Sugar Futures Falling WedgeI think that the indicator I have developed is working really well in sugar futures. From this point of view and due to the fact that sugar futures have a wedge, I think that there is an initial upside potential of 7% and then if the wedge is broken, I think that sugar futures can go up to $23.
Sugarfutures
Sugar #11; Dire StraitsIt is the case once again for the typical, alternating, virtually daily news bites, decrying "world sugar deficits", "Brazilian yield collapse (due to drought; El Nino)", "record Brazilian Real strength", "rising crude oil prices" versus "record Brazilian harvests", "strengthening USD" and "falling crude prices due to recession fears". The song remains the same.
In reality;
- Brazilian harvest prospects are doing just fine;
- The recent Brazilian Real strength is likely experiencing it's end of days;
- Crude oil prices, fundamentally and technically, have a far better chance to turn south than otherwise. (See this post; )
Now, factor in the clearly (very) bearish technical outlook while also noting significant short covering, as of late. E.g., the makings of very favorable SHORT Entry here.
The Daily;
With last week's 5 strait days of breaking lower.
SUGARUSD Bearish ShortTrading AnalysisSUGAR RAWUSD
Bearish trend forming for Sugar Commodity
We are seeing a Elliot 5 pattern way theory occurring as well on the 2-3 hour charts.
But most importantly sugar is spiraling down towards a major support level. Clearly the uptrend has broken it's trend line with a fake cat bounce/retest making it definite the reversal has occurred.
FIB LEVELS also mention that the support is a crucial zone of interest. As it could reverse or keeping it's bearishness due to it's heavy many spikes of volume.
A parallel channel has formed. I would place a sell limit in it's latest order block as seen in the picture, also to mention that there are many inside bar candles in this order block which can be used efficiently for the right trade, in this scenario shorting.
A nice 650+ pip move if all goes as speculated.
- David van Delden
SB1! (SUGAR) BULLISHSB1! (SUGAR) is bullish. We are going for the Intermediate 5th of Primary C of the cycle be. For now, the target area is roughly $23.43 to $$24.80 which is 50% and 61.8% of fibo. This is the commodity market and in a commodity market, the 5th wave can be extended. For now invalidation level is $17.60 which is the 4th wave for now.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#SB1! #SUGAR
Sugar - SHORT; SELL it here!Sugar will have an awful hard time to go any higher here, climbing into multi-year major resistance. A sustained decline should take Sugar substantially lower into year's end.
Ample grain and bio-fuel stocks are also a prelude to an over-supply imbalance. (Not to mention substantially lower crude oil prices on the horizon.) This is a low-risk spot to initiate a long term SHORT .
NY #11 Front Month Contract continues its uptrendThe recent pullback from 15.50 resistance did shake out some players but the fundamental story remains the same (Lower production on the softs though a risk of Indian Exports continues to hound the market. Actually, buying near the lower end of the channel for the past couple of days with a wide stop and proper sizing would enable a trader to catch and on to it as it attempts to try to breach the 15c level. The next resistance level seen in the chart is around 15.50 and the next would be 16c.
SUGARUSD - As sweet as it gets?Sugar a few minutes ago reached the expected level I was refering to in my previous idea.
The trend in bullish although we have a strong pullback just now.
The COT data metioned on the chart supports further climb (unless something happened in the meantime that we still don't know about).
As usual nothing is certain in the markets.
So as I see it with the data we have now Sugar will continue its climb respecting the 50MA as it did before. This is the reason why I engaged my first buy orders and keep monitoring the price action for further moves.
Good luck traders
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become a better trader.
SUGARUSD - Going up, where to enterSUGAR is clearly bullish on 4h-D-W time frames.
On the monthly time frame we expect at some point (mid-term I would say) to retrace back to the Fib 0.382 level.
The COT (Commitment of Traders) outlook of the institutions for the week of SEP 29 supports the bullish trend as net positions increased to 248.345 compared to 234.659 of the week before that. Volume clearly shows that as well.
So total reversal is not in-sight at least to me at the moment. More likely as mentioned above a retracement to the level of the Fib 0.382 for profit taking like with the other two times measured and indicated on the chart.
As for my strategy at the moment is to stay on the side and wait price to come to the potential entry area and then take a long position looking for 300-350 pip gains.
Good luck Traders.
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become a better trader.
SUGAR FUTURES (SB1!) DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
SUGAR FUTURES (SB1!) WeeklyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
SUGAR FUTURES (SB1!) MonthlyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.