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Supply_and_demand

$DXY US DOLLAR BULLISH **BIG BOYS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT) >Commercials - Extremely Bullish >Retailers - Extremely Bearish (Always Wrong) >Fund Managers are in-trend with the price chart (Trend Followers) **USD Valuation Against EURO >We are still in at the Overbought region Others: >Price already took the Daily Demand Zone, price is now accumulating and the catalyst for the BULLISH move could be the US FED news and the EURO Inflation Rate news release on Monday. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TradersPod
NZDUSD STILL BEARISH >The New Zealand Dollar had an explosive rally last week, deeply penetrating and ultimately invalidating the highlighted supply zone, indicating the exhaustion of any remaining unfilled orders. >We can now observe five invalidated supply zones lined up on the chart. >Above these zones lies a high-quality, fresh supply zone, where significant stop-loss orders and a large volume of sell orders could potentially accumulate in anticipation of the upcoming FED speech on Thursday, which may act as a catalyst for a sharp drop. >The US Dollar Index remains undervalued (refer to my USD analysis for more insights). >Given that the NZD is currently overvalued, the price may soon seek reasons to turn bearish. For this to happen, a considerable volume of sell orders will be needed to trigger a downward move. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Short
by TradersPod
4
TSLA SHORT TRADE IDEA**STOCKS VS USD & TREASURY BONDS - Currently Oversold signaling a bearish sentiment. Price would need a reason to for a bearish move and could take the highlighted Supply Zone. Supply and Demand Analysis: >Price could take the the daily Supply Zone and the PRICE GAP within the supply zone could get filled. >Price could fill the Gap before a bearish move and go to the highlighted opposing Demand Zone ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TradersPod
GBPUSD BEARISH FOR THIS WEEK **CHECK MY EURUSD ANALYSIS FOR THE CFTC COT REPORT BIAS CFTC COT Report Bias: BEARISH **British Pound's value against the Dollar is still at the over-sold region **Supply and Demand Analysis - Price Is accumulating at Supply Zone #1 and could reach Zupply Zone #2 before the bearish move and could target the opposing demand zones highlighted on the chart. **Others - the catalyst for the bearish move could be the US FED news release on Monday. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Short
by TradersPod
EURUSD STILL BEARISH FOR THIS WEEK**BIG BOYS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT) >Commercials are still long term Bearish >Retailers are long term Bullish (Always Wrong) >Fund Managers are Diverging from price chart (Trend Followers) **EURO Valuation Against USD >We are still in at the Oversold region Others: >Price already took the Daily Supply Zone, price is now accumulating and the catalyst for the bearish move could be the US FED news and the EURO Inflation Rate news release on Monday. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Short
by TradersPod
61.69% Probability for Bullish USOIL TP!Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Outlook: - OPEC+ Production Cuts: OPEC+ has implemented production cuts to stabilize oil prices, which can lead to a tighter supply and potentially higher prices for crude oil. - Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical issues, particularly in oil-producing regions, can disrupt supply chains, leading to increased prices as markets react to potential shortages. - Economic Recovery Signals: As global economies continue to recover from the pandemic, demand for oil is expected to rise, further supporting bullish sentiment in the market. By combining a bullish bias with a probabilistic approach to trading, I aim to position myself advantageously in the market while managing risks effectively. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below! 2W: 2H:
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2
XAUUSD /UNDER TENTIONS THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: The price has declined by 1.15% since reaching the ATH , A further decline is anticipated, potentially reaching a 1.80% drop , Despite the decline, the text suggests that there is still upward pressure on the price, indicating a possibility of recovery or resistance against further losses , The author expects that if tensions in the Middle East continue, prices could rise above the ATH by 1.34% in October , This suggests a correlation between geopolitical events and market movements. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,600$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above FVG between 2,650$ and 2,636$ , it's expected to rise to 2,686$. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,686$, it suggest to reach new resistance level between 2,700$ and 2,721$. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 2,636$ , it suggests a potential decline: - Target : A decline to 2,600$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
AUDUSD. Medium and short term analysisHello traders and investors! The price reached the target of the forecast from April. Some medium-term forecasts take a long time to come to fruition. It creates the impression that medium-term forecasts always come true. You can use the following criterion to consider a forecast fulfilled: ensure that the price does not break the last local extreme before reaching the target. If this condition is met, the forecast can be considered successfully realized. In the April forecast, the last local extreme is point 5 of the sideways range (0.62701). Weekly Timeframe Analysis Let me remind you that on the weekly timeframe (TF), a sideways range has been forming since January 2023 (point 4). The lower boundary is 0.61699, and the upper boundary is 0.71577. Formally, the buyer has reached the target of the 5-6 vector (0.69205), and there are no signs of reversal yet. The last two weekly candles show increased volume, with small buying wicks. However, the price is currently in the seller's contextual area (the upper range of the weekly TF sideways movement), but the seller is not utilizing this volume yet. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily TF, a sideways range has been forming since August 24 (point 4). The lower boundary is 0.63478, and the upper boundary is 0.67985. The buyer's 4-5 vector has broken through the upper boundary of the range. For three days, the price has been unable to break through the level marking the start of the last seller's sub-impulse on the weekly TF (0.68996). Below, the buyer is defending the breakout of the last sub-impulse seller level on the daily TF (0.68239). For the last two days, the buyer has applied increased volume with no result. On the other hand, the price is in the seller’s contextual area (the upper range of the weekly TF sideways movement), so the seller should be evaluated first—and so far, the seller is absent. Highlight: • There are no signs of the seller on either the weekly or daily TFs to justify looking for mid-term sales. A sign of the seller could be a return of the price to the daily TF sideways range and the seller defending that return. • There is no context for mid-term buys, as the price is in the upper part of the weekly TF range (a seller's contextual area). 2H Timeframe Analysis For short-term buys or sells, you can use, for example, the 2-hour TF. On this TF, there is a sideways range, with the seller’s 7-8 vector being active and the potential target at 0.68179. The seller has returned the price to the range (below 0.69081), forming a seller’s zone above (marked by a red rectangle on the chart). Sales can be considered. When selling, monitor the price's movement around 0.6868 and 0.68625. Purchases can be considered from the lower boundary of the range (0.68144) if the buyer defends it. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
EXPECT POSSIBLE SELL OPPORTUNITY IN GOLD ANYTIME SOON Price has been maintaining a bullish-like structure for quite some time now and in past week, we saw how some bearish momentum set in around the price of 2685.34 this a sign that sellers are around the corner and there’ll be a possible profit taking activity soon. This. Coming week, we’d be monitoring price closely for a time it’ll change from intraday bullish to intraday bearish to take some short-term bearish sentiment .
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Cartela
Alikze »» BAND | Descending channel failure🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel failure - It has been moving in a downward channel on the daily time frame. - It is currently in the supply zone with the breakdown of the descending channel. - In case of a pullback to the broken structure and maintaining the 1.17 area, it can continue its growth until the next supply area of ​​the 1.75-1.95 range. In addition, in case of failure of the supply zone of 1.75-1.95 range, the upward movement will continue towards the next supply zone, which can touch the 2.60 range. 💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if the 1.17 range is broken down, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and can continue the correction up to the 0.97 area. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:BANDUSDT
Long
by alikze
Alikze »» DOGE | channelized bullish wave 3 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: channelized bullish wave 3 scenario - Following the analysis of the previous post , Dogecoin managed to experience growth in a downward channel until the ceiling of channel one, after which it entered a short-term correction. - Currently, it has left the descending channel and is moving in a short-term ascending channel. - Now it is at the ceiling of the ascending channel, it can meet the demand with the pullback to the broken structure and the middle range of the ascending channel and continue its growth until the supply area. - According to the current momentum, the rising wave can grow as much as the previous wave or up to 1.618 supply range. 💎 In addition, if the green box is broken, this correction can continue until the origin of the movement and the range of 100 fibo. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Long
by alikze
EURUSD / INSIDE STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: Price Movement: The text discusses a decline in prices by 0.87% , Time Frame: It specifies the time period as the end of September and the beginning of October , Subsequent Increase: After the decline, prices increased by 1.38%. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 1.107, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 1.107, it's expected to rise to 1.120. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 1.120, the next target is 1.124. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 1.107, it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 1.100. - Target 2: If it breaks below 1.100, further decline is expected to 11.094.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
Alikze »» ORDI | Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1D - In the analysis presented in the previous post , after reaching the ceiling of the channel, selling pressure was encountered, which led to correction up to the green box area. - There was a demand in the green box area, which has led to the failure of the supply area and neck line. - Currently, it has exited the daily medium-term descending channel and is currently moving in a short-term ascending channel. - It is currently in the supply zone, which can continue its growth with a pullback to the broken structure until the next supply zone. - Short-term goals are 50, 53, 56, 60 dollars. In case of failure of the 53 dollar area, which is the ceiling area of ​​the ascending channel, it can continue its growth until the supply area equal to the width of the channel. 💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it faces selling pressure in the supply range and loses the range of 37.5, it can continue the correction up to the green box range of the bottom of the channel. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:ORDIUSDT
Long
by alikze
Alikze »» INJ | Ascending channel - 12H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 12H - In the analysis presented in the previous post , a corrective wave was carried out up to the green box area, which has entered an upward phase in the green box area after the demand. - Currently, in the 12H time frame, it can have a growth up to the range of $25, which in case of a pullback to the middle of the channel, it will have the ability to continue growing up to the top of the channel. - If the $25 zone fails, it will have the ability to continue growing up to the supply zone. 💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it faces selling pressure in the range of $25 and loses the middle of the channel, it can continue to correct at least up to the Fibo range of 1.618 and the price range of 18.75. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:INJUSDT
Long
by alikze
