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Supply and Demand

NAS100 - Is Nasdaq on track to record a new ATH?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the supply zone, we can look for further short positions on Nasdaq with a risk-to-reward ratio. Nasdaq’s position in the demand zone will provide us with short-term buying conditions. President Trump announced that the U.S. government plans to invest $500 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure. This project, carried out in collaboration with companies such as OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank, aims to create 100,000 jobs.Trump also pledged to support the project through emergency declarations. OpenAI, along with SoftBank, Oracle, NVIDIA, and ARM, announced the start of their collaboration in technology development. This partnership includes Microsoft’s commitment to Azure, with plans extending until 2030. Microsoft confirmed that it will maintain its strategic partnership with OpenAI and participate in the Stargate project. This collaboration includes new agreements granting Microsoft priority rights to utilize the new capacity. Additionally, Microsoft will leverage OpenAI’s intellectual property (IP) in its products, such as Copilot. This week’s economic calendar is dominated by major events related to central banks. The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada will announce their interest rate decisions on Wednesday, while the European Central Bank will follow on Thursday. Additionally, several significant economic reports are expected. On Monday, data on new home sales for December will be released. On Tuesday, reports on durable goods and the Consumer Confidence Index will be published. On Thursday, the U.S. GDP for Q4, weekly jobless claims, and pending home sales data will be announced. Finally, on Friday, the PCE index (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation), along with personal income and spending reports, will be released. It is projected that the U.S. economy will grow at an annualized rate of 2.6% this quarter, compared to 3.1% in the previous quarter. If the data surpass expectations, the likelihood of the Fed adopting expansionary policies may decrease. Similarly, inflation data from the PCE index and consumer income and spending reports on Friday will play a crucial role in shaping expectations for rate cuts. Unlike the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve is expected not to reduce interest rates. The robust U.S. economy and inflationary pressures have left the Fed with limited room to lower borrowing costs. This situation existed even before Trump’s administration and the Republican-led Congress implemented tax cuts and tariff hikes. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed has no predetermined path and may raise interest rates if new government policies lead to higher inflation. However, inflationary pressures have recently eased and could continue to decline in early 2025. Christopher Waller, a prominent Fed official, recently hinted at a possible rate cut in the first half of the year, but market reactions to his comments were muted, with only minor dollar weakening following news of Trump’s tariffs. Several major companies are set to release their quarterly financial updates this week. Among them are some members of the Magnificent 7, as well as leading firms in technology, energy, finance, and manufacturing. Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla are scheduled to report on Wednesday, while Apple will release its financial information on Thursday. Tesla’s report comes as Elon Musk, its CEO, has taken on a role in President Trump’s administration. The company’s recent vehicle delivery data fell short of analysts’ expectations. Microsoft’s planned report follows last week’s announcement of a $500 billion AI initiative, which includes Microsoft-backed OpenAI. Meta’s report comes as the company raises its investment forecasts for emerging technologies such as AI. Meanwhile, Apple’s report is being released amid analysts’ downgraded ratings due to concerns about demand for its new iPhones.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
EURCAD: Sell Setup After Impulsive Move to ResistanceFOREXCOM:EURCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections. This level aligns with a key area of interest where sellers have previously regained control, causing substantial bearish moves. The current market structure suggests that a potential rejection could occur if price action confirms it. If we observe bearish signals, such as a bearish engulfing candle or clear wicks rejecting the zone, the market may reverse and head lower. I anticipate that if sellers take control, the price could move downward toward the 1.50000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure.
Short
by DanieIM
1
USDCHF Swing 27/01/2025USDCHF has been a bit of a slow burner as it continues to fill out the right shoulder of the pattern. The bearish bias remains intact as long as price stays below the key level of 0.90685. However, no entries will be considered until we see a clear break and retest of 0.90401, which would confirm bearish continuation. Patience is key here—waiting for proper confirmation at these levels will ensure higher probability trades. Keep monitoring price action closely for a potential setup.
Short
by Thetraderscollective
USDJPY Key Support Broken — Bearish Momentum in PlayFOREXCOM:USDJPY has broken below a key support zone, indicating that sellers may have gained control. This area was previously a strong demand zone, but the decisive break suggests bearish momentum is taking over. The current market structure implies the potential for a retest of the broken support level, which could act as resistance before a continuation to the downside. If the price confirms rejection at the retest with bearish candlestick patterns or wicks, I anticipate a further decline toward the 153.700 level, where a stronger demand zone resides. This setup aligns with the concept of a classic break-and-retest scenario, where the market resumes the downward move after a corrective pullback.
