Alikze »» BTC | Ascending diamond pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending diamond pattern
- According to the latest analysis presented , Bitcoin made a correction based on the predicted path to the second green box area of the $50,000 correction range.
- In the recent modification, a double zigzag has been formed. The second zigzag is a flat correction.
According to the formation of an ascending diamond pattern in the green box area, after the failure of the dynamic trigger, the diamond pattern will be confirmed and it can expect to climb up to the specified areas according to the previous analysis.
💎 Note: Also, if a failure occurs from the bottom of the template, this template is invalid and must be checked and updated again.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
SUI
SUI - Bullish times ahead?
SUI has been seeing very bullish action as of late. On the very long timeframe SUI has formed a possible double bottom with an almost full retrace of the last wave up. Creating a possible Low, Higher High and Higher Low structure on a macro-level (see pic1).
When we zoom into the current view, we are holding the range after forming the first higher high on the daily timeframe in weeks. Right now, we are consolidating and probably creating a W-structure with a first broad target between 1.20-1.40$ after price successfully breaks the 1.12$ price (see pic2).
Finally, SUI’s price is also moving within a downward parallel channel after a major pump, meaning this can be considered a Bull Flag (Bullish) (see pic3).
P.S. This is my first post to try things out, sorry if it is still a bit rough around the edges.
Zeddit
Sept 6. Start DCA'ing these altsOverview:
The FRED:SP500 is down, NASDAQ:QQQ is down even more, and COINBASE:BTCUSD has dropped. Everything is red! Or wait… BINANCE:SUIUSDT is up! Could this still be the effects of the Grayscale Trust, and how much longer can SUI defy the overall market? Previous Grayscale picks like BINANCE:NEARUSDT and BINANCE:TAOUSDT aren’t performing as well on red days like yesterday.
The Fed reported fewer new jobs added in August—lower than expected, even after multiple revisions. This was also fewer than the job additions in August of the past few years. Quantitative tightening is in full swing! These metrics signal a potential path to a rate cut, but large economies like the U.S. don’t pivot easily, especially not with just a move from 5.50% to 5.25%. Higher unemployment and fewer job openings will likely persist for months, possibly even quarters.
Yet, no federal bailouts? No major bankruptcies? Meanwhile, commercial real estate is still struggling, with San Francisco’s office vacancy rate rising to 37%, up from 36.7% in Q1 2024.
BTC ETFs are seeing 9 consecutive days of outflows. BINANCE:ETHUSD has seen consistent selling throughout August, except for a slight uptick on August 28th when Blackrock bought slightly above the original Grayscale Trust level.
Believe it or not, this is when whales start dollar-cost averaging (DCA) back into the market. So why is the market falling if big players are buying? These deep pockets unloaded their portfolios and secured profits early in the year when green candles were stacking up. The current selling pressure is from retail traders, as reflected in ETF trends.
If you still have cash (or those precious paychecks), this could be a good time to spread it out into 10-15 weekly buy orders. Don't try to catch the exact bottom—just remember the old adage: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
W: It’s only the first week of a bloody September, and BTC is already nearing the $52.15k weekly level. Sunday might be calm, with a potential bounce back to $55.9k. But watch out for Sunday evening (U.S. Eastern time) when the Asian bears wake up.
D: Friday closed lower than August 5th. This is the third time we’re testing the $52-54k range—July 5, August 5, and now September 6. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. The worrying sign: yesterday’s volume was much lower than the previous two occurrences. No need to look far; volume has been rising over the last 7 days, confirming bearish sentiment.
4h: RSI dipped below 30 at 4 PM Eastern, but since then it’s bounced back 1.5%. Looking back at July 5 and August 5, we can see a key level around $54.4k (though this doesn’t hold on the daily chart). This is the point where decisions must be made.
1h: Price action is moving sideways.
