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Supply and Demand

Hims breakout imminent Hims is about to break this descending wedge, and I have marked the supply and demand zones I will be utilizing for this setup. I have added ~ 1000 shares recently and plan on continuing to sell puts and calls. We had a nice reset on the weekly for volatility and momentum. I am VERY bullish since CPI was good as well. My plan: When we approach the demand zone (green box) I will sell aggressive cash secured puts 24 strike When we approach supply (red box) I will sell safe covered calls at the top range Rinse and repeat
NYSE:HIMSLong
by Apollo_21mil
UPDATE ON THE USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 15M - As you can see the fundamental news from today that was released at 1:30PM has positively impacted our running trade and his driven price lower. This also falls in hand with the NY open. I want to see price continue to bleed out now providing us with more profits, I believe our TP can be achieved within the next few days should price continue to trade us in the desired direction. This trade is currently running + 90 pips. (+ 4.5%) 4.5RR A big well done to those who are involved in this market still from yesterday, please ensure you are taking partials and applying safety measures with the position. Should you have any questions drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible! Well done people, what a cracking start to the year!
Short
by Lukegforex
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 14/01/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Giovanni_Bandini
EUR/USD Outlook: Bearish Momentum with Key Levels in FocusEUR/USD Analysis The price exhibits bearish momentum, as it has already broken below the pivot line at 1.0367 and closed the weekly candle beneath it. This confirms a downward bias in the near term. In the short term, the price may retest the pivot line around 1.0367 before continuing its drop. If bearish momentum persists, the price is expected to decline further to test 1.0226 and potentially 1.0155. To transition into a bullish structure, the price must break and sustain above 1.0367 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level. If this occurs, the price could target 1.0437. Key Levels Pivot Line: 1.0288 Resistance Levels: 1.0360, 1.0436, 1.0470 Support Levels: 1.0227, 1.0155, 1.0110 Trend Outlook Consolidation: Between 1.0288 and 1.0346 Bearish Trend: Below 1.0288 Bullish Trend: Above 1.0367
Short
by SroshMayi
Gold Technical Outlook: CPI Data to Define Trend DirectionGold Technical Analysis The price has reached the resistance level at 2689 and is attempting to test 2678 ahead of or during the release of CPI data. Based on current expectations, gold is likely to remain in a bearish trend. If the CPI exceeds 2.9%, the bearish momentum is expected to intensify, with the price targeting 2665. Conversely, if the CPI comes in below 2.8%, bullish momentum could quickly drive the price up to 2706. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2689 Resistance Levels: 2706, 2720, 2727 Support Levels: 2665, 2653, 2636 Trend Outlook Bullish Trend: Above 2706 Bearish Trend: Below 2689 previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Outlook: CPI Data and Earnings to Shape Market DirectionS&P 500 Analysis: Pre-Bell Outlook Earnings, CPI Expectations Lift Wall Street Futures; Asia Mixed, Europe Gains Wall Street futures edged moderately higher in pre-market trading on Wednesday as investors positioned themselves ahead of the release of the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from Washington and the kickoff of the fourth-quarter earnings season. The CPI report, set to be released today, could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook. Technical Outlook The S&P 500 is likely to remain under pressure as long as the price trades below 5863. In such a scenario, a decline toward 5829 and 5781 is anticipated, especially if the CPI data comes in at 2.9% or higher. Conversely, if the CPI data is below 2.8%, it could support a bullish momentum, with the index potentially rising toward 5937. Key Levels Pivot Point: 5863 Resistance Levels: 5888, 5937, 5969 Support Levels: 5830, 5802, 5781 Trend Outlook Bearish trend while trading below 5863.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
4
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1D - With this pair I am wanting to see some strength in the EUR as I am wanting to see price actually go on to trade us higher, this would fall in line with our USD/CHF trade. We have seen that price has traded into a valid area of Demand which is holding as price has failed to break below this. I want to see price now reject from this area giving us means to enter. I have gone ahead and marked out the last protected high within the bearish structure that traded price lower down and into the Demand Zone originally, once we see a break in that we can begin to look to buy in. A break in the last protected high tells us that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness breaking highs and protecting lows.
Long
by Lukegforex
Technical Outlook for Gold Prices Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data !How will inflation data impact gold price movements? All eyes are on gold prices during today's trading, as significant volatility is expected with the release of U.S. inflation data. This is due to the negative correlation typically seen between the U.S. dollar and gold. However, it's important to note that this negative correlation is not always sustained. At times, both gold and the U.S. dollar can move in tandem, as both serve as safe havens for investors. Regarding inflation data, markets are anticipating an increase in annual U.S. inflation from 2.7% to 2.9%. If realized, this would mark the highest reading in four months. On the other hand, core consumer price index (CPI) inflation is expected to remain steady at 3.3% year-on-year for the fourth consecutive month. If inflation data comes in strong, this will likely strengthen the U.S. dollar and negatively impact gold prices in the short term. Furthermore, markets may anticipate that the Federal Reserve will refrain from cutting interest rates anytime soon, providing additional support for the dollar. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data Gold is currently trading in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, with the price declining and forming a lower low at $2662.645, signaling a shift from an upward to a downward trend. The recent rise in price appears to be a corrective movement, with $2689.290 acting as a reversal point to continue the downward trend toward the $2666.668 level. The two key factors that could counter this bearish scenario as a weak U.S. inflation data, which would positively affect gold prices and from a technical breakout, where gold's price rises and closes a 4-hour candlestick above the $2697.825 level, according to the analyst’s perspective.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
Gold is Ready for Bullish move once againGold H1 Analysis According to the Fibonacci level the market will go up from this red zone or from 2648-2640 area. This is the major level according to the fibonacci that market is testing. If a H1 or H4 Bullish engulfing candle formed from this red zone it will be a sign for the bullish. The market was searching for the retracement or correction that has already done today. Today we have seen selling of almost 30$ without any news or Fundamentals.So this was needed. The targets are 2678 , 2791 and ultimately 2717
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ForexMasters2000
1
THOUGHTS FOR XAU/USDXAU/USD 30M - With this pair we have seen price trade us up and into the area of Supply I have marked out. After price traded in we saw price break structure fractally to the downside. This giving us reason to believe that price may be ready to put in the next bearish leg, what we need now is for price to correct itself trading us into a valid area of interest to set its first lower high. This is what it looks like its currently in the process of doing. In order for us to have confirmation to enter and enough confluence to actually place a position I would want to see price break structure again more fractally. Once it trades us up and into this Supply Zone I want to see another break on the 5-15M timeframes, this confirming the end of the initial correction and the start of the impulse lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Lukegforex
UPDATE ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 30M - Morning guys, as you can see price has continue to trade us lower overnight and has in fact managed to keep the low it set late last night. I am expecting some sort of correction. I wouldn't be surprised if price does decide to trade us higher today just to correct itself before a further down move, as we know price need to clear orders before continuing its desired direction. This trade is currently running + 60 pips. (+ 3%) 3RR A big well done to those who did get involved in this trade yesterday, what a way to start the year. I will update you all as soon as I have something new with this pair. Any questions as always people please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible!
Short
by Lukegforex
XAUUSD - The CPI index will determine the gold path!Gold is located in a 4 -hour timeframe above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. If weaken in CPI data and market concerns about inflation, gold buying opportunities. The release of the headline stronger than the expectation of the CPI will result in the uptrend and decrease in gold. But in the secondary wave it will result in gold climbing. Gold prices have reached their highest levels in approximately four weeks, nearing the $2,700 range. Recent changes in stock markets and concerns over U.S. economic policies have driven increased demand for gold. Several key factors have contributed to the recent price surges. First, rising global tensions, particularly involving major powers such as the U.S., Russia, and China, have destabilized financial markets, prompting investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset to shield against potential crises. Second, persistent concerns about inflation in major economies have made gold an attractive option for preserving purchasing power. Additionally, central banks have significantly increased their gold reserves, boosting demand. Finally, expectations of interest rate cuts or potential easing by central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have further enhanced gold’s appeal. Gold prices have previously experienced sharp declines. Between 2011 and 2015, gold lost nearly 45% of its value, falling from its peak of $1,920 per ounce to $1,050 per ounce, driven by a strong dollar, rising interest rates, and an improving economy. Beyond this historical context, other scenarios could also lead to a 30% decline in gold prices. For instance, if the Federal Reserve adopts unexpectedly aggressive monetary policies and raises interest rates faster than anticipated, the strengthening dollar would exert downward pressure on gold prices. A sudden increase in gold supply could also push prices lower, whether due to the discovery of new reserves or the sale of gold holdings by central banks or large institutions. Moreover, robust improvements in global economies alongside geopolitical stability could dampen demand for gold. Finally, growing investor interest in alternative assets, such as cryptocurrencies or other commodities, could diminish gold’s perceived value. Paul Williams, CEO of Solomon Global, has forecasted that the factors driving 39 record-breaking gold price highs last year remain intact and could support further price growth in 2025. In his report, Williams stated: “The year 2024 reinforced gold’s role as a timeless and safe asset. In a world filled with geopolitical conflicts and economic uncertainties, gold has provided stability and security for investors. The record highs achieved in 2024 reflect not only market conditions but also a broader sense of caution and risk mitigation among investors. This trend appears poised to continue into 2025.” Meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal has released predictions from 17 economists on U.S. inflation data set to be announced on Wednesday, January 15, 2025. In 2024, the Federal Reserve made limited progress in curbing inflation, with most inflation indicators only slightly declining from the start of the year. Although policymakers had hoped inflation would approach the 2% target, persistent inflationary pressures have kept it near 3%. However, November’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report offered a glimmer of hope. Prices in sectors such as housing and services, which have been major drivers of persistent inflation, have begun to ease. This may lead to an unexpected decline in Wednesday’s CPI data, although more significant decreases are likely in early 2025. Analysts predict a monthly CPI increase of 0.3%, which is lower than the 0.4% forecast from the Federal Reserve Cleveland’s Inflation Nowcast model. According to these projections, annual CPI is expected to rise from 2.7% to 2.9% in November. Given that markets currently price in only two 25-basis-point rate cuts for all of 2025, a strong CPI report may not elicit a major market reaction. However, if CPI data comes in weaker than expected, the U.S. dollar could face selling pressure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: After yesterdays plan to long into the levels above which worked well, we're now experiencing choppy and ranging price action playing the 2675 resistance and 2665 support. We can potentially expect another attack on the 2675 region but it's that 2660 level that needs to break. For that reason, we'll stick with the range for now and await a breakout, otherwise, it's accumulation in preparation for some more volume. Not much more to report on team. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
Market Analisys: S&P 500SP:SPX In recent months, the S&P 500 has experienced notable fluctuations: 1. All-Time High : The index reached a record high of 6,099.97 points on December 6, 2024. 2. Correction : It then faced a correction, dropping to a low of 5,805.65 points by January 8, 2025. 3. Current Performance : As of January 14, 2025, the index closed at 5,842.91 points, reflecting a slight 0.11% increase compared to the previous day. 4. Technical Outlook : Analysts highlight potential weakness, with the next support level identified at 5,771.5 points. In summary, the SP:SPX has exhibited volatility, peaking in December 2024 and entering a correction phase in early 2025. Let's analyze in detail the various phases that have led us to this point – starting from October 27, 2023, the last moment with a significant downturn. Since then, we’ve seen an increase of about 50%, with a maximum drawdown of 10%. This represents a more than positive performance. Prior to this, we experienced a brief decline lasting around 90 days, with a drop of approximately 11%. Subsequent rallies have generally been strong, although they have been shorter and more contained. In total, we’ve experienced 5 rallies and 5 pullbacks. Currently, we are in a downtrend. As mentioned earlier, except for the first rally, the most significant one, recent bull runs have been consistently interrupted by unwelcome news, data that does not meet investor expectations, and announcements from the FED and ECB indicating that interest rate cuts will be smaller than anticipated. All of this has brought us to the current situation. We are now facing a maximum decline of about 5-6%, with a bounce on the trendline that has been guiding us since October 2023. This is all happening as inflation data is released today. The market seems to have entered a phase where it seeks further confirmations from the economy, and the technical chart is showing exactly that. Additionally, we have several other key economic data releases scheduled for this week. What do you think the market’s next move will be?
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by TIMINGTRADE
Where & How to Draw Strong Support and Resistance Lines & Zones In this article, I will teach you how to draw support and resistance. We will discuss support and resistance lines, levels, zones. You will learn where and how to find it properly with simply technical analysis technique that works on forex, gold or any other financial market. First, let me note that the most reliable time frame for support and resistance analysis is the daily . The structures that you will find there will be appropriate for day trading, scalping and swing trading. Once you open a daily time frame, you should choose a correct perspective . Because this t.f lets you see the price action even for the past couple of years. You need to see the market movement for the last 2 months . It is more than enough to identify the recent key levels. Above is AUDUSD on a daily. We see the price history for 2 months. In order to identify significant supports and resistances, simply find the levels - the highs and lows that the market respected in the past and from where important movements started. These are all such highs and lows that meet the criteria. When I do the support/resistance analysis, I prefer to perceive it as clusters - the zones , taking into consideration the candle closes as well. A support zone will be based on the level of the critical low and the lowest closest candle close. A resistance zone will be based on the level of the high and the highest closest candle close. Following such a rule, here are the zones that I identified. All the clusters that are identified will be applied as trading zones. Within the supports, we look for buying opportunities. While the resistances will be used for selling . Depending on your trading style, and you choose a proper signal before you execute the trade. Execute support and resistance analysis with care and attention, because it is the absolute basis of any technical analysis strategy. With incorrect key levels identification, even the best trading strategy will fail . I hope that the method that I showed you will help you in your trading journey. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
8
XAU/USD 15 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and intraday expectation remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 14 January 2025. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure. This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase. Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BOMEUSDT BUYSWith BTC currently showing bullish sentiments and already exhibiting good momentum for buys, BOMEUSDT has cleared liquidity resting on the 4HR, and after such a sweep, the indication is a reversal in direction. Hence, I expect price to take out that high marked out as MSS to cause a change of character and retest into the FVG below that causes the CHoCh and then target sellside liquidity to the top side. (At least, until BTC does otherwise, as we gotta keep watch on BTC's behavior since we're trading crypto.)
Long
by Blaqkarho
XAGUSD - Silver, waiting for the release of the CPI index!Silver is in a 4 -hour timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50, moving in its upside channel. If you continue the decline, we can see the channel floor failure and a limited support. Silver stabilization above the resistance range will provide us with silver climbing route to the supply zone, where we can sell at a proper risk. The U.S. employment report for December disrupted expectations regarding Federal Reserve policies, highlighting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as a key market driver. Job creation surged by 256,000, significantly surpassing the forecast of 160,000, while the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%. This data triggered a sharp rise in Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.79%, the highest level since 2023. Higher yields increase the cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver, which could face headwinds if inflation accelerates. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to hold off on rate cuts until at least June, a notable shift from earlier forecasts anticipating rate reductions in spring. A hotter-than-expected CPI report could further delay this timeline, strengthening the dollar and potentially putting pressure on silver prices. Silver’s industrial role continues to support its prices, driven by robust global demand in industries like solar energy and electronics.The production of solar panels, a major consumer of silver, remains a key driver, while geopolitical and inflationary risks have boosted silver’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Gold’s stability in a high-yield environment has indirectly supported silver as well. Amid stock market volatility, investors have turned to both precious metals. The S&P 500 has declined by 1% year-to-date. Additionally, concerns over tariffs and the fiscal policies proposed by President-elect Donald Trump have increased demand for safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, speculation around Trump’s potential policies, including tariffs and spending programs, has heightened market uncertainty. Markets are grappling with whether these measures will stoke inflation or negatively impact growth, creating mixed conditions for silver. Major global banks are revising their forecasts for Federal Reserve monetary policy. Bank of America has stated it no longer expects any rate cuts in 2025. The bank believes the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle has ended and sees the next move as more likely to be a rate hike. Citi has also updated its projections, announcing that it no longer anticipates a Fed rate cut in January. The bank now forecasts a potential rate reduction in May. Deutsche Bank has similarly noted that the Fed is unlikely to lower rates in the near term. The bank believes the Fed is currently in a wait-and-see mode, with future actions heavily dependent on incoming economic data. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs predicts the Fed will implement two 0.25% rate cuts in June and December, totaling 0.5% for the year. This marks a revision from its earlier forecast of a 0.75% reduction. Finally, Morgan Stanley has indicated that the likelihood of a near-term rate cut has diminished. However, the bank still considers a rate cut in March plausible due to an improving inflation outlook.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
USDJPY - Will the weakness of the yen stop?!The USDJPY pairing in the 4 -hour timeframe is between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its mid -term uptrend. If corrected by publishing economic data this week, we can see the downward trend and then the restricted demand zone, and in that area with the right risk. The valid defeat of the specified resistance range will pave the way for the pair up to 160. Tatsu Yamasaki, a former Japanese official, stated in an interview with Nikkei that collaboration between Trump and Tokyo could help normalize the dollar-yen exchange rate. He suggested that Trump should work with Tokyo to weaken the overly strong dollar. Such cooperation could strengthen economic relations between the two nations and bring greater stability to financial markets. Meanwhile, robust U.S. labor market data for December has led many analysts to conclude that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates further at this time. Some even predict that the report could pave the way for the Fed to raise interest rates in 2025. An economist at Bank of America wrote in a note, “Our baseline forecast is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates steady for an extended period. However, the risk of a rate hike is growing.” According to the economist, factors such as core inflation growth or rising inflation expectations could trigger a rate hike.Concerns also revolve around Trump’s policies, including tax cuts and tariffs, which may contribute to higher inflation. Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), remarked that the Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts due to stable labor markets and inflation nearing target levels. She also predicted that global economic growth will remain steady as inflation gradually declines in 2025. Georgieva highlighted uncertainties surrounding trade policies under the new U.S. administration, emphasizing their potential impact on the global economy. Additionally, she expects global interest rates to remain relatively high for an extended period. Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, stated that interest rates will be raised if economic improvements and price growth continue. He noted that the final decision on this matter will be made next week. Ueda’s remarks contributed to strengthening the yen in financial markets. Himino, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, indicated that if economic projections materialize, monetary easing policies will be adjusted and interest rates increased. He stressed the need for continuous monitoring of U.S. economic policies under the new administration. Domestically, one of the critical issues remains the outlook for wage growth in the fiscal year 2025. Himino acknowledged various risks, both domestic and international, while noting that the U.S. economy is expected to remain strong. Masato Kanda, a former currency official for Japan, continues to comment on the yen. Speaking in Tokyo, he emphasized that currency markets should move based on fundamental principles, and any sudden deviations from these fundamentals require correction. Separately, Nippon Steel announced that it is the sole partner capable of fully preserving U.S. Steel, keeping its blast furnaces operational, and maintaining jobs in the industry. The company stated that its commitments have been shared in multiple meetings with various stakeholders, including employees. Meanwhile, Lourenco Goncalves, CEO of Cleveland-Cliffs, has been accused of unfair biases, as he cannot match the scope and scale of Nippon Steel’s proposal. Nippon Steel emphasized its determination to take whatever measures are necessary to finalize the deal.
Short
by Ali_PSND