USOIL:Analysis of the Oil Market Trend for Next WeekAmid the anticipated trade uncertainties, concerns on the supply side have resurfaced. With the April 2nd tariff effective date approaching, the market is taking a cautious stance in the short - term. Supported by the decline in oil inventories and the prevailing concerns, oil prices have rebounded and are nearing the resistance range. In the medium - term, the market is constrained by the expected slowdown in global demand, and the focus is on waiting for the resistance test.
Strategy recommendations: Given the range - bound trading, consider short - selling at high levels and buying at low levels.
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Supply and Demand
XAUUSD:Analysis of the Gold Market Trend for Next WeekOn Friday, the gold price fluctuated between 3,086 and 3,066, but there was no sign of peaking. Currently, the bullish trend in the gold market remains intact, and it is expected to reach new highs next week.
In the early trading session on Thursday, it was already indicated that the trend would turn bullish, and the consecutive upward movements on Thursday and Friday were in line with our expectations. At present, the gold price closed at around 3,085.
On next Monday, one needs to be wary of the risks of a gap-up or gap-down opening. The upper resistance lies between 3,090 and 3,094. If it firmly stands at this level, it will test the position of 3,111. The lower support is at 3,070-3,065.
In terms of operation, Xu Gucheng suggests that on next Monday, the main strategy should be to go long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
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BTC:Seize the opportunity to go long
BTC broke below 83,000 and continued to decline, reaching around the lowest level of 82,000. Currently, it generally shows a downward trend.
In my opinion, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
Before that, BTC can still be regarded as bullish, and each pullback to the demand zone can be considered as an opportunity to go long.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@82000-82300
TP:83000-85000
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USD/JPY 4H – Bearish Setup Forming?The pair is rejecting a major supply zone, signaling potential downside movement. A liquidity sweep paired with imbalance zone may have fueled this reversal, and price is now testing lower levels.
📊 Key Observations:
✔ Supply Zone Rejection: Price reacted strongly from the 151.200–151.500 zone.
✔ Liquidity Grab ($$$): Stops above the highs may have been taken before the sell-off.
✔ Imbalance (IMB) & Demand Zone: The 147.600–147.800 area remains untested and could act as a target.
🔎 Trade Idea: A short position could be considered upon a retracement into the smaller supply zone (150.600–150.900), targeting the demand zone below.
AUD/USD 1H – Testing Demand Zone for a Potential Reversal?The pair is currently retesting a strong demand zone, with multiple rejections seen in this area. A Break of Structure (BoS) indicates bullish potential, but price needs to confirm a reversal before a strong upside move.
📊 Key Observations:
✔ Break of Structure (BoS): Bullish intent was confirmed earlier.
✔ Swing Structure Support (SSS): Holding for now, but a deeper test of demand is possible.
✔ Demand Zone Reaction: If price holds above 0.6270–0.6255, a bullish reversal is likely.
🔎 Trade Idea: Looking for bullish confirmations within the demand zone. A clean rejection could offer long opportunities toward recent highs.
EUR/USD Daily – Retracement Before Bullish Continuation?The pair recently breached a Daily Supply Zone (D1 SZ) with a candle body, signaling bullish strength. However, price is currently pulling back, and a deeper retracement toward the Daily Demand Zone (D1 DZ) is possible before the next leg up.
📊 Key Observations:
✔ Break of Structure (BoS): Confirmed bullish intent.
✔ Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.786–0.88 retracement zone aligns with the D1 DZ, making it a high-probability reaction zone.
✔ Expected Move: Potential bearish retracement before a strong push toward new highs.
🔎 Trade Idea: Monitoring for bullish confirmation at the D1 DZ before entering long positions. A clean rejection could signal a strong continuation to the upside.
#BITCOIN: Another drop and then Swing Bounce $125,000The current market sentiment is bearish, indicating a potential further decline towards the 65k price point. However, we anticipate a rebound towards the 125k region. As we approach the 65k threshold, we expect a substantial price increase.
To make informed investment decisions, it is crucial to observe a strong bullish trend before considering any bullish entries.
For more insights and market analysis, please like and comment.🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
My Directional Bias on GBPJPY for the long run {29/03/2025}Educational Analysis says that GBPJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - FXCM
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
1) Break of structure on weekly range is down trend for the long run period of 10 years, may be it switch to new character or change its direction to bullish.
2) External pushback structure is the trading range where it trades on the smaller time frame,
On this structure range market on inside trading or smaller time frame is bullish towards fib of 1.618 and make turn to fill the fair value gaps of it.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDCHF I Weekly CLS I Daily OB, Model 1, CLS 50% TargetHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Hit the like if you like trading !!
David Perk ⚔
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - CLS Range I Continuation SetupHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
Where is the rebuy zone for CKB? (2D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, the CKB correction has begun.
It seems that CKB is in a bearish wave C.
We have identified two entry points for rebuy, where a position can be taken in the spot market.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
DXY 1H – Potential Sweep Before Uptrend ContinuationThe Dollar Index recently closed above a previous lower high, signaling a possible bullish trend continuation. However, the recent drop has only seen wicks covering the higher low, suggesting this may just be a liquidity sweep rather than a true bearish reversal.
📊 Key Observations:
✔ Higher Low Sweep: Current price action suggests liquidity is being grabbed before a potential move higher.
✔ Daily Structure: This move aligns with a possible sweep on the D1 timeframe, meaning a bullish reaction could be imminent.
🔎 Next Steps: Watching for bullish confirmation before taking long positions. If price reclaims support, a continuation toward higher levels is likely.
XAUUSD 15M Analysis – Key Resistance & Potential Short SetupGold is currently testing a strong resistance zone marked by multiple wicks, indicating potential rejection. A minor Break of Structure (BoS) has occurred, and price is struggling to break higher. If price closes below the marked BoS level with a solid candle body, it confirms bearish momentum.
🔻 Trade Idea: If price breaks below this level, I'll look for a short entry from the Supply Zone (SZ) to the Demand Zone (DZ) for a potential move lower.
📉 Bearish Confirmation: A strong close below support would signal further downside. Watching for price action confirmation before entering a trade.
GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11
AMEX:SPY
I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside.
When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo.
Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown.
XAUUSD BUYS Hey everyone this is how we end the week tho price hasn’t hit our target and I’m still on the trade but trade has already did 1:3 so I believe you made back the loss that we lost on Monday before catching this move my TP is more than 1:3 but if you set yours 1:3 Congrats and enjoy your weekend till next week…