GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold.
We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF.
We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower.
This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe.
ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
Supply and Demand
J.B. Hunt Transport Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# J.B. Hunt Transport Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal) - *Shift & Entry | Completed Survey
* (Diagonal) - *Pullback Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Short Consecutive Range | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 155.00 USD
* Entry At 140.00 USD
* Take Profit At 117.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
GBPUSD - Next point of interestAfternoon All,
So our GBPUSD trade from earlier didn't quite go to plan however I knew full well that we were building liquidity to the left on the higher timeframe.
This will be my next point of interest for a potential long.
Lets see how price plays out when we get down there.
GBPJPY: Important New High 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY set a new higher high higher close on a daily,
violating a key horizontal resistance cluster.
I think that it opens a potential for more growth.
Next strong resistance is 195.15
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XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello,
Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
EUR/USD CRAZZYY BULLISH BIAS (SMC Perspective) | 1H Outlook🔍 Analysis Summary:
Price is consolidating above a clear demand zone after breaking previous structure to the upside.
We’ve seen liquidity engineered above the swing high (marked X), followed by internal structure developing.
I’m watching for a sweep into demand (grey zone) between 1.1520 – 1.1540, followed by a bullish reaction.
Expecting a bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the lower timeframe to confirm continuation to 1.16340.
📌 Key Levels:
Demand Zone: 1.1520 – 1.1540
Liquidity Sweep: Above recent highs (1.1596)
Target Zone: 1.16340
Invalidation: Clean break below 1.1500
🗓️ Fundamental Drivers to Watch:
USD Weakness – Driven by:
Recent soft CPI & PPI data (cooling inflation)
Increased chances of Fed rate cuts (starting September 2025)
Risk-on market sentiment pushing money out of the USD
Upcoming News Events:
Wed 19 June – Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🗣️
→ Any dovish tone supports the bullish EUR/USD case
Thu 20 June – Initial Jobless Claims 📉
→ A higher-than-expected print could confirm labor market weakness = USD bearish
Fri 21 June – Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI (EUR & USD)
→ EUR strength + weak US data can fuel upside
🧠 My Plan:
Watch for a liquidity sweep into demand
Wait for bullish confirmation on M15 or M5
Target previous high & continuation toward 1.16340
💬 Follow for more SMC-based breakdowns. Let’s stay sharp and react, not predict.
#EURUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ForexTrading #OrderBlocks #sam_trades_smc #PriceAction #FOMC #Fed #USD
Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook):1. Overall Trend (Short-Term):
From early June onward, the trend has shown a clear upward movement, especially after June 11, suggesting bullish momentum.
However, in the most recent candles (last 24–36 hours), there is a consolidation/sideways movement, potentially indicating a pause or reversal.
2. Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around 3,460–3,470 (the recent high before price pulled back).
Support Zone: Near 3,380–3,390, previously tested before the last push upward.
3. Price Structure & Patterns:
There was a strong rally from June 11–13, followed by a pullback and consolidation.
This could be forming a bullish flag or pennant, which often precedes a continuation upward if confirmed by volume or breakout above resistance.
4. Recent Candlestick Behavior:
Current candles are small-bodied with wicks on both sides — this suggests indecision or low momentum, often found before a breakout or reversal.
🧭 Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook):
Bullish Continuation: A breakout above the recent high (~3,460) could resume the uptrend toward 3,500+.
Bearish Reversal: A drop below the 3,380 support area could trigger a correction toward 3,340 or lower.
📌 Note: Watch for upcoming economic events marked on the chart — especially those with the U.S. flag, as USD news often significantly affects XAU/USD.
US30 Consolidates Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Overview – Market Caught Between Geopolitical Risk and Technical Boundaries
The ongoing Middle East crisis continues to weigh on market sentiment, keeping US30 (Dow Jones) in a consolidation phase.
Technical Outlook:
Price is currently trading between 42160 and 42410.
As long as it holds above 42160, a move toward 42410 remains likely.
🔺 A break and stability above 42410 would confirm bullish momentum toward 42810.
🔻 A break below 42160 opens the door for a decline toward 41780, with further downside potential.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42410
• Support: 42160 / 41780 / 41310
• Resistance: 42610 / 42810 / 43210
GBPUSD - LongUnfortunately I can't post the idea on the 5min to give you a better idea of where we are at in terms of the entry for this.
However I am looking to be tagged into this trade and have a limit order where I have set it.
Hoping to be tagged in. If we aren't we move on. and if we lose we move on.
If im able to help with any questions you may have do send them my way
AUDCAD: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD is going to retrace from a key intraday horizontal resistance.
A local bearish CHoCH and an imbalance on an hourly time frame
provide a strong bearish confirmation.
Goal - 0.88445
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BankNifty levels - Jun 18, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - Jun 18, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
EURAUD Potential Longs - Technical Outlook 17.06.2025Overall Trend & Context:
FX:EURAUD has been in an overall uptrend since mid May when price reacted off a daily demand level.
Technical Findings:
Price is currently trading just above the discount (equilibrium).
Would prefer to see it drop into the discount area - There are areas of demand on the 1h chart which we could possibly consider however the 4h demand shown on the chart above qualifies as a STRONG zone to trade from.
Notes:
If we see a 15m shift in structure it may be worth getting involved.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Although many were anticipating a strong move upside on the open, we stuck to our guns and the algo which gave us the bias level as bearish below. Although we wanted a little bit higher, this worked well today with nearly all our bearish below target being completed again in one day apart from the remaining 3380.
