Supply and Demand
GBPCHF Ready for a breakthroughHello Traders
In This Chart GBPCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Left Behind No More: TON Prepares to Join the Bull Market SurgeBINANCE:TONUSD has been lagging behind the broader market rally, showing little momentum while other assets have been catching fire in this early bull run. But TON’s underperformance may be setting it up for a parabolic move as it catches up with the rest of the pack. The key now is how it navigates a series of critical resistance levels that could pave the way for a strong breakout.
Chart Analysis
BINANCE:TONUSD faces a major trendline resistance overhead, which has kept its price action constrained. This trendline has acted as a ceiling, pushing TON back down each time it attempted a breakout. But the setup is starting to look primed for a potential breakout, especially if it clears the daily order block (OB) near $5.18.
Entry Levels
Aggressive Entry: For those looking to enter sooner, around $4.89 aligns with the first resistance level and a potential retest of the order block. This level might reject, but for those willing to take the risk, it provides an early entry point.
Safer Entry Level: Waiting for a daily close above $5.18 could offer a stronger entry. This would confirm a break above the daily OB, flipping it into support and creating a solid foundation for TON’s next leg up.
Clearing $5.18 with a solid daily close will signal that TON is ready to reclaim lost ground. From there, the next significant target is around $6.68, followed by an eventual test of $7.42. This range, once reached, could push TON into a more sustained uptrend, as it gains strength from the breaker block above, leading it to catch up with other assets in the bull market.
Target & Potential Path
If CRYPTO:TONUSD TON breaks these resistance levels and confirms the trendline breakout, it could trigger a chain reaction—one that propels it toward $8.36 and beyond. This level represents a long-term target and is the likely zone for profit-taking as TON aligns with the broader market’s bullish momentum.
The setup is there. Now it’s a matter of whether TON can seize the momentum and break out of its slumber.
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XAUUSD Primed for a Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Now!Attention Pro Traders! XAUUSD is heating up, and big moves could be on the way!
XAUUSD Update: Locked in a tight range between 2649 and 2665. Will it break out or break down? Keep watching.
Downside Alert: A slip below this range could lead to quick drops. Targets: 2644 and 2639. Get ready!
Upside Potential: A push above this zone could fuel a rally! Next targets: 2680 and 2698.
XAUUSD- Bearish Continuation or Reverse...GOLD
Technical Analysis
Gold recently dropped below a key pivot level, signaling a potential bearish continuation. Notably, as we mentioned yesterday already dropped about 85$
Bearish Scenario: If Gold remains below the pivot at 2677, further declines are expected toward the support levels of 2644 and potentially down to 2629. Stability below 2629 would reinforce bearish momentum, targeting 2587 as the next level.
Bullish Scenario: A move above 2677 may trigger a bullish rebound, with an initial target at 2695. Sustained trading above 2706 would suggest further upside potential, aiming toward 2749.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2677 - 2668
Resistance Levels: 2695, 2706, 2720
Support Levels: 2645, 2629, 2606
previous idea:
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Road to 80000 Confirmed?! ₿
BTC finally updated the all-time high, violating a major historic
resistance and closing above that on a daily.
It opens a potential for a further growth to 80000 level - the next
psychological structure.
For buying, consider a huge contracting demand zone based on
a broken horizontal resistance and a rising trend line.
With a high probability, it will be retested before the rally.
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GBPNZD: Important Breakout & Bearish OutlookGBPNZD has broken and closed below a strong horizontal support level on intraday charts.
The blue area marked is also the neckline of an inverted cup & handle pattern.
This violation could lead to further downward movement, with the next targets being 2.148 and then 2.141, support level.
Traders may want to look for opportunities to enter short positions on a retest of the broken support level.
S&P 500 Eyes New Highs: 43 ATHs and CountingTechnical Analysis
The price has pushed up as we mentioned yesterday and is still moving toward a new all-time high (ATH). Notably, the S&P 500 has recorded 43 ATHs this year and continues to reach new highs.
As long as it trades above 5931, it is likely to reach 6002 before starting a bearish trend.
Alternatively, if the price drops from here and closes a 4-hour candle below 5931, it will support a bearish move toward 5891.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5933
Resistance Levels: 5985, 6002
Support Levels: 5891, 5863, 5815
Trend outlook: Uptrend
previous idea:
BTC 4h-48 long forecastBTC looks very bullish on almost any timeframe. structure tells us we could have a pullback soon into unmitigated MB's which act as large SnD zones for those who dont know. MB's tend to have a high % of being mitigated before the long trend can continue. they get mitigated to cover the institutional shorts that made that last move down to liquidate any longs before the pump happened. Of course there isnt always a mitigation and this could very well continue upwards without any for of mitigation but that is something we shouldnt trade as there is very limited RR to capitalize on.
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish.
This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure.
Price is now trading within an established swing range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone.
Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - gold waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of an upward correction by the FOMC today, we can see a supply zone and sell within that zone with a suitable risk reward.
Donald Trump’s victory in the Tuesday presidential election could alter the economic outlook of the United States and influence the Federal Reserve’s policies in the coming months. Concerns about how much pressure Trump might exert on the U.S. central bank in his second term have resurfaced.
In his campaign, Trump has pledged to impose stricter tariffs on America’s trading partners, deport millions of unauthorized immigrants, and extend the tax cuts approved in 2017. If these policies are implemented, they could exert upward pressure on prices, wages, and budget deficits, creating significant challenges for the Federal Reserve.
Under these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will face increased obstacles in achieving its 2% inflation target while maintaining employment levels. Furthermore, if Trump continues his pattern of public criticism of Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, the U.S. central bank may find itself under political scrutiny.
