fast.
IF one wanted to get long I would wait for conservative entry such as a 2618 trade set up.
the best of luck
trade at your own risk
you could lose everything
EURNZD - Breakout RetestHere's something that we just took a look at in the Live Room, while watching Yeelen's Testimony.
EURNZD (Which is a pair I don't trade, for those who think I trade every idea that I post) is has rallied toward previous structure highs and is now retracing back down into the previous pennant pattern highs. Although I wouldn;t be looking for a full trend continuation move here, I certainly think there is the opportunity for a trader to involve themselves in a low-risk trade looking for a retest of the highs.
Akil Stokes
Trade Empowered
"Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan"
AUDCAD Trend Continuation OpportunityAUDCAD is in clear bearish trend on 1H, and currently price pull backed into the Kill Zone.
You can wait for an entry reason like LLLC or Double Top on Lower Time Frame, or you can simply enter right away - you will get more than 1:2 R/R.
Stops would be above current OR and we would target a retest of the NSL