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Supply and Demand

THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a test of that 3250 level, then looking for the short into the target level given. This move played out well giving our traders a great start to the week. We then identified the level we wanted as the bias level, gave the bias as bullish above and the targets to go with it. All targets were completed and we managed to end the week with a mega capture on gold. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Simple one this week. We would like to see how price adapts to the new range, and due to the slight stretch, we would say caution on long trades until we can see a support level confirmed. Our indi’s are suggesting a further move upside, so we would like to see an attack on that 3350-55 level first, which is where we may get a pull back, and then an attempt at higher pricing as shown on the chart. We want to look to those higher resistance levels as potential short opportunities if visited first. Otherwise, we’ll look lower for the long trade again and as long as the set up presents itself, we’ll test the levels. Due to news over the weekend and it being a bank holiday weekend, all of the above is subject to change as there are likely to be gaps on market open. Let’s see how it plays out, levels are levels! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio. Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending. Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey. The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending. A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before. On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario. Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession. One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy. The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index. Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path. Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Doge I 3M CLS I KL - Order Block Mode 1 - TP 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
21
TOTAL3 Set to Explode: Altcoin Season Incoming? (12H)TOTAL3 refers to the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum. The correction of TOTAL3 started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. It seems to have formed a triangle, and wave C now appears to be complete. As long as the demand zone holds, it can move up toward the supply box and complete wave D. After hitting the red box, a drop is expected for wave E — followed by the main bullish move. Altcoins seem ready for a strong move; let’s see how it plays out. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by behdark
BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further. There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025📊GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025 🔹Current Price: 1.33885 🔹Timeframe: 1H 📌Key Demand Zones (Support): 🟢1.32861–1.32921 – Recent Breaker Block Zone (ideal for bullish continuation) 🟢1.32026–1.32138 – Strong Demand Zone (clean rally base rally formation) 📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔴1.34128–1.34346 – High-Interest Supply Zone (expect reaction or reversal) 📈Bullish Outlook: Price has rallied strongly and is approaching the 1.34128–1.34346 supply zone. If we break through this level with momentum, expect further upside. In case of rejection, look for bullish re-entries at 1.32861–1.32921 or deeper into 1.32026–1.32138. 📉Bearish Outlook: If the supply zone at 1.34128–1.34346 holds, we may see a pullback toward the 1.32861 area. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction to 1.32026. Watch for bearish price action confirmation around the supply zone. ⚡Trade Setup Tip: ✅Wait for price reaction at the supply zone ✅Enter only after confirmation (e.g., BOS/CHoCH or engulfing) ✅Use tight stop-loss with proper RR #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #BreakOfStructure #PoundAnalysis #ScalpingSetups #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #IntradayTrading
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,382.470 🔹Timeframe: 1H 📌Key Demand Zones (Support): 🟢3349–3358 – Fresh Breaker Block Zone (price currently reacting) 🟢3384–3392 – Strong Demand Zone (previous rejection area) 🟢3237–3245 – Intermediate Demand Zone 🟢3193–3205 – Major Demand Zone (watch for bullish SMC pattern) 🟢3139–3169 – High-Value Institutional Demand Zone (last line of defense) 📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔴3430.491 – Immediate Resistance (highlighted on chart) 📈Bullish Scenario: Price has broken above previous highs and is now consolidating above 3384. If we hold above 3358–3349, we could see bullish continuation toward the 3430 area. A clean break and close above 3430.491 can open the door for further upside. 📉Bearish Scenario: If price fails to sustain above 3358, we might retest 3384 or even dip into 3237–3245 for a deeper mitigation. Look for bearish price action around the 3430 resistance zone for potential short setups. ⚡Trading Tip: ✅Look for rejections or confirmation candles in key supply/demand zones ✅Track price structure and BOS/CHoCH for entry confirmation ✅Maintain solid RR and risk management rules #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LiquidityZones #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBulls #GoldBears #BreakOfStructure #ForexSignals #FXFOREVER #ScalpingSetups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 18383.50 - PR Low: 18231.25 - NZ Spread: 340.75 No key scheduled economic events First day back after a week off for work - Unfilled weekend gap of -0.24% Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/21) - Session Open ATR: 751.20 - Volume: 34K - Open Int: 238K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -19.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by mv3trader5