THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking price to attempt the 2715 price point and if rejected we would be looking for the short into the lower red box but sticking with the bullish bias levels. We got the move exactly into the red box support we wanted initially giving us the move upside completing not only KOGs bullish above targets but also the red box targets and the Excalibur targets. We update traders through the week with the plan and continued to remain with the long of the lows up to where we ended the week.
A phenomenal week in Camelot on gold hitting 7 targets and the team completing about 12 targets on the other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s going to be a frustrating week of expected ranging and choppy price action for traders due to it being the last week of the month and with FOMC pending. For that reason, we will use this KOG Report for the first half of the week and then update traders with the KOG Report FOMC before the release.
For this week we’re not looking to long unless we get a deep pull back either into the order region 2750-55 or further below that the 2730-35 region. It’s actually this levels we will want to test the short trades in to from the higher red box regions. We do have a red box active now at 2827, however, due to where the price is at the moment we’re not comfortable to long up here. If we can open and stay below the 2777 level, we feel an opportunity to short is available into the first region of 2765 which needs to be monitored for the break, and level that the order region of 2750-55. That’s where we will want to test the first long trade, but, as we said above, due to FOMC we can’t expect a clean move.
We have the levels above now active at 2827-30 which we feel is where they may want to take this to open up the 2800’s. If we do continue higher, that’s where we will be watching for a RIP IF we get there!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2750 with targets above 2784, 2793 and above that 2810 pre-event
Bearish on break of 2750 with target below 2735
Red boxes:
Break above 2780 for 2793, 2795, 2806 and 2827 in extension of the move
Break below 2770 for 2765, 2757, 2755, 2750 and 2743 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Supply and Demand
SONIC Update (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Since the previous analysis, it has dropped by over 21%.
There is limited data available for this symbol. Considering the time gaps, it seems the waves of this diametric are expanding.
Currently, it appears that we are in the middle of wave C.
We are still within the green zone of the previous analysis. It is better to shift the buy zone to the green area of this update.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBPJPY Weekly Forecast: BUY IT!This forecast is for the upcoming week, Jan 27 - 31st.
GBP is been outperforming the JPY since the Covid lows of 2020, including last week. I think this will continue into next week, despite the BOJ raising the interest last week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Levels For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2786 - 2790 area
Support 1: 2718 - 2732 area
Support 2: 2689 - 2698 area
Support 3: 2655 - 2663 area
Support 4: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 5: 2596 - 2605 area
Support 6: 2583 - 2585 area
Consider these structures for pulback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COOKIE is Bearish (2H)First of all, note that this symbol is highly volatile and risky.
From the point where I placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that the COOKIE correction has begun.
Currently, it appears that COOKIE is in wave B of an ABC pattern or possibly a more complex structure.
As long as the red zone is maintained, it is expected to move toward the specified targets.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Adapting to Market Conditions: Mastering the Market’s Rhythm Markets are not static, they constantly evolve and successful traders are those who adapt their strategies accordingly. Understanding the shapes of trending and volatile markets is, I would say not only essential but also absolute necessary to staying profitable.
This adaptability ensures you’re always aligned with what the market is doing, rather than fighting against it.
1. Trending Markets: Go with the Flow 🌊📈
Trending markets are characterized by sustained movement in one direction, either upward or downward.
In these markets for example:
Example 1: Tesla (TSLA)🚀
When Tesla (TSLA) is in a strong uptrend, as indicated by higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart, breakout strategies work well. For instance, buying above a resistance level and riding the trend upwards aligns with market momentum.
Also, in November last year, Tesla's stock (TSLA) experienced a pullback to its 50-day moving average, which acted as a support level before the stock resumed its upward trend. This technical behavior is common in trending markets, where moving averages often serve as dynamic support or resistance levels.
Traders and investors monitor such pullbacks to key moving averages as potential entry points, anticipating that the trend will continue.
