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Supply_and_demand

USDCAD / TRADING INTO DESCENDING CHANNEL & STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Trend Analysis: 1. August Price Trend: - The price decline of 4.04% indicates a downward trend throughout the month. This could be due to various factors like market conditions, seasonal variations, or external economic influences. 2. September Price Behavior: - The initial 1.52% rise in September suggests a possible recovery or correction after the August decline. This could indicate a shift in market sentiment or a reaction to events that occurred at the start of the month. - The predicted 1.93% decline by the end of September suggests that the recovery was temporary and that the overall trend may continue downward. This could imply continued bearish sentiment or anticipation of adverse conditions. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bearish pressure , As long as the price remains above 1.361, the bearish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price breaking 1.361 by closing 4h candle above it , it's expected to rise to 1.370. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 1.370 , the next target is 1.374. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price trade below 1.361 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 1.350. - Target 2: If it breaks below 1.350, further decline is expected to 1.344.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY / EXPECTED RISING % 5.01 - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. Trend Analysis: - July: The prices showed a clear downtrend, declining by 14.25%. - August: The trend was unstable, indicating high volatility. There were alternating movements: - A rise of 5.01%, followed by - A decline of 6.60%. - September (Mid-Month): An expected uptrend is indicated, with a projected rise of 5.01%. 2. Volatility: - The description of price movements in August suggests significant volatility. The lack of a clear trend could indicate market uncertainty or fluctuations due to external factors. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 142.231, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 142.231, it's expected to rise to 147.179. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 147.179, the next target is 149.345. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 147.179 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 139.713. - Target 2: If it breaks below 139.713, further decline is expected to 137.306.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / TRADNING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL AT 67.19 - 4H USOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Price Decline of 7.16%: The analysis suggests that there has already been a price drop of 7.16%. This could be the starting point for further analysis or an event that has already occurred. Breaking and Stabilizing Below 67.19: The level 67.19 seems to be a significant support or resistance point. If prices break below 67.19 and stabilize, it indicates a bearish trend. This might suggest that further declines are likely. Further Decline of 9.71%: Should the price fall and stabilize below 67.19, the analysis anticipates an additional 9.71% decline. Current Trading Above 67.19: Presently, prices are still above the 67.19 level, signaling that the market has not yet broken this key point. Expected Increase of 10.36% : The text predicts an upward movement of 10.36%, potentially implying bullish momentum if the price continues to hold above 67.19. Possibility of Further Increase: There’s a suggestion that the price could rise even more beyond the 10.36% increase if current trends hold. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 67.19, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 67.19, it's expected to rise to 71.51. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 71.51, the next target is 72.16. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 67.19 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 65.34. - Target 2: If it breaks below 65.34, further decline is expected to 63.93.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / UNDER (Sep) MONTH PRESSURE - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Initial Decline: In the first part of September, prices fell by 8.21%. This indicates a negative trend early in the month. Mid-Month Rise: By the middle of September, prices reversed and began to increase, rising by 10.25%. This suggests a recovery or positive momentum starting mid-month. End of Month Expectation: It is expected that by the end of the month, prices will rise further, reaching a total increase of 14.45%. This projection suggests a continuation of the positive trend that started mid-month. Overall, the prices of nas100usd a volatile price movement, with an initial drop followed by a recovery and an expected significant increase by the end of September. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 19,954, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 19,954, it's expected to rise to 20,432. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 20.432, the next target is 20,797$. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 19,954 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 19,844. - Target 2: If it breaks below 19,844, further decline is expected to 19,535.