The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) 23 MARCH 2025The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining its long-term bullish structure. Price recently tested the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a strong demand zone around 40,892 - 40,053, and is now showing signs of a potential reversal. The smart money concept (SMC) perspective suggests that institutions may have accumulated positions at this level, preparing for a bullish move toward the 44,500 - 44,800 supply zone. If price sustains above 42,000, buyers could take control, targeting liquidity above previous highs.
From a supply and demand standpoint, the 40,892 - 40,053 level acted as a key demand zone, where buyers aggressively stepped in to defend the trend. The next area of interest is the 44,502 - 44,809 supply zone, which aligns with historical resistance. If price reaches this level, we may see profit-taking or a potential rejection. However, a break above 44,809 would indicate bullish continuation toward new all-time highs.
On the fundamental side, several factors support a potential bullish move. Federal Reserve policy remains a key driver; if the Fed signals rate cuts later in 2025 due to slowing inflation, equities could rally further, benefiting the Dow. Additionally, US economic resilience, strong labor markets, and robust earnings from industrial and financial sectors could provide further upside momentum. On the downside, risks remain from geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and inflation concerns, which could create volatility and potential corrections.
Given these factors, a long trade setup appears favorable. The ideal entry point would be near 42,000, aligning with trendline support and demand. A stop-loss below 40,800 would protect against an unexpected bearish break. Take-profit targets include 44,500 (supply zone) and 44,800 (liquidity sweep level), where price may face resistance. However, if price fails to hold 42,000, a deeper retracement toward 38,473 could be possible before the next bullish impulse.
Would you like me to refine this setup further with risk management and position sizing details? 🚀
Supply_and_demand
EURUSD Maintains Bearish Momentum - Is 1.07500 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the price rejected a key resistance zone, reinforcing bearish momentum and signaling a potential continuation toward lower levels.
The current price action suggests that if price continues to respect this resistance, we could see further downside toward 1.07500, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if price breaks above the channel and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action and volume at this level will be essential for confirmation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURUSD | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUTHey there, Traders,
I’ve put together an analysis for EUR/USD. Right now, I’m watching it like a hunter, waiting for a breakout. As soon as it happens, I’ll drop updates right here under this analysis.
Big thanks to everyone who supports me with likes—you guys are awesome!
God bless you all
For those of you who bought XRP...I've known about COINBASE:XRPUSD for over a decade now. Time has brought tons of rumors, tons of hype, and tons of mistakes still being made by those new and experienced alike. For those of you holding strong pre $1.00, I commend you. For those of you who are bought high and are now riding the emotional roller coaster, consider these 3 things before you make a decision.
1. We are DIRECTLY in the middle of the range
Over 3 months of consolidation has taken place. With a high of 3.40 and a low of 1.70, this is a range for advanced traders. If you bought around 2.00 or under, Congrats! even though you didn't get in pre $1.00, there are alot of Big buyers that have been scooping up XRP at the 2.00 level.
For those of you that Bought 2.50 and above.
Ask yourself why you purchased XRP?
I ask you; Did you buy XRP to trade? or to invest? No they are not the same thing. Investing is long term, 3-5 years+. Trading is dealing with much shorter time windows, even if you are swing trading, Trading is Trading, and this takes a different skill set and mindset. so if you are investing, be happy that XRP is lower in price. if big money is Buying at 2.00, there is nothing stopping you from doing the same. If you are a beginner trader, consider our last point.
Buy with Buyers, Sell with Sellers
Sounds simple right? Here is something you may not know. Liquidity is what moves markets. If you have 100million that you have to invest for your clients in XRP, do you slap the market button? Absolutely not, in fact, you want to make yourself as small looking as possible. Why? YOU NEED PEOPLE TO SELL INTO YOU. Big firms (unless through dark pools) have algorithms make themselves look as small as possible, whilst accumulating and distributing shares efficiently. At the end of the day, These are the big players that move the markets big.
Do you need to know this? Not necessarily for the technical side, but for your emotions, your psychology? Yes this is important.
Find the buyers and sellers (I have them marked in my chart), and learn to play alongside them. You will get better pricing, feel great about your positions, and know if it goes against you, you can cut the trade off early and reposition.
Hope you enjoyed, and happy Trading!
EURJPY: Potential downward move towards 161.00?OANDA:EURJPY is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 161.00, a target that seems at least achievable. This would more likely be a call on a bearish outlook, as sellers may step in to push the price lower from this key level. However, if the price breaks this zone and sustains the up move, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, and we could potentially see a larger upside move.
Given the potential volatility around this zone, it’s crucial to monitor candlestick patterns and volume closely to identify strong selling opportunities. Proper risk management is essential to handle any potential volatility and protect your capital if the price breaks out.
USDNOK - Buy opportunity towards 10,8300?OANDA:USDNOK is testing a clear support area, marked by previous bullish reversals and strong buyer interest. The recent bearish move into this zone suggests a potential buying opportunity if buyers confirm control.
If bullish signals, such as strong rejection wicks or bullish candlestick patterns, emerge, I anticipate an upward move toward 10,8300. If the support fails to hold however, further downside could be expected.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
COPPER Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupPEPPERSTONE:COPPER is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see a pullback toward the 4.7100 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
AUDCAD Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:AUDCAD is approaching a key resistance zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.90700, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure.
However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
NZDJPY at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 87.300?OANDA:NZDJPY has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 87.300 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Gold’s Meteoric Rise: What’s Next After Breaking $3,000?Yesterday, TRADENATION:XAUUSD broke the $3,000 mark, a significant achievement from multiple perspectives.
As I mentioned yesterday, I didn’t expect the price to revisit the $2,950 support level, as it seemed too obvious. Unfortunately, my pending order at $2,970 wasn't triggered either, as the bulls were too strong, quickly forming a new support at $2,980.
This forced me to trade the breakout of the rectangle pattern, something I typically avoid —trading breakouts.
Now that we’ve reviewed the situation, let’s take a closer look at what we might expect in the near future.
Current Trend: Strong Upward Momentum
As is evident to everyone, gold is in a powerful uptrend, and trying to sell is risky. The key strategy here is to focus on buying on dips, rather than trying to catch a top.
The first level to keep an eye on for potential buy opportunities is the $3,000 mark, followed by the support formed yesterday at $2,980. Both of these levels are crucial in maintaining the bullish structure of the market. If the price dips to these levels and holds, they could provide excellent entry points for long positions.
Target Zones: Understanding Potential Resistance Levels
While targets in a ATHs defined market are arbitrary, historical price movements in gold suggest that certain price levels tend to act as either support or resistance. Specifically, levels in at $20, $40, $60, and $80 ranges have historically been key turning points.
Given this, if gold continues its ascent, targets at $3,020 and $3,040 could be reasonable. These levels align with the typical points that gold has faced during strong movements.
Looking Ahead: Volatility and Potential for Extreme Moves
Expect extreme volatility as gold continues to push higher. The bullish sentiment is strong, but with high volatility comes both risk and opportunity. Keeping a watchful eye on key levels, such as the $3,000 and $2,980 support zones, will be crucial for gauging potential retracements and entry points.
In conclusion, the strategy moving forward should focus on buying on dips, with an eye on $3,020 and $3,040 as logical targets for the next phase of gold's rally.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
GbpUsd is approaching a strong sell zoneExactly one week ago, I pointed out that while TRADENATION:GBPUSD strength persists, the pair is approaching a significant sell zone , starting at the psychological level of 1.30.
This level was touched recently, and the pair is currently fluctuating within this range now.
My view remains the same: GBP/USD is likely to experience a drop in the near future, and I’m now looking for potential entries for a swing trade.
As mentioned before, 1.30 is a key psychological level, with the technical resistance just above it at 1.3050. Additionally, GBP/USD is known for its volatility, and this resistance zone extends slightly above 1.31.
In conclusion, traders should consider selling rallies, with a target around 1.27, aiming for at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio when setting their stop loss.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Alts- Will they drop further? (+name your alt)In my early February analysis on altcoins , I noted that while a bounce was likely after the sharp drop triggered by Trump’s initial tax remarks, the $1.3T level would act as strong resistance.
I expected another decline once this resistance was confirmed— which is exactly what happened, as the market reached that level and began to drop again.
After multiple tests of the rising trendline that began in October 2023, last week saw a breakdown, with price finding support just above $900B (an important level as we can see from the posted chart).
But was that the full extent of the drop?
In my view, we are far from being in the clear, and further declines seem likely. Technically, the rising trendline has been broken, and the recent rebound appears to be corrective rather than the start of a sustained recovery.
As long as the price remains below the $1.15T–$1.2T zone, I see a high probability of the market
breaking under 900B zone support and reaching $700B in the coming months.
GBP/JPY TODAY EXPECTED MOVERight now, we are analyzing the GBPJPY 1-hour time frame chart. My bias for today is towards the sell side, and I will be looking to sell the market today. As you can see on the chart, these are our key levels. Once the market price reaches our key levels and POI, we will wait for confirmation whether the price shows a bearish confirmation or forms a reversal candlestick pattern, so we can find the ideal entry point for our trade and execute it with precision. The most important thing to remember is to always wait for confirmation.
Make sure to always use a stop loss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Let's see what happens.
#GBPJPY 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURUSD at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.07400 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
AUDNZD at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 1.10100?OANDA:AUDNZD has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 1.10100 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
BTC Monthly AnalysisMy current perspective is simple.
The market flips supply into demand
OR
The market taps into demand.
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While there can be trades taken between levels with proper risk management, these zones should provide the best setups.
It’s okay to swing and miss; again with proper risk management.
I am long term bullish & short term bearish.
GBPUSD - SHORTConsider the development of a strong South Impulse. Sell on a false breakout or current price level! Target the lower Demand Zone.
GBPUSD - SHORT
ENTRY PRICE - 1.29420
SL - 1.30700
TP - 1.26240
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
AUDUSD – LONGAUDUSD – LONG
ENTRY PRICE - 0.62850
SL - 0.61800
TP - 0.64900
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
GBPNZD Bullish Continuation - Will Buyers Push Toward 2.28000?OANDA:GBPNZD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish impulse suggests that buyers are maintaining control, indicating a potential continuation toward the upper boundary.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward 2.28000, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a failure to hold the support zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the possibility for a deeper pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
DOGE 4HR Analysis Here is the current 4 Hour range within the 1st zone I was looking for.
Personally, I still see more downside as bears are still in control. There is potential for a breakout on the 4HR but confirming congruence on the Daily has me hesitant as the Daily Timeframe would still hold a downward trend.
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Diving further into the structure of the candles I noticed there are more wicks from the bottom side of the candles than the top; a confirmation bears and the downward trend are still in control.
Bulls are starting to defend this level, but to me it’s a sign that buy side liquidity it being created.
If I’m a seller, this is a great place to manage risk for further downside.
If I’m a buyer, I’m being patient as the retracement back to supply seems to be almost over.