Buy NZD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 90.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 91.49 2nd Support – 91.92 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 90.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
33
USDCAD / TRADING INTO DESCENDING CHANNEL & STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Trend Analysis: 1. August Price Trend: - The price decline of 4.04% indicates a downward trend throughout the month. This could be due to various factors like market conditions, seasonal variations, or external economic influences. 2. September Price Behavior: - The initial 1.52% rise in September suggests a possible recovery or correction after the August decline. This could indicate a shift in market sentiment or a reaction to events that occurred at the start of the month. - The predicted 1.93% decline by the end of September suggests that the recovery was temporary and that the overall trend may continue downward. This could imply continued bearish sentiment or anticipation of adverse conditions. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bearish pressure , As long as the price remains above 1.361, the bearish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price breaking 1.361 by closing 4h candle above it , it's expected to rise to 1.370. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 1.370 , the next target is 1.374. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price trade below 1.361 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 1.350. - Target 2: If it breaks below 1.350, further decline is expected to 1.344.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY / EXPECTED RISING % 5.01 - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. Trend Analysis: - July: The prices showed a clear downtrend, declining by 14.25%. - August: The trend was unstable, indicating high volatility. There were alternating movements: - A rise of 5.01%, followed by - A decline of 6.60%. - September (Mid-Month): An expected uptrend is indicated, with a projected rise of 5.01%. 2. Volatility: - The description of price movements in August suggests significant volatility. The lack of a clear trend could indicate market uncertainty or fluctuations due to external factors. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 142.231, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 142.231, it's expected to rise to 147.179. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 147.179, the next target is 149.345. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 147.179 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 139.713. - Target 2: If it breaks below 139.713, further decline is expected to 137.306.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / TRADNING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL AT 67.19 - 4H USOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Price Decline of 7.16%: The analysis suggests that there has already been a price drop of 7.16%. This could be the starting point for further analysis or an event that has already occurred. Breaking and Stabilizing Below 67.19: The level 67.19 seems to be a significant support or resistance point. If prices break below 67.19 and stabilize, it indicates a bearish trend. This might suggest that further declines are likely. Further Decline of 9.71%: Should the price fall and stabilize below 67.19, the analysis anticipates an additional 9.71% decline. Current Trading Above 67.19: Presently, prices are still above the 67.19 level, signaling that the market has not yet broken this key point. Expected Increase of 10.36% : The text predicts an upward movement of 10.36%, potentially implying bullish momentum if the price continues to hold above 67.19. Possibility of Further Increase: There’s a suggestion that the price could rise even more beyond the 10.36% increase if current trends hold. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 67.19, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 67.19, it's expected to rise to 71.51. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 71.51, the next target is 72.16. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 67.19 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 65.34. - Target 2: If it breaks below 65.34, further decline is expected to 63.93.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / UNDER (Sep) MONTH PRESSURE - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Initial Decline: In the first part of September, prices fell by 8.21%. This indicates a negative trend early in the month. Mid-Month Rise: By the middle of September, prices reversed and began to increase, rising by 10.25%. This suggests a recovery or positive momentum starting mid-month. End of Month Expectation: It is expected that by the end of the month, prices will rise further, reaching a total increase of 14.45%. This projection suggests a continuation of the positive trend that started mid-month. Overall, the prices of nas100usd a volatile price movement, with an initial drop followed by a recovery and an expected significant increase by the end of September. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 19,954, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 19,954, it's expected to rise to 20,432. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 20.432, the next target is 20,797$. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 19,954 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 19,844. - Target 2: If it breaks below 19,844, further decline is expected to 19,535.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / TENTIONS MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD/ 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: - Prices have risen by 2.21% and reached a target. - Prices are now trading below $2,670. Short-Term Outlook: - There is an expectation of a 2.00% decline. - For the downtrend to be confirmed, gold prices need to break below $2,600. Further Decline Potential: - If prices stabilize below $2,600, a further decline of 5.20% is anticipated. Reversal Possibility: - However, if prices stabilize above $2,615, a rise of 3.25% is expected. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,615$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 2,650$, it's expected to rise to 2,670$. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,670$, the next target is 2,700$. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 2,650$ , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 2,637$. - Target 2: If it breaks below 2,637$, further decline is expected to 2,615$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi