USDJPY 4HR Technical & Fundamental AnalysisUSDJPY 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The U.S. dollar has declined approximately 5% since April 2, influenced by:
Fiscal Instability: Rising national debt and policy uncertainties have led to increased investor caution.
Speculative Positions: Hedge funds have shifted to significant short positions on the dollar, reflecting bearish sentiment.
Reuters
🔍 Technical Perspective
On the 4H chart, USDJPY continues to display a bearish market structure, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. We identified a minor key support at 143.700, which was recently broken—marking the beginning of institutional-level accumulation (sell orders).
After this accumulation, liquidity was swept within the zone, suggesting that institutions were hunting stops before preparing for a downward distribution phase.
Although the initial entry is now late, a potential retracement back into the minor key zone may offer a trading opportunity.
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 143.550
🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 144.180
🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): Next minor support zone around 142.800
Meanwhile, rising bond yields in Japan have attracted institutional investors, challenging the popular carry trade strategy where traders borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding currencies. (Source: Business Insider)
Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical risks have led investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven currencies—especially the yen. (Source: BPF News)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
