Supply and Demand
Short Term USD Strength This Week! Sell The Majors?This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 8 - 12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY.
USD gained some strength on Friday's job data. Talks with China this week may add to it. But I believe the bullishness will be short term.
Look for valid sells in EUR and GBP. Be cautious with AUD and NZD. CAD and CHF will also offer opportunities to sells.
CPI Data due Wed, making that day and the days that follow potentially the best trading days this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs.
I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind.
We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance.
Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
BTC Loses Key Level — Will 100K Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has been locked in a range for the past 45 days, clinging above the critical psychological support at $100K. But cracks are starting to show…
Every bounce from the key level at $102,430 has been weakening — and now, for the first time, we’re breaking cleanly below it. Things are starting to tilt bearish.
So the question is…
⛏️ Will 100K be tested next?
🔍 Key Support Zone: $97.7K–$96.9K
Using the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at $74.5K to the recent ATH, the 0.382 retracement lands at $97,655 — just below the $100K mark.
But there’s more…
Here’s why the zone between $97.7K and $96.9K is crucial:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement: A common pullback level in strong uptrends.
Anchored VWAP from $74.5K: Currently sitting around $96.9K, tracking cumulative volume-weighted average price — a key level.
Daily Order Block: Sits right at $96,887, aligning with the VWAP and reinforcing the area as demand-rich.
1.272 Fibonacci extension: From the previous move — providing another layer of confluence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance lies right in this zone. Price often fills these before continuing trend.
All of this stacks up to a high-probability long setup.
🕵️♂️ What to Do Now?
Set alerts at $100K and watch for a reaction. If price slices through, shift focus to the 0.382 Fib — monitor price action closely for signs of a reversal.
The first clean test of this zone could present a solid long — but as usual don’t trade blindly. Wait for confirmation.
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USDT DOMINANACE ANALYSIS (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
I correctly identified the upward movement in Tether Dominance in the previous analysis, but with the news of war in the Middle East, there are now bullish triggers for this index.
It is expected that the price will at least surge upward toward TP1.
Avoid opening impulsive and emotional positions, especially without proper risk management and setting a stop-loss | this is a dangerous market.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH NEW UPDATE (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
After the pump and hitting the red zone, it got rejected.
It's better not to open a short position on Ethereum, as its dominance appears bullish | which means it might be resilient against a potential drop.
The closing of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below.
There will be some fluctuations along the way.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
MOODENG CAN GO KAMIKAZE!MOODENG is sitting at a critical decision point — but this small range might not be enough to hold.
The small consolidation above demand is weak, with low conviction from buyers, and it looks more like distribution than accumulation. Any relief from here is likely to be short-lived unless proven otherwise.
Scenario A would require a strong reclaim and impulse through the overhead supply zone — a move I’m willing to fade unless backed by volume and broader market strength e.g on Bitcoin.
Scenario B, on the other hand, aligns better with the chart’s context: thin structure, fading demand, and the likelihood of a clean sweep lower if bulls can’t step in aggressively. A breakdown from here could lead to a sharp selloff, given the vacuum to the left.
All of this depends heavily on Bitcoin dominance. If BTC continues to rise, altcoins like MOODENG are unlikely to sustain upward momentum. Risk-off behavior in the market would favor downside continuation, making the bearish setup even more probable.
Be patient, and don’t force big positions in this zones. Let price confirm — or invalidate — the setup for you.
ONDO — Reversal or more Pain ahead? After a strong rally back in 2024, ONDO topped at $2.15 — completing a clear 5-wave impulsive move. Since then, price has entered a prolonged downtrend, dropping over -70%, with no confirmed reversal signs yet.
We’re now trading around a critical zone near $0.70. So the question is: where’s the next potential bottom?
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
📍 VWAP Breakdown:
The yellow anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) has been lost — a clear sign of market weakness. This VWAP was previously acting as support but has now flipped to resistance, which often precedes continued downside.
📌 Key Support Zone:
$0.80–$0.70 was a structural support area that has now been broken — another bearish sign.
📉 Fibonacci Confluence:
Taking the structure and applying a Fibonacci retracement, the 0.786 retracement lies at $0.4828 — let’s round that to a critical $0.50 zone. This level is important for several reasons:
Liquidity rests at a previous key low at $0.50128
Anchored VWAP Band (0.618 multiplier) aligns with the same area
The 8/1 Gann Fan also intersects around this zone
All roads lead to the $0.50 level as a potential high-probability reversal zone. A bounce from here — especially with volume confirmation or reversal candlesticks etc. — would be a signal worth watching.
💡 Educational Insight: Importance of 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci Zone + VWAP
While many focus on the 0.618 retracement, bear markets often go deeper.
The 0.786–0.886 zone is where emotional exhaustion kicks in — traders give up, liquidity pools build, and smart money steps in.
Combining this with Anchored VWAP adds precision:
VWAP reflects where the “average buyer” is positioned. When price reaches confluence with both deep fibs and VWAP fib bands, you have a statistically powerful setup for reversals.
🚨 Note: These zones are not automatic buy levels — watch for confirmation signs before entering.
🛎️ Set your alerts, stay patient, and as always let the trade come to you.
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EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned of stagnation risks in the eurozone economy, projecting only 0.8% growth in 2025, putting downward pressure on the euro.
