1000Bonk Day Trading SetupIf you see price starts consolidation at the poi, or see any 5m big green candle then enter with proper SL, will update trade should be closed or not.
Supply and Demand
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
So we followed the path on yesterdays Report and ideally, on a good day we would have wanted an undercut low and then the bounce. Instead, we got the high, got the move down and then decided, due to CPI we would take what the market gave and wait. Fortunately, it was a no show CPI and the range continued.
So now, we'll stick with the plan and follow the bias levels, above 3240 we'll look for higher pricing and maybe tomorrow Excalibur will give us that BOOM that we want.
For now, support 3230, resistance 3265 on the attack.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3240 with targets above 3258✅ and above that 3265✅
Bearish on break of 3240 with target below 3230✅ and below that 3210
RED BOXES:
Break above 3265 for 3272, 3275, 3288 and 3006 in extension of the move
Break below 3250 for 3235✅, 3230✅, 3226✅ and 3207 in extension of the move
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306✅, 3301✅, 3297✅, 3285✅ and 3274✅
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3298✅, 3293✅, 3285✅ and 3279✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDUSD..LONG
Analysis complete — scenarios outlined. The zone could be a decision point
for [ OANDA:AUDUSD ]. Price reaction here may define the next move.
**** If price breaks and pulls back to retest, a reversal setup might emerge.
Smart Forex Analysis | Weekly Setups
Clean charts. No noise. Just levels.
EURAUD...SHORTPrice is nearing a critical level around . No setup, no trade. For me, a solid plan always comes before any prediction.
****If the zone is broken and confirmed with a retest, I’ll adjust my plan accordingly for a possible reverse trade.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
GBPUSD Analysis🔁 GBPUSD update!
As our followers know,
we previously took a great profit from this level (see pinned idea below).💸
Now, that level is broken and we are patiently waiting for a pullback to enter a short trade.🔻
***If the price breaks above, we may switch to a buy setup — let’s wait for a clear signal!🕵️
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
EURUSD – This Week’s SetupAs shown in the previous analysis, the key levels have been broken 🔓.
We’re now waiting for a pullback to short from the marked level 🔽.
But if price goes straight to the lower level without a pullback, we’ll look for a buy opportunity there 🔼🎯.
Exact price levels shown on the chart!
Live markets need live plans! ⚔️📈
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
GBPJPY: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY successfully violated and closed above a major
daily resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more growth now.
Next resistance - 197.3
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD: Bullish Move After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed above a key horizontal resistance yesterday.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny ascending
triangle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a bullish continuation now.
Goal - 0.6492
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21273.00
- PR Low: 21249.50
- NZ Spread: 52.5
No key scheduled economic events
Value continues to creep another 2%, increasing distance from weekend gap
- Mechanically, holding previous session highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 5/14)
- Session Open ATR: 543.13
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -5.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBPUSD Swing trade shortWe have a 1D supply zone open above the current equal highs (marked by red line), this 1day supply zone is around the 1.36 mark and takes us back a little while but has not been mitigated as yet.
1day supply zone will need to see a 1H break of structure to the downside within this supply zone to show a rejection of this price and will then look to get in on a short to the demand zone marked below.
Entry - TBC - between 1.353-- 1.36
SL - 1.375
TP - 1.28
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,250
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850
Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC)
High-volume nodes:
Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance.
Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested.
Low-volume gaps:
Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above.
Downside:
21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone.
20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone.
Absorption Zones:
Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection)
Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout.
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend.
Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 20,850
POC: 20,847.54
Psychological & structural: 21,000
Resistance:
VAH: 21,250
Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 21,250
Swing Low: 20,084
Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250):
1/2: 20,667
1/3: 20,472
2/3: 20,889
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top.
b) Notable Patterns:
Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support.
Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD.
Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation):
Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 21,200
T2: 21,250
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal):
Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence)
Target:
T1: 21,000
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,260
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,217
Point of Control (POC): 3,234.27
High-volume nodes: Around 3,234 – confirms consolidation and price acceptance.
