Supply and Demand
BankNifty levels - May 27, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - May 27, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
UnitedHealth Group:A Healthcare Giant Undervalued Amid AI GrowthUnitedHealth Group NYSE:UNH , the largest health insurer in the U.S., has faced turbulence, with its stock dropping from $600 to $295.57-a 53.1% decline since its peak. Despite challenges, UNH presents a compelling value play, leveraging AI to drive growth and efficiency. Here’s why investors should consider this healthcare titan at its current price.
A Rough Road: DOJ Probe and Public Backlash
UNH’s recent struggles stem from two major events. In December 2024, Brian Thompson, CEO of its insurance division, passed away in New York City, sparking criticism of UNH and the U.S. health insurance system. Following this, the U.S. Department of Justice launched an investigation in early 2025, alleging potential Medicare fraud through inflated treatment costs in UNH’s Medicare Advantage business. These events have shaved over $225 billion off UNH’s market cap since November 2024, bringing it to $264.80 billion.
However, such challenges are not something new for large corporations. Historically, giants like UNH settle regulatory issues with fines rather than severe penalties. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.A remains a major shareholder, signaling confidence in UNH’s governance and long-term stability.
Financial Strength and Undervaluation
Despite the selloff, UNH’s fundamentals remain robust. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 11.4x, down from 17 earlier in May 2025, reflecting the price drop. Analysts project 2025 EPS at $30, implying a forward P/E of 9.7-a bargain for a company of UNH’s stature. Its 3.1% dividend yield, bolstered by 15 years of consecutive increases, adds income appeal. With a market-leading position, serving ~150 million individuals globally, and strong cash flows, UNH is well-positioned to weather short-term storms.
AI: A Catalyst for Growth
UNH is harnessing AI to transform its operations. Handling ~5 billion claims annually, the company uses AI to automate claims processing, reducing costs and boosting margins. AI also analyzes patient data to assist doctors with treatment decisions, enhancing care quality. Beyond internal efficiency, UNH aims to monetize this technology by selling AI solutions to other insurers and medical institutions, opening a new revenue stream. Such moves and steps in this way aligns with UNH’s broader strategy of leveraging technology to modernize healthcare, as seen in its Optum division’s focus on data analytics and pharmacy services.
Investment Case: Buy on Weakness?
At $295.57, UNH is undervalued, offering a margin of safety for long-term investors. Its forward P/E of 9.7 and 3.1% dividend yield make it attractive, while AI-driven growth positions it for future gains. Risks remain, as usual-regulatory fines and market volatility could pressure the stock-but healthcare’s resilience and UNH’s leadership mitigate these concerns. Investors seeking a stable, growth-oriented play in a turbulent market may find UNH as a pretty well buy case.
SPY - Ground Up Multi-Time Frame Analysis!Lots of interesting algorithms at play here between the LTF and HTF algorithms. We need to be very cautious before entering long-term positions.
But, there will be great opportunities to take LTF trades once we start seeing our green tapered buying proving itself and/or a respect and proof of a selling channel like orange or red
Happy Trading :)
Possible scenario for todayI'm waiting for a reaction from one of these three supply zones for a potential short. Those ugly lows and the 50% level I've been waiting for are still there. However, since there was accumulation in almost every coin I watched yesterday, I wouldn't be surprised if it just keeps going higher.
NASDAQ100 (US100) – Supply Zone Rejection in Play?Fundamental
Despite strong earnings from big tech and resilient economic data, concerns around Fed’s hawkish tone and sticky inflation are resurfacing. Rate cut expectations are being pushed further out, weighing on high-growth sectors like tech.
Technical
The index is testing a key supply zone between 21,380–21,420, aligned with previous highs and fib levels (0.618–0.786). Volume is thinning above, and momentum (Stoch RSI) shows early signs of bearish divergence.
Trade Setup (Short-biased)
- Entry: If price rejects the 21,380–21,420 zone. Before entering, make sure you see bearish pressure first. Like strong red candle on 1h, 2h time frame.
- First Take Profit 1: 20,600
- Second Take Profit 2: 20,000
Follow me for updates on entry confirmation, scaling strategies, and live adjustments.
Thank you
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. Maintaining the drawn trend line will lead to its reaching $120,000.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Over the past 200 days, since Trump’s electoral victory, investment funds (ETFs) and major corporations have collectively purchased and withdrawn approximately 607,000 bitcoins from the market.
▪️ Around 200,000 bitcoins were acquired by ETFs.
▪️ MicroStrategy alone accumulated nearly 300,000 bitcoins.
▪️ The remaining 100,000 bitcoins were bought by other companies.
