Supply and Demand
Bitcoin Long Setup: Two Potential Entry Zones After The DropHello, traders! As predicted, Bitcoin is perfectly following Scenario #2 from my previous analysis.
📉 What Happened?
The instrument showed a fake rally, luring impatient traders into premature long positions, only to liquidate them with a sharp downward move. The primary Point of Interest (POI) remains below us — this is where the "whale" aims to deliver the price to fill their orders and close the shorts they used for the initial SSL manipulation.
My Trading Scenarios & Entry Plan
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Mitigation of the Primary POI
My expectation remains the same: a reaction upon the mitigation of the 4h order block , which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Entry Condition: The level must hold on at least the 4H timeframe, confirmed by a bullish reversal and an order flow shift on the Lower Timeframe (LTF).
Zone: $102,745 - $103,868
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the 78.6% Fib level would invalidate this scenario.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab
If the liquidity at the 4h OB isn't enough for the whale to continue the uptrend, they might trigger a more aggressive decline to grab liquidity from the low at $100,370.
Entry Condition: A swift sweep of this low, followed by a sharp reclaim of the level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on the LTF.
Zone: $100,700 - $102,000
Invalidation: A candle close below the $100,370 liquidity level would invalidate this scenario.
Final Thoughts
Do not open positions just because the price has reached a POI. Wait for a clear reversal reaction and LTF confirmation for more conservative and safer entries. Always use stop-losses to protect your capital; no setup has a 100% win rate, and for every whale, there can always be a bigger one.
To be consistently profitable, you just need to find setups with a win rate greater than 50% — this is how casinos and professional traders operate.
Happy hunting with the whales — don't be the plankton. Follow their tracks.
Nifty 50 view Considering that, we have had already been in quarterly, and at the fag end of new Fiscal Year QTR which is Apr to Jun 25.
If you could observe present quarter has entered the domain July to Sep 24 domain, and it was challenging the previous data points. While it was doing so, it appears to be experiencing fatigue before challenging the highest zonal resitance of all time high.
For the time being index is weak on shorter time frames, but longer time frames are solid as of now.
The best biased opnion will be to buy on deeps
BankNifty levels - Jun 19, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - Jun 19, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Short trade
📍 Pair: CADJPY
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 106.484
Profit Level 106.029 (0.43%)
Stop Loss 106.603 (0.11%)
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.82
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1H Structure-Based Entry:
Trade was observed on the 1-hour chart, and sell-side trade was undertaken due to a clear bearish market structure in play.
Long trade
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 1.34293
Profit Level 1.35653 (+1.01%)
Stop Loss 1.34086 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.57 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Higher Timeframe Confluence:
Trade took off a 1-hour bullish order block following consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Choch + BOS Confirmed:
Clear change of character and break of structure gave the green light for a continuation long.
USDCAD is Nearing The Daily Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36950 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish Outlook and Price Structure for XAUUSDHi there,
A bearish outlook for gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bias toward the 3,100 area, targeting the highlighted demand zones.
Price-Movement Structure
We observe a three-wave corrective pattern that appears complete at the 3,494.98 high. Key observations:
- **Wave (A)** : Initial correction from the major low.
- **Wave (B)** : Complex sideways consolidation.
- **Wave (C)** : Extension to new highs, creating liquidity.
The current price action suggests potential institutional distribution at the highs. I am expecting a drop to approximately 3,349.94.
However, fundamentals such as interest rates, dollar strength, and geopolitical risks remain key drivers of bullish optimism.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Price moved well today sticking to the bias level and completing the first two TP levels we had shared. The path illustrated yesterday also worked well giving the move into the support level, then the bounce upside into resistance before then resuming the move.
With FOMC tomorrow we can expect any sharp movement to happen in the late session and Asia, otherwise the pre-event price action has begun, we have a range in play with resistance above at the 3395 level and support below 3355-60 which has been highlighted. The bias will stand for now but we're going to take a back seat.
Price: 3382
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3401 with targets below 3365, 3358 and below that 3350
Bullish on break of 3401 with target above 3410 and above that 3425
RED BOXES:
Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3416 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3378 for 3368✅ and 3355 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
SUI Macro AnalysisCRYPTOCAP:SUI macro analysis update...
📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook shows price action still outperforming most alts with a great rally recently. Target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $15
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook has price pulling back, looking to find a bottom between $2.3-2.65
War escalation's and retail selling are keeping price suppressed as price changes hands to private companies and large wallets.
