🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI BANANAS RECOVER FROM THE BEARISH HUGSIt’s hard to believe that only a few short years ago, Super Micro stock was trading for $10 per share. Now that it’s hovering near the $1,000 area.
And Yes, SMCI stocks are still Top #1 over the all S&P500 components with +217% YTD performance in 2024, and +471% 12-months performance.
Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993.
Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems.
Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency.
It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers.
In technical terms, SMCI shares are strongly above 26- and 52-weeks SMA, while a classic scenario 'recovering from bearish hugs' is happening right now.
Supermicrocomputer
SMCI: Strong accumulation. Buy it while you can.Super Micro Computer is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 53.442, MACD = 90.250, ADX = 30.355) and the reason is that below the 1W MA50 it is expanding the new Cycle's accumulation phase. Every Cycle experienced this accumulation under the 1W MA50, sometimes shorter others longer. Technically, on a two year basis, every time it crossed under the 1W MA50 and consolidated, the stock was a buy opportunity.
The trigger to buy is given on the S1 level (50.60) of the 1W RSI. The last two Cycles grew by at least +400% from the first low that followed the crossing under the 1W MA50. Consequently we turn long on SMCI, aiming for another +400% rise (TP = 3,300).
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Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) Growth Fueling Investor's Support Alset Capital Inc. has announced that Cedarcross International Technologies Inc. has signed a $26 million contract with an arm's length counterparty to distribute 64 Nvidia H100 HGX 8GPU servers, generating $26 million in revenue for Cedarcross.
Nvidia's H100 GPU Servers are used in "Transformational AI Training", offering up to 7x higher performance for High Performance Computing applications. Cedarcross continues to demonstrate its ability to secure competitive pricing and expedited lead times for highly sought-after Nvidia H100 GPU servers through key industry partnerships, including with Earthmade Computer Corp., an authorized distributor of Super Micro Computer, Inc.
The estimated gross margin from this agreement will be approximately $2.3 million. The company has also increased its consideration payable pursuant to its extended engagement with Omni8 Communications Inc. DBA Omni8 Global ("OMNI8 Extended Term") to assist Alset in developing a corporate marketing strategy, providing marketing and public relations advisory services, and assisting with various other public relations efforts. Alset shall pay OMNI8 Global an additional $180,000 for the OMNI8 Extended Term, which will run for two months and commence on May 8, 2024, and the date the OMNI8 Extended Term is accepted for filing by the TSX Venture Exchange.
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) is in a rising trend channel in the medium and long term, with rising trends indicating positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. The stock closed Wednesday's trading session up 15.81% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 59.77 which is primed for further gains.
SMCI accumulation phase. Patience will be rewarded.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) gave us an excellent sell opportunity two months ago (March 08, see chart below) that allowed us to short on time and target perfectly the 1D MA100 (red trend-line on the chart below, green trend-line on the one above):
The 1D MA100 has so far held twice successfully but even if it breaks, don't be alarmed as this will most likely be part of the standard multi-month Accumulation Phase when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, which when completed sends SMCI as high as +417.86% from the bottom (that was the % rise during the last two mega rallies).
As a result, the time to buy this stock is now. Hold and you will be rewarded. It can potentially reach as high as $3500, even though $1500 certainly is good enough and more plausible on the medium-term.
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SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the SMCI 10X call:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMCI Super Micro Computer prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 750usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $209.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Potential short term bounce in SMCIWill the anchored vWAP of $716.80 on the daily chart for SMCI (anchored from the low on 31st October 2023) be defended after Friday's close dipped beneath it? The 15 minute open at 4am this morning ($747.04) looks like a potential intraday key level at this stage...
Super Micro Tanks 19% After Failing to Provide Financial ResultsSuper Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) experienced a significant drop in its stock price after failing to provide any preliminary financial results. The data center computer specialist announced the date for its next quarterly earnings report, which is scheduled for release after the market close on April 30. However, unlike in recent quarters, SMCI did not offer an early look at its results. As a result, SMCI stock plunged below a key support level, flashing a huge sell signal.
NASDAQ:SMCI is based in San Jose, California, and is better known as Supermicro. The company has been the beneficiary of hyperscale cloud service providers investing in servers for artificial intelligence applications. SMCI stock was added to the S&P 500 last month.
In recent years, Super Micro has released preliminary results with the announcement of its quarterly earnings date, including the last two fiscal third quarters. However, this time, the company did not offer any early look at its results.
In morning trades on the stock market, SMCI stock's value dived 18% to 757.51. With this move, it gapped below its 50-day moving average line, a key support level, in above-average trading volume. SMCI stock had been holding to that level during the recent market turmoil. Super Micro stock is 19% below its 10-week moving average, which is a sell signal for a longtime winner even if it's just 2% below the 10-week line.
On Jan. 19, Super Micro shares skyrocketed 35.9% to close at 423.36 after the company disclosed preliminary results with its fiscal-Q2 earnings report date. That sparked a run that finally peaked at 1,229 on March 8.
Analysts are predicting Super Micro earnings of $5.84 a share on sales of $4.01 billion for the fiscal third quarter ended March 31. If this is accurate, it would translate to year-over-year growth of 258% in earnings and 212% in sales.
Super Micro Computer's AI Server AscendancyIn the bustling landscape of AI server providers, Super Micro Computer Inc. ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) emerges as a beacon of innovation and efficiency, securing its spot in the prestigious S&P 500 index. With close alliances with tech giants like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Super Micro rides the crest of the AI server boom, revolutionizing the market with its agile product development and cutting-edge liquid cooling technology.
Unveiling the Advantages:
Unlike its competitors, Super Micro boasts unparalleled agility in product launch, courtesy of its strategic partnerships with Nvidia and AMD. This advantage propels Super Micro to the forefront of AI server supply, fueling a staggering 289% surge in its shares within a single year. Analysts laud the company's ability to swiftly manufacture, assemble, test, and ship server racks, often within mere weeks, positioning it as a key supplier in the realm of generative AI applications.
Revenue Surge and Market Projections:
Super Micro's meteoric rise isn't merely a fleeting trend; rather, it's a testament to its robust revenue growth, which more than doubled in the final quarter of 2023. Projections paint a rosy picture, with analysts foreseeing triple-digit percentage growth until at least the September quarter of 2024. Bank of America forecasts a substantial increase in Super Micro's share of the AI server market, projecting a rise to 17% by 2026.
Valuation and Risk Factors:
Despite its stellar performance, Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) faces scrutiny over its lofty valuation, currently trading at 40 times expected earnings—a significant leap from its PE of 15 just months prior. This valuation hike heightens the risk of a potential selloff should the company falter in meeting future earnings expectations. However, with its proven track record and innovative edge, Super Micro remains poised to navigate these challenges adeptly.
The Liquid Cooling Revolution:
In tandem with the surge in AI server demand, Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) spearheads the adoption of liquid cooling technology—an indispensable solution for data center operators grappling with the escalating heat generated by AI chips. Super Micro's proprietary liquid cooling tech, boasting a 40% reduction in power consumption compared to traditional air cooling methods, positions it as a frontrunner in the race towards enhanced efficiency and sustainability in data center operations.
Challenges on the Horizon:
While Super Micro basks in its current success, analysts caution against complacency, highlighting the looming threat of intensified competition from industry heavyweights. Moreover, the company's strategy of offering products at lower rates to gain market share could potentially undermine its profitability in the long run. Nonetheless, with its penchant for innovation and adaptability, Super Micro remains well-equipped to navigate the evolving landscape of AI server provision.
Technical Outlook
NASDAQ:SMCI shares after starting off the day well ended up plummeting by 6.96% despite its inclusion in the S&P 500. Trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 53 indicating there isn't much overbought lately.
SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought SMCI ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMCI Super Micro Computer prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-1,
for a premium of approximately $42.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SMCI Has it topped?Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is about to complete a 10 straight green week streak if the 1W candle closes bullish today. This is a highly impressive feat that not only it hasn't done before but only a few stocks have managed to do historically. On the other hand, this may be a signal that yet again, SMCI is time to take a breather.
Why? First because it has completed a +417.86% price increase since the October 30 2023 Low, which is the exact % rise the stock did during its previous Bullish Leg from January 27 2023 to July 31 2023. At the same time, the 1W RSI is testing the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started in June 2018.
If rejected today, we expect the stock to correct by -35.55%, which might be significant, but nothing compared to the rise it has achieved. In fact as you can see on the chart, such % decline has been very common in the past 4 years. Amidst the correction, we expect it to make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds as a Support, the long-term bullish trend is intact, and every such correction is a long-term buy opportunity.
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Super Micro's S&P 500 Entry Signals AI's Ascendancy: A Deep DiveThe tech landscape is ablaze as Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ), a leading AI server maker, prepares to enter the illustrious S&P 500 index. This move underscores the seismic shift towards artificial intelligence (AI) stocks in Wall Street's premier benchmark, signaling a new era of innovation and opportunity. Let's explore the implications of Super Micro's( NASDAQ:SMCI ) inclusion in the S&P 500, unraveling the dynamics of the AI revolution and its profound impact on the market.
Super Micro's Meteoric Rise:
With shares soaring by 12% in premarket trading, Super Micro's ascension to the S&P 500 amplifies its prominence in the tech sector. The San Jose-based firm has emerged as a key player in the AI frenzy, witnessing a staggering 1,000% surge since the close of 2022. This meteoric rise, including a remarkable three-fold increase in 2024 alone, catapults Super Micro's market value to an impressive $50.6 billion, cementing its status as a heavyweight contender in the AI arena.
Implications of S&P 500 Inclusion:
The inclusion of Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI )and Deckers Outdoor Corp in the S&P 500 marks a significant milestone for both companies. As stalwarts Whirlpool Corp and Zion Bancorp make way for these AI-driven innovators, investors are poised to capitalize on the shifting tides of market dynamics. Notably, the reshuffling at popular index funds tracking the S&P 500, with assets totaling approximately $7.8 trillion, underscores the magnitude of this transition. With an estimated $30.1 billion in rebalance trading anticipated before March 18, the stage is set for a flurry of activity as Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) assumes its place among the market titans.
AI Boom and Market Trends:
Super Micro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) ascent to the S&P 500 mirrors the broader trend of money managers flocking to AI-related companies in the wake of Nvidia's stellar performance. As Nvidia surges to become the third most valuable U.S. company, investors are increasingly drawn to firms capitalizing on the AI boom. Super Micro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) recent blowout quarterly results and raised revenue forecast further fuel enthusiasm for its growth prospects, positioning it as a frontrunner in the AI landscape.
Conclusion:
Super Micro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) imminent entry into the S&P 500 symbolizes the maturation of the AI sector and its integration into the fabric of the market. As AI continues to reshape industries and redefine investment opportunities, stakeholders must navigate this evolving landscape with strategic acumen and foresight. With Super Micro poised to ride the wave of AI innovation, investors stand to gain from the company's inclusion in the S&P 500 and the broader proliferation of AI-related stocks. As the tech revolution unfolds, Super Micro exemplifies the transformative power of AI-driven innovation, paving the way for a future defined by limitless possibilities and unparalleled growth.
HCP runs to earnings on March 4th LONGHCP is a computer infrastructure company. The December earnings were a 160% beat. Given the
quicky evolving AI supertrend, the earnings might be expected to be another big beat. However,
that could be baked into the price. However, the explosive volatility of the last trading session
say otherwise. I will take a long trade here and chase this stock. I see it as pulling out of a
pullback and continuing on higher time frames.
SMCI Experiences Rollercoaster Week Amid AI BoomThe stock market is often a whirlwind of ups and downs, but few stocks exemplify this volatility as much as Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) in recent days. With its shares soaring to unprecedented heights before tumbling back down, NASDAQ:SMCI 's journey reflects both the excitement and unpredictability surrounding the artificial intelligence (AI) sector.
Unveiling the Rollercoaster Ride:
In a week marked by dizzying swings, NASDAQ:SMCI 's stock embarked on a wild ride that left investors both exhilarated and apprehensive. Following a remarkable surge that propelled the stock above the remarkable milestone of $1,000 per share on Thursday, NASDAQ:SMCI experienced a dramatic reversal, plunging by over 12% to $880.64 just a day later. This rollercoaster trajectory underscores the volatile nature of the market, particularly in sectors driven by transformative technologies like AI.
The Driving Force:
Fueling SMCI's meteoric rise is the ever-expanding landscape of artificial intelligence. Analysts and investors alike have been captivated by the potential of AI to revolutionize industries ranging from healthcare to finance. With NASDAQ:SMCI positioned as a key player within the AI ecosystem, bolstered by strategic partnerships with industry giants such as NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Intel, the company has emerged as a focal point for those seeking exposure to this lucrative market.
Analyst Insights:
Barclays analysts have recalibrated their outlook on NASDAQ:SMCI , raising their price target to $961, citing the company's adeptness in navigating the complexities of AI architecture. They highlight NASDAQ:SMCI 's agility in customizing solutions to meet the evolving demands of AI applications, underpinned by its flexible manufacturing capabilities.
Meanwhile, Bank of America analysts echo this sentiment, initiating coverage with a bullish "buy" rating. They emphasize NASDAQ:SMCI 's potential to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI servers, emphasizing the company's adaptability in integrating new designs and technologies as the AI landscape continues to evolve.
Looking Ahead:
As NASDAQ:SMCI navigates the turbulent waters of the stock market, the company remains firmly positioned at the forefront of the AI revolution. With analysts bullish on its prospects and investors eyeing the potential for further growth, NASDAQ:SMCI 's trajectory serves as a compelling narrative of the opportunities and challenges inherent in investing in transformative technologies.
Conclusion:
SMCI's rollercoaster week encapsulates the excitement, uncertainty, and potential inherent in the AI sector. As investors continue to grapple with the implications of AI-driven innovation, NASDAQ:SMCI stands poised to carve out a significant role in shaping the future of technology and finance alike.
Super Micro Computer Just Hit a New All-Time High
Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) has been making waves in the stock market, hitting a new all-time high fueled by a remarkable 2023 and a phenomenal earnings report to kick off 2024. As the stock continues its ascent, investors are left wondering if there's still time to climb aboard or if they've missed the boat. Let's delve into the factors driving Supermicro's success, particularly its role in the booming artificial intelligence (AI) market, and explore the potential for further growth.
The AI Boost:
One of the key drivers behind Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) recent surge is its pivotal role in the AI revolution, with a spotlight on its collaboration with Nvidia, the leading graphics processing unit (GPU) supplier worldwide. Nvidia's GPUs are crucial for the intensive calculations required in processing vast datasets and building AI models. Supermicro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) steps in with its highly customizable line of servers tailored to various needs, from engineering simulations to drug discovery and AI deep learning.
The Numbers Speak:
Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) second-quarter fiscal year 2024 results were nothing short of impressive, boasting sales of $3.66 billion, a staggering 103% increase from the previous year. The company not only surpassed its own guidance but also laid out robust projections for the upcoming quarter and the entire fiscal year. With Q3 revenue expected to reach approximately $3.9 billion, reflecting a remarkable 205% growth, and an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $5.22, the outlook appears promising for Super Micro Computer.
Conclusion:
Super Micro Computer's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) journey to new all-time highs has been undeniably fueled by the AI boom, robust financial performance, and optimistic projections for the future. The article wraps up by summarizing the company's strengths, potential challenges, and the considerations investors should weigh when deciding whether to join the ride or exercise caution in the face of industry forecasts. Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) success story, as outlined in this article, paints a picture of a company on the cutting edge of technological innovation, but the road ahead may not be without its twists and turns.
SMCI is pumped up to the stars on 100% pure speculation.SMCI - Super Micro Computer, Inc. has been on an absolutely incredible run for quite some time. However, the sheer amount of FOMO that has rushed into this stock has literally driven it to the moon on nothing but pure speculation. But that momentum is about to come to an abrupt end!
Here soon, you're going to see the buying flip to selling as the shorts start to enter into massive short positions. As the price falls, stop after stop will be taken out in rapid succession, causing longs to panic and add to the selling...
First, it will drip, then it will start to gush, then a spark will ignite, and within hours the whole shithouse will go up in flames!
When this collapses, millionaires will be made in a matter of hours, and many longs will become bag-holders squared!
Watch...
Super Micro Computer Inc. : Riding the AI Wave to Record Highs Super Micro Computer Inc. ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) has emerged as a standout player, experiencing a remarkable surge in its stock value. The recent rally, fueled by robust sales projections and a strong presence in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector, has positioned NASDAQ:SMCI as a key player in the technology market. Let's delve into the factors driving Super Micro's unprecedented growth and explore the implications for investors.
AI Momentum Propels Super Micro to New Heights:
Super Micro's meteoric rise can be attributed to its strategic positioning in the AI market. The company's servers, catering to the demands of AI applications, have seen an upswing in sales, particularly due to the growing reliance on AI in various industries. The recent quarterly report revealing net sales projections between $3.7 billion and $4.1 billion for the March quarter has surpassed analysts' estimates, further validating SMCI's strong foothold in the AI sector.
*Exceptional Financial Performance:
The fiscal second quarter results have been nothing short of impressive for Super Micro. Earnings of $5.59 per share on sales of $3.66 billion have exceeded market expectations. The 71% year-over-year surge in earnings and a staggering 103% increase in sales underscore the company's robust financial performance. The preannouncement of these stellar results on January 18 triggered a 35.9% surge in SMCI stock, setting the stage for its record-breaking run.
Proactive Leadership and Strategic Vision:
CEO Charles Liang's foresight in recognizing the potential of generative AI has played a pivotal role in Super Micro's success story. Liang's statement in May 2023, highlighting how the "AI momentum has benefited Super Micro greatly," appears to have been prescient, considering the threefold increase in the company's stock since that time. The company's ability to stay ahead of industry trends and capitalize on the burgeoning AI market reflects effective leadership and a strategic vision for the future.
Market Reaction and Analyst Sentiment:
The market's response to Super Micro's performance has been overwhelmingly positive. The stock's 35% surge on January 19 reignited Wall Street's interest in AI-related companies, contributing to a broader rally. Analysts' consensus estimates have consistently been surpassed, with SMCI's guidance for the current quarter indicating adjusted earnings of $5.61 per share on sales of $3.9 billion.
Technical Outlook and Investor Considerations:
From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:SMCI appears to be in a rising trend channel, indicative of investor confidence and positive sentiment.
Conclusion:
Super Micro Computer Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) remarkable ascent to record highs is a testament to its strategic focus on AI technologies and the successful execution of its business model. The company's ability to consistently surpass market expectations, coupled with its strong financial performance, positions it as a significant player in the technology sector. As investors navigate the dynamic landscape of AI-related stocks, Super Micro's trajectory offers a compelling case study in capitalizing on the evolving demands of the tech industry. NASDAQ:SMCI 's current momentum suggests that it may continue to be a noteworthy player in the AI-driven future of technology.
$SMCI Soaring: Riding the Waves of AI Growth and Macroeconomic
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) has captured the spotlight with a remarkable 9.6% gain in its stock price during Tuesday's trading session. The confluence of factors driving this ascent includes favorable macroeconomic analyses, bullish sentiments from analysts in the memory-chip industry, and the ripple effect from Nvidia's recent announcements at the 2024 Consumer Electronics Show (CES). As the market absorbs these positive developments, NASDAQ:SMCI 's stock has soared approximately 279% over the past year, underscoring its status as a red-hot AI growth stock.
Macroeconomic Tailwinds:
One key driver behind Super Micro Computer's recent stock surge is the optimistic outlook stemming from macroeconomic analyses. Reports suggest that Wall Street analysts anticipate substantial rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming years. This shift in policy is seen as a tailwind for growth-dependent tech stocks, including those in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. As the macroeconomic backdrop becomes more favorable, Super Micro Computer stands to benefit from increased investor confidence and a positive environment for tech stocks.
Bullish Trends in Memory-Chip Industry:
Citigroup's bullish report on memory-chip stocks adds another layer of optimism to Super Micro Computer's outlook. The report highlights surging demand for AI services as a core catalyst for top memory-chip players. While Super Micro Computer primarily focuses on server solutions, the heightened demand for memory chips driven by AI applications is expected to contribute to the company's growth. The convergence of favorable macroeconomic conditions and increased AI-driven demand positions NASDAQ:SMCI at the forefront of a thriving industry.
Nvidia's Impact:
Nvidia, a leading player in high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), has indirectly contributed to Super Micro Computer's upward trajectory. Although Nvidia's CES announcements may not directly impact SMCI's business, they underscore positive trends within the tech sector. As a company closely associated with server solutions, Super Micro Computer benefits from the general positive sentiment surrounding advancements in high-performance computing showcased by Nvidia. This indirect boost adds to the overall bullish narrative surrounding $SMCI.
Technical Analysis:
Super Micro Computer's technical analysis reveals a rising trend channel in the medium to long term. This indicates not only positive development but also a growing interest among investors. Breaking through resistance at dollar 310 suggests a potential for further upward movement. Volume analysis aligns well with price trends, indicating a strong and sustained momentum. The
Conclusion:
Super Micro Computer's recent stock surge is not merely a product of isolated events but a culmination of multiple favorable factors. From macroeconomic tailwinds to bullish industry trends and indirect support from Nvidia, NASDAQ:SMCI finds itself at the nexus of a flourishing tech landscape. As the company continues its ascent, investors are keenly watching, and the positive trajectory suggests that Super Micro Computer is poised for sustained growth in the dynamic world of AI and high-performance computing.
Super Micro Computer Inc. Moving Towards UptrendSuper Micro deploys the world’s leading semiconductor technology with its line of servers, services and accessories and the shift to next-generation technology, including AI, resulted in better-than-expected guidance. The news has the shares up another 30% extending the rally to new highs and taking the market ballistic.
Based on the AI outlook, this trend is in its early stages and could easily see this company double or triple in valuation. Among the largest growth opportunities in the AI industry will be infrastructure and services, each worth billions in annual spending.
Super Micro's Tepid Quarter, Issues Guidance
Super Micro had a tepid quarter regarding the analysts' expectations, bringing in only $1.28 billion. That is a decline of nearly 6% year-over-year (YOY) in line with the consensus figures, although earnings were weak. The company widened the gross margin by 210 basis points compared to last year, but it was less than expected and left the adjusted EPS at $1.63. That’s up from the prior year, but was eight cents shy of consensus and would be a bearish catalyst if not for the guidance.
The company’s tepid second-quarter results are due to supply chain issues that were resolved later than the analyst anticipated. This is evidenced by the guidance, which was reaffirmed for the year which ends with the next report. The takeaway is that the fourth-quarter guidance is well above the MarketBeat consensus and suggests that momentum could carry into the first-quarter period and the second half of calendar 2023.
Institutional Activity Drives Super Micro Higher
The institutional activity in Super Micro can tell you a lot. The institutions own about 73% of the stock and have been buying on balance. The activity includes rotation as profit-taking occurs but ramps higher every quarter. Assuming this trend continues, the institutions will increase their holdings to roughly 75% by the end of the second quarter of 2023.
Technical Analysist: Super Micro’s Uptrend
Super Micro is in an uptrend that gains strength. The current move is supported by the outlook and aided by a relatively high short interest that could continue to fuel the rally. The company has evident momentum and a clear position within the industry, so it should continue to build support. The price action may move sideways at this point or even pull back some before moving higher, which offers a buying opportunity. One target for support is near the $120 level, but a deeper pullback is possible if the short sellers pile back in.
Price Momentum
SMCI is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UPWK Upwork prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 330usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-11,
for a premium of approximately $24.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.