The Federal Reserve officials have decided to lower interest rates by 25 basis points today, following a half-point reduction in September. The September forecasts indicate another quarter-point cut for December and a full one-percentage-point cut planned for 2025.
Following the rate announcement, Powell is likely to address questions in a press conference about the impact of the election on Fed policies. During Trump’s first term, he faced repeated criticism from him, and recently, Trump has criticized Powell for delays in policy decisions.
EURGBP - How will BOE decisions affect the pound?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to the meeting of the Central Bank of England today, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with appropriate risk reward. Breaking the specified support range will pave the way for this currency pair to continue its decline
Britain’s Treasury Secretary, Reeves, stated that it is still too early to make changes to economic forecasts following the U.S. election. He also expressed confidence that trade flows between the UK and the U.S. will continue under Trump’s presidency, noting that during Trump’s previous term, the two nations had a strong and constructive relationship. Reeves showed optimism about Britain’s role in shaping the global economic agenda.
Meanwhile, the risk of a German government collapse appears more serious than ever. The German government has entered a new phase of political crisis that could potentially lead to the final breakdown of the ruling coalition.
Last Friday, a document from Germany’s Finance Minister, Christian Lindner, was leaked, outlining his plans for economic reform in Germany. This document analyzes the economic challenges facing the country and offers proposals, such as corporate tax cuts and increased working hours. With internal tensions peaking, the likelihood of government collapse has risen.
ECB Vice President De Guindos stated that the European Central Bank is committed to a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting approach and is increasingly confident in achieving the 2% inflation target. Goldman Sachs, in its latest report, has lowered its GDP growth forecast for the Eurozone in 2025 to 0.8%, down from the previous forecast of 1.1%. This revision was attributed to potential threats stemming from Trump’s tariff policies following his reelection.
XAGUSD - Silver Vs FOMC?!Silver is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the decline continues due to the FOMC today, we can see demand zone and buy within that range with a suitable risk reward. If the upward trend continues, silver can be sold within the specified supply zone.
World Bank analysts believe that silver is a precious metal worth monitoring in 2025. The World Bank has recently updated its commodity market forecasts. While gold is expected to maintain its strong performance within the broader market, analysts have forecasted weaker demand extending from next year through 2026.
The analysts noted, “Demand for gold from central banks and the jewelry sector, which together constitute about two-thirds of global demand, is likely to decrease due to unprecedented high prices.” Nevertheless, the World Bank sees greater potential in silver, given expectations that rising demand and limited supply will help support prices.
World Bank analysts further stated, “Silver demand is anticipated to increase steadily in the forecast horizon, driven by its dual financial and industrial uses.” With supply growth lagging behind the positive factors supporting demand, silver prices are projected to increase by 7% in 2025 and by 3% in 2026, following an expected 20% increase in 2024.
Many analysts expect silver to outperform gold by 2025, as it is currently priced well below its intrinsic value.
Nomura believes that a second Trump administration would focus heavily on tariff and tax policies, potentially leading to inflationary pressures and slower economic growth. Nomura forecasts that the Federal Reserve will respond prudently to these changes. The Federal Reserve is expected to implement two rate cuts this year, followed by a single cut in 2025, and then take a prolonged pause on further cuts.
NZDUSD -DXY will continue its upward trend?!The NZDUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of a downward correction, we can see the demand zone and buy within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Crossing the specified resistance range of this currency pair will provide the path for its ascent to higher price targets.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has stated that geopolitical tensions are considered a risk to financial stability. Concerns about these tensions have recently grown, and the potential impacts of these risks cannot be ignored. The RBNZ has also pointed out that the economic policies of former U.S. President Donald Trump would lead to increased inflationary pressures. Hawksby, an RBNZ official, noted that central banks have the capacity to manage the global ramifications of these policies.
Orr, the head of the RBNZ, mentioned that the world may have reached a peak in global trade, and Trump’s return to the White House could pose additional challenges for central banks. Trump has discussed imposing global tariffs of 10-20%, higher tariffs with China, reductions in corporate and personal taxes, and the lifting of bureaucratic regulations.
George Saravelos, a senior analyst at Deutsche Bank, has identified two key points regarding this situation: caution in making fundamental market changes and the way Trump’s and the Republicans’ policies are priced in. Saravelos believes these changes are not solely political but are also linked to the structure of financial markets. He notes that high-risk global assets are tracking the upward trend in U.S. equities, which has resulted in high-risk commodity currencies performing better. However, he stresses that this trend should not be easily projected into the future, and potential shifts in correlations should not be overlooked.
According to him, the U.S. election results are historic and could lead to structural changes in the markets, potentially breaking previous correlations. This implies that the U.S. market could continue to grow, while other global markets may experience negative performance. Saravelos also observes that markets are currently evaluating a relatively balanced set of policies, which differ from the election promises, particularly regarding budget deficits and tariffs. He believes that if Trump’s plans are implemented, there is a possibility of further increases in the valuation of the dollar and other financial instruments.
GOLD SCALPING ENTRY
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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Where is the NOTCOIN target?This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
After sweeping the lower liquidity pool and hitting the support area, it has broken a trigger line and is preparing for the next bullish wave.
We waited 154 days for NOT to hit this range (you can see in the previous analysis in Related publications), so this range is very valuable for us.
We must not forget that NOT is the leader of TON network meme coins
In our opinion, the first target can be hitting the white circle.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TIA is in the accumulation phaseTIA, popularly known as the heart of Ethereum, is showing signs of a "trend reversal". Whales are collecting this coin.
To enter the position, we must have a trading setup for TIA and specify the stop loss, which we have done on the chart.
We have a liquidity pool in the lower ranges that looks like it will sweep before moving up.
The targets are marked on the chart.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You