Supply and Demand
False Breakdown? BTC Eyes Rebound From Demand Zone!Bitcoin has broken below its strong rising trendline, but this move could well turn out to be a classic seller’s trap. Despite the breakdown, BTC is currently holding above the key breakout zone, which has historically triggered strong rebounds.
The price is also sitting right inside a previous "accumulated & explode" demand zone — an area where buyers have consistently stepped in. If BTC manages to hold this zone, a sharp rebound could follow, trapping late sellers and driving price higher.
However, if the support zone fails, we could see deeper downside. For now, this is a critical pivot — watch price action closely to see if bulls defend this level or if sellers gain control.
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BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)After dropping toward the 100K zone and sweeping the liquidity pool, Bitcoin has made a strong rebound to the upside, putting high-leverage short positions at risk. However, it is now approaching a supply zone that could potentially push the price back down toward the 98K area.
If the market maker intends to drive the price lower and trigger a bearish scenario, this is the zone to do it from. Let’s see what happens.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level ($107,000) would invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts to the red box.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THE KOG REPORT - NFPQuick one today as we haven't had much time to put together the report.
Instead, the red box levels are shared below and the extreme red boxes are on the chart.
We have key level 3365 which needs to break as shown and key level 3345 which needs to break downside.
RED BOX TARGETS
Break above 3365 for 3366, 337, 3385, 3390, 3406 and 3420 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3345, 3336, 3329, 3320, 3310 and 3298 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Netflix (NFLX) RSI Bearish Divergence Setting Up Major Rever📈 Summary:
Netflix has rallied +44% in just 60 days, entering a steep, parabolic move. However, technical exhaustion signs are now flashing across multiple indicators — suggesting a potential near-term top may be forming.
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
1. Bearish RSI Divergence
The RSI is making lower highs (~73) while price makes higher highs → classic bearish divergence.
Similar divergences in December and February led to drops of –12% and –18% , respectively.
2. Parabolic Move + Rising Wedge
Price has broken out of an orderly channel and is now moving parabolically , a pattern typically unsustainable.
The current structure resembles a rising wedge , often a reversal formation .
3. Volume Weakness
Volume has been declining throughout the recent push , signaling weak demand behind the rally.
No climactic buying — this raises the risk of a sharp drop if momentum fades .
4. MACD Losing Momentum
MACD histogram has flipped slightly negative.
A potential bearish crossover is brewing.
🧭 Strategy Outlook
🚨 Aggressive traders could look for short opportunities below $1,240 , where support may break.
🧠 Options traders might consider a bear call spread once a daily close confirms the wedge breakdown.
📌 Key Levels
Support to watch: $1,240 (break = confirmation)
Next support zone: $1,190–1,155 (EMA cluster)
Critical RSI trigger: break below 65 confirms bearish divergence playing out
🧩 Final Thoughts
The RSI divergence, parabolic structure , and volume behavior all align for a potential pullback . While the trend is still technically intact, risk-reward favors preparing for a reversal , especially with prior divergences leading to significant downside.
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 56,578.40 with a gain of 1.49%
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 56,706 to 56,469
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
S1: 56,113
S2: 55,639
S3: 55,053
Resistance Levels:
R1: 57,065
R2: 57,543
R3: 58,133
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 56,706 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (57,065) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 56,469, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (56,113) and lower levels.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,003.30 with a gain of (1.02%)
If Nifty sustains below 24,924, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 25,283 could restore bullish momentum.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 24,924 -25,083.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: 24,689
S2: 24,375
S3: 23,987
Resistance:
R1: 25,321
R2: 25,639
R3: 26,032
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 25,083 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,321) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,924 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,686) or lower.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
XAUUSD OUTLOOK 6th, jun , 2025Hey traders
Yesterday gold give us a Bullish Move grabbed Buy side liquidity from 3403
Then Waterfall started till 3339 which is our Sell side liquidity pool
Currently I'm seeing Short demand zone 3356 to 3350 which is expected as market likely to respect it and gave us a short pullback upto 3380 to 3390
Trade confirmations :
Buy if price is getting rejection again and again from this zone target 3380 separated in 3 TPs
Stoploss zone 3345 very tight
Short term today bias
Must DYOR (do your own research) This Trade is Not financial advise.
I'm trying to upload daily XAUUSD bias plus some scalping setups , Your opinion in comment/ dm plz
Good luck
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #goldanalysis
#Forextechnicalanlysis #Goldtechnicalanalysis
XAU/USD 06 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
M4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USDJPY – Supply Zone Rejection Incoming?June 6, 2025 | Short-Term Bias: Bearish
USDJPY is currently trading around 144.16, testing a key supply zone between 144.25 – 144.45. This area has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing signs of exhaustion after a solid bullish run from the 142.90 demand zone.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Price is inside a high-probability supply zone, with clear historical rejection at this level.
A strong bearish risk-reward setup is in play, with the target at 142.90 and a stop above 144.456.
The volume profile shows high activity around 144.00–144.25, hinting at possible consolidation or distribution.
Previous structure confirms this level has served as a seller’s stronghold.
📉 Bias:
Leaning bearish as long as price remains below 144.456.
A break and close above that level would invalidate this setup and shift the bias to bullish, targeting the 145.00+ area.
📌 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: Current level (~144.16)
SL: Above 144.456
TP: 142.90
Let’s see if sellers step in again here, or if bulls are ready to break through. ⚔️
Drop your thoughts below! 👇
BankNifty levels - Jun 09, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - Jun 09, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Why disappointed? Btc Dominance update here Just Trust the process
BTC DOMINANCE last leg
You can see here BTC Dominance already broked it's uptrend and started it's downtrend it is just taking a move up to retest.