Low-volume gaps: Below 3,210 and above 3,275 – potential zones for fast moves.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters Likely At:
Upside: 3,260 (prior swing highs).
Downside: 3,200 & 3,175 (multiple swing lows).
Order Absorption Zones (Delta Spikes):
Near 3,234 and 3,217 – large volume with minimal price movement (potential absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,275 (bearish rejection)
Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,200 (bullish absorption)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently range-bound, with a possible bullish structure forming (wedge channel).
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Weak trend, range likely.
CVD Confirmation:
Recent rising CVD + price holding above POC = early demand signs
Watch for breakout above 3,240 for stronger confirmation.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,217
POC: 3,234
Swing Low: 3,200 (absorption)
Resistance:
VAH: 3,260
Swing High: 3,275 (recent rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 3,200
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 3,275
Key Retracements from 3,275 to 3,200:
1/2: 3,237.5
1/3: 3,250
2/3: 3,225
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Neutral to Bullish Bias – structure forming higher lows within ascending channel.
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling wedge breakout attempt.
Retest of POC zone (3,234) – critical for bullish continuation.
Potential double bottom formation near 3,200.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,234–3,230 (POC support zone)
Targets:
T1: 3,250 (Gann 1/3 retrace & mid-channel)
T2: 3,275 (swing high resistance)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,215 (below VAL + structure invalidation)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If breakdown below 3,217 confirmed):
Entry Zone: 3,215–3,217
Target:
T1: 3,200
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,235 (above POC)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade.
SWARMS Is Bulish (12H)A key flip zone on the SWARMS chart has been reclaimed.
The trigger line has been broken, and we have a bullish CH (Change of Character) on the chart.
As long as the flip zone holds, price may move toward the identified targets.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
EURCAD: Your Trading Plan For Today⚠️EURCAD is currently testing a recently violated horizontal support level within a trading range.
It is highly likely that this broken structure has now become resistance.
We will look for a confirmation to sell upon a bearish breakout of the neckline of a descending triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe.
A close of the hourly candle below 1.5545 will confirm this violation, with an anticipated bearish continuation targeting at least 1.5538.
XAU/USD Short PotentialI believe due to higher time frame analysis we will see gold fall in the near future
USUAL Looks Bullish (12H)A double bottom pattern has formed on the chart, leading to a breakout from the price channel.
A support zone has been established, and a bullish CH has appeared on the chart.
Considering the breakout and the bullish structure, we can set up a buy position on this coin.
Targets are marked on the chart, and reaching the third target is also possible.
The invalidation of this setup will occur if a daily candle closes below the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
$AXS Breakout & 44% Pump:
AXS broke out of the falling wedge and surged 44%, confirming a strong bullish reversal.
🔸 Key Support at $3.05 – $3.10:
This zone may be retested. Holding above it keeps the bullish trend intact.
🔸 Upside Target: $4.80 – $5.20
Next leg up could push toward $5+ if momentum continues.
🔸 Risk Level: $2.98
Break below this invalidates the bullish setup.
🔸 Action Plan:
Look for entries near $3.10–$3.30 on pullbacks. Watch for bullish confirmation before riding toward higher targets.
Market in Crab Mode, but $SUI Still within Trend – Bidding at $2Bidding CRYPTOCAP:SUI under $2.1.
Although the market looks weak right now, this seems like a simple retrace into a good area. If it manages to hold the weekly trend, I don't see any problem with placing bids in this zone.
I believe BTC will need to create a new yearly low around the 75-76k range for my bids to trigger. For now, I'm fine with waiting.
Still think March will be mostly sideways or down. BINANCE:SUIUSDT
SUI SHORT Short term SUI Scalp. Broke minor support and should continue down momentarily before a push up before the main short after a liquidity grab.
BTC/USDT: Long Opportunity After Order Block Breakout #### **Market Context**
- Price has **broken and closed above** the key order block resistance, invalidating sell setups.