The time for patience continues. Money is made in the sitting, weathering volatility, not flipping in and out of trades on every bit of news and price movement
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price is testing the weekly pivot and daily S1 pivot as support
Elliot Wave (EW) analysis was a strong, textbook motif wave with a wave 2 retracement underway. Wave 2 often extends to the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement of $2.4 but the alt-coin golden pocket is the 78.6 at $2.03. No surprises if we see that area revisited and could be a great buying opportunity.
Price has lost the daily 200EMA and DEMA which is bearish short term.
Safe trading
Mixed Signals On GoldIt’s been a while since I’ve posted an idea and for anyone who follows my posts, unfortunately I timed my trades poorly with the bearish pivot so I have taken a step back, and am now seeing some interesting developments happening in the market.
For now, I’ll keep it brief. I wanted to post a quick analysis on TVC:GOLD ahead of the rate decision using elements of the Wyckoff method and Elliott Wave. If you asked me a month ago where I thought Gold was heading, I would have said ATH - and while that can still happen, I’m seeing weakness on today’s chart that is worthy of attention.
For starters, The A wave established the pullback in a typical 3-wave pattern that mostly stayed within the channel. The bullish breakout was tested twice, so I would interpret it as bullish - however the subsequent flat movement and rejection at resistance suggests that the rise from May 14th could be losing steam.
The current price ($3,382) is at a neutral level. From here, we could see several scenarios play out; a false bullish breakout, a true bullish breakout, or a break below the channel to retest demand. Breaking out of the channel could signal a Change of Character (CHoCH), and could indicate that smart money is distributing in a flat pattern. If the price breaks down key level of support would be at the Sign of Weakness (SOW), which has confluence with the extended lines of the Wave A channel.
If Gold is set to rise to ATH, I still think it will need to pull back to find large buying volume in the middle of the Wyckoff channel (white rays) first. We will see what happens today, but it’s starting to look like the bears may have the upper hand here.
XAU/USD 18 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Seeing this big opportunity on Gold #XAUUSD like I am ?On Sunday, June 1st, Gold opened at $3,300 and has been climbing steadily all week, forming a key liquidity zone. These zones are super important in the trading world because that’s where institutions pull price back to trap retail traders and shake out weak hands. 🔁
On Friday, May 30th, Gold closed at $3,290, and opened that Sunday at $3,300, leaving what we call a GAP—a price space that usually needs to be filled. 👀
📊 Gold is still in a strong uptrend on the daily and weekly timeframes. This tells us that a pullback to the $3,300 zone could offer a prime entry point, especially where institutions grab liquidity to fuel the next bullish move up to $3,400. 🚀
✅ On Friday, June 6th, Gold marked a low at $3,307, giving us even more confirmation that a revisit to this price zone is likely before we push higher.
🔎 Why focus on daily candles? Simple. They give us better opportunities for scalping, day trading, and if the move reacts strong enough, even a clean swing trade.
#tradinggold #xauusd #liquidityzones #forextrader #daytrading #priceaction #gapstrategy #puertoricotrader #swingtrading #scalpingstrategy
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= VERSION ESPANOL =
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Desde el domingo 1 de junio, el Oro abrió en $3,300 y ha subido toda la semana, marcando una zona clave de liquidez institucional. Estas zonas son bien importantes porque es donde los grandes mueven el mercado, provocan retrocesos y atrapan a los traders que no están listos. 🔁
El viernes 30 de mayo el oro cerró en $3,290, y abrió el domingo en $3,300, dejando un GAP que aún está pendiente por rellenarse. 👀
📊 La tendencia del oro sigue siendo alcista en temporalidades de 1D y 1W. Eso significa que si el precio retrocede a la zona baja cerca de los $3,300, puede ser una entrada poderosa para que las instituciones recojan liquidez y empuje el precio hasta los $3,400. 🚀
✅ El viernes 6 de junio, el precio dejó un punto bajo en $3,307, lo que refuerza la probabilidad de ese movimiento alcista.
🔎 ¿Por qué velas de 1 día? Porque nos dan oportunidades claras para scalping, day trading y hasta un buen swing trade si el movimiento se confirma con fuerza.
#tradingpuertorico #xauusd #oro #liquidezinstitucional #daytrading #swingtrading #traderlatino #priceaction #gaptrading #scalpingestrategia
EURUSD Eyes Potential Bullish BatOn the daily chart, EURUSD is currently oscillating at a high level. In the short term, we can pay attention to the area around 1.1402 below. This position is a potential buying position for a bullish bat pattern, and this position is also within the previous demand area.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 21940.50
- PR Low: 21863.00
- NZ Spread: 173.50
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections
- FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
AMP margins increase to 25% for expected FOMC volatility spike
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/18)
- Session Open ATR: 375.35
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 213K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone