GOLD increased in the short term, approaching an important levelFrom a recent price action standpoint, the move on Gold may have offered cues of encountering weakness, and could serve as a key trigger for bearish traders. This is why I’m anticipating further short-side follow-through. The negative outlook is not confirmed yet, however a bounce off the trendline could once again attract sellers, for a decent move to 3,240 support zone . This latter zone, could be a key turning point that if broken, would lead to a good opportunities for buyers looking to get involved on the dips, anticipating a potential shift in momentum.
But a strong move up and break of trendline at around 3335-3340, would allow Gold to reclaim the 3400 mark and climb even further.
On Monday in my last analysis I predicted that the price gold would fall as low as 3290, after which the price has rebounded short term. All this being said, I am closely watching how price will react when it encounters the trendline as shown and I will wait for any confirmation clues.
Please note that I will not get involved without proper confirmation
Supply and Demand
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the day with us hitting not only the red box target we wanted but completing the Excalibur target that was active giving a nice long. After that, we identified the pull back into the bias level 3305 which only gave us a 50pip bounce into the target. We then said price shouldn't go back to 3310, if it did we would break, which consequently happened, thankfully we had stopped trading and called it a day by then.
The range continues and price is accumulating, this range now with support 3290 and resistance 3310 could be the play towards the end of the session, so anyone long, we would say watch this levels on the red boxes for a break either side.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
It's been a fantastic start to the week with the red box holding nicely to give traders the short trade using the red boxes and KOG's target levels, which are all completed for the week here.
We now have support below at the 3285 level which if continues to hold, should give traders another opportunity into that 3306-10 region. We've already taken one into 3304, so for us no more trading until tomorrow. That's the level to watch in our opinion for a potential flip.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BTCUSD Up trend breakdown ahead selling strong🚨BTC/USD Breakdown Alert 🚨
BTC has officially broken down from the previous uptrend, confirmed by a strong bearish engulfing candle — signaling a clear shift in momentum. This is a prime opportunity to look for short setups.
📉 Sell Entry: 107,400
🎯 Technical Targets & Demand Zones:
🔹 1st Target: 103,700 – Minor demand zone
🔹 2nd Target: 96,400 – Stronger structural support
🔹 3rd Target: 85,100 – Deep liquidity zone
🔹 4th Target: 77,000 – Bullish Order Block
💡 Breakdown confirmed. Trend shift validated. Selling pressure likely to continue.
Trade smart. Manage risk.
— Livia 💼📊
BTC Roadmap Still Intact Bullish Momentum Building Toward 120KBitcoin Price action continues to validate the bullish roadmap shared in our last BTC post. The market respected the Immediate Buy Back Zone, springing from a demand backed structure into a fresh impulsive leg.
Notably, price has carved a clean 5-wave structure supported by recurring bullish pennants and continuation patterns each breakout driving momentum higher. Our target at 120,151 remains firmly intact, with price action showing healthy structure and controlled pullbacks.
The current setup remains valid as long as price holds above 106,655 and especially 100,941, which now act as structural pivot zones. Any deeper correction into the Demand Area would only serve as a re-accumulation window before the next leg.
Let’s see how price behaves into June. Momentum is aligning with structure.
Share your thoughts, like the post, and drop your setup confirmations on the comment section.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Pullback From Support📈GOLD appears to be bullish following a test of crucial horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a cup and handle pattern on an hourly.
Its neckline was violated with a strong bullish momentum.
I anticipate the price will continue to rise, reaching at least 3340 soon, and potentially up to 3362.
ETH NEW UPDATE (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
Ethereum has a liquidity pool above the chart, and just behind that pool, there is a fresh order block.
After sweeping the liquidity pool and hitting this order block, the price is expected to drop toward the flip zone.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GOLD(XAUUSD): Very Bearish Pattern📉GOLD formed a notable head and shoulders pattern at a significant daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
A bearish breakout from its horizontal neckline indicates strong selling pressure.
It is likely that the price will continue to decline, potentially reaching the 3219 level.
EURGBP breakout down trend bullish strong now from demand zone🚨 EUR/GBP Trade Setup – Bullish Breakout Alert! 🚨
Pair: EUR/GBP
Timeframe: 30-Minute (M30)
📈 EUR/GBP has officially broken out of its downtrend, confirming a bullish reversal on the 30-minute chart. We're now watching price action closely around the demand zone @ 0.83800 – ideal entry level for long positions.
💡 Technical Targets:
🎯 1st Target: 0.84100
🎯 2nd Target: 0.84300
🎯 3rd Target: 0.84600
🔒 Risk Management:
Always trade with a well-placed stop-loss just below the demand zone. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering.
Let’s ride the trend with smart entries and precise targets. 📊💰
— Livia 🤍📉📊
#ForexTrading #EURGBP #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #FXSignals #LiviaTrades
Xauusd up trend breakdown ahead sell stron📉 OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – 1H Timeframe
Gold has broken below the uptrend structure, signaling a strong bearish momentum. We're now entering a SELL position at 3296, aligned with current technical signals.
🎯 Target Levels:
▫️ 1st TP: 3255
▫️ 2nd TP: 3220
▫️ 3rd TP: 3170
▫️ 4th TP: 3135
🔍 Price action confirms the shift, and momentum indicators support downside continuation. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly.
Trade smart,
– Livia 😉
EURJPY: Top-Down Analysis & Trading PlanEURJPY has surpassed and closed above a significant daily resistance level, which has now become support.
We are observing a retest of this broken structure.
To enter a long position, look for confirmation through a breakout of the horizontal range on the hourly chart.
A close of an hourly candle above its resistance will signal buyer strength.
A bullish continuation is expected towards the 164.63 level.
EURUSD: Sell Opportunity after support breakOANDA:EURUSD has broken below a key support zone, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The price is now pulling back to retest this area, which previously acted as support and may now act as resistance—aligning with the possibility of continued downside.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price may decline further toward the 1.12250 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above this zone could indicate the start of a new bullish trend.
Before considering any short positions, look for confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wick rejections from resistance, or rising selling volume.
This is just my view on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Good luck!
USDT DOMINANCE NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that the price bounced upward from either Demand 1 or Demand 2.
Considering that the trigger line was broken with a valid candle, it seems the orders in Demand 1 were sufficient to push the price upward.
As long as the new demand zone holds, we expect the price to move toward the orange box.
The orange box appears to be a strong resistance zone, and we will definitely see a reaction there.
Let’s wait and see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector.
The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence.
📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation.
🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows.
Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market.
Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140.
The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print.
🔴 Downside risk scenario:
In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support.
💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea
ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy.
Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option.
Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing:
-Support (squeeze zone) around $125
-Call resistance around $140
-A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150
These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive.
How would I personally start this:
Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops.
If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares.
Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium.
If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV.
👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession.
I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well.
💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
EURJPY: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke a significant resistance cluster on a daily.
We see its retest now.
I think that the price will start rising from that and reach
at least 164.5 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Telegram’s Bonds: A Tech Investment OpportunityTelegram, celebrated for its privacy-first messaging platform, has stepped into the spotlight with its latest bond offering, presenting a compelling case for investors. In 2021, the company raised $2.3 billion through bonds carrying a 7% coupon, set to mature in 2026, with a unique feature: the option to convert into shares at a 20% discount if Telegram goes public. Now, Telegram has returned to the bond market with a new issuance, offering a higher 9% coupon and a 2030 maturity, while retaining the same conversion rights in the event of an IPO.
A significant milestone bolstering confidence in these bonds is Telegram’s newfound profitability. In 2024, the company reported a $540 million profit, a remarkable shift from its earlier losses. The success stems from two primary revenue streams. First, its premium subscription service, launched in 2022, has grown to 13 million subscribers, each contributing an average of $2.8 monthly. Second, advertising revenue has surged, rising from $100 million in 2023 to $245 million in 2024, with projections of $350 million in 2025, driven by plans to introduce video ads in public channels, much like YouTube’s model.
Telegram’s expansive user base further underpins its financial strength. From just 20 million active users in 2013, the platform has soared to over 1 billion users in 2025, with 500 million engaging daily. This vast audience provides a robust foundation for monetization, with even modest increases in premium subscribers promising substantial revenue growth.
The new bonds stand out for their attractive terms. The 9% coupon offers a strong yield in today’s low-interest-rate environment, while the potential to convert into shares at a 20% discount aligns investors with Telegram’s growth trajectory. The company’s profitability and massive user base mitigate risks, positioning these bonds as a rare opportunity to invest in a thriving tech firm. Telegram’s bonds offer a unique blend of high yield and growth potential, backed by a company that has proven its financial viability and commands a global audience.
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPX⚠️ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging – A Closer Look
I haven’t seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while — and it’s definitely not a pretty one 😬. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market:
📍 Massive upside expectation:
It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000.
🛑 Limited downside protection:
Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place — especially unusual with Friday’s expiry approaching.
🔻 Current Key Zone: 5925-5930
The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot.
Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower.
Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900–5925 range, which includes ITM puts — not OTM, as you’d typically expect from retail.
🧠 Institutional Footprint vs. Retail
This hedging pattern — closer to ATM rather than deep OTM — suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision.
In contrast, retail traders don’t seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this.
🔼 What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout
If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone.
From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push 📈.
The details show the same picture when examining more details:
SPX conclusion
😬 In short: we’re at a tipping point.
Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional.
Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 — but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
GBPJPY up trend and resistance breakout bullish strong now📈 GBPJPY Trade Alert – Strong Bullish Momentum!
Timeframe: 1H
Trend: Uptrend 🔼
Status: Resistance Breakout Confirmed 💥
OANDA:GBPJPY has broken through key resistance at 194.200, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. Price is now retracing back to the breakout zone — a textbook retest-entry opportunity for swing and intraday traders. 🧠
🔹 Entry Zone: 194.200 (Previous Resistance Turned Support)
🔹 Technical Target #1: 196.200
🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish
🔹 Confirmation: Breakout + Retest Setup
🔹 Risk Management: SL just below 193.800 (structure support)
📊 This setup aligns with momentum and market structure — watch for bullish candlestick confirmation before entering. Patience pays!
Trade smart,
Livia 😉✨
#GBPJPY #ForexSetup #BreakoutRetest #PriceAction #ForexSignals
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Pair: GBPNZD Bias: Bullish (contingent on breakout or support hoPrice has repeatedly rejected resistance at 2.27286 and is now consolidating between this key level and 2.25282. With this week being month-end, it’s likely we could see a pullback before a larger move into June.
Trade Zones:
Buy from 2.25282 if we pull back and hold as support
Buy above 2.28114 if we get the breakout
Targets:
First: 2.29580
Extended: 2.31200
Invalidation:
Break and close below 2.25282 with bearish follow-through
Notes:
Wait for price action confirmations.
Be mindful of low volume and false moves during month-end flow.