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / TENTIONS MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD/ 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: - Prices have risen by 2.21% and reached a target. - Prices are now trading below $2,670. Short-Term Outlook: - There is an expectation of a 2.00% decline. - For the downtrend to be confirmed, gold prices need to break below $2,600. Further Decline Potential: - If prices stabilize below $2,600, a further decline of 5.20% is anticipated. Reversal Possibility: - However, if prices stabilize above $2,615, a rise of 3.25% is expected. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,615$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 2,650$, it's expected to rise to 2,670$. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,670$, the next target is 2,700$. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 2,650$ , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 2,637$. - Target 2: If it breaks below 2,637$, further decline is expected to 2,615$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range that began in April. The upper boundary is 32.5185, and the lower boundary is 26.0185. The buyer's vector 8-9 has reached the target of 31.755 (see the previous post). There are no signs of a reversal yet to indicate the realization of the seller's vector 9-10, with a potential target of 26.471. 4H Timeframe Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range below the level of 31.755. The upper boundary is 31.4335, and the lower boundary is 29.7085. Currently, the buyer has broken through the upper boundary of the range. If the buyer defends the 31.4335 – 31.755 range, it is possible to look for buying opportunities, with a potential target of 32.5185. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BNBUSDT. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis: On the daily timeframe, the sideways movement that began in March continues. The upper boundary is 721.8, and the lower boundary is 495.8. The buyer's vector 10-11 is relevant, with a potential target of 645.2. Two days ago, the buyer overcame 598 and reached 605.6, where volume accumulation started. If the buyer defends 598, the next targets are 635 and 645. Hourly Timeframe Analysis: On the hourly timeframe, there is an uptrend. The level marking the beginning of the last buyer's impulse is 587.9. I will be watching the buyer's reaction at the levels of 598 and 587.9. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
NZDUSD SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK (SEPT. 24-27)>The New Zealand Dollar experienced an explosive rally today, deeply penetrating and ultimately invalidating the highlighted supply zone, indicating the exhaustion of any remaining unfilled orders. >We can now observe five invalidated supply zones lined up on the chart. >Above these zones lies a high-quality, fresh supply zone, where significant stop-loss orders and a large volume of sell orders could potentially accumulate in anticipation of the upcoming FED speech on Thursday, which may act as a catalyst for a sharp drop. >The US Dollar Index remains undervalued ( refer to my USD analysis for more insights ). >Given that the NZD is currently overvalued, the price may soon seek reasons to turn bearish. For this to happen, a considerable volume of sell orders will be needed to trigger a downward move. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Short
by TradersPod
XAUUSD / TRADING UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Gold prices have reached $2,630, driven by the conflict in the Middle East. Trading above $2,600 indicates a current bullish sentiment, with a price increase of 1.20%. If gold continues to rise from the current level, it is expected to increase by an additional 2.21%. If gold breaks below the $2,600 support level, it suggests potential declines: A 1.80% decrease . A more significant decline of 2.70% . Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,600$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 2,620$, it's expected to rise to 2,635$. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,635$, the next target is 2,657$. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 2,620$ , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 2,610$. - Target 2: If it breaks below 2,610$, further decline is expected to 2,600$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
What Hidden Forces Are Reshaping the Soybean Market’s Future?The soybean market stands at a crossroads, where familiar patterns of supply and demand are being challenged by a web of global forces. U.S. crops, though abundant, face domestic difficulties as adverse weather threatens yield projections. South America, poised to increase production, is battling its climate concerns, leaving traders and analysts questioning what the true state of global supply will be. Despite the current pessimistic outlook, is there more to this story than meets the eye? On the demand side, the rising global appetite for vegetable oils, fueled by population growth and the biofuel industry, adds another layer of complexity. Yet, regulatory changes like the EU’s deforestation rules and China’s ongoing economic struggles continue to shape the trade landscape. How will these evolving dynamics impact global soybean trade flows, and what are the risks and opportunities hidden within? As technological advancements in biotechnology and precision agriculture push the boundaries of efficiency and productivity, the soybean market finds itself on the cusp of transformation. Investors and traders must decipher this intricate puzzle, where geopolitical shifts, weather risks, and innovation collide. Will those who grasp the nuances of these forces be the ones to seize the emerging opportunities?
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by signalmastermind
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The text indicates a decline in July by 16.62%, followed by a recovery in August with a 15.64% increase. This suggests a reversal or correction phase from the previous decline. Prices are trading below the key level of 19,954. This level is pivotal, as it serves as a reference point for determining future price movements. Technical Analysis: If prices remain below 19,954, the analysis predicts a potential decline of up to 8.29%, with support levels at 19,187, 18,688, and 18,317. A break above 19,954 could signal a trend reversal, with potential resistance levels at 20,194 and 20,714. UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714. DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688 , 18,317.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
USOIL / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS July Decline: The significant drop of 15.34% indicates a bearish trend, which could be attributed to various factors such as market corrections, economic conditions, or changes in consumer behavior. August Recovery: The rise of 11.74% suggests a potential recovery or rebound, possibly driven by positive news, increased demand, or market adjustments. However, this increase was followed by another decline within the same month. Second August Decline: The 18.23% drop following the initial recovery may indicate market volatility or the market's inability to sustain upward momentum. This could also signal investor uncertainty or reactions to external factors. September Projection: The forecasted decline of 4.66% in September suggests that the overall trend remains negative. This could imply a continuing lack of confidence in the market, or it may reflect seasonal trends affecting prices. Technical analysis: The level at 71.51 serves as a key resistance. If the price remains below this level, a decline towards 68.80 is expected. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 67.19. Conversely, if the price breaks above 71.51, it may indicate bullish momentum, with targets at 73.99 and then 76.10. UPWARD TARGET : 73.99 , 76.10 . DOWNWARD TARGET : 68.80 , 67.19.
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi
2
Sell GBPCHF Channel BreakoutThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1304, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1220 2nd Support – 1.1188 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1350. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Sell EUR/AUD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.6370, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.6300 2nd Support – 1.6260 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.6400. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
EURUSD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Month-by-Month Price Movements: June : Prices increased by 2.48%, indicating a bullish trend during this period. July: A reversal occurred with prices decreasing by 1.48%, showing market correction or loss of momentum. August: Prices surged again by 3.88%, suggesting renewed market strength or positive market sentiment. September (Forecast): A predicted decline of 1.26% could be attributed to cyclical market behavior, profit-taking, or external factors influencing the market. Technical Analysis: If prices drop below 1.114, further declines are anticipated, targeting 1.102 and potentially 1.094. This suggests a bearish outlook below the critical threshold of 1.114, where traders could expect more downside. However , A break above 1.115 signals bullish momentum, with prices potentially rising to 1.120 and 1.123. This implies that breaching 1.115 could trigger buying interest, pushing prices higher. UPWARD TARGET : 1.120 , 1.123. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.102 , 1.094.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
BTCUSDT / BREAKOUT THE DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HBTCUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. August Price Movements: - Early August: The price declined by 29.54%. - Mid-August: The price increased by 32.55%. 2. September Price Movements: - Early September: The price declined by 18.96%. - Mid-September: The price increased by 14.37%. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure following a breakout from a channel , As long as the price remains above 60.767, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 60.767, it's expected to rise to 65.015. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 65.015, the next target is 69.573. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 60.767, it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 56.154. - Target 2: If it breaks below 56.154, further decline is expected to 52.679.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
XAU/USD Sell to buy idea, from 2,590 or 2,560This week’s analysis for gold suggests that the price will slow down and begin to distribute. Once the price corrects and retraces to one of my nearby points of interest (either the 10-hour or 5-hour demand zone), I'll be looking for re-accumulation to occur on the lower time frames. Once this re-accumulation is confirmed, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities to continue the upward trend. I expect this move to happen later in the week, depending on the volume and how long it takes for the price to consolidate and break out. Key confluences for gold buys: - The price has been bullish on both lower and higher time frames. - Two clean demand zones have triggered the recent break of structure. - A bullish move is pending a pullback. - The dollar is bearish, which supports gold’s upward movement. P.S. If the price starts to decline and shifts in character, I’ll be looking for a supply zone to potentially catch a short-term sell down toward the demand level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
AUDUSD SHORT >We have a Rally-Base-Drop(RBD) Weekly Supply Zone coverage for the RBD Daily Supply Zone >We have a high quality Leg-out(Imbalance) from Weekly TF and an Explosive leg-out from Daily Supply *Stochastic RSI confirmation (This is not a Timing tool, We always follow the Law of Supply and Demand): -Stoch RSI is at Overvalued Zone, meaning price is looking for a Supply Zone to Drop the price. In AUDUSD's case, it already hit the Supply zone. Ride the trend. >5,10,15 year Seasonality is Down-trending until 1st week of October. **NOTE** -Seasonality tool is just a set-up and an add-on guide. -Supply and Demand is our timing tool. Signal is good until 1st week of October or until Updated. Trade Safe
Short
by TradersPod