Alikze »» KSM |Upward wave 5 scenarioAccording to the analysis of the previous post, both targets are touched with the support of $40. Again, after touching the bottom of the channel, there is a demand that will be able to break this supply area to the $59 range. But in the daily and weekly time, it is in the 5th rising wave, which will at least have the ability to reach the previous supply range or the previous major ceiling. After completing this cycle in the weekly time, if the $100 area is broken, its path will be paved to the $250 area to continue climbing.
🟩Sup:50
⛳️Tp 1:59
⛳️ Tp2 : 64
⛳️ Tp3 :81- 87
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Supply_and_demand
Alikze → ETC | Completing wave B correctiveIn time D1, with an ascent in the form of three waves, it is out of density with several spike candles. According to the type of behavior and structure, if the current correction moves in the form of three waves, two scenarios can be considered for it.
The first scenario: the upward corrective movement will continue to the $28 area and then to the $25 area as a higher correction and will not touch the previous floor, which, if supported, will have the ability to grow to the specified area of the supply zone.
Second scenario: the correction to $28 continues and then the C wave correction should break the $25 area and at least the bottom of the spike candle will continue.
🟩Sup:25$
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Alikze »» LPT | Ready to correct up to the support zoneIn time 1h, it is moving in an ascending channel, which is currently in the specified supply area, and has tried to break the range twice.
According to the structure, it can have a correction up to the green box area.
💎 In addition, if it meets the demand and can break the area, it can continue the route to the roof of the channel.
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AUD-USDThe audusd pair creates a resistance level at 0.66500. The market touched this zone three times.This resistance is very important because last three to four times price stop it's bullish momentum and moved down side towards the support area. if the market holds this resistance level then the market again goes to downward levels.
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORTHi Guys, its been a long time since i published an analysis. and I'm back again
Gold sore the other day and reached the 2379 level which was the resistance, and has managed to cool off those buyers.
As always there are some demand and supply levels to take trade from. Our immediate demand level would be around 53-49 which upon reaching, with confirmation we will take trades. If the level is breached other levels below would become possible long points.
Those who want to go short ,currently level around 73-75 is a suitable point and above that levels 85,93,403,412,....
My view is that Before continuing higher market needs to see lower prices and demand levels to test.
* As always add your own intuition and logic into this analysis and proceed with safety measures in place.
Be honorable
ETHUSDT: Possible Swing Target Towards $4500! BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Price is in process of making ab=cd pattern where we have a possible order block placed too at the point of D which is our area of entry. Our initial target is at $3500 and then $4000 and lastly it will at $4500. We can achieve this target by end of this month or next one depending on how other Economic factors interfere with the price movement.
good luck.
Gold Buyers Back in the Fight; H1 Supports Call for AttentionControl changed hands in the gold space (XAU/USD) last week; buyers strengthened their grip, adding +2.5% and snapping a two-week losing streak a whisker off all-time highs of $2,431.
Technicals Favouring Buyers
Last week’s move was (technically) aided by support on the daily timeframe coming in from $2,280, a level which the Research Team were watching closely and recently noted the following (italics):
A move lower will unlikely breach bids from daily support at $2,280, which is an area buyers could look to defend as dip buyers (trend followers) attempt to enter the trend from support.
The above-mentioned support benefitted from a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio at $2,293. Among the Harmonic trading community, this is also referred to as an ‘alternate’ or ‘extended’ AB=CD formation. You will note that price has rallied beyond the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at $2,336, ending the week at $2,371, a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio. Both of the aforesaid ratios are derived from the legs A-D of the AB=CD structure and tend to serve as upside targets for Harmonic traders.
Having seen the AB=CD structure complete (both upside targets achieved) and taking into consideration that the price of the yellow metal remains entrenched within an unmistakable uptrend (no matter which trend identification tool you employ, it all points to the same thing), together with the daily chart’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) rebounding from a combination of the 50.00 centreline and trendline support (extended from the low of 19.33), this remains a buyers’ market. The caveat is the weekly chart’s RSI recently pulling back from overbought highs not seen since mid-2020, though let’s not forget that this indicator can, and often does, remain overbought for prolonged periods in trending environments.
Direction This Week?
Given the bigger picture demonstrating scope to explore higher terrain, shorter-term structure on the H1 timeframe highlights neighbouring demand at $2,347-$2,355 as a possible platform buyers may work with this week. Failure to hold here unearths two additional levels of support to consider at $2,326 and $2,344.
75: Assessing Bitcoin's Weakening, Exploring Strategic OptionsAs we closely monitor the current trajectory of Bitcoin, it's evident that its strength is diminishing, prompting a thoughtful examination of our strategic options. In navigating this landscape, it's imperative to remain agile and responsive to market dynamics.
Should we witness a loss of the 65475 mark within the span of this week, the scenario of adopting short positions becomes a compelling consideration. This tactical move would capitalize on the prevailing bearish sentiment, potentially yielding favorable outcomes amidst downward price movements.
Conversely, if the aforementioned threshold remains unbreached, our focus shifts towards discerning signs of renewed bullish vigor within the market. We eagerly anticipate indications of resurgent momentum, signaling a favorable environment for reassessing and potentially bolstering our long positions.
In essence, our approach remains adaptive and nuanced, attuned to the ebb and flow of market dynamics. By remaining vigilant and responsive to emerging trends, we position ourselves to navigate the evolving landscape of Bitcoin trading with prudence and effectiveness.
Buy GBP/CAD UK GDPThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further price gains in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying GBP/CAD) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 1.7120 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the channel and recent price movement:
1.7181: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the channel (from the base to the breakout point) and adding that distance to the breakout price.
1.7215: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally with some buffer around 1.7105. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
Sell GBPAUD UK Interest Ratethe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant pattern.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.9000 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
1.8871: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
1.8807: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 1.9042. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
Alikze → USDCHF | Failure of the trigger lineIn time D1, it is moving in a descending channel. According to the type of structure and behavior after the break of 1.618 fibo, the previous wave is currently continuing its upward path after the pullback. The type of corrective structure is not observed in that micro wave and it has good momentum (according to the behavior of the dollar index #DXY , this bullish return wave will have the ability to grow to at least 100% of the previous wave, which should be considered as the neck line in the previous post as the invalidity of the analysis It should be mentioned that the bullish scenario will be strengthened) so it will have the ability to grow up to the specified limits and then the previous supply area.
0.89507-0.90611
🟩Sup: 0.88333-0.87890
⛳️Tp1: 0.89507
⛳️ Tp2 :0.90611-0.92012
⛳️ Tp3: Supply range (0.94-0.95220)
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Sell EURCAD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 1.4730 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones:
1.4677: This represents the first level of support within the channel.
1.4645: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 1.4745. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
SPY Daily - Rising WedgeTreading lightly here as the SPY looks to be right at the end of a bearish rising wedge following a bearish ABCD Elliot Wave heading into a major week economically speaking. On Wednesday we have retail sales numbers, core CPI, and Core CPI YOY coming out, followed by jobless claims on Thursday. Will be watching closely, some support levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Original Chart Attached Below)
- Rising Wedge following a bearish ABCD Elliot Wave
- Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI
- Sitting right on its 50-Day SMA
- Bearish ABCD Elliot Wave
NZDCAD | MT Long H4 | Milk Economy Over Oil Economy? Pair: FX:NZDCAD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action is at a resistance trendline & also a horizontal trendline (Demand zone)
- Price is between the 61.8 - 78.6% Fibo retracement
- Aiming for the 38.2% Fibo Retracement which is also a supply zone.
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Very different economies with market data gyration will pretty much determine the direction of this trade.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8070 - 0.8100
SL @ 0.8021
TP 1 @ 0.8155 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8223
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.27 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Buy BTCUSDT Channel BreakoutThe BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 5900 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the channel and recent price movement:
62274: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the channel (from the base to the breakout point) and adding that distance to the breakout price.
63830: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 56500. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
Sell ETHUSDT Bearish PennantThe ETH/USDT (Ethereum) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant patten.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 3020 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
2764: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
2692: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 3040. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Sell EURCAD Ascending TriangleThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of an ascending triangle pattern.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the triangle after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.4710 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
1.4655: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from the apex (highest point) to the base (horizontal line), projected downwards from the breakout point.
1.4630: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the triangle, ideally with some buffer around 1.4732. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Sell GBPCHF Channel BreakoutThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 1.1500 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones:
1.1430: This represents the first level of support within the channel.
1.1395: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 1.1515. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.