Supply and Demand
ZLH 15m Long 2025-01-20 10:50PM Maybe I should call this a 5m timeframe. I did my analysis on a 15m, but refined my zones on a 5m.
Also, I was doing my analysis late on the 20th, and was seeing my target as the upper curve. If I had taken that trade, I would have wanted to follow with my stop, but I was about to go to sleep, so if my entry was filled, I wouldn't have been able to manage the trade, so I went to sleep. Upon further analysis the following morning, I realized that, by looking for a target on the 5m, I would have found a good target for a limit order.
So if I had been able to stay awake, this would have been my setup:
- Upper curve found on 1h on Jan 15: *** 46.53-17.10 ***
- Lower curve found on 1h at 1am Jan 9: *** 41.27-41.05 ***
- Entry zone: 45.81-45.77
- Target zone: 46.12-46.33
My question is: Would that have been a good trade based on solid analysis, or am I just seeing in hindsight that it *would* have worked, and tailoring my analysis to fit what the market actually did but based on weak data? Like maybe my profit zone should have been drawn based on the high on 1/16 at 06:30 or so?
ORDI roadmap (1D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that ORDI's correction has begun.
This correction appears to be a diametric pattern, and we are currently in wave E of this diametric, which is a bearish wave.
The green zone represents a low-risk area for buy/long positions.
If the price reaches the green zone during wave E, we can enter buy/long positions. However, if it reaches this zone after completing wave F, we will not proceed with buy/long.
The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Following on from yesterday, we wanted to see the breakout confirmed so we could continue with the path and stick with the bias level and targets published on the KOG Report. We managed to get a couple of decent trades on not only the long but the pull back prior into the red box level which gave the RIP we wanted to target higher pricing.
We're now a little stretched and high approaching the order region 2750-55 which we have circled as a potential region to attempt the short trade back into the support level 2740 and below that 2735. IF we get the pull back first, it's very likely we will attempt higher pricing in the coming sessions.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 2680-5 with targets above 2720✅, 2730✅, 2735 and above that 2745✅
Bearish on break of 2780 with targets below 2670 and below that 2766
RED BOX TRADERS:
Break above 2704 for 2710✅, 2716✅, 2735✅ and 2733✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2695 for 2788, 2682, 2680 and 2665 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Are Fintechs Making a Mega Comeback?This chart, tracking the performance of PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN , Block NYSE:SQ , and Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD over the past year. I think the chart offers a captivating glimpse into the potential return of a sector that has gone through a fairly large downturn, and drawdown, but continues to show resiliency.
I should add that this is also an area of the market that I am simply fascinated by, having spent my career deeply embedded in it, building, growing, and watching the stories emerge first hand. At the core, there are several powerful trends to look forward to well into the future. Although, like anything, the risks are massive.
The key question is: What does the future hold for the fintech sector and the new companies that coming up in this space? Will traditional financial powerhouses like JPMorgan and Bank of America reassert their dominance over the next decade and beyond, or will these startups disrupt the industry? Whether these are long-term buy and holds, depends entirely on that question.
While the charts above mostly show a new wave of retail participation in markets, from banking to investing, brokerages and consumer finance, there are several stats to observe in detail:
Retail Investor Surge: Retail investors now account for an estimated 20-25% of U.S. equity trading volume, up from around 10% a decade ago.
Commission-Free Trading: The rise of commission-free trading platforms has significantly lowered the barriers to entry for individual investors.
Digital Adoption: The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of digital investing tools and platforms. Money went digital at its fastest rate ever as cash payments slowed dramatically.
The future of investing lies in providing accessible, user-friendly, and comprehensive financial services that empower individuals to take control of their financial futures. For the next part of my research piece, I'll briefly write about each company listed and where I think they are at:
PayPal's Resurgence: The recent rebound of PayPal, following a significant dip, is particularly noteworthy. It shows resilience. Despite the bad news and massive drop, they managed to keep the ship sailing in the right direction. Venmo remains a powerhouse.
Coinbase's Rollercoaster: Coinbase's trajectory mirrors the fluctuating fortunes of the cryptocurrency market. As the leading cryptocurrency exchange in the U.S., Coinbase's performance is intrinsically tied to the adoption and regulation of digital assets. If digital assets task over, Coinbase is uniquely benefited to be THE leader because of their current positioning. But, if it does not, well, that means it's possibly a zero.
Robinhood's Staying Power: Robinhood, despite weathering some reputational storms, remains a significant player, particularly among younger investors. Yes they started commission free trading, but the most interesting move they are making is into retirement, wealth management, and more. They are gaining a mega head start here, coming for Goldman and JP Morgan.
Block Keeps Going: Block seems to be caught between payments and crypto, attempting to bridge the gap between the two. They are having a harder time than most realize. But I have not forgotten that they are technically a bank, and there's no reason to think they don't have Bank of America in their sights over the long-term.
Anyways, I'll continue watching this sector. It's been a bumpy ride.
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. I only share for education and entertainment!
AUDCHF at Key Resistance: Will It Drop To 0.56714?OANDA:AUDCHF is at a significant resistance area that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. The recent price action suggests a potential for sellers to step in and drive prices lower from this zone.
If rejection signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or upper wicks, appear, I expect a move toward 0.56714. A break above this resistance, however, could indicate a shift in market sentiment.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering short positions and ensure proper risk management. If you have any thoughts or agree with this analysis, I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments!
Platinum – Potential Short Setup with RetestPlatinum is currently trading below a key resistance zone, following a breakdown from the ascending channel. The recent bearish momentum indicates the potential for a continuation lower if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone.
If the price retests this zone and shows rejection signals—such as bearish wicks, engulfing candles, or decreased buying pressure—it would strengthen the case for a short trade. In this scenario, the next target for sellers would be the $926.94 support zone, where buying interest may re-emerge.
This setup aligns with the broader bearish structure following the channel breakdown. Traders should monitor price action closely at the resistance level for confirmation of rejection before entering short positions.
XAUUSD/BTCUSD -> Range for the next days and pot. downward move
The Range has a strong bearish overhead resistance.
What do you think at the moment? Is Bitcoin the new gold?
I think it will move into a converging pattern or into one with a shakeout and than go down.
In the end we have to wait and go with the tide :)
Happy Trading <3
AUD/USD - We had a decent drop time to recoverHi guys, we are looking next into the AUD/USD -
Fundamentals :
1. Strong Australian Economic Outlook
The Australian economy benefits from its abundant natural resources, including iron ore and coal, which are critical exports to key trading partners like China. With China's economic recovery gaining momentum, increased demand for Australian commodities is expected to support the AUD.
2. Rising Commodity Prices
Australia’s economy is closely tied to commodity markets. Recent rallies in commodity prices, particularly in metals and energy, provide a supportive backdrop for the AUD. Higher export revenues strengthen the currency by improving the country’s terms of trade and boosting investor confidence.
3. Divergence in Central Bank Policies
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has taken a data-driven approach to monetary policy, potentially adopting a more hawkish stance if inflation persists. Meanwhile, expectations of a pause or slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate hikes could reduce support for the USD, narrowing the interest rate differential and favoring the AUD.
Technicals : Simply pair has been low for quite a long time over bigger time frames such as 4H,1D,1W
Entry: 0.62500
Target: 0.63500
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Since DOGE is pretty hot at the moment... It's also pretty in the middle of a longer range of price action range with no real reward and a lot of risk to be found at this price point.
You can look at it technical, you can say it's due to politics (like that has always been a solid in the past...), you can blame it on the fomo and the news...
You always have a choice when to act and what to do when you act. Just be smart about it ;-)
Cheers!
NZDCAD - Potential Long from Support ZoneThe NZDCAD pair is currently approaching a significant demand zone near the 0.80200 level. Historically, this area has acted as strong support, leading to bullish reversals. The recent decline into this zone suggests a potential for buyers to regain control and push prices higher.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would support the likelihood of a move upward. If the scenario materializes, the price may head toward the 0.81438, where sellers might step in again.
This setup aligns with a potential short-term rebound within the broader market structure. Traders should wait for confirmation of buying pressure before considering long positions.
What are your thoughts on this outlook?
Gold Holds Bullish Momentum Above 2722 with Key Levels in FocusGold Technical Analysis
The price remains in bullish momentum while trading above 2722, with the next bullish target at 2739.
A 4-hour candle close above 2739 would strengthen the bullish trend, paving the way for a move toward 2756. On the other hand, if the price stabilizes below 2718, it could drop to 2706, and a 4-hour candle close below 2706 would confirm a bearish move toward 2689.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2731
Resistance Levels: 2739, 2756, 2774
Support Levels: 2720, 2706, 2689
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Trend: Above 2722
Bearish Trend: Below 2706
BTC TECHNIAL SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTIONBaddy dears friends👇🏼
Btc trading signals technical analysis satup
I think now btc ready for buy trade btc buy zone enter point (102.400) (102.500)
First tp (103.500)🎯
last target 104400🎯
❌stop loss (101.400)
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Nasdaq Futures: Intraday Setups and Key Levels for Today In today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures (Tuesday, January 21, 2025), we focus on key levels and high-probability setups for both long and short trades. With a recent holiday and significant movements following economic announcements, the market is primed for potential opportunities.
📈 Long Opportunities: Look for entries near 21,580 or above 21,750, targeting 21,840 and 21,900.
📉 Short Setups: Zones like 21,670 or 21,760, aiming for moves toward 21,600, 21,400, and 21,300.
📊 Market Insights: Recent liquidity grabs and a mixed structure across timeframes suggest both long and short opportunities today.
💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for real-time analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you’d like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos!
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SPX6900: BULLISH CHANNEL WITH KEY DEMAND ZONE$SPX6900/USDT 12H Analysis
📊 KEY STRUCTURE SETUP
Price Action:
• Trading within ascending channel (purple lines)
• ATH Zone: $1.60-1.80
• Strong demand zone: $0.85-1.00
• Current: $1.29 (-0.34%)
• Volume: 51.96K showing consolidation
FORECAST (yellow projection):
- Potential pullback to demand zone
- Channel target: $2.00-2.20 range
- Maintaining bullish structure
Trading Setup:
• Buy Zone: $0.85 -$1.00 (demand)
• Targets:
T1: $1.70 (ATH retest)
T2: $2.00 (channel top)
• Invalidation: Break below channel $0.80
#TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto #Trading
AIXBT: FALLING WEDGE AT MAJOR TRENDLINE - REVERSAL POTENTIAL$AIXBT/USDT 4H Analysis
⚡ POTENTIAL REVERSAL SETUP
Price Action:
• Currently in falling wedge (yellow lines)
• Major trendline support since December (cyan line)
• -4.57% current daily movement
• Volume: 534.21K showing distribution
Key Levels:
Support: $0.58 (trendline)
Resistance: $0.70 (wedge top)
FORECAST (green projection):
Possible breakout from wedge targeting $1.00-1.20 range
Strategy:
- Wait for wedge bottom confirmation
- Entry near $0.60-.62 with tight stops
- Target breakout with volume confirmation
#Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/16/2025This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.