Alts relative to BTC: ETH has dropped more than BTC and other altcoins, falling to levels not seen since January 11th when the BTC ETF was approved. The argument that Layer 2 solutions diminish ETH’s "sound money" status isn’t helping. Bearish. On the bright side, APT has been trading below BTC ETF demand for 91 days and could be a good option for DCA. SUI shrugged off the recent sell-off and posted a 5.13% green candle, making it another solid contender alongside APT, as both are already below BTC ETF price levels.
Bull case: Everyone who could sell has already sold. Now, only the diamond hands remain.
Bear case: The capital allocators have finished realizing gains, and retail traders are finally waking up to the fact that the bull run has been canceled.
Fear and Greed Index: 25.97 – an all-time low for 2024 and 2023.
Prediction: A short-term rebound over the weekend, followed by further declines next week.
Opportunities: Check out weekly and 4-hour divergences in major altcoins. Are you shorting TON yet?
Mistakes: The bullish MACD divergence didn’t play out for BINANCE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , and BINANCE:AVAXUSDT . When big brother (BTC) makes a move, it doesn’t matter what the technical analysis says for altcoins.
Trade Setup: SUI Long Position (Support Breakout) Market Context: SUI has broken above the prior support level from August and is showing strength by not fully retracing. This breakout provides a promising opportunity for a long trade.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Long spot position around $0.79.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.88
Second target: $1.00
Final target: $1.155
Stop Loss: $0.71
📊 This setup capitalizes on the breakout, with multiple profit targets to capture gains, and a stop loss to manage downside risk. #SUI #CryptoTrading #Breakout
Alikze »» TIA | Ready to pullback to the broken structure🔍 Technical analysis: Ready for a pullback from the liquidity zone to the broken structure
- According to the analysis of the previous post , TIA currency is moving in a downward channel.
- As can be seen, lower floors and ceilings are forming, which further reinforces the bearish view.
- Currently, in the 1D time frame, it is in the liquidity zone, which can target 3.17 with a pullback to the neckline and then the green box zone.
- Therefore, in the case of a pullback to the broken structure and selling pressure in the Fibo area of 1.618, it can touch the mentioned targets.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can break the neck line, it will have the ability to grow up to the supply area of the previous ceiling and the ceiling of the channel.
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BINANCE:TIAUSDT
Alikze »» SUI | Daily FVG gap🔍 Technical analysis: Daily FVG gap
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post, after creating demand in the green box area, it grew to the supply area.
- Currently, according to the structure formed in the supply area, a twin roof with a shorter roof is observed.
- But in the 8H time frame, it is moving in a descending channel. Demand has also been met at the bottom of the channel.
- Therefore, according to the FVG gap in the 1D time frame, if the selling pressure continues, it can make a correction to the green box area and retest it to fill the gap.
💎 Alternative scenario: also, if he can break the middle of the channel upwards, he can retest the supply area again.
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BINANCE:SUIUSDT
Alikze »» BNB | Support zone failure🔍 Technical analysis: Support zone failure
- In the 4H time frame, after not being able to break the supply area, it has faced selling pressure.
- Currently, a bullish pattern is observed, which has extended to the supply area.
- Therefore, any pullback to a broken structure can face selling pressure again.
- So we should see an increase in selling pressure in the supply area to continue the corrective lag until the liquidity area.
- In addition, in case of breaking the liquidity area, the correction can continue up to the specified areas and Fibo 2.618.
Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can break and stabilize the supply area upwards, it can have a retest to the next supply area.
🛑Range of resistance or supply area: 531-547
🟢 Support area: 468-464
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BINANCE:BNBUSDT
SUI Diamond Pattern Formation will Break to Downside (SHORT)I am Seeing a price crash and "V-Shape" recovery in the cards for the SUI price chart. Diamond pattern formation will break to the downside for a measured move down to the 1.618 fib extension. Fed emergency rate cut will reverse the markets back upwards into the US Elections.
Lower buy target @ or around 0.272
SUI to $10SUI is a new coin with a project that has high potential.
Although fundamentally the market cap is huge with a high percentage of locked coins, technically it looks ambitious as long as it's above $0.4627 the target would be a new all time high after passing the confirmation level of $1.0142
Depending on the shape of the bullish move, the final target will be determined.
