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Supply_and_demand

Alikze »» LPT | Pullback to the broken ceiling🔍 Technical analysis: Pullback to the broken ceiling - In the 4H, 8H time frames, it is moving in an ascending channel. - It is currently in the middle of the channel above the green support box area. If it stabilizes above this area, it can continue up to the supply area and the ceiling of the growth channel. 💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box is broken, it can have a correction to the bottom of the channel with targets of 20.36 and then 18.75. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
Copper Finds Support at Key Tech LevelsAfter hitting record highs in May, Copper has pulled back and heads towards a losing month, challenging critical tech levels. It has slipped below the EMA200 (black line), into the daily Ichimoku cloud and tests the 38.2% Fibonacci of the advance fromthe 2022 lows. This exposes it to 4.196, but sustained weakness does not look easy, technically nor fundamentally. Copper already defends the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and tries to reclaim the EMA200. Successful effort would reaffirm the bullish bias and create prospects for new all-time highs (5.200). The favorable supply-demand dynamics also point to further upside. The market has tightened significantly as key miners lower their activity this year, while consumption is boosted by the AI boom and the clean energy transition. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
Sell USD/JPY Wedge BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position below The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 157.55. Target Levels : 1st Support – 156.00 2nd Support – 155.20 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 158.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
1
Natural Gas Prices Poised for New 2024 HighsAfter a poor start to the year, Natural Gas prices have surged in the current quarter, largely due to stronger fundamentals. Extending the advance this week, the commodity looks poised to set new 2024 highs (3.397), but it may be early to talk about further gains. Key drillers have lowered their 2024 output guidance, while demand is expected to accelerate substantially, largely due to Asian industrial use. Adding to the optimistic outlook, the World Bank this week raised its growth forecast for the US and China and India, while the Europe exited its brief recession and the ECB slashed interest rates this month. On the other hand, supply is expected to expand this year and producers could boost their activity as price rise. European countries have agreed to keep consumption low, while historically warm weather poses another threat to demand optimism. Natural gas is also used for electricity generation though, which can be a tailwind in the summer months. On the technical front, the RSI has not followed prices higher, in a divergence that can limit the upside and fuel a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:NGASLong
by FXCM
Sell GBPCAD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.7518, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.7464 2nd Support – 1.7430 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.7565. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
3
Buy CHFJPY Triangle BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 175.24 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 175.82 2nd Resistance – 176.10 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 174.50. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Opportunity Breakdown: Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential. Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout. Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
1
Alikze »» WAVES | Ready to retest the necklineIn the daily time, the long-term survey indicated that it is in wave 3 or C. that wave C had the ability to return to 100% of its previous wave, after which it entered the corrective phase. 💎But at the moment, due to the fact that it has faced demand in the green box in the 8H time, it will have the ability to retest up to the neck line area and supply. 💎 In the future, if it can break the supply area, the process will be reversed, and I will update it if the behavior and structure change. 💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box is broken, the correction can continue up to the $1.95 range. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
WLong
by alikze
Alikze »» MKR | Retest the bottom of the ascending channelIn the daily time, it is moving in an upward channel, which faced selling pressure after reacting to the supply zone and not being able to break the zone. 💎 Currently, according to the momentum and downward guard, after an attempt to the midline of the channel, it is continuing to correct to the bottom of the channel. 💎 According to the trading node and the previous major ceiling, this correction can continue until the green box area. 💎 Therefore, it is expected that after one attempt to the area, the correction will continue until the green box area. 💎 In addition, if it has the ability to break the supply area of the red box, it can retest the previous ceiling. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Short
by alikze
Alikze »» FIL | Big C or 3 wave scenarioIn the daily and weekly time, it is moving in an upward channel, which according to the previous analysis , the last wave had the ability to grow to around 100% of the previous wave, after which it faced correction, which was correctly mentioned in the updates of the previous post. And extended to the specified area of correction. 💎 First scenario: Therefore, if this last correction, which is extended in the form of three waves up to the green box range, is completed and its structure does not constitute a complex combination correction, we can expect a sharp super cycle of wave C or 3 from it. In the first step, it will conquer the ceiling of the previous major and after that it can touch the specified supply area. 💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box range is broken, this correction can extend further to the $4 range and then to $3.125, in which case it should be updated again. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
AUD/NZD ShortContext: • Monthly neutral / sideways • Weekly bearish FVGs, ignored bullish order block • Clearly bearish Idea: • Short at daily FVG Entry: • Entry Range: 1.0774 to 1.0787 • Entry Signal: Reversal Setup on 30min - 1h Scenario: • Liquidity sweep above 1.0774 (dashed line) • Avoid building a FVG on 4h Stop: • Above your Reversal Setup / Entry Setup Scenario invalidet • 4h Close above 1.0771 → Next location would then be 1.0806 Please leave a comment if you have any suggestion or question.
Short
by MichaelBw
Buy GBP/USD Triangle Breakout The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2796. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.2835 2nd Resistance – 1.2858 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2750. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Opportunity Breakdown: Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential. Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout. Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
9
Sell EURAUD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.6336, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.6282 2nd Support – 1.6242 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.6390. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
3
Alikze »» ORDI| Return PRZ zoneIn the analysis of the previous post, the alternative scenario occurred and it exited the ascending channel at the 12H time. 💎 But now a multiple compound correction has occurred as seen in the chart. 💎 In the last correction, a 5-wave downward correction was made, which led to channel failure. After that, it faced a demand that is currently suffering in the PRZ area. Therefore, two behavioral scenarios can be imagined for it in this range. 💎 First scenario: If it can break the current range upwards, it can grow to the specified areas of the next PRZs, which are important areas that can reverse the price. 💎 The second scenario or alternative scenario: But if a break cannot be made in this area and a candle closes above it, the second or alternative scenario will be the continuation of the correction to the next areas. 💎 In addition, if the neck line or the PRZ-1 area is touched, it can create an upward scenario that can re-enter the channel. I will update the post. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Short
by alikze
Alikze → BNB | Upward wave 5 scenario Upward wave 5 scenario Or The end of wave 4 of erosion correction In the weekly time, the current corrective wave, which is a 4-erosive corrective wave, according to the break of the 250 range, seems to have ended and it can be shifted to the support of the $313 range. Therefore, according to the failure of the current supply area and the dynamic trigger of any correction up to the Fibo area of 1.618 and the range of $313, it can be a pullback to continue the upward path for the specified areas. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated. 🟩Sup: 313 ~ 331 ⛳️Tp 1:375 ~406 ⛳️ Tp2 : 437 ~ 460 ⛳️ Tp3 : 608 ~ 615 ----------------- Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️
Long
by alikze
6
Copper Breaches Key Support but Tech & Fundamentals FavorableThe commodity has registered a notable pullback from last month’s record highs and has now moved below the pivotal EMA200 (black line) and 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s advance. This pauses the bullish momentum and exposes Copper to the ascending trend line from the 2024 low and the daily Ichimoku Cloud. However, this region could contain the correction and multiple roadblocks follow, making the downside unfriendly, while the RSI points to oversold conditions. As such, we expect Copper to find renewed vigor and push towards 5.000 and eventually new all-time highs (5.200), with the fundamentals also being supportive. The improved supply-demand dynamics have driven this year’s rally and can fuel further strength. There may be some risks in the consumption outlook, mostly form China’s property sector and the slowdown in the pace of EV adoption, but consumption for the metal is set to increase due to the AI revolution and the clean energy transition. At the same time, things don’t look good on the supply side, with major miners slashing their output targets for the year. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
BTC Range Bound on H1The potential reversal points for Bitcoin (BTC) within the specified ranges of $66,600-$67,200 and $70,100-$70,600 are critical levels to watch for traders. Here’s a detailed analysis based on current technical indicators and market sentiment: Support Range ($66,600-$67,200): Volume and Price Action: There is a noticeable increase in buy volume when Bitcoin approaches the $66,600 support level, indicating that buyers are stepping in at these lower prices to accumulate BTC. This accumulation can lead to a price reversal if sustained buying pressure continues. Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) often indicates oversold conditions when Bitcoin dips to this range, suggesting a potential upward correction. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator shows a bullish divergence in this zone, which is a strong signal for a potential reversal​​​​. Resistance Range ($70,100-$70,600): Volume and Price Action: Bitcoin has faced significant selling pressure near the $70,100 to $70,600 range, making it a crucial resistance zone. The price tends to reverse from this level due to profit-taking by traders who bought at lower levels. Candlestick Patterns: Bearish candlestick patterns, such as the bearish engulfing or doji, often form near this resistance level, indicating a potential price reversal. Monitoring these patterns can help in predicting short-term pullbacks​​​​. Technical Indicators: The RSI and Stochastic oscillators often show overbought conditions when BTC reaches this range, signaling that a correction may be imminent. Furthermore, the moving averages (e.g., 50-period and 200-period EMAs) can act as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal at these levels​​. Potential Trading Strategy For Long Positions: Traders might consider entering long positions if BTC shows strong support and bullish confirmation signals within the $66,600-$67,200 range. Setting stop-loss orders slightly below $66,600 can manage risk effectively. For Short Positions: Conversely, entering short positions around the $70,100-$70,600 range can be prudent if bearish signals and resistance confirmation are observed. Stop-loss orders just above $70,600 can protect against unexpected bullish breakouts. Conclusion Monitoring these key levels, along with volume and technical indicators, can provide a strategic edge in anticipating potential reversals in Bitcoin’s price. Keeping an eye on market sentiment and broader economic factors will also enhance decision-making in trading BTC within these range
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by account_closed
Alikze => IOTX | Pullback to broken supply areaIn the previous post, it was mentioned about the movement of the currency in the weekly time. In this post, it is moving in a medium-term ascending channel in daily time. After the high strength failure of the supply area, pullback to the broken structure is currently being completed. Therefore, it is expected that this pool will be completed in the green box area, and in the first phase, it will be supplied to the next area, and after its failure, it will be able to grow to the next area. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated. 🟩Sup: 0.04880 ⛳️Tp 1:0.07940 ~ 0.08550 ⛳️ Tp2 : 0.14045 ~ 0.15067 ----------------- Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️
Long
by alikze
4
Sell EURUSD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0850, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0819 2nd Support – 1.0805 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0885 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Editors' picks
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
19
AUDUSD. Medium-term and short-term forecastHello traders and investors! I'll share the forecast I made in mid-March. On the weekly chart, there's a sideways movement, with a bullish vector 5-6 targeting 0.69205. On the daily chart, we also see a sideways movement, with a bullish vector 7-8 targeting 0.66345, 0.66676. I'm awaiting price interaction with the daily targets to update the forecast. For a more detailed explanation of how to read charts and consider different timeframes when looking for trades, you can refer to the article
Long
by AlexeyWolf