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Supply and Demand

GBPUSD /Sterling Hits 8-Month Low Amid Bearish MomentumGBP/USD Analysis Sterling Weakens to an 8-Month Low The British pound has dropped to $1.240, marking its lowest level in eight months. This decline is driven by concerns over the UK’s economic resilience and a stronger US dollar. The UK economy remains stagnant, with revised Q3 figures showing no growth, adding to the challenges faced by Prime Minister Keir Starmer's new government. Furthermore, the Bank of England's dovish stance in its final 2024 rate decision has placed additional pressure on the pound. Trade tensions also weigh on the pound, particularly with former US President Trump's proposed tariffs, which could disrupt UK trade. Technical Outlook The GBP/USD pair maintains a bearish momentum, though a correction to 1.2485 is possible, especially if the price stabilizes above 1.2409. If the price breaks 1.2485 and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this could signal the start of a bullish continuation towards 1.2610. Conversely, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 1.2409, it could drop further to test 1.2315. A sustained move below 1.2409 would strengthen the bearish outlook, with potential targets at 1.2315 and 1.2215. Key levels Pivot Line: 1.2409 Resistance lines: 1.2485, 1.2532, 1.2611 Support Lines: 1.2315, 1.2215, 1.2150 Trend Outlook Consolidation: Between 1.2409 and 1.2485 Bearish: Below 1.2400 Bullish: Above 1.2486
Short
by SroshMayi
EURUSD / Bearish Momentum with Key Levels and Trend OutlookEUR/USD Analysis The price exhibits bearish momentum, as it has already broken below the pivot line at 1.0367 and closed the weekly candle beneath it. This confirms a downward bias in the near term. In the short term, the price may retest the area around 1.0345 or 1.0367 before continuing its drop. If bearish momentum persists, the price is expected to decline further to test 1.0226 and potentially 1.0155. To transition into a bullish structure, the price must break and sustain above 1.0367 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level. If this occurs, the price could target 1.0437. Key Levels Pivot Line: 1.0288 Resistance Levels: 1.0360, 1.0436, 1.0470 Support Levels: 1.0227, 1.0155, 1.0110 Trend Outlook Consolidation: Between 1.0288 and 1.0346 Bearish Trend: Below 1.0288 Bullish Trend: Above 1.0367 previous idea:
Short
by SroshMayi
1
NZDCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup from Resistance ZoneThe NZDCHF pair is trading within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting a bearish market structure. The price is approaching a key resistance zone which aligns with the channel's upper boundary. If the price confirms rejection at this supply zone, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the 0.50441 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. This setup suggests a continuation of the bearish trend within the current channel. Traders should watch for confirmation, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, before considering short positions.
Short
by DanieIM
1
Nasdaq Futures: Intraday Strategies and Key Levels | January 14Today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Tuesday, January 14, 2025, highlights key zones and strategies to navigate a potential trend reversal. With the market reacting to important support levels, we explore opportunities for both longs and shorts. 📈 Long Opportunities: Entries above 21,030 or near 20,850, with targets at 21,160 and 21,320. 📉 Short Setups: Zones like 21,060 or 21,140, aiming for moves toward 20,860 and 20,650. 📊 Market Context: We discuss how recent price action suggests a possible trend change, and key events to watch that could impact volatility. 💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for real-time analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you'd like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos. 🔗 Subscribe now for expert trading insights, daily updates, and exclusive content. Let’s optimize your trading together!
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by BinvestorsTrading
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not too bad a day on the markets with gold giving us the level we wanted for the short into the red box support where we suggested traders protect and manage their trades. We then got the bounce we wanted but only achieving 50-90pips before the trade closed at BE. We're now seeing price approach the lower Red box support which is active, 2650-55 was also a previous order region so a RIP here could be on the cards. Immediate resistance stands at the 2665 level while CPi approaches tomorrow. Expect there to be some ranging and choppy price action during the Asian session. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700, 2706 and above that 2716 Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635 RED BOXES: Break above 2690 for 2700, 2703, 2706, 2710 and 2724 in extension of the move Break below 2680 for 2667✅, 2665✅, 2655✅ and 2640 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
Don't FOMO in ETH if you missed this pump but waitIf you missed the current pump don't FOMO in because you will get trapped again. Wait for the price enter the supply zone indicated in blue. Then they will drop the price again that's actually a good entry also. And then the price will go bullish to the next level. The reason it's highly likely they will drop the price again is that whales know that people FOMO into the trade now at the worst point. When they drop the price again you litterly handing the money over to them because you will panic sell thinking the market will go bearish. First missed the first pump and second entry is a FOMO entry so the entry is not a confident and strong entry. That's why if some volatility happens you cannot handle it emotionally to stay in. What's actually not true and the market will go bullish from here!