As for now, the best possible scenario targets the $10 level.
SUI buy/long setupThe structure of SUI has changed to bullish with recent pump and CH.
We are looking for discount ranges for buy/long positions.
The green range is a valuable discount range.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the Demand range.
Closing a daily candle below the invlidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Aug 27Overview:
The FRED:SP500 gave us another red candle on Thursday, erasing Wednesday's gains. It has been accumulating in this zone for a week, unfortunately drawing a longer lower wick. The effects of the September sell-off are starting to become more evident. NASDAQ:QQQ confirms our concerns, as its recent high failed to reach the previous high and is now curving downward, closing outside the accumulation zone.
Not much has changed since yesterday’s correction; we're back in the familiar 58.4k-60k range. Bulls are now trapped and licking their wounds, while U.S. tech stocks begin to slip lower. For the second day in a row, selling volume from ETFs suggests that the public might be unloading positions after the bull trap.
W: This week’s candle cancels out the previous week's run to 64k, aiming to close below the BB MA. However, there's nothing particularly noteworthy on the weekly time frame, as we still have four more trading days. Closing below 58.4k would be a bear's dream, while bulls would be content with staying in the current range, waiting for the rate cut and hoping for a pump. As we approach the 58.4k level, it transitions from a daily (D) level into a weekly (W) level, with bulls determined to keep it above that mark.
D: Back to trading in the old daily range.
4h: Significant volatility occurred after re-entering the daily range. The next move, whether up or down, is likely to be substantial. This is a key area to analyze and make decisions. Before heading down, it might need to rally to 60.2k to offset the previous crash. If you want to join the bears, set your stop-limit order at 57.8k (1% below the 58.4k daily level), with a take profit target at the 55.9k weekly level. This strategy could yield a 3.29% return on a non-leveraged, pure spot BTC trade. Alternatively, for the more adventurous, consider leveraging a major Solana meme coin and applying the same strategy.
1h: Nothing significant is happening on the 1-hour chart.
Alts relative to BTC: No divergence observed.
Bull case: Same as yesterday.
Bear case: Same as yesterday. Bulls are hurting after the trap, and QQQ is curving down.
Fear and Greed Index: 45.88. The downward acceleration has stopped, but the index remains in neutral territory.
Prediction: Small correction upward, followed by a continued decline.
Opportunities at W and 4h divergences of major alts:
BINANCE:SUIUSD shows a MACD divergence on the daily chart.
As for other assets, a clearer picture will emerge tomorrow.
#SUI/USDT#SUI
We have a downtrend pattern on the 12-hour frame, the price is moving within it and adhering to its boundaries well
We have a support area in green at 0.800 after the price touched it and bounced from it
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average
We have an uptrend on the RSI indicator that supports the price upwards and is expected to break it
Entry price 0.9080
First target 1.066
Second target 1.22
Aug 24Overview:
As we begin the last week of August, we might be heading into a very turbulent period. On one hand, BINANCE:BTCUSD hasn't even broken its previous bull run's all-time high when adjusted for inflation. Neither the halving nor ETF demand was enough to push crypto higher, and now we have some altcoins like BINANCE:AVAXUSD trading 30% below their January 11th BTC ETF levels. On the other hand, the FED is finally planning to cut rates on September 18th, which could potentially loosen the printing press. Remember when it was going "BRRRR"? Well, it technically never stopped—just in the form of government spending. Unfortunately, that windfall doesn’t seem to reach speculative assets.
Congratulations on last week’s gains, with some coins such as COINBASE:ARBUSD , BINANCE:MATICUSD and BINANCE:AVAXUSD posting +30% gains. If you bought the dip, this is a great moment to take some profits, or at least move your SL higher.
This Sunday was the first in four weeks that didn't post a red candle, as we noted in a previous letter. But it wasn’t very green either, closing with a 0.11% doji. The red candle was merely postponed to Monday morning.
