Gold (XAU/USD) Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe📉 Gold (XAU/USD) Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe
🔻 Bearish Market Structure with Key Demand Zones!
🔍 Observations:
✅ Liquidity Grab Below Recent Lows – Possible reversal setup.
✅ Demand Zone (2874-2882) – Ideal entry for long positions.
✅ Supply Zones Above (2923-2956) – Potential resistance areas.
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG) – Key levels for price reaction.
📊 Possible Scenario:
Gold may dip into the demand zone (2874-2882), grab liquidity, and then push back towards 2923-2956 resistance levels.
📈 Trading Plan:
🔹 Buy Zone: 2874-2882
🔹 Sell Zone: 2923-2956
#FXFOREVER #GoldTrading #XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction
Supply and Demand
#SHRIRAMFINANCE [27-02-2025]In trading and technical analysis, a supply zone is an area on a price chart where selling pressure is significantly strong, causing the price to reverse or drop. For Shriram Finance (a leading NBFC in India), identifying supply zones can help traders make informed decisions about exit points.
BBRI Potential Drop to 3090 Before a ReboundI'm forecasting that BBRI may decline further to the 3090-2930 demand zone, where an unfilled order block exists. There's a potential bounce in the 3750-3690 area, but if selling pressure continues, the price could reach the lower support before reversing. Watching for confirmation at these key levels before taking action.
What do you think? let discuss below? 😊
XAUUSD analysis looking for short.This is a candlestick chart showing the price movement of Gold (XAU) against the US Dollar (USD) on an hourly timeframe (1H).
The chart shows price action with red and yellow candlesticks indicating bearish and bullish movements. After a period of choppy, sideways movement, there’s a sharp downward price drop followed by a small recovery.
An "Entry Zone" is marked in a shaded red area between roughly 2,914 and 2,922, indicating a potential area where traders might look to enter short positions. Above this zone, a red-shaded region represents a stop-loss area around 2,931.765.
Two potential downward price movement projections are illustrated with black arrows, both suggesting a continuation of the downtrend after possible retests of the entry zone. The ultimate target for this move is marked near 2,865.335, suggesting a bearish outlook.
This chart reflects technical analysis aimed at identifying a short-selling opportunity, with a defined entry zone, stop-loss area, and target for taking profit.
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe)
Took out an untested low (liquidity)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
#PERSISTENT SYSTEM Demand ZoneIn trading and technical analysis, a demand zone is an area on a price chart where buying interest is significantly strong, causing the price to reverse or bounce upward. For Persistent Systems, a mid-cap IT services company, identifying demand zones can help traders make informed decisions about entry points.
#BANKNIFTY [Intraday Trading] 27/02/2025A gap opening occurs when the opening price of an index (like Bank Nifty) or a stock is significantly higher (gap-up) or lower (gap-down) than the previous day's closing price. This is usually driven by overnight news, global market trends, or changes in market sentiment.
#GRASIM INDUSTRIES SUPPLY ZONEGrasim Industries, commonly known as Grasim, is a flagship company of the Aditya Birla Group. It is a leading player in the viscose staple fiber (VSF) and cement sectors, among other businesses. Grasim Industries operates in various supply zones depending on the product and market demand.
GBP/USD Poised for a Pullback at Key ResistanceTrend Identification:
Since early January, GBP/USD has been trading within an Ascending Channel indicating an Uptrend.
Resistance Level:
The pair has reached a significant horizontal resistance level around 1.2700, So GBPUSD can Drop to the Lower Support Trend Line of the Channel.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own due diligence and risk assessment before executing any trades.
Bullish Yen Trade IdeaThe Japanese Yen has shown signs of strengthening against major currencies, with recent price action indicating a potential bullish reversal. The market has established a solid support zone, and the current setup suggests the Yen could gain further momentum if it breaks through key resistance levels. A confirmed breakout could pave the way for sustained upside movement
Bullish Euro Trade IdeaThe Euro has been showing strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, breaking key resistance levels and maintaining a steady uptrend. The market is currently testing a critical level that could lead to further upside if broken. A successful breakout above this level could signal continuation towards higher targets.
Back to Basics: Fibonacci Retracement of the Cycle🔎 Weekly Chart: BTC Closes GAP and Moves Towards 69K?
The weekly close brought new critical insights to the market, reinforcing the idea that the correction may not be over. In addition to the CME Futures GAP, which extends between 80.6K and 78K , Bitcoin is finishing the closure of GAP 1 on the weekly chart and still has GAP 2 ahead, sitting just below.
📌 Is the Yellow Rectangle a Strong Demand Zone?
The yellow rectangle, highlighted around the 0.618 Fibonacci level (72.8K) with a bottom at 69K , could be signaling a potential valid Demand Zone where major players might be positioned. To validate this thesis, we observe:
✅ The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement has historically acted as a major institutional support level, making it a strategic buying zone. ✅ The 69K region aligns with the all-time high of 2021, suggesting it could serve as a psychological support level for the market. ✅ The Volume Profile shows a lower transactional interest between 80K and 72K, creating a potential liquidity void that could be filled quickly in a sell-off.
🛑 Can BTC Drop to 69K? Scenarios for This Level
Losing 80K could trigger a cascading liquidation event, driving BTC towards lower support levels. The main reasons supporting a move down to 69K include:
1️⃣ GAP Closure: The CME Futures GAP is already in the process of closing, and just below it, GAP 2 on the weekly chart suggests that further corrections may still be ahead. 2️⃣ Liquidity & Volume Profile: There’s a lack of strong buying interest between 80K and 72K, making it easier for BTC to drop to the 0.618 Fibo level . 3️⃣ Macro Sentiment: Fear in the market is increasing with capital outflows from ETFs and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. 4️⃣ Technical Indicators: On the weekly chart, Wavetrend and MoneyFlow are declining, while the KDJ indicator remains in the oversold zone, suggesting more downside potential before a meaningful recovery.
If the Order Block at the 0.618 Fibonacci level is validated, 69K could become a crucial support level, potentially setting the stage for a new bullish rally if the market stabilizes. Otherwise, BTC may test even lower price levels.
📊 Volume Profile: VAL Extends from 96.6K to 70.1K – Key Liquidity Zone
An important observation on the weekly chart is the Value Area Low (VAL) , which stretches from 96.6K down to 70.1K , highlighted in the image with a blue circle and two blue flags marking the upper and lower boundaries of this range. This range represents a high-volume liquidity zone where price action has historically shown strong reactions.
Why is this range significant?
✅ The upper boundary at 96.6K has acted as resistance, where price faced selling pressure in previous attempts to break higher. ✅ The lower boundary at 70.1K coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement , reinforcing the potential for a strong demand zone. ✅ Inside this range, trading volume has been consistently high, indicating that institutional players may have positioned themselves here. ✅ If BTC loses the 80K support, the lack of strong liquidity pockets between 80K and 72K could lead to a rapid move toward the lower VAL limit.
If Bitcoin revisits this range, watch for potential buy-side interest at the lower boundary ( 70.1K ), which could serve as a critical support level for a reversal. However, a failure to hold this level could open the doors for deeper corrections below 69K.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Key Levels & Trend Reversal?
Gold is attempting to recover after bouncing from the $2,891-$2,895 support area (green arrow). The recent breakdown led to a retest of the major demand zone, which has historically provided strong buying interest.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: $2,891-$2,895 (blue line & previous demand).
Resistance: $2,939-$2,945 (red arrow) – a key supply zone that must be cleared for further upside.
🔹 Bullish Case:
If price breaks above $2,939-$2,945, we could see a push toward $2,956+ (previous highs).
The bounce from the lower Bollinger Band and VWAP support signals potential upside momentum.
🔹 Bearish Case:
If price fails to break above $2,939, another drop to $2,891 or lower is possible.
A rejection from resistance could confirm a lower high, signaling continued weakness.
⚠️ Key Level to Watch: $2,939-$2,945 – Breakout or Rejection?
BTC/USDT 4H – Breakdown & Key Levels
📉 **BTC/USDT 4H – Breakdown & Key Levels**
Bitcoin has **broken down from a prolonged consolidation range** (blue zone), failing to reclaim the key resistance at **~$96,858**. The rejection from the **200 EMA (blue)** confirmed bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline.
🔹 **Support Levels:**
- **$82,222** (recent low) – Held briefly.
- **$78,000 - 80,000** (thick blue line) – Major support area from historical price action and VWAP levels.
🔹 **Bearish Case:**
- Breakdown from $82,222 could open the door to **$78K-$80K**.
- Volume is increasing on the dump, confirming strong selling pressure.
🔹 **Bullish Case:**
- Bulls need to reclaim **$91,800+** for a reversal.
- A bounce from $78K-$80K could trigger a relief rally.
⚠️ **Watch for reactions at the next support level!**
Ethena $ENA is Heating Up – Institutional AdoptionThis weeek, Ethena Labs and its synthetic stablecoin USDe have been making waves in the crypto space.
Here’s what’s happening:
1. Massive $100M Funding Round in Dec 2024 reveald
Ethena raised $100M in a private sale of BINANCE:ENAUSDT tokens to support its new blockchain for TradFi institutions.
