Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Supply ZoneThis chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe, highlighting key levels of resistance, support, and potential price movement. It indicates a bearish rejection from a supply zone, which suggests that BTC may experience further downside pressure.
Key Components of the Chart:
📌 1. All-Time High (ATH) + Resistance Zone (~$110,000 - $115,000)
This is the highest price level Bitcoin has ever reached on this chart.
It acts as a strong resistance zone, meaning sellers are likely to step in if the price approaches this level again.
📌 2. Supply Zone (~$88,000 - $90,000)
The supply zone is an area where selling pressure is high.
BTC attempted to break above this zone but got rejected, leading to a sharp decline.
This rejection confirms that bears are in control, pushing the price downward.
📌 3. Stop Loss (~$95,629)
This level represents the point where a bearish trade would be invalidated.
If BTC breaks above this level, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish territory.
📌 4. Current Price Action (~$83,444)
BTC is currently trading below the supply zone, showing weakness.
The recent lower high formation suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
📌 5. Take Profit (TP) Level (~$65,969)
This is the target level for a potential bearish move.
The $65,969 level has acted as major support in the past, meaning buyers may step in here.
If BTC reaches this level, it could either bounce back up or break lower, leading to further downside movement.
📌 6. Major Support Level (~$45,000 - $50,000)
If BTC breaks below the $65,969 support, the next major support zone is around $45,000 - $50,000.
This area is historically significant and could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Trade Plan & Strategy:
🔴 Bearish Bias:
The rejection from the supply zone signals a continuation of the downtrend.
A short position can be considered if BTC fails to break above the supply zone again.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $85,000 - $88,000 (if BTC retests the supply zone and gets rejected again).
Stop Loss: Above $95,629 to protect against an unexpected bullish breakout.
Take Profit (TP): Around $65,969, targeting the next major support level.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of a bearish continuation, with strong resistance at the supply zone.
A potential move toward $65,969 is likely if selling pressure continues.
If BTC breaks below this key level, a further decline toward $45,000 - $50,000 could happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. 🚀📉
Supply and Demand
Technical Analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – March 19, 2025, 15-MTrend Identification:
Gold has been in a strong uptrend, as indicated by the 200-period moving average (blue line) sloping upwards.
However, the price is now rejecting key resistance levels around $3,032–$3,035, signaling possible consolidation or a short-term pullback.
A potential trend shift is forming, with price attempting to break out of its rising channel.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $3,032–$3,035 (recent highs and POC zone).
Major Resistance: $3,050–$3,070 (next psychological and technical resistance).
Immediate Support: $3,020 (lower boundary of the descending channel).
Key Support: $3,010 (previous breakout zone & strong demand area).
Chart Patterns & Market Structure:
The ascending channel broke down, leading to a shift in short-term momentum.
A descending channel (red) is forming, suggesting potential for further downside in the short term.
Volume Profile (VPVR) shows a concentration of liquidity at $3,032–$3,035, indicating a strong supply zone where sellers are active.
Trade Setup & Risk Management:
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (Bounce from Key Support Zone)
Entry: Buy near $3,010–$3,015 if price stabilizes.
Stop-Loss: Below $3,000 (psychological and structural support).
Target 1: $3,032 (POC & resistance).
Target 2: $3,050–$3,070 (major resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:3
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Short from Resistance Zone)
Entry: Sell near $3,032–$3,035 if rejection occurs.
Stop-Loss: Above $3,040.
Target 1: $3,020 (mid-level support).
Target 2: $3,010 (key demand zone).
RRR: ~1:2
Risk Management & Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade to manage exposure.
Adjust position size based on stop-loss distance to maintain a consistent risk profile.
Watch for volume confirmation before entering trades for better accuracy.
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Given the reduced downward momentum, the bullish Ichimoku on the chart, and the formation of support zones, Bitcoin is expected to move toward the identified supply level.
Currently, the price is in a discount zone, and an upward move toward premium levels is anticipated.
A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this setup.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Order Block @19482 | Buy SignalPrice created a change of character and inducement shortly after. It then swept the inducement going to mitigate the order block that created the change of character. It created a change of character after mitigating the order block which was confirmation for the buy signal. I couldn't enter in that order block but price created a break of structure which had an order block which was further confirmation for the buy signal so that where the re-entry will be, targeting the next swing high.
Potential long trade $DAGPA UPCOM:DAG doesnt look like it used to be, but the company is still hard working & evolving.
If UPCOM:DAG breaks $0.05 with power, i could really see UPCOM:DAG go to $0.20
@ the end of Q1 they are going to activate staking, the change in metanomics will push the price higher. Significant amount of UPCOM:DAG will be burnt.
Also UPCOM:DAG will launch its own DEX end March/April. With the token ECONOMICS:PACA , because of this the network will be used more.
Things to look out for this year:
* Delegated staking ⏳
* Constellation's DEX ⏳
* Panasonic Metagraph ⏳
* Sentiment Metagraph ⏳
* USA National DigiFoundry Metagraph to mainnet ⏳
* Intrana Metagraph to mainnet ⏳
* Upsider Ai Metagraph to mainnet ⏳
* Cyberleet Metagraph to mainnet ⏳
* BioFi Metagraph to mainnet ⏳
USOil: The trading strategy is to continue shortingYesterday, crude oil prices peaked and then witnessed a sharp decline, directly plunging through the upward gap that opened at the beginning of the week.