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by FX-Diaries
Insiders Are Betting Big on This AI StockArtificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping industries across the globe, with 35% of businesses incorporating AI into their workflows according to Business Insider. While much of the early AI buzz focused on high-profile players like OpenAI and Nvidia, the next phase of AI's integration may lie in specialized applications—and education is poised to be a major frontier. One company making strides in this space is Nerdy Inc. NYSE:NRDY , which leverages AI to personalize learning across over 3,000 subjects. With growing interest in the NRDY ticker evident on Google Trends and insider activity suggesting confidence from leadership, there may be a unique opportunity brewing for investors looking to capitalize on this late-stage AI play. The Case for AI in Education AI’s potential in education is immense. Tools like chatbots and adaptive learning platforms are already being deployed to personalize tutoring and enhance engagement. For instance, Arizona State University has implemented AI-driven tools to track student progress and recommend resources, while Carnegie Mellon uses AI to power its Open Learning Initiative, helping students master subjects faster. Despite its promise, AI-driven education remains underexplored compared to sectors like healthcare or logistics. This presents an opportunity for companies like Nerdy Inc. to revolutionize how education is delivered at scale while addressing challenges in accessibility and customization. Insider Trading Recent insider trading activity paints an intriguing picture. CEO Charles K. Cohn has made multiple stock acquisitions , including a purchase of 3,000,000 shares on December 13, 2024, and another acquisition of 2,000,000 shares on December 16, 2024, totaling millions of dollars in recent months. Such moves often signal leadership’s confidence in the company’s future. Positive Earnings Surprises Nerdy Inc. has consistently delivered positive earnings surprises : - Q4 2023: 54.55% - Q1 2024: 36.36% - Q2 2024: 33.33% - Q3 2024: 39.13% This trend of exceeding expectations suggests that Nerdy is not only executing well but also potentially under-appreciated by the market. The Strategic Play: Leveraging LEAPS Options Sprouting companies like Nerdy Inc. often follow a predictable cycle of accumulation and distribution on the part of institutions. After an initial public offering, we typically observe a period of stabilization under SEC-regulation M, which mandates price support from underwriting syndicates. During this phase, a rally may occur as the public begins to buy in. However, newer applications—like personalized AI learning—often require time to gain mass adoption. Following this rally, we frequently see a sell-off as qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) exit their initial positions. The most critical phase is accumulation , during which institutions steadily acquire discounted shares. This process may take months or years, but the goal for investors is clear: align with the institutions. The Setup - Contract: June 20, 2025 $1.50 Call - Premium: $0.40 per share - Position Size: 50 contracts - Total Risk: $2,000 (plus transaction fees) This strategy caps downside risk while allowing ample time for institutional accumulation and potential media-driven interest. Risk vs. Reward If Nerdy Inc. recaptures its 2020 IPO price of $10 per share, the potential profit is substantial: ($10 market price - $1.50 strike price) x 5,000 shares = $42,500 profit While ambitious, this scenario aligns with patterns seen in AI-driven stocks like NASDAQ:PLTR and NASDAQ:RGTI which also benefited from strong catalysts and public speculation. Plus NASDAQ:CLBT and NYSE:OPFI to name a few others outside the realm of AI. A Long-Term Perspective AI’s role in education is just beginning. Nerdy Inc.’s commitment to personalized learning places it in a unique position to capitalize on this transformative trend. The combination of strong insider activity, positive earnings surprises, and growing interest in AI-powered education makes this a compelling speculative opportunity. What do you think about AI’s role in transforming education? Will companies like Nerdy Inc. lead the charge, or will traditional methods continue to dominate? General Disclaimer This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. The information provided does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any securities, nor does it take into account your specific financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance. The views expressed are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. For personalized investment recommendations, please consult a licensed financial advisor. The author assumes no liability for actions taken based on the information provided in this post.
NYSE:NRDYLong
by FoxxEquity
GOLD - Short Setup from Resistance ZoneThe XAUUSD pair has recently broken out of the bullish channel, signaling a shift in momentum toward bearish conditions. After this breakdown, the price is currently retesting the resistance zone. This retest is a critical point for the pair, as rejection from this resistance could confirm the bearish outlook. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or a series of lower highs to validate further downside potential. If the resistance holds, the next significant target for sellers is the $2,650.43 support level, which could act as a key demand zone. A break below this level would open the door to further declines, potentially extending the bearish trend. This setup suggests a high-risk zone for buyers and presents an opportunity for short positions if bearish confirmations are observed. Careful monitoring of price action around the retest is essential for planning entries and exits. What are your thoughts on this bearish scenario?
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
4
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis - 4H Timeframe -bearish structureBTC/USDT Technical Analysis - 4H Timeframe In the chart, we can see that the price, after forming a bearish structure and registering lower lows (LL), has entered a corrective phase. Considering the red resistance zones (Supply Zones) marked on the chart, the price has shown reactions in these areas. The analysis structure includes the following trend: Formation of higher highs (HH) followed by a pullback towards lower supports. It is anticipated that after testing the resistance zone (HH), the price will likely move downward towards support levels, forming lower lows. Forecast: Based on the price reaction at the resistance zone, a potential bearish scenario is expected with the price reaching support levels (as indicated by the blue arrow). Note: This analysis is purely personal and is not financial advice for buying or selling.
Short
by roztrader333
2
THOUGHTS ON XRP/USDXRP/USD 4H - I am loving the price action I am seeing at the moment on crypto, price is really respecting these areas of Supply allowing us to buy in at some great prices. I have been buying into XRP more and more over the course of the past two months whilst price has been accumulating, preparing for the next big pump to the upside. You will see above that price has been trading down and into these areas of Demand, clearing liquidity and then trading us higher, we are now seeing price break previous highs which gives us the confluence of a new bull run. I do have a higher timeframe Demand Zone marked out lower if price does decide to take a deeper correction allowing us to really buy in at a cheap price but the market is yet to show signs of diving that low.
BINANCE:XRPUSDLong
by Lukegforex
2
GBPCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup from Resistance ZoneThe GBPCHF pair is trading within a well-defined descending channel, indicating a bearish market structure. The price has recently retraced into a key resistance zone, which aligns with the channel's upper boundary. This area has previously acted as a strong resistance zone, rejecting bullish attempts. If the price confirms rejection at this supply zone, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the lower boundary of the channel around the 1.10677 level, which aligns with a key support zone on the daily time frame. This area may attract buyers, potentially leading to a reversal or temporary consolidation. This setup suggests a continuation of the bearish trend within the current channel if the rejection occurs. Traders should watch for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or a break of intraday support levels, before considering short positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure. This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase. Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
MY THOUGHTS FOR USD/CHFUSD/CHF 30M - As you can see I am wanting to see price trade us up and into this fair value gap I have marked out above before trading us lower longer term. The reason for this is because we have recently seen price trade into a higher timeframe Supply Zone which has encouraged price to then break structure to the downside. As a result of this, it tells us that the S&D balances in theory should be flipping and we should see the market begin to trade us bearish rather than bullish. Following the laws of bearish structure we want to see lower highs and lower lows being printed into the market, this is why we want to see price pullback up and into the Supply Zone above, to set a Lower High, this giving us the ability to enter into the market with a refined entry.
Short
by Lukegforex
NAS100 - Potential Buy at Key Demand ZoneThe NAS100 is approaching a key demand zone, which has historically acted as a strong support area. This level is marked by prior price reactions, suggesting that buyers may step in again if the price retraces to this zone. The current market structure indicates a bearish trend, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if the price finds support within this demand zone. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this zone with bullish signals, such as long wicks or bullish engulfing candles, the market may move upward. The first target for this potential bullish move would be around the $20,924 level. This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near support, providing an opportunity for a short-term rally. Let me know your thoughts or if you have additional insights into this setup! Feel free to share your perspective in the comments!
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Long
by DanieIM