Study
Trend line changing roles Here's an example of how trend lines are changing roles as the Price cross above/below them.
In this example we can see several trend lines that once broken (to the upside or to the downside) they change roles from resistance to support and vice versa.
In this chart the focus is on one trend line and how the price reacts to it when it changes its role from support to resistance.
Basic stuff... yet powerful .
Bearish Bat with False Break Last week, USDJPY complete a bearish Bat pattern along with daily Outside Bar pattern and a daily False Break.
My resistance zone that included the bearish harmonics, daily downtrend line, structure and the 50 days MA line held following a small daily false break and it seems like USDJPY is maybe heading towards the support zone near 103-104.
A breakout above 107 will send USDJPY towards 111 to test the next resistance zone.
The daily False Break stopped out many traders from being in this successful reversal zone - If you struggle with setting your stop loss orders, read my blog post here goo.gl
Tomer, The MarketZone
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NZD/USD OUTLOOK LONGS FAVORABLE.NZD/USD OUTLOOK. NU finally broke above the 0.68736 level giving us a nice break retest this week. Added a fib retracing to the 78.60% level. Will be watching closely on market open for a pull back to execute a long to D2 extension (61.00%) level witch also is confluent with historical resistance 0.72315. If we do not see a pullback and my trading plan is not fulfilled we will simply stand aside and watch are prediction develop. Please check are Second post on NZD/USD Weekly for further confluences to the upside. Discipline is crucial stick to your plan.
AU - priming for a good short opportunityThis could be a good short opportunity down to 0.764-0.765. And assuming 0.77227 just became our new high (daily, 1hr), then could see that open the gates to fall down further.
Liking this for a short on Monday
Scalp opportunity:
TP1 0.764
Larger swing:
TP1 0.76164
TP2 0.757
TP3 0.74
EU - meh to the bottomRetracement is just a bit above 50% - that's OK in itself (fib is not a perfect science), so below 1.13800 I like this for a short. But there's some minor potential to see a little bit of growth towards 1.15 to burn some shorts before it dumps.
Will see how we go on Monday
If you wanted to be conservative, you could just wait for it to bounce off the bottom of the triangle as part of a support/resistance test, THEN short it - which would make entry around 1.12 on a retrace (pivot points, daily), with TP1 1.08 and TP2 1.05
Otherwise, enter below 1.138, TP1 1.15, TP2 1.10