For this reason, we'll stick with the plan for now with resistance now being the 3406 level which if held can force us down further into the level given before a potential RIP. With FOMC around the corner, we can expect some choppy and ranging price action tomorrow so tread carefully on the markets if you're less experienced.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425✅, 3420✅, 3410✅ and 3406✅
Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503
Red Boxes:
Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅, 3385✅ and 3380 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Silver (XAGUSD) Analysis - Market looking strong!Why?
I have been pro-actively trading this market over the last few weeks and months due to its strong bullish nature that it is showcasing. This market is trending very nicely and has delivered the perfect market conditions for me to go LONG. I know this because the impulsive waves are strong and are created with high volume. Rather than seeing typical corrections, we are seeing the formation of Re-Accumulations (stepping stones) to take price higher.
My Predictions
Price is showing no signs of wanting to slow down or stop. Therefore my bias remains Bullish. As of currently, we can see price has began to consolidate and enter the creation of another Re-Accumulation. Clearly with the red highlight, we can see price has liquidated the recent lows which is a sign that the institutions are getting involved. I am expecting price to continue bullish from here, to break the current market high and continue its next leg higher.
I will be looking to get involved once price reaches and breaks the 36.900 level
CONFLUENCES
- Sentiment is above 80% Bullish ( MentFX Sentiment Source )
- Swing lows are being protected
- The effect being created by the cause is strong (Wyckoff Theory)
- Demand is clearly in control
- We are in a mark-up phase of the Wyckoff price cycles (The best phase to go long)
- Given the political uncertainty around the dollar right now, more investors are looking to pump money into alternative assets e.g Gold and Silver.
WTI US OIL 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEAThe WTI Crude Oil (US Oil Spot) chart shows price action still trading within a long-term descending channel, bounded by dynamic resistance and support dating back to mid-2022. Currently, price has bounced strongly off the $67–$58 demand zone, rallying toward the descending trendline around $76–$78, which also aligns with key historical supply levels. This area poses a significant challenge for bulls and may trigger short-term rejection. However, the recent impulsive bullish leg suggests renewed demand, possibly driven by geopolitical uncertainty and speculation of potential supply disruption.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, WTI recently swept liquidity below the $58.69 low and formed a bullish Change of Character (ChoCH) as price broke through short-term structure levels. This confirms that smart money may have accumulated long positions in the discount zone. The rally targeting the $76.77–$78.30 range appears to be part of a mitigation move toward a supply zone, and traders may anticipate either a reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts near that level.
Macro & Geopolitical Context:
This bullish momentum in crude oil comes amid elevated tension between Iran and Israel, which historically injects volatility into energy markets. Any escalation could threaten oil production or export routes in the Middle East, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant percentage of global oil supply flows. Such events can drive speculative and fundamental buying in oil, pushing prices higher in anticipation of reduced supply. However, oil traders must also remain aware of OPEC+ policy decisions and U.S. inventory data, which can quickly shift sentiment.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish until $76–$78 zone; watch for rejection or breakout.
Entry: Pullback entries between $70–$71 with bullish confirmation are ideal.
Stop Loss: Below $66 or invalidation at $64 (below structure support).
Take Profit: Conservative TP around $76.77; extended target at $78.30–$79.37.
Alternative View: Strong rejection at the descending trendline may result in a return to the $67 or even $58 support if risk-off sentiment declines or supply concerns ease.
In summary, oil is currently reacting to both technical and geopolitical catalysts. While the technical structure suggests a short- to medium-term bullish move toward the upper channel resistance, sustained upside will depend heavily on how the Iran–Israel conflict unfolds, and whether market participants anticipate further disruptions to global oil supply.
US30 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEA Based on the current US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average Index) chart, the price action shows a strong bullish trend within a well-defined ascending channel that spans from mid-2023 through 2025. The index recently bounced off the mid-range zone near the 41,185 – 41,940 support levels and is now approaching a potential continuation move toward the upper resistance zone between 44,472 and 44,620. This area represents a key supply zone where price previously rejected, suggesting potential hesitation or reversal upon retest. The recent higher lows and breakout from a corrective phase indicate strong bullish structure, supported by institutional order flow—possibly driven by buy-side liquidity targeting previous highs. If the price maintains above 41,681 and creates a successful retest (break and retest confirmation), it offers a compelling opportunity for long positions aiming toward the channel top or key resistance.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, the market structure shifted bullish after sweeping liquidity below April's low followed by a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. This shows strong accumulation by institutions. The demand zone formed around 41,185 – 41,681 can be considered a reaccumulation block and a potential entry point for buys on retracement.
Fundamental Context:
This week's movement must also be interpreted in light of broader geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel, which has implications on investor sentiment and global market volatility. Heightened tensions in the Middle East typically cause oil prices to spike and introduce risk-off sentiment. However, the Dow’s resilience suggests that U.S. investors may currently be pricing in confidence in the U.S. economy, strong corporate earnings, or the expectation that the Fed will maintain or cut interest rates if geopolitical shocks affect global demand. If tensions escalate further into military confrontation or affect major oil supply chains, we could see a temporary pullback or risk aversion across equities—including US30.
Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish continuation (if current structure holds).
Entry Zone: Around 41,940–42,100 on a retest with bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below 41,185 (structure invalidation).
Take Profit: First TP at 44,472; extended TP at 44,620 or channel top.
Invalidation: Break below 41,185 with a daily close.
In conclusion, unless the conflict between Iran and Israel leads to a sharp risk-off move, US30 appears poised for bullish continuation driven by technical momentum, strong market structure, and medium-term economic optimism. However, traders should monitor headlines closely, as escalation in the Middle East could introduce significant volatility.