Soon you will see if after touching the black box area it breaks the structure on lower time frame get ready for huge Altseason 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀
Don't worry it's just a pull back
Only the strongest will survive
This is the beauty of the Market
Hold your horses good days are waiting for you
They just want you to sell and get disappointed.
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USDCHF Primed for Monster Move to 0.92? Here's Why!In today’s video, I break down a potentially strong bullish opportunity on USDCHF and why, with the right entry signal, we might see a solid push up towards 0.88 and eventually 0.92 in the weeks and months ahead.
First off, let's check the monthly chart. In April, price finally broke and closed below the major 0.84 support, a level that held firm since 2011. Below, I've marked the massive buy zone created around the 2011 lows—interestingly, depending on your broker, you’ll notice this zone was tested during the dramatic Swiss franc unpegging event back in 2015 as well.
But here's why I don’t think we’re headed down to retest that monthly zone anytime soon. Zooming into the weekly charts, we clearly see a key weekly buy zone. This was actually the origin point for the massive move up from the 2011 lows to 0.95. This exact weekly level is already proving its significance again, given the strong buying reaction we saw here in May.
Now, zooming further into the daily charts, we had a nice bounce at that weekly buy zone, pushing price back up to retest the previous support at 0.84. If the market truly wanted lower prices, we would've seen a sharp sell-off from there. Instead, price has slowly been grinding lower, forming a clear W double-bottom pattern—a powerful reversal signal.
This all points to higher prices ahead, especially considering USDCHF currently offers one of the most attractive swap carry opportunities due to the interest rate differentials and the SNB’s hints about possibly returning to negative rates to weaken the franc.
Here's my game plan:
Wait patiently for the next bullish daily candle with a clear close above 0.83.
My first target will be the 0.88 area (previous strong resistance and weekly sell zone).
The longer-term target will be around the 0.92 resistance zone.
My stop loss will be placed comfortably below 0.80. Should we spike lower to that level, I'll remain alert for another high-probability bullish entry signal.
Let me know your thoughts below!
AUDJPY: Pullback Confirmed?! 🇦🇺🇯🇵
There is a high chance that AUDJPY will pull back
from the underlined resistance cluster.
Its false violation, a formation of a bearish imbalance candle
and a breakout of a rising trend line provide strong bearish confirmation.
Goal - 93.185
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XAUUSD - Gold awaits NFP!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the hourly timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50. We should wait for a valid breakout of the pattern we identified yesterday, from which we had a Fick break above. We can enter the trade after it breaks in the formed pattern, and on the other hand, if gold corrects towards the demand zone, we can buy it in the short term with a reward at an appropriate risk.
Gold came under downward pressure amid renewed optimism regarding U.S.-China trade talks. Although prices surged to a four-week high earlier in the day due to strong demand from Asian and European buyers, a wave of selling during U.S. trading hours reversed part of that gain.
This shift in momentum coincided with rising U.S. Treasury yields and a boost in market sentiment following a phone call between the presidents of China and the United States. While no official statement has been issued yet, the decision to initiate a new round of high-level negotiations was seen as a positive signal. In recent months, gold has become a key indicator for gauging geopolitical and trade-related risks, having previously surged to an all-time high of $3,500 after the “Freedom Day” tariffs were implemented.
Despite ongoing concerns over Ukraine, Iran, and the growing U.S. fiscal deficit—which provide fundamental support for gold—the metal’s inability to break above the key resistance level of $3,437 has cast doubt on the short-term bullish outlook.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has projected that the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report for May will show a 125,000 increase in jobs. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%, and monthly wage growth is estimated at 0.3%. The bank also anticipates a 10,000-job decline in the public sector, largely due to tariff-related policies and reduced hiring. Overall, Goldman Sachs expects the report to be balanced and free of surprises, which should encourage the Federal Reserve to maintain its current policy stance.
Although gold has managed to stabilize above $3,000 per ounce in recent weeks, many investors remain focused on reclaiming the historic peak reached in April. According to one research firm, it’s only a matter of time before that level is tested and broken again.
In the annual “Gold Focus 2025” report published Thursday by the UK-based firm Metals Focus, analysts stated that gold retains strong momentum for further gains in 2026. They forecast that the average gold price this year could reach an unprecedented $3,210, with new highs likely in the second half of the year.
In an interview with Kitco News, Metals Focus CEO Philip Newman said it is difficult to envision a scenario that would derail the current bull market. While this perspective isn’t included in their formal forecasts, he believes the rally could extend into 2026.
Newman added, “If you look at what’s happening across the global economy, all the ingredients for a structural bull market are present.” He highlighted that one of gold’s unique traits is how quickly investors adapt to new price levels, often converting previous resistance levels into future support. A year ago, he admitted he would have expected $3,000 to trigger widespread profit-taking.
However, despite ongoing economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability, investors have not been discouraged by current price levels. Newman emphasized that what makes 2025 distinct is that new investors are just now entering the market. While gold has been rallying since 2023, much of the demand until recently came from central banks and Asian markets—particularly China.
Newman noted that only in Q4 of last year and early this year did retail investors begin to decisively adopt a bullish stance. “We’ve seen strong growth in investment demand this year,” he said, “but there’s still a large amount of capital that hasn’t entered the market yet. This is not a bubble—this is a well-supported, structurally sound market.”
He concluded by identifying changing perceptions of the U.S. dollar as a major driver behind increased gold investment.While the dollar remains a traditional safe haven, ongoing trade tensions and unsustainable government debt levels have eroded market confidence, prompting investors to seek safety and diversification through gold.