The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged in June and is expected to deliver two rate cuts later this year, which may weigh on the U.S. dollar and provide support for EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
EUR/USD is in a bullish trend, with the 5-day and 20-day moving averages forming a golden cross. The MACD above the zero line shows expanding red histograms, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Overhead resistance lies at key integer levels: 1.1550 and 1.1600.
Support levels are near 1.1450 and 1.1400.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Long Position:
Enter light long at the current price of 1.15208, set stop-loss below 1.1480, target 1.1550–1.1600.
Add-on Long Position:
If price pulls back to the 1.1450–1.1480 zone and finds support, consider adding to long positions.
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GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis
The stable outlook for the UK economy, with the IMF raising its 2025 growth forecast for the UK from 1.1% to 1.2%, provides some support for the British pound.
Persistently high UK inflation has led to fluctuating market expectations for Bank of England rate cuts this year, affecting GBP trends.
U.S. economic data and policy expectations also impact GBP/USD, as markets hold divergent views on the Fed's 2025 interest rate policy.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart)
The RSI near 40 indicates relatively balanced bull-bear forces. GBP/USD continues to trade below the 100-period simple moving average, suggesting short-term bearish dominance.
Key overhead resistance sits near 1.3500. A break above could open the door to further resistance at 1.3530 and 1.3580.
Support can be monitored near prior swing lows.
Trading Strategy:
Consider switching to long positions if price stabilizes above 1.3400, targeting around 1.3580.
buy@1.3400–1.3440
TP:1.3500-1.3550
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BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Bitcoin Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart)
Price has shown recent volatility, with the MACD indicator hovering near the zero line, indicating balanced bull-bear forces. Resistance sits around $105,000, while price currently oscillates in the $102,000–$103,000 range after a prior pullback.
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting potential volatility expansion:
Upper band resistance: $105,000
Lower band support: $101,000
The RSI lingering near 50 reflects strong market indecision.
Trading Recommendation:
Initiate light long positions near $101,500 on pullbacks, targeting $103,500.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 101500–102000
TP:103500-105000
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USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities Saturday may trigger an instinctive reaction in global markets upon reopening, pushing oil prices higher and sparking a safe-haven rush. Technicals show oil has broken above previous highs while holding above prior lows, forming a volatile rebound with persistent bullish momentum. The key focus next week is whether oil can sustain its upward breakout.
Overall, crude oil remains range-bound at elevated levels, with $76 resistance overhead and $72 support below.
Trading Strategy for Next Week:
Prioritize long positions on pullbacks.
buy@72-73
TP:75-76
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XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate, with Trump declaring that U.S. fighter jets struck three major Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. This development has ignited the Middle East "powder keg," providing additional fuel for gold's rally.
Key support lies at 3340–3345, while short-term resistance sits at 3385–3390. A breakthrough above resistance is imminent.
Gold is expected to extend its rebound trend at next week's opening.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to adopt a buy-on-pullback approach, leveraging dips as entry points.
buy@3345-3355
TP:3380-3390
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Discover Financial Serv. Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Discover Financial Services Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal Shift)) - *Executive Entry | Completed Survey
* (2nd Entry Area)) + Retest Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 185.00 USD
* Entry At 200.00 USD
* Take Profit At 225.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
EURUSD: Important Supports & Resistances For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these supports and resistances for breakout/pullback trading.
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$BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal Bitcoin has lost the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal
Bitcoin has lost the critical 50 EMA on the daily chart, which has historically acted as a strong support level. This breakdown mirrors the 2021 double top structure and is now hinting at a deeper correction.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $100,000:
Losing this zone increases downside risk. If $100K fails to hold, next visible supports are at $96K and $91K, aligning with past consolidation zones.
🔸 Risk Level at $104,500:
A daily close back above $104.5K would invalidate this bearish view and indicate strength recovery.
🔸 Outlook:
Wait for further confirmation below $100K for potential short setups. Avoid long entries until clear reversal signs appear.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures In the S&P 500 futures (/ES), a decisive break and close below 5965 would confirm bearish structure on the higher time frames, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Following the break, we anticipate a corrective pullback toward the 6000–6010 supply zone. This retracement can offer an optimal short entry, with the initial downside target set at 5900, aligned with the next liquidity pool and previous demand zone
EURAUD Analysis Expecting price preparing to sell off.
I believe price will ultimately attempt another minor bullish push and meet resistance at the supply zone (shaded blue area).
A bearish divergence is currently present, however, I believe it will be confirmed after the failed bullish push.
Looking to short from the supply zone to the 4H zone (pink shaded area)
#EURJPY: Major Swing Sell +1100 Pips, One Not To Miss! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is most likely to continue its bullish trend, as the Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to decline due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. Historically, JPY and CHF, alongside gold and silver, have been favoured by global investors and remain bullish. Strong fundamentals and technical support further support our analysis.
The 167-169 price region remains a critical point for sellers, where we anticipate significant selling volume. There are two entry points to consider: one near the current price and another slightly further away. Please monitor volume and use smaller time frames for entries.
Our Swing Target is at 154, but you can also target smaller zones once the trade is activated. For instance, set take-profit levels at 164, 160, and finally, at 154.
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