Supply_and_demand
WHEAT at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 541$?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT has reached a major support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward the 541$ target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
WTI CRUDE OIL – Bullish Continuation Ahead?TVC:USOIL is currently trading within an ascending channel, with price recently bouncing off the trendline support after a corrective move. This rebound suggests that buyers are stepping in, maintaining the bullish structure within the channel.
If the bullish momentum continues, we could see a move toward 70.10, which aligns with a key resistance level within the channel. This level could serve as a potential short-term target before a possible reaction from sellers. A clean breakout above the resistance zone could open the door for further upside. However, a failure to sustain this upward push could lead to another retest of the lower boundary.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as higher lows, strong bullish candles, or increasing volume before considering long positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
EurUsd- The "big" move is down, not upLast week, TRADENATION:EURUSD reached a high of around 1.09 and has been consolidating ever since, now for the fifth consecutive trading day. Despite some weak upward spikes, the pair remains in a range-bound phase.
From a technical perspective, multiple resistance levels lie ahead, with the psychological 1.10 mark acting as a key barrier. Given the current price action, I believe this consolidation is more likely to result in a downside breakout rather than a continuation of the uptrend.
There is a strong possibility that EUR/USD will correct the impressive rally that began in early March.
With this outlook in mind, I see more downside potential than upside and I am considering selling into rallies, targeting a move toward 1.07.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
JPY/USD - Will we make a strong bounce?The JPY/USD is in a downward channel. Will it find support around 0.006 and rebound, or will it break below this key level?
The pair has nearly reached a major support zone—an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This level has historically acted as both strong resistance and support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
What do we want to see?
For a continuation to the upside, we need this level to hold as support. A bullish engulfing candle could signal a potential reversal.
If JPY/USD is to move lower, we need a clear break below support with high volume to confirm the breakout. In that case, lower prices could follow.
Thanks for your support.
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CADJPY Retesting Key Level: Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:CADJPY is approaching a key level that previously acted as support. Now that price is retesting it, there’s a good chance it could turn into resistance. If sellers step in, we could see a bearish reaction.
If the price shows clear signs of rejection from this zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 104.500 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a clean breakout above the zone could signal a potential bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have
USDJPY Trending Lower - Will It Drop To 145.200?OANDA:USDJPY is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone and may now pull back for a potential retest. This level previously acted as support and could now serve as resistance, aligning with a possible bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this zone, the price is likely to move downward toward the 145.200 target. However, a failure to reject this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
CADCHF Approaching Key Support – Rebound Toward 0.61890?OANDA:CADCHF is approaching a key support zone, marked by strong buying pressure. This area has historically served as a demand zone, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers step in.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that if buyers defend this level, the market may head higher toward the 0.61890 target, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or see an alternative perspective, feel free to comment!
EURCAD Approaching Major Resistance - Correction Incoming?OANDA:EURCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers step in and regain control.
If the price rejects this resistance, we could see a pullback toward 1.55000, aligning with a corrective move after the recent bullish rally. However, a clean breakout above this resistance zone would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside toward higher levels.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or increasing selling volume, before considering short positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 📉
GOOGLE at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $190?NASDAQ:GOOGL is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection has triggered increased selling pressure, driving the price back toward the channel's lower boundary. The confluence of trendline support and the overall bullish market structure enhances the likelihood of a rebound from this level.
If buyers defend this level, we could see a push toward $190, which aligns with the midline of the channel and could serve as a short-term target. A successful bounce from here would reinforce the ongoing bullish momentum within the channel.
However, if price fails to hold above this support zone, the bullish outlook could weaken, potentially signaling further downside. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as strong rejection wicks, increased volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
QQQ at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $532?NASDAQ:QQQ is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel.
If buyers regain control at this point, we could see a rebound toward the $532 resistance zone, which aligns with previous price reactions and the midline of the channel. This area could act as a short-term target within the existing bullish structure.
However, if price fails to hold this support and breaks below with momentum, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling further downside. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, let’s discuss! 🚀
SPAIN 35 Trending Higher – Will It Reach 13,912?OANDA:ESPIXEUR has broken above the key resistance level within the ascending channel, signaling potential bullish continuation. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control, and price could now look to retest the previous resistance as support before continuing toward the upper boundary of the channel.
If price confirms support at this level, we could see a push toward the 13,912 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. This move would reinforce the ongoing bullish structure and offer a buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the momentum toward the upper boundary.
However, if the price fails to hold above the previous resistance and falls back into the range, it could indicate a false breakout, potentially leading to a deeper retracement toward the trendline support. Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals, such as a successful retest with strong buying pressure or bullish candlestick patterns, before entering long positions.
Do you agree with this setup, or do you see any alternative scenarios? Let’s discuss! 🚀
GOLD at Key Resistance: Possible Correction AheadOANDA:XAUUSD has reached a critical resistance zone. This zone has previously acted as a barrier for price, leading to strong reversals in the past. This area aligns with a significant supply zone, where the ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion, signaling a potential turning point.
If the price shows bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I expect a pullback toward the 2733.000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This scenario reflects the potential for a short-term correction within the broader trend.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD Approaching Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a key demand zone marked by previous price reactions. This area has historically acted as strong support, leading to bullish moves in the past. The current structure suggests that buyers may step in if the price confirms a rejection from this zone.
