USDZAR Bearish Optimism.Hi there,
On USDZAR, it seems that we don't have much upward momentum left, do we? The price has reached the highs of the 19.31-19.55 area, and we might see a decline that could potentially mark the end of wave 4.
The Wave 5 is a bit tricky there; it may fall to the 18 area, which is a zone of interest, or it could potentially drop further down to 16.5.
Although prices may drop to 15.960 from the high of 17.174, my bias is in favour of 16.5, with two price targets at 18.5 and 18.0.
Happy trading and have a great week.
K.
Not trading advice.
Supply and Demand
BTCUSDT | FOMC & NFP Highs and Lows as Critical Pivot LevelsThis current structure on Bitcoin is giving us a beautiful narrative rooted in macro timing: we've regained the NFP day levels, and now we’re trading right inside the highs and lows of the FOMC date—a zone that historically acts as a decision-making pivot for the market.
📍 Why These Levels Matter:
NFP and FOMC sessions are not just about volatility—they often define institutional positioning and sentiment shifts.
We’ve already regained NFP day's range, showing bullish resilience and strength.
Now all eyes are on the FOMC range: if we manage to break and retest the high of the FOMC candle, it can ignite momentum toward the monthly target.
🧠 How I’m Thinking About It:
I’m not jumping the gun. I’ll wait for lower time frame confirmations, ideally some clean breaks with supportive delta and CDV structure.
If we fail to hold these levels and fall back inside, I won’t insist on any long idea. I’ll flip short the moment downside momentum is confirmed.
💬 Final Thought: We don't randomly mark levels. These are deliberately chosen based on price behavior during major economic events—something most traders overlook. That’s what gives us the edge. If you're following me, you're not trading noise. You're learning to understand the story behind price action.
Watch these levels closely. They may be the starting point of something much bigger.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
POTENTIAL LONGS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - As you can see above I have gone ahead and marked out a level of Demand for you all. I want to see price trade down and into this and offer us with the confirmation we need to long this market.
After price corrects itself, trading us into this zone confirmation of a new impulse to the upside will come via a fractal break in structure, so we are looking for the last protected high within the corrective wave to be broken.
Once we have that we have means to enter in on this market long. When we are delivered with that break its then a case of waiting for price to pullback down, why? To set its initial higher low within the new bullish structure thats about to be printed.
This is where we would look to go long from, the reason for this is so we can get involved with a refined entry and as a result a greater risk to reward trade, meaning we would walk home with more profits. I will keep you all posted.
Nifty levels - Apr 16, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Banknifty levels - Apr 16, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 15M - How we getting on people I hope you are all okay, as you can see price has played out very well for us overnight and we are seeing price really take off.
I have gone ahead and taken another partial here just to bank some profits from the trade which as a result removes risk from the market as well.
This trade is currently running + 100 pips. (+ 4.3%) 4.3RR
A big well done to all of you who jumped in on this position, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself then please drop me a message or comment below.
Its so important that you manage your trade correctly and you take partials throughout the position. As I have mentioned I have taken a partial here for 50% of my position.
America’s Energy Reset: New Momentum for Oil and Gas Under TrumpKey Players in the Energy Landscape
Trump’s recent executive orders mark a significant shift in U.S. energy policy, dismantling key initiatives from the prior administration while opening new avenues for fossil fuel growth. The Biden-era target of boosting electric vehicle SPARKS:EVX (EV) sales to 50% of the total by 2030 has been scrapped, along with EV subsidies, signaling a retreat from clean energy priorities. In its place, the administration has lifted a moratorium on new permits for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to non-free-trade-agreement countries, a move that builds on progress already underway among companies navigating early-stage approvals. This pro-energy stance is also drawing attention from abroad. Foreign firms, such as the Emirates-based ADNOC, are eyeing U.S. natural resources, with its international investment arm, XRG-managing roughly $80 billion in assets as of April 2025-planning substantial investments in the coming months and even exploring an initial public offering.
The push extends to infrastructure, with Trump championing the revival of domestic pipelines and LNG export facilities, notably a proposed Alaskan project. Global LNG demand is projected to climb 50% by 2040 compared to 2020 levels, according to the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook 2024, positioning companies like Cheniere Energy NYSE:LNG , a leader in LNG production and exports, and TotalEnergies, a global heavyweight in LNG infrastructure, as prime beneficiaries. Cheniere Energy’s stock has risen 20% year-to-date in 2025, reflecting investor confidence in the expanding LNG market. Exxon Mobil NYSE:XOM and Chevron also stand out, with Exxon aiming to nearly double its LNG business to 40 million tons per year by 2030, as outlined in its 2024 annual report. These higher-margin producers are well-equipped to weather market shifts. However, Trump’s tariff policies, intended to lower oil and gasoline CAPITALCOM:GASOLINE prices while enhancing the global reach of U.S. oil firms, introduce a countercurrent. Voters may cheer cheaper gas, but subdued oil prices could squeeze lower-margin producers like Occidental Petroleum, Valero Energy NYSE:VLO , and Marathon Oil BIVA:MRO , who may struggle to maintain profitability in such an environment. For instance, Occidental Petroleum’s debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.2 in Q1 2025, making it vulnerable to sustained low oil prices.
A Long-Term Fossil Fuel Horizon
Looking ahead, Trump’s energy directives seem poised to foster a steady uptick in domestic fossil fuel production. U.S. oil PYTH:WTI3! production hit a record 13.5 million barrels per day in March 2025, up from 12.8 million in December 2024, per the Energy Information Administration (EIA), signaling a robust response to the administration’s policies. By streamlining permitting processes and cutting bureaucratic hurdles, these orders pave the way for expanded extraction and infrastructure development. Active drilling rigs have increased by 10% since January 2025, according to Baker Hughes’ rig count reports, indicating heightened exploration and production activity. The emphasis on pipelines and LNG facilities suggests a future rich with gas-related investments, reinforcing the sector’s backbone. In 2025, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved three new LNG export terminals, adding an anticipated 30 million tons per year to export capacity by 2030. Over time, this could solidify the U.S. as a fossil fuel powerhouse, capitalizing on both immediate opportunities and the projected surge in LNG demand. The administration’s focus on reducing red tape offers a practical boost, potentially unlocking projects that might otherwise languish in regulatory limbo, setting the stage for sustained growth in oil and gas output.
Balancing Executive Orders Against Tariffs
While tariffs loom as a potential challenge across various industries, their impact on U.S. oil companies appears muted. Unlike consumer goods sectors reliant on imports, the U.S. energy industry benefits from robust domestic equipment and infrastructure providers like Halliburton and Schlumberger. Together, these firms hold over 60% of the U.S. oilfield services market, as reported by Rystad Energy in 2025, underscoring the sector’s self-reliance. Moreover, over 90% of equipment used in U.S. oil and gas operations is domestically produced, according to a 2024 American Petroleum Institute (API) study, further insulating the industry from import tariffs. This self-sufficiency softens the blow of tariffs, minimizing dependence on foreign energy-related imports. Consequently, even a modest positive effect from Trump’s executive orders-through faster permits or expanded LNG exports-could tip the scales toward a net gain for the sector. The deregulation push offers a tangible advantage that, in this context, seems likely to outweigh any tariff-related headwinds, providing oil companies with a favorable outlook despite broader trade uncertainties.
Gold Intraday trade idea 15/04/2025After rejecting 3196 yesterday, Gold (XAUUSD) has slowly crept back into bullish structure — with the 4H now showing clear higher highs and higher lows.
Key levels to watch today:
Buys above 3225 & 3230 → Targeting 3238
If we hold above 3220, bullish momentum remains intact
However, a break below 3206 opens room for a deeper pullback to 3196
Today’s short-term target is 3238, but be mindful of structure shifts.
DYDX Approaching Make-or-Break Pivot for Major ReversalThe DYDX/USDT weekly chart outlines a complex corrective WXY structure with price currently approaching the Immediate Drop Target Zone (IDTZ) near $0.50. A failure here could lead to a drop toward the Extreme Demand Zone around $0.079. However, reclaiming $1.132 and breaking above the descending trendline could trigger a bullish reversal toward the Important Supply Zone ($4.42–$4.55).
EurUsd Trade IdeaI'm anticipating a sell on EU at 1.14165 or probably 1.14263.
First draw on Liquidity 🧲 is 1.12458
While I'm expecting the price to reach a monthly level of 1.11345 that just got broken to the upside, resting in an H4 Fvg to fill the the imbalance and continue to the upside.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
XAUUSD need some rest and fallWe are looking for dump asap here for gold price already broke resistance channel but i am expecting it will get back in channel and after that with high volume the dump expected to the targets like 2900$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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AUDUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇦🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for AUDUSD
for this week.
Resistance 1: 0.6385 - 0.6430 area
Resistance 2: 0.6455 - 0.6470 area
Resistance 3: 0.6518 - 0.6560 area
Support 1: 0.6078 - 0.6135 area
Support 2: 0.5914 - 0.5954 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH Daily AnalysisEthereum Technical Outlook 🧠
ETH is currently in a downtrend on both the daily and 4-hour timeframes 📉.
The $2100–$2150 range, which previously acted as a major support level, has now turned into a key resistance zone 🔄.
Price is moving within an ascending channel 📈 and approaching a supply zone located between $1790–$1820 🟥.
For a confirmed trend reversal, Ethereum must break above the red descending trendline 🔻 and flip the key resistance zone (marked on the chart) into support ✅.
Until then, bearish momentum remains dominant.
EURUSD | Support or Sweep?EURUSD | Support or Sweep? Liquidity Play in Progress (1H Chart Analysis)
Idea:
Timeframe: 1H
EURUSD is currently reacting to a liquidity-rich environment, and the price action hints at a potential trap-and-reverse setup.
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Key Observations:
Price has taken out multiple liquidity zones on the way up and is now testing a key support level near 1.1260–1.1270
A trendline break suggests bearish intent, but internal liquidity near support could create a bounce
Two scenarios are in play based on how price reacts around the support
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Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction (Short-Term Bounce)
Price holds support and forms a short-term reversal structure
A potential move back toward 1.1350–1.1380 to collect more buy-side liquidity
Watch for bullish price action confirmation around the support zone
Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation (Liquidity Sweep)
Price breaks down through support, invalidating the trendline
A strong push toward the imbalance zone around 1.1150–1.1180 is likely
Ideal entry after a pullback into broken support (acting as resistance)
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Bias: Neutral-Bearish unless strong bullish reaction is seen at support
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk carefully and always do your own research before entering a trade.
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