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💎 Remember:
- Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets. Pullbacks to these levels can provide excellent entry points.
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Example 2: Forex (EURUSD):
📉 A trending EURUSD pair driven by central bank policy divergence is ideal for moving average crossovers or trend-following indicators like the MACD. Here the examples are numerous and often they do play out.
For example, if the pair is steadily declining, shorting on pullbacks to resistance levels gives a good risk-to-reward ratio.
2. Range-Bound Markets: Mastering Consolidation 🔄🏦
In range-bound markets, price moves between well-defined support and resistance levels without a clear trend. In this case, focus on buying near support and selling near resistance rather than chasing breakouts.
📉 How to Trade Range-Bound Markets:
To do that you’re going to have to study the market.
First, and the most essential to pinpoint accurately, is identify Support and Resistance Levels.
🚫What to avoid in this scenario is Chasing FALSE Breakouts.
•While it might be tempting to jump into a trade when the price appears to break out of the range, these moves often fail, causing the price to snap back into the range.
Patience is essential—seriously, take a deep breath! 🧘
When you resist the urge to chase a breakout, that’s the discipline I was talking about.
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💎 Remember:
🛑 Pinpoint Support and Resistance: Accurately identify key levels where price tends to reverse.
🚫 Avoid False Breakouts: Resist the urge to jump into breakouts; many of these fail, leading to price snapping back into the range.
🌟 Pro Tip: Patience is a skill, not a trait. Sticking to your plan is what separates amateurs from professionals.
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3. Volatile Markets: Swimming in More Dangerous Waters 🌊🦈
• In these kinds of markets, you never know if you’re catching a wave or becoming the snack!
Though, let’s be honest: it’s usually the latter! — with volatility this wild, most of us are just chum in the water while the sharks feast!🦈
• Volatility spikes are often triggered by economic events, earnings reports, or geopolitical news. These markets can create massive opportunities but also higher risks. Navigating these markets requires an understanding of the underlying factors driving the instability.
Here are a few examples:
Example 1: Stocks (Amazon - AMZN) 💸:
📊 Macroeconomic Events: Changes in consumer spending patterns, inflation data, or Federal Reserve interest rate decisions can impact Amazon's valuation, as they directly affect consumer behavior and borrowing costs.
🌍Geopolitical News: With its massive global reach, even a small disruption in supply chains, shipping costs, or international demand can cause BIG ripples for the company.
📈Earnings Reports: Amazon's quarterly reports, often lead to significant stock price movements, as the company's revenue growth, profitability, and guidance influence investor sentiment.
• What are the risks?
One of the biggest risks, and something that can’t be stressed enough, is emotional decision-making . When markets are volatile, it’s easy to let fear or excitement take over, leading to impulsive trades.
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💎 Remember:
• Your emotions aren’t great traders—they’re more like that friend who screams “BUY!” or “SELL!” at the worst possible time. Don’t let the emotions drive your portfolio; they’ll crash it faster than a teenager with a new driver’s license. 🚗
⏰ Bad timing is another one.
– If you’re caught on the wrong side of a trade you can experience substantial losses. But again this is where risk management and setting clear limits on how much you’re willing to lose make the difference in the end.
⚠️ What are the opportunities?
Fast Trades: Short-term traders can capitalize on price swings by executing well-timed trades.
• These opportunities require more attention, a clear strategy, and the ability to act decisively, as even small price movements can lead to meaningful gains—or losses—in a short amount of time.
📉➡️📈 This is good mostly for long-term investors as price dips are viewed as golden opportunities for a stock with solid potential. It’s like a discount at a discount.
• Most of the time, the market eventually recovers, and the stock not only regains its value but often surpasses it.
This confidence comes from studying past trends and patters—you can view short-term dips as just the market’s way of throwing a tantrum, like your wife being mad at you for something you didn’t do... but still texting to ask if you want anything from the store.
📊 Navigating volatile stocks like Amazon requires a proper risk management strategy and an informed approach that can help mitigate the dangers and maximize the opportunities these unique markets present.
Example 2: Forex (USDJPY):
⚠️ During events like the NFP report, USDJPY can see BIG moves. Avoid trading during the initial instability and instead focus on breakout trades once the dust settles.
For example, if the pair breaks out of a symmetrical triangle post-announcement, it often indicates the direction of sustained movement.
💥 An instance of USD/JPY reacting to a major economic release occurred on December 19, 2024, following the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
• This led to a significant surge in USD/JPY, with the pair rising over 2% to reach 157.51, nearing a 4 month low for the yen.
A rollercoaster ride, and a dizzy one for the traders, that left traders hanging upside down, clutching their positions, and most likely also questioning their life choices.
🕒 But this is about TIMING once again. And usually, you can’t control it—like trying to catch a bus that always seems to show up either too early or right after you’ve given up and walked away.
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💎 Remember:
⚡ Short-Term Trades: Volatility allows skilled traders to capitalize on quick price swings.
⏰ Bad Timing: Being on the wrong side of a volatile move can lead to significant losses.
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4. Market Condition Transitions: Recognizing the Shift
⏳Adapting also means recognizing—are you paying attention?—when markets are shifting. Spotting these early —yes, we are back to TIMING!—helps you adjust your strategy before it’s too late.
• Now how to do that? Recognizing the shift, nothing more simple - These pompous words can be summed up to staying alert, using the right tools, and reacting with a clear plan—not impulse. It’s about reading the market’s signals and aligning your strategy accordingly. A good example was in Forex on AUDUSD.
5. Adapt Like a Chameleon 🦎➡️
• Markets are ever-changing, and rigid strategies can easily become a recipe for failure. Adaptability is the name of the game —a game that rewards the quick thinkers and punishes the stubborn. Like trying to win a staring contest with a cat: you’ll blink, and the market’s already moved.
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💎 Remember:
• ✅ Stay alert to market signals.
• 🛠️ Use the right tools.
• 🎯 React with a clear, well-thought-out plan.
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Wait, I’m not done yet!
This is the ultimate thing I’ve dreaded for years, the cornerstone of my growth. Or at least the thing that keeps reminding me how much I still have to learn:
📖💻 Backtesting and Journaling.
• It’s not glamorous to be real, it’s downright tedious—especially journaling since I’m not a very organized person myself. Honestly, for a long time, I thought it was just something only obsessive perfectionists did—but it turned out to be a great tool to check my assumptions, spot my mistakes, and, occasionally, confirm that I might actually know what I’m doing. Which felt great to have on ‘paper’.
📉🤯 It’s not just about keeping records; it’s about holding yourself accountable and spotting patterns you didn’t even know were there. Your brain works in mysterious ways—like convincing you that every loss was “just bad luck” until the journal smacks you with the truth.
Backtesting is another one of those unglamorous but essential tasks. It’s like doing your lessons before a big test—except the test is the market, and failing costs you real money. Auch.
📈 Backtesting is where you discover if your “brilliant strategy” is actually brilliant or just wishful thinking.
I recommend backtesting a strategy for an interval of at least six months to a year. This timeframe allows you to observe how the strategy performs across various market conditions. Testing for only a short period, like a month, is tempting but misleading. It’s like watching the first five minutes of a movie and thinking you know the ending—spoiler alert: you don’t.
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🔁💪 By extending your backtesting period, you can gain confidence in your strategy’s ability to adapt, manage risk, and deliver consistent results.
Plus, a longer testing period helps spot and get past unusual moves in the market, like an unexpected lucky streak or a one-off market event that might otherwise give you a false sense of confidence.
• This way you can tweak and refine it before putting real money on the line. It’s the ultimate rehearsal before stepping onto the trading stage!
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💎 Remember:
• ✍️ Accountability: Journaling helps you spot mistakes and refine your strategies.
• 🧩 Pattern Recognition: Discover trends in your own behavior and trading results that you didn’t notice before.
• 🔎 Pro Tip: Journaling isn’t just for perfectionists; it’s for anyone who wants to improve.
• 🕒 Test Over Time: Backtest your strategies over at least 6–12 months to evaluate their performance across different conditions.
• 🛠️ Refinement: Use backtesting to tweak and perfect your strategy before trading live.
• 🎬 Think of It Like Rehearsal: Testing prepares you for real markets, reducing costly errors.
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Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
VINE Looks Bullish (45M)Attention: Entering this asset at this point carries its own specific risks. Manage your capital and position size carefully, and set a stop-loss for yourself. Otherwise, you may incur losses.
We usually do not work with classic patterns, but since many traders with different strategies are trading this asset and there is bullish sentiment around it, the bullish flag we’ve identified on the chart typically performs well in such scenarios.
It appears that this coin is preparing for another move. The green zones represent the origins of previous moves, all of which have been consumed in order, leaving no unfilled orders below.
If this asset is to move upward, it must initiate its move from the last green box.
The targets are marked on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
EURUSD Trendline Breakout Ready for a Long BullHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 27 - 31stThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 27-31th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is retracing from the M+W TF Supply Zone. The sellers are in control... for now. The macro view is that the bullish up trend is not broken. Be mindful of this. For now, selling the USD is in order, and buying the EUR, GBP, NZD, AUD, CAD, CHF, are the best moves. Keep and eye on an indecisive JPY, and wait for a break of the consolidation.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XCNUSD Sell Setup at key ZoneCOINBASE:XCNUSD is testing a resistance zone that has seen bearish moves before. The recent bullish push into this area suggests potential selling opportunities.
I anticipate a move toward 0.02300. However, if the zone fails to hold, it may open the door for further upside.
If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
CAD/CHF - Weekly OutlookHey guys, im starting to get a Following pretty quickly and I appreciate all the kind words and support. The more I get from you guys the more Ill do in return.
Weekly Breakdown for CAD/CHF.
Starting off in the Weekly TF we can notice clearly we are Bearish. We will be following suit for this Trend but starting things off market out the 50% level on the Weekly for my Discount zone. Also marked out two zones of Imbalance that I could possibly see price move into. Below our first Imbalance we can see a Mitigation Block which could be a point where we see our reversal after Liquidity has been taken OR we could see price move into the second zone of Imbalance of which price could hit a marked Supply zone before having a reversal. Both of those options are possible.
On the Medium Time frame being the Daily we can see a clear shift in the Market which created Buy side Liquidity and an Imbalance (not market)... We also created a pullback to following a strong Bullish Trend then opening a Strong Mitigation Block for us of which price has respected and move from by simply tapping into with the wick on the 4H. The wick also took our that Sell side Imbalance/Liquidity now helping us create our Second Leg for a Buying opportunity. I have marked out a possible target for Liquidity. Once price move back into that higher TF Discount zone then I will be looking for my next entry for a Sell.
4H shows Bullish Price action. Although I have another Idea ive shared for that Entry.
Thank you all again for all the support. I will be trying to do Weekly Market Outlooks on the weekend consistently so make sure to follow me and share my trade Ideas
Cheers and good luck.
Moodeng Buy/Long Setup (8H)From where we placed the red flash on the chart, it seems that a deep correction for MOODENG has started.
It appears that a diametric is in the process of completion, and we are at the end of wave G of this diametric.
As long as the SWAP range is maintained, the price could move toward the targets.
A closing of an 8-hour candle below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBP/NZD - Weekly OutlookThis is an extremely strong Analysis for not just a Long Term Point of view but also a short term scale, let me explain.
Monthly/Weekly markets are both bullish. We can notice that price has reacted 3 times off a strong Weekly Imbalance. Price that makes 3 touches is considered a strong zone so now I would suggest we would have a final pullback off this zone before creating a new MSS in smaller time frames. We have market out the 50% level on the Fib to show our Discount zones before looking for any entry models.
So far on the Daily/4H we can see a large Bullish move but.. we are not sure whether this Bullish leg has actually just finished nor just started so we will have to wait and assess this Bullish Price action and adjust our Fib as the market move to work out our pull back points.
I have set up a strong Demand zone which does happen to be at our OTE right now but again this may change due to the Bullish movement not currently showing any sights of a pullback.
We only enter trade will the highest possibility's and currently this market is showing extremely strong signs of possible trade entry's but we still need to work out what those entries are.
Good luck to the traders that want to follow this market and would be interested in my entry model in this Market
ADA order limitThis chart for ADA/USDT highlights a consolidation phase within a symmetrical triangle pattern 📐. The price is narrowing, signaling a potential breakout. Key zones and trend lines
guide this analysis:
Trendline Break: The triangle's upper trendline represents resistance, and a break above it could trigger bullish momentum 📈. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline might lead to further downside 📉.
Resistance Levels:
First resistance at $1.0323 🚩. Breaking this level could propel ADA to $1.1000 and then $1.1400, where significant sell pressure may appear.
These zones align with the highlighted red resistance bands.
Support Levels:
Immediate support at $1.0022 🛡️. If broken, the price may test lower zones at $0.9730 and $0.9380.
Signal:
Bullish Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $1.0323 with strong volume 📊. Target levels: $1.1000 and $1.1400.
Stop Loss: If the price breaks below $1.0022, consider shorting with targets of $0.9730 and $0.9380.
Risk Management: Keep stops tight ⛑️. For longs, place a stop-loss below $1.0022; for shorts, keep it above $1.0323.
Wait for confirmation to avoid false breakouts. Monitor volume and candlestick patterns near breakout levels for the best signal 🎯.
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
EURUSD 26/01/2025EU this week giving us the bullish bias that we carried over from the Tuesday morning bias change. of course Orion told us as soon as the bias changed and we stayed on its tall the whole way to its current position. as it stands we are looking for longs into the target highs we have marked on our chart, but of course without a pullback we expect price to keep running and hit our targets . if we do carry the bullish move to our targets without hitting an entry low we will look for a new low to be created to then trade up into the highs once again. but our plan currently is the lows to be ran and the current targets remain in place giving us a strong target high to aim for.
Trade safe stick to your plan and always follow Orion!
EUR/GBP - Monthly OutlookThis in my own opinion is one of my strongest Monthly Outlooks so far. Let me explain
HTF - This chart can how a very strong fast Bullish push towards the Upside ALTHOUGH, HTF's do suggest Bearish movements. Sells in this market are currently proffered due to the Monthly time line being Bearish. On the weekly and the Daily we are waiting for price to fall a bit before continuing this bullish leg. Higher TF's suggest this pullback could be part of a correctional stage of Elliot's wave. Im looking for price to return into the 50% range on the Fib to fall into a discount stage before looking to buy. Due to recent Price action there isnt a huge amount of information. We have two possible buy locations marked out, we also have our OTE zone marked out that is between those two entry models.
Lower Timeframes here so far are pretty basic. I expect price in the lower timeframes to give us a bit more clarity further into the month when price returns into the HTF Imbalance which may give us a little bit of choppy price action. This may help us determine some entries without the guess work currently other than an OTE zone and two Demand zones.
I will keep this Outlook Update further into this trading month.
Goodluck to the traders that follow.
AUDUSD buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
TUMP UPDATE (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price has been rejected downward from the red box zone in the previous analysis. The trend remains unchanged and is bearish down to the lower zones. Only the time correction for waves D and E has extended.
From the point marked on the chart, it seems the TRUMP correction has started.
Wave D of this corrective pattern has also completed, and the price has entered wave E.
The green zone is where this meme coin might react.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You