Short
by DanieIM
1
DAX Short 4HGood morning, TradingView friends! I’m excited to share my latest market forecast with you. This setup uses Fibonacci and psychological levels as our key indicators. First up, we’re looking at the 21,405 level. It's an important Fibonacci point, and I believe the price will bounce back here, heading towards the trend line. Next, I expect the ascending trend line to hold strong, guiding the price to a crucial psychological and Fibonacci level at 21,500. From there, we might see a 4-hour and daily correction. For confirming these moves, keep an eye on the lower time frames. A good sign to watch for is an M-pattern with a Lower High on the second leg. Can't wait to hear your thoughts and keep the conversation going!
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by Persian_Traders_
GBPUSD Swing Trade idea 27-31 Jan-2025Hello Traders. Following up on the previous post and as promised. This is my expectation on GBPUSD on a HTF. 1. Swing structure is Bearish *After a Bearish BOS, I can identify premium price for possible short positions targeting the newly created swing low. *Price is already trading above equilibrium level /50% FIB and the identified POI i consider it a valid POI due to IMB/FVG; LQ, CHOCH & above 50% FIB. 2.Internal structure is Bullish *Using 15m-3m i would be waiting for MSS to align with swing structure before taking any trades.
Short
by Ocean98
2
Gold Technical Analysis: Is a New Price High Ahead? Gold experienced an uptrend last week, aligning with the bullish scenario mentioned in our previous post. This strong rally and the formation of a robust weekly candlestick suggest the potential for breaking the previous high and reaching the initial target of $2,850. On the daily timeframe, a price correction near the previous high is possible. If this occurs, buyers may re-enter around $2,720, allowing the upward trend to continue.
TVC:GOLDLong
by UtoForex
OFFICIAL TRUMP OPPORTUNITYThe Official Trump meme coin is currently valued at $25.79, having experienced a notable drop from its peak of $75. Even with this decline, the coin continues to capture attention in both the market and mainstream media. It's worth mentioning that some early investors might still be enjoying substantial profits. While the price is on a downward trend, there is potential for a recovery. Moreover, the coin has established real-world applications, as it is accepted for bookings through Travala, a platform that facilitates crypto payments for flights, hotels, and activities. This acceptance could lead to increased selling as investors cash out, but it may also enhance the coin's value in the long run. A significant portion of its supply remains unreleased, with 800 million coins set to enter circulation over the next three years, which could result in token dilution unless the market cap grows accordingly. The token's market has been volatile, characterised by swift price changes followed by steep declines. Currently, it’s uncertain whether the coin will achieve lasting success or gradually fade away. Major exchanges hold a considerable share of the coin, while retail investors typically possess smaller amounts, yet they still play a role in the trading volume. Although there are worries about the coin's future due to intense selling pressure, it hasn't reached a stage that could be labeled a 'rug pull.' Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, there is optimism that the coin could experience significant growth again, with some forecasts suggesting it might hit a $100 billion market cap. I see a chance to accumulate within the designated area on the chart. Avoid becoming overly attached to lofty market cap predictions. Instead, establish an accumulation box and a profit-taking box. The strategy of dollar-cost averaging in and out has proven to be a reliable trading approach.
by BallaJi
BTC/USD H1 Prediction for 27/01/2025📊 FXFOREVER Bitcoin Market Analysis The price is testing a critical support zone between $97,381 - $97,670 (green area). A potential upside move is expected if this level holds, targeting resistance at $100,854. 📈 Wait for confirmation before executing trades! 🚀 💡 Key Levels: 📉 Support: $97,381 - $97,670 📈 Resistance: $100,854 #FXFOREVER #BitcoinAnalysis #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #CryptoInsights
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
Even If It Pops.... ITS BOUND TO DROP!Now, I am wishy washy with when I use technical and fundamental's to back my thesis up. This is a technical thesis that has nothing to so with the company, but everything to do with human behavior. Over stretched and weaknesses are showing, TAKE ADVANTAGE. Lastly, you may looks at my ideas and thing "he has no clue what he is talking about", my arrows and lines are not meant to be 100% accurate, but more of a general movement that the stocks are most likely to follow. Pay the most attention to my levels of volume.
NYSE:VRTShort
by LeapTrades
GBPPLN: Bullish Bounce Expected from Key Support ZoneOANDA:GBPPLN is at a significant demand zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong support level. The current market structure suggests the potential for a bullish reversal at this level if buyers regain control. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, the market may move upward toward the 5.07402 level. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
2