The U.S. Employment Report on Friday, September 7 at 8:30 am is crucial because it will provide key insights into how the recent interest rate hikes are affecting the labor market, particularly regarding rising unemployment and jobless claims. As the Federal Reserve continues its tightening policy, this report could signal whether the economy is heading toward a slowdown, which would influence future monetary policy decisions.
Quick note regarding BINANCE:TONUSD On August 20th, we mentioned that it "finished drawing its 'Motive' part of Elliott's wave pattern. In about 40 hours, it might finish drawing the B wave, presenting a short opportunity that will last throughout the C wave down." Unfortunately, the market witnessed the C wave not because of Elliott's wave but due to Pavel Durov being arrested by French police the moment his plane landed. TON crashed that day by 18.40%. Although Pavel isn’t the founder of TON, he is closely affiliated with it.
W: Reached BB MA. If bulls can hold the $63.1k level, there’s a chance for a 4th wave to $70k.
D: Held the important bullish W level of $64k. It’s better to have that buffer between $63k and $ 64k for bulls to regroup and go on the offense again. Currently at the upper bound of BB. If the next W level of $63.1k doesn’t hold and it corrects to BB MA, it will hit the D level of $61.8k.
4h: Losing the $ 64k level early Monday morning in the U.S.
1h: MACD divergence yesterday, on the 25th at 8 pm NYC time. We are now seeing the result of that divergence.
Alts Relative to BTC: Altcoins didn’t hold as well as BTC over the weekend, correcting from the heights of the pump: BINANCE:UNIUSD 10% BINANCE:SUIUSD 9.56% BINANCE:NEARUSD 8.25%
Bull Case: BTC holds W levels and continues pumping with new strength toward $68.2k.
Bear Case: This was a classic bull trap—one last breath, one last wave, one last pump before a free fall toward $52.2k.
Fear and Greed Index: 56.2. We’ve been bouncing in the Neutral zone since May 19th with occasional and insignificant peaks into the Greed territory. However, even this chart has been drawing lower highs and lower lows.
Prediction: BINANCE:BTCUSD corrects to $61.7k
Opportunities, at W, 4h Divergences of Major Alts:
Since BINANCE:NEARUSD broke through its W resistance of $4.38 during the recent pump, it’s very likely to return to that level, which should at least become new support. This presents an 8.62% short opportunity.
BINANCE:SUIUSD has drawn a MACD bearish divergence on the D timeframe and has also just hit its W resistance level of $1. TP at $0.85, which is 10.00% away.
BINANCE:TAOUSD reached its upper W resistance. Correction to D level $304 could produce a 12.51% return.
BINANCE:FTMUSD is at its resistance level. There’s an opportunity to make 17% by shorting to its next W level of $0.40.
#SUI/USDT#SUI
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is about to break upwards
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a major support area in green at a price of 0.7900 from which the price rebounded
Entry price 0.8200
First target 0.8810
Second target 0.9330
Third target 0.9995
Aug 23Overview:
Wow, what a 24 hours it has been. At one point, BINANCE:SUIUSD was up 21.6%. Yesterday, we mentioned that "some long positions can be taken with a properly tight SL" once a new trading range was established. On August 21st, we wrote, " BINANCE:ARUSD , BINANCE:APTUSD , BINANCE:TAOUSD showed better price action in the last couple of days. They will likely continue trading higher next week, as BTC stays within its range."
But let's break it down step by step. VANTAGE:SP500 posted a green candle, closing the week on a positive note. However, that candle was within the shadow of yesterday’s red candle, making it neutral rather than bullish.
Additionally, Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole wasn't particularly dovish. It was seen as a signal that the Federal Reserve is prepared to maintain a restrictive stance on monetary policy to ensure inflation is brought under control, even if that means keeping interest rates higher for longer than the markets might prefer.
BTC saw a massive $252 million in ETF flows from tradfi investors. And what did early Grayscale Trust adopters do? They sold $35.6 million worth of it. We’re left wondering how much of that $35.6 million was clients simply converting expensive GBTC into cheaper BTC fund, or if they sold for good. Unfortunately, even on-chain analytics won’t reveal that.
ETH ETF? No chance... Tradfi investors don’t seem to grasp smart contracts. They sold $5.7 million worth, even during a significant BTC rally.
Whales and other professional market actors are well aware that September is historically volatile and often brutal. Will they start selling and closing their positions in the last week of August, or will they wait until the first or second week of September, right before the expected interest rate cut? The big question is, do you want your portfolio to end up in a meat grinder?
W: Yesterday’s BINANCE:BTCUSD wick went higher than the BB MA, but after a pullback, it settled nicely right at the precisely drawn W level of $64k. If bulls can keep it above the $63k level, we can start talking about a new bullish sentiment, but as of now, we are still in a bear market. No divergence.
D: The $61.8 level was taken by bulls six times, and on the seventh attempt, they gathered enough strength. BTC rebounded after a crash, forming a nice bullish pennant. However, it has now reached the upper bound of the Bollinger Bands. Definitely not a time to go long—keep an eye on MACD or CVD divergences.
4h: RSI is above 70, but no MACD divergence yet.
1h: No divergences.
Alts Relative to BTC: If BTC grew by 6%, BINANCE:APTUSD is up 9%, COINBASE:RNDRUSD is up 10%, BINANCE:NEARUSD is up 12%, and BINANCE:SUIUSD is up 20%. Is SUI gearing up to be 3rd favorite smart contract platform after SOL? Will be looking closely. Some of these started to rally 2-3 days ago.
BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD performance was more underwhelming, posting only 5.4% and 7%, respectively. Are they so beaten up that fewer people want to touch them? Where’s the ETF crowd? Leave your thoughts in the comments.
Bull Case: Bulls are able to hold the important W level in anticipation of rate cuts. Reaching that level has already happened; now it’s just a matter of staying there. If Panama, Brazil, and Paraguay announce Bitcoin as legal tender, following in the footsteps of El Salvador and the Central African Republic, this could fuel further bullish sentiment.
Bear Case: The trend continues without a reversal. The Fed doesn’t cut rates quickly enough, and corporate earnings reveal weakness in consumer spending. Whales and insiders start selling and shorting in late September, causing the market to drop in October—a month historically tough for crypto (cough, cough... FTX).
2013: After a strong first half, Bitcoin saw a correction in September before resuming its rally towards the end of the year.
2017: Bitcoin experienced a notable dip in September, partly due to regulatory concerns in China. However, this was followed by a rapid recovery and an all-time high in December.
2021: After strong growth earlier in the year, September saw a decline due to regulatory fears and macroeconomic factors, although the market rebounded in Q4.
Fear and Greed Index: 55.87. Remember—you only buy in 'Fear' territory, which is below 40.
Prediction: We might see some altcoins grow a bit more, but overall, BTC is likely to post a Doji candle next week.
Opportunities: On W and 4h charts, we continue to see many major altcoins in the RSI danger zone. Wait for Saturday’s price action and potential divergences to prepare for a Sunday sell-off.
Aug 19 and week's overview.Overview:
The weekend passed without significant CRYPTOCAP:BTC price movement, holding the daily level at $58.2k. On Monday, bulls rallied, managing to push the price up to $58.4k, signaling a potentially bullish week ahead. This renewed buying interest could be attributed to the VANTAGE:SP500 closing with a strong +1% gain, reminding traders of the generally positive performance of stocks in August, though caution is warranted as September and October tend to be more turbulent. CRYPTOCAP:BTC has bounced off the $58.2k level roughly five times in the last eight days. This marks the second correction week after BTC’s 30% crash, with a 23% recovery so far, suggesting a possible rally towards the next weekly level of $63k. Trading within this midrange is risky, as the price could move in either direction. Tight stop-losses (1-1.5%) and modest take-profits (3-3.5%) are advisable.
Global Liquidity: Growing, which is bullish.
Open Interest: Declining, but Monday saw increased capital commitment, indicating short-term bullishness.
Last week ended with a small-bodied red candle, which is neutral to bearish. A similar pattern was seen in late May 2021, where a brief 18% rally was followed by a 30% decline.
Weekly: Range trading with no divergence.
Daily: Monday approached the BB MA, and early Tuesday broke above it, trending upward with a potential 3.7% gain. The current candle is still forming, so it's unclear if this is a genuine breakout or a false move.
4h: No significant changes or divergences.
1h: Increasing volume suggests the current upward trend is strengthening, though the RSI is in overbought territory above 70. If the RSI forms a double top near $63.1, it could be a shorting opportunity.
Alts Relative to BTC: While BTC has broken above the BB MA, altcoins have only cautiously approached it. Retail traders seem to have caught on to Grayscale’s announcement of new trusts for NYSE:SUI and GETTEX:TAO , with GETTEX:TAO up 17% in the last four days, as we anticipated in our August 11th analysis.
Bull Case: BTC continues to rally towards $62-63k, completing the recovery from the recent crash.
Bear Case: Swing traders may turn bearish and start selling off.
Fear and Greed Index: Rising, currently at 46.14 since August 16th.
Prediction: BTC is likely to rally to $63k, with altcoins like NYSE:SUI , AMEX:NEAR , AMEX:APT , NYSE:AR , and GETTEX:TAO potentially gaining 7-10%.
Opportunities:
AMEX:NEAR : Approaching its weekly resistance at $4.38, offering a potential 6.45% gain.
UPCOM:FTM : Has reached its weekly resistance at $0.4.
Also, do you remember DeFi? ASX:MKR and BME:UNI , which are trading at pre-BTC ETF demand levels despite their strong fundamentals. They are actually earning hard cold cash, proving a use case for crypto: In July ASX:MKR earned fees: $19.7m, revenue of $7.54m; Aave fees $29.4m, revenue of $4.78m; and Uni collecting $47.7m in fees with no revenue provided.
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SUI ANALYSISAfter a bearish trend with a strong move, a bullish iCH has formed on the chart.
It is expected that after sweeping the high liquidity pool and hitting the Supply, it will return to the Demand side and then move to the specified tarps.
Therefore, we are looking for sell/short positions in the Supply range and Buy/Long positions in the Demand range.
Closing a daily candle above Supply or below Demand will violate our view on the SUI.
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter a position without setting a stop and capital management and confirmation and trigger.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks
Alikze »» NEAR | C wave correction leg🔍 Technical analysis: C wave correction leg
- It is moving in a descending channel in daily and weekly time.
- At the last stage of correction, it can extend to the area of the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, considering that it has faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel, if the supply zone does not fail, the correction will continue up to the specified zone and Fibo 1.618.
- The range of 2.479 to 2.768, if faced with demand, can provide a suitable area for buying and a return to the middle of the channel.
- This zigzag correction, if it is not combined and complex, can continue the upward trend after completing the last corrective leg, according to the behavioral scenario presented in the previous post.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can meet the demand in the middle of the channel, it can have a temporary growth up to the ceiling of the supply range of the channel.
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BINANCE:NEARUSDT
Aug 14Overview:
The market is currently at a stalemate, which isn’t surprising after last week’s 15% crash. Since 2009, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has only experienced a drop of more than 15% around 10 to 15 times. We’re receiving contradictory macroeconomic news: on one hand, predictions of a long-awaited recession in the U.S. are surfacing, with major corporations reporting diminishing returns and U.S. consumers already feeling the pinch, as grocery prices have jumped by 50-70%. On the other hand, Lord Jerome reports the year-over-year CPI at 2.9%, lower than the expected 3.0%.
BTC ETF flows reported $81 million in selling, indicating that ETF investors aren't interested in BTC at 58.5k. However, just two days earlier, there was a positive flow totaling $66 million.
Demand for NYSE:SUI via Grayscale has stalled, with a 20% decline from recent highs in the last two days, although it's still up 44% since the August 8th news. GETTEX:TAO , on the other hand, has only seen about one-sixth of that demand, rising just 7% to date. Is this the cost of not being listed on Coinbase?