Key investors: Franklin Templeton & F-Prime Capital (Fidelity’s VC arm).
The private sale was reportedly completed in December 2024, offering Ethena’s eponymous governance token, BINANCE:ENAUSDT , to investors at an average price of $0.40.
New product launch: iUSDe, a stablecoin designed specifically for institutional finance.
Why it matters: This signals deepening TradFi interest in crypto-native stablecoins. If major financial firms are getting involved, it suggests long-term strategic positioning.
2. MEXC Drops $20M on USDe – Plus $1M in Rewards
MEXC acquired $20M in USDe to promote stablecoin adoption.
$1M reward campaign launched to incentivize staking & usage.
MEXC Ventures also invested $16M in Ethena Labs to support ecosystem growth.
Why it matters: Exchanges are not just listing USDe—they’re actively acquiring it and pushing incentives to drive adoption. This could significantly increase its market presence vs. USDT & USDC.
3. Risk Management Upgrade – Chaos Labs’ Oracles
Ethena integrated Chaos Labs’ Edge Proof of Reserves Oracles.
Goal: Enhance transparency and independent verification of USDe reserves.
Comes right after USDe volatility due to Bybit’s $1.5B ETH hack.
Why it matters: Ethena is addressing concerns about reserve security & DeFi transparency, which could attract more institutional capital.
4. Partnership with Trump’s World Liberty Financial (WLFI)
Ethena’s sUSDe stablecoin will serve as a collateral asset for WLFI.
WLFI is backed by Trump’s family and allies, positioning itself as a “Made in USA” financial platform.
Aave’s risk assessment approved sUSDe, increasing its legitimacy.
Why it matters: This could bring Ethena closer to regulatory approval and Republican-friendly financial networks, boosting its institutional credibility in the US.
Key Market Reactions & Speculation
USDe supply is nearing 6B, making it the 3rd largest stablecoin after USDT & USDC.
ENA price surged 8.5% in 24 hours, as whales accumulate.
Some speculate big investors are positioning ahead of major announcements.
Final Thoughts – What’s Next?
BINANCE:ENAUSDT has dropped to $0.40 – exactly the private sale price from December 2024, where institutional investors like Franklin Templeton & F-Prime Capital (Fidelity VC) entered.
Why This Level Matters:
Final Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap) support zone – macro trend remains intact if it holds.
Institutional break-even level – smart money doesn’t like losing; potential for re-accumulation.
iUSDe Launch Coming Soon – a major narrative driver for the ecosystem.
USDe adoption & integrations expanding (Chaos Labs oracles, WLFI partnership, MEXC buy-in).
If a major listing or ETF tie-in happens, ENA could explode—but if USDe faces regulatory pressure, we might see a harsh correction.
Risks:
Still, USDe is NOT a fiat-backed stablecoin. Its yield model (9%) and DeFi integration mean risks remain.
How to Play This?
Option 1: DCA Now – Accumulate here while price stabilizes in the demand zone.
Option 2: Wait for LTF Range – Look for deviations & liquidity sweeps before confirming re-accumulation.
It's Time for Bitcoin's Future Trend!As I mentioned in my post yesterday, there was a possibility of the price dropping to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, from which I expected active buying followed by a trend reversal for Bitcoin and the entire crypto market.
The price of Bitcoin has dropped to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and this was enough to trigger a reaction. We’ve already seen a +2,000 price bounce, and there may still be some volatility with price movements up and down, but a drop below 82k is unlikely. I’m waiting for the daily candle to close, after which I will consider my strategy for opening a position.
GER40 in a Strong Uptrend - Will Buyers Push Toward 23,225?PEPPERSTONE:GER40 continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by a well-defined ascending trendline and sustained buying pressure. Recent price action indicates that buyers remain in control, reinforcing the potential for a continued move toward the 23,225 level.
A pullback toward the trendline could provide an opportunity for buyers to step in, maintaining the overall bullish trajectory. As long as the price remains above this key support, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
WTI Crude Oil at Critical Support – Rebound Toward 72$?TVC:USOIL has reached a key demand zone, which has historically provided strong support. The recent decline has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support at this level, we could see a rebound toward 72$, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
THE OVERALL WEEKNESS OF USD CAN NOT BE HIDDENGBPUSD - U.S Dollar start the day very strong but in 30 days performance is the weakest of all the players. On GBPUSD pair we can find a very good set up for Buy. The price broke the last Supply zone and for the last 7 days price show rejection for the zone. Until the end of the week it is possible to see the price moving to the next zone.