This substantial level of acquisition has removed a significant portion of bitcoin from circulation, creating what is known as a “supply shock”—a situation where the reduced availability of bitcoin could drive prices higher due to scarcity.
On February 6, 2025, Eric Trump declared that it was an opportune time to invest in bitcoin. Shortly after this statement, the price of bitcoin dropped by about 25%. However, the market soon shifted momentum, and bitcoin entered a strong upward trend. On May 22, Trump tweeted again, stating: “Hope you listened… This is just the beginning!”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, set to take place on May 28 in Las Vegas.Earlier in March, President Trump signed an executive order establishing a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and a “U.S. Digital Asset Reserve,” solidifying the government’s new, supportive stance toward cryptocurrencies.
The Vice President’s upcoming participation in this event underscores the seriousness of the administration’s digital asset policy and reinforces the likelihood that digital assets will gain a more formal and structured role within the U.S. financial and strategic reserve systems.
Jurrien Timmer, Chief Economist at Fidelity, believes that bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark signals its growing alignment with gold as a store-of-value asset. He suggests a 4-to-1 ratio of gold to bitcoin in a value-preservation investment portfolio.
Although bitcoin had a sluggish start in 2025, capital inflows into bitcoin ETFs have resumed—especially as macroeconomic conditions have begun to improve. While gold has posted gains of around 30% so far this year, bitcoin hasn’t matched that performance yet. Nonetheless, analysts continue to project significantly higher price targets for bitcoin within this same year.
Meanwhile, the crypto exchange Kraken announced that it will soon launch tokenized stock offerings for Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia. These tokenized stocks will be available for trading by users outside of the United States.
Importantly, these assets will be tradable 24/7—much like cryptocurrencies—which marks a major departure from the traditional trading hours of Wall Street. Kraken confirmed that the feature will roll out in the coming weeks, initially targeting regions such as Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia.
EURUSD BUY 1.136On the 4-hour chart, EURUSD maintains a volatile upward trend. Currently, we can pay attention to the support near 1.136. If it falls back and stabilizes, we can consider continuing to buy. The upper resistance is the previous supply area of 1.148-1.157. If the price falls below the support near 1.130, it will start to fall.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that you should avoid looking for sell/short positions, as Bitcoin's price pattern was designed to trap short positions. The price followed the direction of the previous yellow arrow as anticipated.
Currently, the major resistance zone for Bitcoin on the chart is the red area. In this zone, a complete bullish pattern could potentially form | or at the very least, one leg of a bullish pattern may be completed.
Let’s see how it plays out.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NAS100 - Will the stock market go down?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the ascending channel breaks, expect corrective moves, and if this channel line is maintained, its upward path will be available to the next supply range.
In that range, we can also sell Nasdaq with appropriate risk-reward.
With Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, trade tensions have once again taken center stage in global economic news, temporarily drawing attention away from more structural issues. However, these new developments have not diminished deeper concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and the federal government’s fiscal policies. Last week, the release of details regarding a new budget bill in Congress—coupled with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating—sparked renewed anxiety in the markets about America’s fiscal stability. These concerns have now taken on more complexity amid the intensifying trade conflict.
The bill, which narrowly passed through the House of Representatives, could potentially add up to $4 trillion to the federal debt. This projection triggered a sharp reaction in the U.S. Treasury market, causing long-term bond yields to rise significantly.
Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on European goods—specifically naming iPhones—negatively impacted market sentiment in U.S. equities. Past trade confrontations with China suggest that Trump typically avoids actions that significantly harm the stock market and tends to retreat from hardline positions. Thus, buying the dip might be a sound strategy, though accurately timing entry is crucial.
Pinpointing the right entry time remains difficult, and perhaps the most reliable signal would come directly from Trump himself. With the July 9 deadline for the tariffs approaching and no formal trade agreement in place, the best course for market participants is to remain cautious and watch for any signs of a policy reversal.
Despite persistent worries over budget deficits and rising Treasury yields, Morgan Stanley remains bullish on the outlook for U.S. equities and bonds.
Morgan Stanley projects the following:
• The S&P 500 is expected to reach 6,500 by mid-2026, representing a roughly 10% gain from current levels. Key drivers of this growth include lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and productivity gains fueled by artificial intelligence.
• The recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield is considered temporary, with expectations that it will decline to around 3.45% by mid-2026. There is still no strong evidence of a significant outflow of foreign capital from U.S. markets.
Although the upcoming week will be shortened due to the Memorial Day holiday on Monday, a packed economic calendar starting Tuesday is expected to quickly reenergize market activity.