- Current structure favors **bullish continuation** with a clean retest of the new demand zone.
#### **Key Levels**
- **Entry Zone**: **104,018.6** (Retest of bullish order block)
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (Below recent swing low)
- **Targets**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Initial liquidity pool)
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Next swing high)
- **Risk/Reward**: **1:3+** (Conservative)
#### **Analysis**
- **Breakout Confirmation**: The previous resistance (order block) has flipped into support.
- **Entry Logic**: Price retraced with a **healthy pullback** (not aggressive selling) into the new demand zone.
- **SL Placement**: Below the recent swing low to avoid false breakdowns.
#### **Trade Execution**
- **Long Entry**: **104,018.6** (Limit order preferred for better fills).
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (~0.4% risk from entry).
- **Take Profit**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Partial close to secure profit).
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Runner position if momentum continues).
#### **Risk Management**
- **Do Not Risk More Than 1-2%** of capital per trade.
- Adjust position size if volatility expands.
#### **Chart Notes**
- **Green Zone**: New demand area (retest entry).
- **Red Line**: Invalidation level (stop loss).
- **Blue Arrows**: Expected price path.
---
### **Why This Setup?**
- **Trend Alignment**: Higher timeframe (HTF) bias remains bullish.
- **Order Block Confirmation**: Old resistance now acts as support.
- **Optimal R/R**: Favorable risk-reward with clear invalidation.
**Next Watch**: If BTC holds above **104K**, next target is **105.5K**.
ETH Wyckoff update. Spring absolutely sprang. $3200 then LPS?🚀 The Spring Has Sprung – Wyckoff Update 🌱
We’re right in the heart of the Wyckoff Accumulation schematic, and it's playing out beautifully. The spring phase is complete, we had the test and now we’re clearly seeing the markup phase.
Price has launched off after the test and is now targeting a return to the prior breakdown level—around $2800—which was the last structural high before the drop into the spring. Now to about 2850 is our first major resistance. I think it will break through before the first LPS, last point of support
📍 Key Levels:
Target: $3,200 (the global 618 retracement the next 3D OB)
Backtest Zone: $3,000 to to as low as $2,500
Max Pullback IMO: $2,300 (unlikely to go that low)
POC (Point of Control): right around current levels—this could serve as a backtest zone after the breakout.
Expecting a classic LPS last point of support) and then a Back-Up to the top Edge of the Creek
Where we are now...around the 50% mark of the trading range—lining up beautifully with the old POC which price is currently above.
📉 If you missed the spring, this LPS back test might be your second chance. or you could long the BO from here , which is a very bad trading plan IMO. or wait for the next pull back which might be around 2580 at the VWAP. maybe btc goes to 106.2 first. maybe it just keeps going to 3200. I'm cautious on adding to LONGS until 3200 is tapped. but you do you.
Let’s see how it plays out. Smart money appears to have already made its move.
Short trade
5min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:55 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 104,320.89
🔹 Profit Target: 103,710.98 (-0.58%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 104,475.64 (+0.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.94
🔍 Reasoning:
The sellside breakout trade was initiated following a clean breakdown through local support during the NY PM session. Price action showed strong momentum and follow-through beneath the key structural level, confirming bearish intent. The setup aligned with a downside liquidity run and order flow shift, with stop placement just above the breakout level to minimise risk exposure.
Short trade 🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: ETH/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:20 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 2,702.20
🔹 Profit Target: 2,654.27 (-1.77%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 2,710.31 (+0.30%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.91
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside breakout trade assumes a clear momentum-driven directional bias during the NY PM session. The move was reinforced by forming a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the lower timeframe (5min), indicating institutional selling pressure and inefficiency. Price broke below a key structural level and continued into the FVG, confirming bearish intent. Entry was taken with confluence from the gap, targeting the next liquidity pool while maintaining tight stop control above the invalidation zone.
5min TF entry
