Will Gold Finally Reverse?After a strong and extended uptrend, gold is now ranging. On the 4H timeframe, a clear CHoCH broke structure, hinting at early weakness.
The inducement above price acts like a magnet. If swept, it could trigger a reaction from the 4H supply zone. That area marks a potential turning point for a deeper shift.
If this rejection holds, we may be witnessing the first signs of a high-timeframe reversal.
Supply and Demand
My outlook for BTC going into the cycle lowI would expect BTC to form a short term top somewhere in this area to then form a cycle low around june 6th. I am watching for reaccumulation at this demand zone, but its way to early to tell how this cycle low will play out. (If there is no top in this area i am still expecting a retracement around this date, the price level does not matter)
Is This Brutal Sell-Off Finally Setting Up a Reversal?Looking at TON here and I'm seeing some interesting developments that caught my attention. We've been in this brutal downtrend since the November highs around $7, but the price action in this current zone is telling a different story.
The Setup:
Price has been getting absolutely hammered from that strong supply zone I've marked around $6.50-7.00. Every bounce into that area got sold hard, which is classic distribution behavior. But now we're sitting in what I believe is a critical accumulation zone between $2.50-3.50.
What I'm Watching:
The multiple trend line breaks and retests suggest we might be building a complex bottom here. That descending wedge pattern is textbook - these usually resolve to the upside, especially when you're this oversold on higher timeframes.
The fact that we're holding above the $2.50 psychological level despite all the selling pressure is actually pretty bullish. Smart money doesn't let good projects stay this beaten down forever.
My Take:
I'm cautiously optimistic here. The risk/reward is starting to favor the bulls if you're thinking longer term. That green arrow I've drawn isn't just wishful thinking - the technical setup supports a potential move back toward the $5-6 range over the coming months.
Risk Management:
Obviously this could still leg down further. Crypto markets are brutal and TON isn't immune to broader market weakness. But if Bitcoin cooperates and we start seeing some alt season momentum, this looks like it could be one of the better setups.
Not financial advice, just sharing my chart reading. Always size your positions appropriately.
Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery on the Monthly📊 Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery on the Monthly chart.
With the previous cycle ATH ($69K) reclaimed and defended, BTC now prints monthly structure above $110K — marking a historic shift in macro trend.
🔼 Key upside levels:
• $128K – primary fib expansion
• $150K+ – extended cycle projection
There is no historical resistance ahead.
This is uncharted territory — and the market is writing a new chapter.
BankNifty levels - May 23, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - May 23, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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GOLD Technical Analysis - Correction Incoming?Quick summary on XAUUSD, it really resembles my previous analysis on XAUUSD.
Gold has been volatile and needs to be closely monitored. According to our earlier analysis, gold is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the current action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward the 3,300 support area.
If buyers defend this support, the bullish structure remains intact, with potential to move back to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below this zone, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel may occur.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential to identify buying opportunities. Risk should be properly managed. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk control.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateRed boxes are working well allowing traders to navigate the ranges and trade the moves no matter what price.
We can see there was a break and close and the higher red box was hit, we had an EXC target up there that was shared and gave us over 400pips of capture to hit TP over night. That same box gave us a RIP for the short.
We have support here 3310 with resistance on the flip at 3320.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3320 for 3330, 3342, 3350 and 3357 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3295, 3274 and 3160 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe
KOG
Learn Best Candlestick Pattern For Trend Trading Gold XAUUSD
This secret pattern will change the way you trade Gold XAUUSD.
If you study technical analysis in Gold trading, there is one unique candlestick pattern that you absolutely need to know.
In this article, you will learn the structure and the meaning of one of the most accurate candlesticks in Gold trading.
I will teach you how to recognize this pattern and how to trade it for maximum profits.
Let's start with some theory and let me show you how this candlestick pattern looks.
This candlestick pattern is called inside bar.
It is based on a combination of at least 3 candles.
The first candlestick in a sequence should be a strong bullish or bearish candle. The consequent candles should strictly close within its range.
If at least 2 candles close within the range of the first candle with its bodies, that will be a valid inside bar.
The first candle will always be called the mother's bar , while the following candles will be called the inside bars.
That's a perfect example of the inside bar pattern on Gold XAUUSD chart on a daily.
This pattern is based on 2 important elements that you should always pay close attention to.
The upper boundary of the range of the mother's bar will compose a significant resistance that will provide a safe place to sell.
While the lower boundary of the range of the mother's bar will be a strong support to buy Gold from.
Look how nicely Gold price respected the resistance of the range, dropped to its support and started to grow then.
Once you identified the inside bar, you can easily trade it within the range.
However, I strictly recommend waiting for a confirmation signal before you place a trade.
One of the proven confirmations is a price action signal on lower time frames.
In the example above, Gold formed a bullish chart pattern - double bottom after a test of a support and a bearish pattern - head and shoulders after a test of a resistance.
Remember that the market can not stay within the range of the inside bar candlestick pattern forever.
Bullish violation and a candle close above the range will be a strong signal to buy Gold.
While, a bearish breakout of its range will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
That's how a breakout of the underlined resistance triggered a strong rally on Gold.
Inside bar is the essential pattern both for the gold swing traders and day traders.
This pattern provides a lot of profitable trading opportunities, being very simple to recognize.
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Gold Analysis One Hour Time Frame
One hour time frame I still expect an increase to hit the ceiling of the descending channel, even if it breaks this ceiling with a shadow... For today, the support areas and the important area of FVG, whose center is marked, are important support points that can be seen and triggered by Bayer to continue on the path.
BTC Potential Short-Term PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT could be setting itself up for a short-term pullback.
It might be forming a Daily RSI Bear Divergence, with the latest retest of the the main supply zone, and RSI Divs/Breakouts have been reliable leading signals for recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA.
Key Levels to Watch
• $119k - Measured wedge target, confirmed with last month's breakout.
• $106.2k-$109.5k - Main supply and ATH, a sustained break above it would invalidate any bearish PA.
• $89.6k-$91.9k - Lots of confluence here:
- Unmitigated daily FVG
- The 200-day EMA is sitting there
- A move here would be between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement of the last leg up, consistent with the typical pullback length of Wave 2 (Elliott Waves theory)
- It has also been an important S/R since November 2024, and a retracement here could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
I would be patient with it, as I still see a lot of uncertainty short-term, but I think a pullback to ~$90k could offer a great long entry. Worth keeping a close eye on it.
JUP Looks Bullish (4H)From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, it appears that the bullish phase of JUP has started in a swing structure.
This phase is a diagonal (Diametric), and it currently seems that wave G is forming. This wave is a bullish wave.
As long as the green box is maintained, the price can move toward the red box.
The closing of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
invalidation level: 0.4322
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GRASS Looks Bullish (1D)It appears that a triangle has completed and the B-D resistance line has been broken. Buy/long positions can be considered during pullbacks.
We have identified two entry points for potential entries.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
LTCUSD has formed a head and shoulders bottomOn the daily chart, LTCUSD has formed a head and shoulders bottom pattern, and the short-term market is dominated by bulls. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 107.0. If it breaks through, it is expected to continue to rise, and the upper target is the previous supply area of 123.6-140.0.
GOLD LONG VIEW.............
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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LISTA Looks Bullish (1D)It appears that wave C of a complex correction has completed. The price has reclaimed key levels and consolidated above them.
Also, if you look closely at the chart, you can spot a bullish Quasimodo (QM) pattern forming.
The price is expected to move from the green zones toward the red zones.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21177.00
- PR Low: 21113.75
- NZ Spread: 141.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Value decline follow-through following morning bull run
- Auction holding at Monday's lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/22)
- Session Open ATR: 460.09
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Supply and Demand Zones 5/21/25 $NQLink to chart: www.tradingview.com
Bearish: If we break Asia Highs and tap into the 15MIN Supply above (even push up to 21300), then a rejection to break lower into 30MIN demand to take PDL of NY session 5/21 and final target of 5/13 NY low at 20972.75.
Bullish: If we break and hold above the 15MIN supply above (and break and retest holding over 21300 12AM London Open from 5/21), then target longs to reclaim target area of ~21415. This target is based on how past price action from 5/15 and 5/19 responded when we reached into the current level we are in, and bounced back TO roughly 21415 before hitting stronger resistance/rejection.
Keeping note that on the 4HR frame we failed to break the 4HR supply above and we just created a new lower low/high now.
USDX retesting demand ZONEcan dollar strength return around here over next little while?!
TDA
D1 W1 DEMAND ZONE of interest
price structure building upside move by confluenced levels of lTF's
can price shake the tree to downside sure and go lower deeper into w1 demand yes times frame dependent of this set up
- to play out is a few weeks for completion.