Tuesday will bring the release of durable goods orders for April and the consumer confidence index for May—two data points that could provide clearer insight into domestic demand and household spending trends. On Wednesday afternoon, attention will turn to the minutes from the May FOMC meeting, where investors will search for clues about potential shifts in the Federal Reserve’s tone regarding future rate cuts.
Thursday will be loaded with key economic indicators: weekly jobless claims, the first estimate of Q1 GDP, and existing home sales data. The week will conclude on Friday with the release of the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which plays a pivotal role in shaping its monetary policy decisions.
Meanwhile, Nvidia is preparing to launch its new AI chip, Blackwell, in the Chinese market at a more affordable price. Based on the Blackwell architecture, the chip will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000—lower than the H20 model, which costs between $10,000 and $12,000.
This price reduction results from simpler technical specifications and a lower-cost manufacturing process. The new chip uses GDDR7 memory instead of high-bandwidth memory and lacks the advanced CoWoS packaging technology.
GRT Analysis (12H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that a large-degree triangle on the GRT chart has completed, and we are now in a new wave sequence.
In these new downward waves, wave A/W has completed, and it now appears we are in the middle of wave B/X.
We are looking for a rebuy opportunity around the green zone.
It is expected that during the middle of wave B/X, there will be a correction down toward the green zone, followed by an upward move to continue wave B/X.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Skeptic | Silver (XAG/USD): Bullish Breakout Ready to Surge?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s dive into a quick Silver (XAG/USD) update—I’m catching some serious bullish vibes! 😎
On the 4-hour chart , Silver’s teasing a major resistance level right now. Keep your eyes locked on 33.68855 . If we break and hold above it, we could see a nice rally kick off. You can also use RSI hitting overbought to confirm that bullish momentum is heating up. Just stay patient and wait for that breakout confirmation to ride the wave! 👀 By the way, for you forex traders out there, what’s your go-to alternative to volume, which is super key in crypto? Drop your thoughts in the comments so we can learn together! 📝
💬 Let’s Chat!
If this sparks some trading ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Want me to dive into another pair or setup? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out—keep trading sharp! ✌️
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Breakdown
📅 Date: Sunday, 26th May 2025
🕗 Time: LND Session AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001433
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001401 (+2.23%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001440 (-0.49%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.57
🔍 Reasoning:
A New York session high was swept during the Tokyo session, triggering a liquidity trap. This was quickly followed by strong sell-side pressure, validating the setup for a lower low. The LND session entry capitalised on directional momentum as market structure broke to the downside
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BONK/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 26th May 2025
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001992
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001908 (+4.22%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00002007 (-0.75%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.60
🔍 Reasoning:
This breakout trade was initiated after BONK/USDT failed to sustain its rally and formed a lower high structure. The price broke below a key intraday support zone during the LND AM session, signalling a shift in directional order flow.
TSLA: Not recommended by me!Hello Traders,
TSLA Tesla fundamental score is not really good for me! My score is based on EPS data and EPS forecasts. there might be better stocks out there!
Regarding the technical aspects, White it reacted to the bottom of the channel median of the channel might be a small struggle. There is a strong possible resistance on the way up. I prefer to give a better/safer score after breaking this zone. Also, if we just consider technical analysis, any long options should have a SL, the possible rational SL is so far from the current price. in case of correction or breaking the zone, the possible SL could be very tighter.
Fundamental: Not recommended.
Technical: So-So.
Overall: I don't buy
🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The Australian dollar continues to show strength, On the 4H chart, AUDUSD has confirmed a bullish market structure. We observed a breakout above the previous major resistance at 0.63500, which now serves as a key support level.
After this breakout, a Change of Character (CHOCH) was confirmed, followed by multiple retests of the 0.63500 level and a clean rally toward the minor resistance at 0.65200.
We’re currently monitoring for accumulation and a possible liquidity sweep below the minor key zone. This is a typical setup for institutions to trigger stop losses before the next move higher.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 0.65290
🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 0.64770 (just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): 0.66900 (next minor resistance zone)
Meanwhile, Australia’s resilience, rising commodity prices, and a hawkish central bank continue to support the AUD’s bullish outlook.
Fundamental Outlook:
Labor Market Strength
Australia’s employment data remains solid, with consistent job gains and low unemployment, reinforcing confidence in the country’s economic stability.
RBA Hawkish Tone
The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a firm stance on inflation, leaving the door open for possible rate hikes. This hawkish outlook adds upward pressure on AUD.
Commodity Price Recovery
As a key exporter, Australia benefits from rising prices in gold, iron ore, and copper—particularly driven by China’s demand recovery.
Weakening USD
The U.S. dollar is under pressure due to dovish Fed expectations, fiscal uncertainty, and a rise in speculative short positions, boosting AUD/USD.
(Source: Bloomberg, Reuters)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.