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Supply and Demand

BSE - BSE Ltd. (45 mins. chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-termBSE - BSE Ltd. (45 mins. chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volatility risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 6480 Entry limit ~ 6370 to 6430 (Avg. - 6400) on April 23, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 6500 (+1.56%; +100 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 6700 (+4.69%; +300 points) Stop order limit ~ 6300 (-1.56%; -100 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:BSELong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area. - Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge. - Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn) - Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here. Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it. I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck! Here is the close up look of the wedge:
Long
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
3
US500 - Will the stock market go up?!The index is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for the next Nasdaq buying positions with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The channel breakdown and the index entering the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position. The chief economist at Citigroup has stated that the imposition of tariffs in the United States constitutes a stagflationary shock to the economy. According to his estimates, there is a 40% to 45% chance of a recession. It is expected that GDP will increase in the second quarter, as consumers rush to make purchases ahead of the new tariffs. However, the most significant negative impact on U.S. economic growth is projected to unfold in the second half of the year. You may have noticed that recent economic statistics are no longer moving markets. The reason is simple: markets are forward-looking and trade on expectations rather than past data. Economic figures reflect what has already occurred, while market pricing focuses on what lies ahead. At this stage, current data has yet to fully reflect the impact of tariffs and trade tensions. Even if weaker numbers emerge, markets may have already priced in the potential resolution of the trade war and an eventual recovery. Experienced traders understand that today’s developments are already factored into prices. What matters now is the outlook for the coming months—the real driver of market direction. Ryan Petersen of Flexport noted yesterday that, three weeks after the U.S.imposed heavy tariffs on Chinese imports, bookings for ocean freight containers have dropped more than 60% industry-wide. He explained that the U.S. imports around $600 billion worth of goods annually from China, with those items valued at approximately $2 trillion at the retail level. He stated that the first ships carrying goods fully subject to the new tariffs arrived on Monday, and shipping volumes are expected to decline in the coming weeks. However, due to high inventory levels, the impact on the retail sector may be delayed. Petersen also expressed concern that a potential rollback of tariffs could introduce a new set of challenges. With ships currently being repositioned globally, a sudden wave of new orders could disrupt logistics networks—especially if markets perceive the suspension of tariffs as only temporary. In my view, no one really knows how this situation will evolve, as a large portion of imports consists of intermediate goods and components used in final products. My guess is that this could lead to a surge in transshipment and even smuggling, though it could just as easily echo the unexpected consequences seen during the COVID era. We are truly venturing into uncharted territory. Petersen concludes: “This is a strange era for global logistics, as we must simultaneously prepare for the unimaginable—like full U.S. self-sufficiency—while also planning for a return to something closer to normal trade relations.”
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Ali_PSND
Nifty--Demand Zone and Liquidity @23400 Nifty index is broken the strong resistance at 23800 levels and taken the liquidity at 24220 levels... now price action is sideways or trading in a range bound market. expecting some pullback for further continuation.... wait for buyers exhaustion before short... we have a clear demand zone at 23400 levels... when price confirms the bullishness here, after the liquidity grab below the demand will observe a strong up move again... there are bullish gaps @22800 levels...price has to give pullback for further upside move... the above one is a clear buying plan for the targets of 24800 and 25200 liquidity. --->>still we have no sign of bearishness is seen in Nifty.
NSE:NIFTY
by IIT-Trader
1
TIA buy/long setup (4H)TIA seems to be in the middle of a bullish pattern, especially as it has reclaimed key levels and there is an order block located below the current price. Two entry points are marked on the chart, indicating where we’re looking for buy/long positions. Targets are specified on the image. A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this setup. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
POL (MATIC) Falling Channel BreakoutBINANCE:POLUSDT is attempting a breakout from a nearly 6-months long falling channel. A daily close above the resistance would offer confirmation. Watch for a potential retest of the resistance as support, as the overbought Daily RSI could signal an imminent pullback. Key Levels Aside from the support, these are all good candidates for partial TPs. • $0.15-$0.17: Bull order block and current support • $0.30: Previous S/R, 0.236 fib of the move down, and HVN. Will likely offer resistance. • $0.53: Previous S/R, and 0.618 fib of the move down. • $0.66-$0.77: Main supply zone, and December 2024 high.