Alts Relative to BTC:
No divergence observed. CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , and AMEX:NEAR mirrored BTC’s correction of 5.22%, each declining by 6-7%.
Bull Case:
The S&P 500 continues to climb, nearing previous levels (only 3.81% away from its all-time high after a 9.44% drop). Jobless claims numbers came in lower than expected, signaling improving economic conditions and possibly taking a recession off the table. Global liquidity has stabilized over the last three days.
Bear Case:
None of the above factors support risky asset prices, and BTC loses its ETF demand support, potentially plummeting to 41.2-43.8k.
Fear and Greed Index:
42.9, decreasing and edging toward Fear territory—where long red candles and even longer wicks reside.
W:
Mid-range, in accumulation territory, curving downward. While last week’s crash candle ended green, this week has shown a lower high and may close below the opening, potentially turning red. Only 3.54% separates us from the weekly support level, which could be tested in the next four days. No divergence.
D:
On August 14th, BTC touched the BB MA and bounced down, closing in red and re-entering the previously established $60.2k - $58.2k daily range. However, on the 15th, it already broke out of that range and may close outside of it. If the 15th closes in red, this week could be in trouble, opening the door to a drop toward 56k.
4h:
After rejecting 61.7k, BTC crashed through the BB MA. This -5.5% correction was accompanied by a significant MACD divergence. To continue the existing trend, a bounce back up with bullish demand was needed, but no buyers stepped in, and the next 12 hours saw continued decline, currently trading slightly below the 58.2k daily level.
1h:
A red candle at 2am on August 15th showed a dangerous increase in volume compared to the previous two red candles. With U.S. bulls sleeping, there may be no support at this level, risking a free fall.
Prediction:
With the lack of support from Asian bulls, we are likely to fall below 58k, and only unexpectedly positive news from Jerome Powell might keep BTC within the daily range, above 58k.
Opportunities:
CRYPTOCAP:SOL : Dropped below the weekly support level of $146.3 and seems to be declining, solidifying it as a new resistance. Opportunity to short to $130 (7.94%).
AMEX:NEAR : Retreated from the weekly level of $4.39 and is on its way to $3.3 (19%).
NYSE:SUI : Rejected the weekly level of $1, with the next stop at $0.8 (-10%), which coincides with the BTC ETF demand level.
AMEX:APT : Rejected the weekly level.
NYSE:AR : Holding on by a thread above a 58% abyss to the BTC ETF level, with no intermediate stops.
NYSE:ENS : Expected to mirror ETH's performance, potentially doubling whatever CRYPTOCAP:ETH does.
Mistakes:
Yesterday’s 4h BTC divergence became apparent at noon (UTC-4, NY time) after a red candle appeared. As of now, at least 2.40% could have been captured.
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Trade Setup: SUI Long PositionMarket Context:
SUI is currently trading at a key support level around $0.90, presenting a potential opportunity for a long spot trade. This level has shown strength in holding the price, making it an ideal entry point.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Enter a long spot trade at the current $0.90 level of support.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.99 - $1.03
Second target: $1.12 - $1.17
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below $0.86.
📊 Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust your strategy as needed! #SUI #CryptoTrading #SupportTrade 🎯
SUI the next SOL?Today, SUI is stirring Crypto Twitter, the most talked-about token.
On the daily, SUI has reached its resistance so we can expect a slight cooldown from this level
On the 4-hour timeframe, it's starting to look very interesting as 4hema50 already crossed above 4hema200
$1 is proved to be a strong resistance (psychological number) , however, would view 0.90 to 0.86 area as good area to bid (poc)
However, we can also deviate to .82 to .80 taking those excess (poor lows & single prints)
Token unlocks coming in 19 days, 26% of the total supply is currently circulating. Still 74% of the supply still has to come to market. Let's see how this event will affect the price.
Exciting to see all the buzz and potential developments for SUI Network!