Supply and Demand
Nifty levels - Apr 11, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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BankNifty levels - Apr 11, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
AUDUSD – Trading Into Key Zones | Testing a New ApproachI'm currently bearish on AUDUSD, based on the overall market structure and price flow. But instead of jumping in at any supply zone, I’m testing a new approach — waiting for the price to trade into my zones before looking for setups. Here's the breakdown:
🧩 New Concept I’m Exploring: “Trading Into Zones”
Rather than reacting too early, I want to align with the natural breathing flow of the market, which often moves:
🔄 From internal range liquidity → to external range liquidity,
and vice versa.
This means price often sweeps liquidity within a range before reaching key levels or zones (external liquidity), and that’s exactly where high-probability trades happen.
$NIO downtrend or recover?Looking at the daily chart, it's obvious that the 30/60 EMA crossover with downward movement likely confirms that the price hasn't finished dropping and is heading toward new lows. The decline began on 10/28/2024, and at some point, the price tried to pull out of its steep dive on 03/11/2025 - even showing some volume - but it was all in vain. After forming a cup pattern, the price never completed the handle formation and simply slid downward.
A couple of scenarios could play out from these lows: it might suddenly shoot upward, signaling that it won't return to the downtrend in the near future, or alternatively, it could continue "testing the bottom" and provide a good entry point below $2.38. The volumes of recent trading sessions add to this suspicion - it feels like deliberate selling pressure, or perhaps dumping based on fears about Trump's new tariffs.
Bearish Setup on AUDJPY – Waiting for POI ReactionCurrently bearish on AUDJPY due to higher time frame structure showing signs of weakness. However, I’m exercising patience as I have two key areas of interest (POIs) I’m watching closely:
Primary POI (Point of Interest):
This is a refined supply zone within the premium zone, where I expect price to retrace before giving any bearish confirmation. Ideally, I want to see a clear rejection or distribution pattern here before executing a short position.
Extreme POI (Last Line of Defense):
In case price breaks through the primary POI without a solid rejection, I will wait for price to reach this deeper, more extreme supply zone. This is my most conservative entry area and aligns with higher risk-to-reward expectations.
Trade Plan:
No entry until price pulls back into one of the POIs.
Looking for confirmation (e.g., break of structure, bearish engulfing, supply taking over demand) before executing a sell.
Targeting previous demand levels or liquidity zones below current price.
Stop loss will depend on the POI used, with risk managed accordingly.
Bias: Bearish
Status: Waiting for retracement and confirmation.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A decent day on gold again. We didn't get the push down for the long, however, the long came from the red box level completing most of the bias level targets as well as two mega Excalibur targets for the day. We then got the RIP from above giving the short to those who wanted more!
We're now at support 2980 which needs to break to go lower, otherwise, we'll look for price to push up again into that 3006-10 region and look for a RIP there. If we get it, we're on for our lower target which is active.
From Camelot this morning:
Price: 3007
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 2990 with target above 3010✅ and above that 3019✅
Bearish on break of 2990 with target below 2075
RED BOXES:
Break above 3010 for 3017✅, 3020✅, 3024 and 3030 in extension of the move
Break below 2998 for 2990✅, 2985✅, 2977✅ and 2970 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
POTENTIAL LONGS ON GBP/JPYGBP/JPY 1D - Now price has traded into a large area of Demand I am expecting a reversal in this market, as we know this market is predominantly bullish anyway with the JPY being quite a weak currency compared to the GBP.
I want to see price break structure to the upside more fractally, giving us the confluence to suggest that enough Demand has been introduced to see price trade higher, once we have that we can begin looking for longs.
Following the prevailing trend we have majority traders on our back to help drive price higher. A break will give us the confluence needed so once we have that we just need to wait for price to pullback.
Price pulling back gives us the means to get involved in this market with a refined entry. allowing us to have greater risk to reward returns on our trades.
THOUGHTS ON THE GBP/USDGBP/USD 1H - As you can see I have gone ahead and marked out some areas of interest I would like to see price come and clear before a further down move. Once price trades us up and into one of two areas we can begin looking to go short.
It is important we are patient and allow price to play out as we want and need it to before we look to take part, allowing price to trade us into said zones, gives us the opportunity to get involved in this market with a more refined entry.
We could look to take part in some temporary long positions whilst we prepare to take part in shorts, whilst this is trading against the prevailing trend it is following the current corrective wave.
So buying in would hold some risk just as price could realistically flip to the downside at any point should enough supply be introduced into the market.
POTENTIAL TRADES ON THE EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price has recently traded beneath the low that was set before the highest high traded into the Supply Zone above, this would be considered a fractal break in structure.
Now in order for us to look to get involved in this market we need to see price trade back up to set its initial high acting as an area of interest for us to enter in from. To deem a valid entry there are some things we need to see.
We want price to trade in clearing the area of inefficency, one price has done that we expect that enough Supply has been introduced to flip the balance, this should cause price to break again fractally.
Once we have been delivered with a fractal break in structure in and around the area that we have marked out, this is when we can begin looking to take the market short as it confirms the new bearish leg.
THOUGHTS ON NAS100NASDAQ 1W - As you can see above this is my higher timeframe outlook on this pair, I want to see price correct itself now trading us up and into the area of Supply I have marked out above.
In doing so we ought to see strength in the USD. This will only be temporary just to clear any remaining orders that may be left before we can have a larger move to the downside.
Once price does eventually trade us higher up and into the Supply Zone above, this is when we can begin looking to take this market short. Using this as an area to enter in from.
We want to see price trade in, clear orders and then begin showing signs of a distribution, this is removing those buy orders and introducing sell orders, giving us the S&D flip we want.
BTC Analysis: Bullish Potential Amid Bearish MomentumHi there,
BTC is potentially bullish on the H2, following the low of 74476.28 formed on the weekly chart and the ABC inside pattern from 84950.45. I anticipate that the price will form a high that could potentially extend the overall bearish momentum to further lows.
So there is one bullish price target for a bias of 82444.87.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
long trade
1Hr TF 0verview
Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (EUR/USD)
📅 Date: Tuesday, April 6, 2025
⏰ Time: 4:00 PM NY Time (NY Session PM)
📈 Pair: EUR/USD
📈 Trade Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.09541
Take Profit (TP): 1.10886 (+1.23%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.09428 (-0.10%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 11.9 🔥
Reason: The buyside trade idea was taken after a pullback into demand.
Targeting a break of recent highs/tapping into buyside liquidity zones
EURNZD - at major Resistance: Will it drop to 1.9000?OANDA:EURNZD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering some strong bearish momentum. This zone can be a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.9000 level . However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and mean further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
NZDJPY - Potential bounce to 85.300 from SupportOANDA:NZDJPY has reached a major support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This zone has acted as a key zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers take control, the price could bounce toward the 85.300 target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This isn’t financial advice, just my take on how I approach support and resistance zones. Best to wait for clear confirmation, like a strong rejection or a volume spike, before making a move.
Every trader has a unique perspective. Let’s discuss this setup within the TradingView community!