If we see bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a bullish engulfing candle, the market could push higher toward the 1.04020 level. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
This setup reflects the potential for a rebound after an impulsive move, supported by past price behavior and market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
SPY Technical Outlook - Will Buyers Step In?AMEX:SPY is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers may step in to defend the trendline support.
If the price holds at this dynamic support level, a bullish reaction could send AMEX:SPY toward the midline of the channel, with the next target around 607.00. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
However, a breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. Monitoring price action, volume, and confirmation signals will be crucial in determining the next move.
META at Trendline Support - Will Buyers Push Toward $696?NASDAQ:META is currently undergoing a corrective phase following a sharp rejection at the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The recent pullback has driven the price back toward the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in.
If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at $696. A break above this midline would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially bringing the price back toward the upper boundary.
However, a failure to hold trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downside pressure. Price action near this critical zone will be key in determining the next directional move.
Traders should monitor candlestick formations and volume for confirmation. As always, managing risk effectively is essential when trading this setup.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Dow Jones at trendline support: Will it bounce to 44,812$?CAPITALCOM:US30 is undergoing a corrective pullback after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The rejection from this resistance zone triggered increased selling pressure, driving the price back toward the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in.
If buyers step in and defend this support, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at 44,812. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
However, a failure to hold trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downside pressure. Price action near this critical zone will be key in determining the next directional move.
Traders should monitor candlestick formations and volume for confirmation. As always, managing risk effectively is essential when trading this setup.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
AUDCAD Approaching Key Support - Rebound Towards 0.90150?OANDA:AUDCAD is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.90150 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure.
However, if the price fails to hold this support and breaks below the zone with momentum, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further downside continuation. Monitoring price action and volume in this area will be crucial to confirm a valid setup.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
COCOA Nearing Major Support - Rebound Towards 9,000$?PEPPERSTONE:COCOA is approaching a significant support zone. This area has consistently acted as a key level where buyers have stepped in, leading to notable reversals in the past. The current move suggests the potential for a bullish reaction if price action confirms rejection through signals such as bullish engulfing candles, long lower wicks, or increased buying volume.
If the support holds, I anticipate a move upward toward the 9,000 level, aligning with the expectation of a short-term reversal. However, if the price breaches this zone and sustains below it, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised to navigate potential volatility.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
HOOD - Get Great PricingNASDAQ:HOOD and I have had a mixed relationship over the years. I have had my biggest win on the HOOD brokerage (5,000% options trade, $1200 into 60k) and at the same time I was present for the Derogatory removal of the GME button (of which I had sold before they took that button).
After many years and brokerages, I find myself returning to HOOD but this time much more experience... To my surprise, I love the platform, and I still recommend it for new traders for the ease and UI. Honestly, unless you are dealing with BIG Volume or Hot-Keying out of Low float Penny stocks, It will suit you just fine.
Now Let's Talk HOOD.
In this MASSIVE range we are looking at High $67, and a Low of $35. Thats a 47% drop!
Although we have recovered a bit, Many are eager to find a way to get in the range. Here I have put together 2 scenarios to help you play your position with confidence.
Better Price = Better psychology
Whether we are shopping at grocery store, or if we are buying a car. Getting a good deal feels better. But how do you feel when you know you overpaid?
TLDR: The best deals are the lowest purple zone "Extreme Demand" if you are Long, "Reinforced Supply" (at the top) if you are looking to get short or take profit.
Under the HOOD
Currently Robinghood is running into a little bit of a supply zone labelled "Weak Supply"
This is a new player, and we don't yet know how just how big this player is. So far they have absorbed some of that buying pressure coming in, but I would not be surprised if they we overtaken or even gapped above come Monday. This brings us to our first Scenario
Scenario 1: Blue line
With the break above "weak supply", there is headroom all the way until 51.74. This is where we will see some supply initially and maybe a small rejection.
Why would it not reject back down to a demand area like 41? Great question.
If this overtakes that "Weak Supply" zone, this will make a strong case that there is momentum behind the wheels here. I think there will be a new player reinforcing this buying if this happens all the way to the Finale at $58.01. From here I would consider taking some profits, maybe partials, or looking for some Puts.
Scenario 2: Red line
Getting Rejected by "Weak supply" would be evidence that this move was fluff. Those two demand zones may try to hold a bit, but with the lack of buying interest in the
$45 area, this won't make those buyers feel confident.
This is different story when comparing to the "Extreme Demand" zone (lowest purple zone). Buyers here have PROVEN that this is something they are very interested and they are not done accumulating yet. So from this location buyers feel confident that they are getting a good price*( see fn. )
From here this should drive demand up again, crushing shorts, and sending another nice squeeze to test that supply at 51.71
WHEW! if you made it this far, I appreciate your time!
Upvote/Follow if you enjoyed this idea, there are many more to come!
Happy trading!
* (This is a good price, because buyers are showing that it is. Although, if it did come down here, this would be the 4th test of this area. I still think there will be strong demand here, but this isn't the best tests. 2nd and 3rd were stronger.)