Long
by AliferCrypto
Nifty levels - Apr 25, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
Long trade 30min TF overview 🛢 WTICOUSD – Buy-Side Trade 📅 Date: Thursday, 24th April 2025 🕘 Time: 9:00 AM (New York Time) 📍 Session: London AM 📊 Entry Timeframe: (5m) Trade Parameters Entry Price: 63.238 Take Profit: 66.619 (+5.54%) Stop Loss: 63.036 (–0.32%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 16.74 Reasoning - Narrative This WTI Crude Oil long trade was initiated during the London AM session, a time when commodity markets often see increased activity and institutional positioning. The trade followed a sharp reaction off a discounted price zone, which aligned with a previously unmitigated bullish order block on the intraday chart. Before entry, price performed a liquidity sweep below 63.10, triggering stops from earlier long positions and clearing out sell-side pressure
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by davidjulien369
XAUUSD - Will Gold Reverse?!Gold is trading between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 15-minute timeframe and is on its uptrend line. A continued bullish move towards the supply zone will provide us with the next opportunity to sell it with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a range of $10-$15. Gold prices dropped by 4% on Wednesday, just a day after reaching an all-time high. The decline followed remarks by President Trump that helped ease Wall Street’s concerns about the ongoing trade war with China and tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Throughout this year, gold has seen a substantial rise due to investor fears over the economic consequences of tariffs. Additionally, the metal has benefited from capital fleeing U.S. assets amid political uncertainty under the Trump administration. On Tuesday, Trump reassured markets by stating that he had no intention of removing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair and expressed his expectation that tariffs on Chinese goods would soon be lowered. Trump’s statements supporting Federal Reserve independence and hinting at easing trade tensions with China reignited risk appetite in financial markets, causing gold prices to tumble on Wednesday.Just a day earlier, prices had hit a record high above $3,500, as investors speculated that Trump might attempt to remove Powell. Trump had previously criticized Powell for not cutting interest rates and for warning that tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices. Gold’s price surge this year has been especially notable following Trump’s decision to halt the implementation of sweeping new tariffs initially announced in early April. Gold, as a safe-haven asset not tied to any single national economy—unlike traditional alternatives such as the U.S. dollar or Treasuries, which are subject to U.S. government influence—has become increasingly attractive to investors wary of Trump’s policy decisions. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that continued tariff escalation in 2025 could push global public debt to 95.1% of GDP—an increase of 2.8 percentage points from previous forecasts. According to the IMF’s latest “Fiscal Monitor” report, if revenues and output fall significantly below expectations due to tariff-induced pressures, global debt could surpass 117% of GDP by 2027. Investment bank JPMorgan has projected that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. This forecast is based on expectations of an economic recession, a prolonged trade war, and sustained demand from central banks. However, JPMorgan also cautioned that a sudden drop in central bank demand could threaten this bullish trend. The IMF’s report further estimates that global public debt will climb to 99.6% of GDP by 2030, exceeding even the pandemic-era peak. The IMF has forecasted global economic growth at around 2.8% for 2025. In this scenario, the U.S. budget deficit is projected to decrease from 7.3% of GDP in 2024 to 6.5% in 2025, and further down to 5.5% in 2026, largely due to increased tariff revenues and continued economic expansion. These IMF projections for the U.S. deficit are based on policies announced up until April 2, 2025, and assume that the individual tax cuts enacted in 2017 will expire at the end of this year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise. According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year. The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March. In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%. Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.” On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels. At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs. UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets. UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
Long
by Ali_PSND