The current market situation is at the initial stage of a downtrend. It is projected that after rebounding to the range of 67.00 - 67.80, the downward movement will resume. Moreover, the strength of today's rebound indicates relatively feeble upward momentum, and market sentiment leans towards caution.
Consequently, today's trading strategy will mainly focus on shorting on rebounds. Traders should wait for the market to rebound to key resistance levels before entering the market.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@67.7-68.3
TP:66-65
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
Trading Plan for the Day (March 19) | EUR/USD
Market Overview:
According to the current market structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward movement. The focus will be on identifying key zones of interest for potential long trades.
🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions:
Order Block (OB):
The price is currently testing the OB zone. However, since this zone has already been mitigated, the lower boundary of the OB becomes significant.
A retest of the lower part of the OB could provide a high-probability entry point for long trades.
Liquidity Zones Below OB:
If the price moves lower, watch for liquidity grabs in these areas.
A full-bodied breakout of liquidity would open the path to the IDM OB (Initial Drive Momentum Order Block) , which will be our next target.
📉 Short Positions (Low Probability):
Short trades are less likely at this stage, as the market structure suggests upward momentum.
To consider shorts, we would need to see liquidity building above the PDH (Previous Day High) and a break in the current structure.
Until then, I will focus on long opportunities unless there is a clear shift in market dynamics.
📊 Trading Plan:
Monitor the interaction of price with the lower boundary of the OB.
Retest Scenario: Enter long if the price confirms support at the lower OB boundary.
Liquidity Grab: If price moves lower and sweeps liquidity, wait for a breakout before targeting IDM OB.
Avoid short positions unless the price builds liquidity above PDH and breaks the structure.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders just below the nearest key level for long trades.
Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Technical Analysis of DAX Index (March 13, 2025, 15-Minute ChartTrend Identification:
The price action is moving within a rising channel (highlighted in purple), indicating a potential short-term bullish trend.
The 200-period moving average (maroon line) is above the price action, suggesting a larger timeframe bearish bias, but price is attempting to reclaim higher levels.
The Point of Control (POC) at 22,658.69 indicates the area of highest traded volume and a key decision zone.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 22,720 (upper boundary of the rising channel).
Major Resistance: 22,800 (previous swing high).
Immediate Support: 22,560 (lower boundary of the channel).
Key Support: 22,440 (recent swing low and potential reversal area).
Chart Patterns & Market Structure:
The price recently bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting buying pressure at support.
A Volume Profile (VPVR) shows strong volume concentration around 22,658, reinforcing it as a key pivot zone.
The recent sharp rejection from the lows aligns with potential bullish continuation, targeting the upper channel boundary.
Trade Setup & Risk Management:
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (Trend Continuation)
Entry: Buy near 22,600–22,620 on minor pullbacks.
Stop-Loss: Below 22,540 (previous swing low).
Target 1: 22,720 (upper channel boundary).
Target 2: 22,800 (major resistance zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:2.5
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Reversal Play)
Entry: Sell near 22,720–22,740 if price rejects resistance with strong bearish candles.
Stop-Loss: Above 22,780.
Target 1: 22,600 (POC and key support).
Target 2: 22,440 (lower channel boundary).
RRR: ~1:2
Risk Management & Position Sizing:
Risk 1-2% of capital per trade to maintain disciplined exposure.
Adjust position size based on stop-loss distance to keep risk consistent.
Monitor volume dynamics for confirmation of trade direction.
Trading Plan for the Day (March 19) | XAU/USDMarket Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward movement. I will wait for the price to break out of the current structure and form a candlestick pattern.
🎯 Key Scenarios:
Breakout Scenario:
A candle must close within the body of the previous candle, confirming the breakout.
After confirmation, I will look for an entry setup on a lower timeframe (e.g., M15 or M5).
Pullback Scenario:
If the breakout does not occur, I will consider long positions during a corrective move toward the OB IDM (Order Block Initial Drive Momentum) zone.
📉 Short Positions:
For short positions, I will consider them only if liquidity builds above PDH (Previous Day High) to break the current structure.
📊 Trading Plan:
Monitor the price action closely:
If no short opportunities arise, I will focus on long positions.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
POSSIBLE SELL SET UP ON USDCADUSDCAD is obviosly on down trend making lows and highss after it broke the recent up trend, connencting the two previous highs is the easiest way to identify where the continuation will begin. if price aligns with the trend on the liquididty area and give us nice price action rejection ,wewill bodly ttake sells.
XAUUSD trading strategy: Keep going longThe 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upwards, and it is still diverging upwards without any signs of turning.
Therefore, the bullish momentum of gold remains. The support level of gold on the 4-hour chart is in the 3028 area. Today's trading strategy is to go long directly when the price retracts to the 3028 area.
XAUUSD trading strategy:
buy@3028
TP:3045-3050
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide