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Supply and Demand

Australian Dollar get weakerGBPAUD - On 26.2.2025 we had the Consumer Price Index (CPI) news for Australian Dollar. From Forecast at 2,6% to the Actual at 2,5%. The negative news make Australian Dollar weaker and as we can see on this pair the British Pound made a good bull performance last week. The price is right now above the last strong supply zone. On 5.3.2025 we will have the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) news for Australian Dollar, if news will be negative it is possible to see the price continue rise and reach the next supply zone from 2020.
Long
by Spyrou_11
GBPUSD Approaching Major Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, a level where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable bearish reversals in the past. This area is marked by strong selling interest and historical price reactions, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control. The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through signals like bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward 1.25770—a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, opening the door for further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
1
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers have stepped in, leading to notable price reversals. The current price action suggests a potential bearish reaction if the resistance holds. If sellers maintain control, we could see a decline toward the 1.03940 level, which represents a logical target based on the current market structure. Confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or increased selling volume—would strengthen the bearish outlook. However, if the price breaks above this resistance zone and sustains momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, signaling a potential shift in favor of buyers. Monitoring how price reacts to this zone is crucial for identifying entry opportunities. As always, applying proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
1
TSLA Updated analysis and some short term trade ideasI got filled exactly where I expected price to find some support - at the bottom of our white HTF controlled selling algo which you can see from the past is a very intentional algorithm. I got shares filled at the 173/180 levels and plan to unload those fairly soon (215/220) as I do not see this recent selling as controlled at all and therefore am not looking for a larger HTF breakout back to the 3/400's. But considering I am long shares right now - that is just the trader in me making profits where I strongly anticipated a bounce. Same thing on AMD which I will share in an upcoming video. Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ReigningTrades
GBPNZD - Bullish Continuation in Play?OANDA:GBPNZD is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong uptrend. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 2.26160, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
Long
by DanieIM
1
EURAUD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.68270OANDA:EURAUD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 1.68270, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
Long
by DanieIM
1
FURTHER SHORTS BEFORE THE NEXT BIG PUSHXAU/USD 4H - As we know the Gold spot is something that is always appreciating in price, and its something that will continue to. However price is in the mids of a correction and this is to pick up more Demand. By price coming down and trading into the area I have marked out lower, it allows us traders to get involved in this market at a better price and it also means that we can ride the next wave to the upside. Now because we have been delivered with a break to the downside, that suggests that this correction is here to stay and that area of Demand lower down is a good area of interest to take profit. So we could look to take part in short positions with this market, riding the wave lower, taking advantage of the correction before the next big impulse, as we know though doing this does hold risk so be cautious.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Lukegforex
PREPARING FOR SOME BUYSGBP/USD 15M - This market is showing great signs of a continuation to the upside, as you can see price has traded recently into an area of Demand and has broken structure to the upside. We have seen that the last high that created the lowest low trading into the Zone has been broken above, suggesting enough Demand has been introduced to take this market long. Now the market may have gone without us right now but I am expecting price to pullback to collect more Demand in order to see price continue trading us higher. I would like to see price trade up and into the Supply Zone above. This would be an area at which we would take profit and prepare for longer term short trades, its important we are just delivered with the confirmation needed to get involved in both trades. Once price pulls-back into our zone I will be looking for entry confirmation.
Long
by Lukegforex
THOUGHTS FOR USD/CHFUSD/CHF 30M - We have seen price trade into a higher timeframe Supply Zone above and deliver us with a break of structure to the downside, this is great news as it tells us enough Supply has been introduced to flip the balance. We want to see price now pullback temporarily, trading us up and into a fractal area of Supply found within the impulse that broke structure initially so we can enter in on this market. Once price trades into this Supply Zone we want to see price break down again, breaking structure to the downside, again giving us the confluence that price is no longer correcting itself and that price has gone ahead and set its lower high. This gives us the confirmation to look to enter short in this market, so once price breaks structure again fractally after trading into that zone I will be looking to get involved in this market in some short trades.
Short
by Lukegforex
Sunac China Holdings: A Distressed Developer’s Road to RecoveryThe Chinese real estate market has been in turmoil, with developers facing liquidity crises and mounting debt. Sunac China Holdings Limited (1918.HK), once a dominant player, has struggled to regain stability following severe financial distress. After defaulting on its offshore debt in 2022, Sunac embarked on an extensive restructuring process to avoid collapse. Financial Troubles and Restructuring Efforts In 2023, Sunac successfully completed a $9 billion offshore debt restructuring, converting part of its obligations into long-term bonds and equity. The restructuring reduced immediate repayment pressures but did not eliminate financial risks. By the end of 2024, Sunac’s total assets stood at approximately RMB 880 billion ($123 billion), while total liabilities remained elevated at RMB 972 billion ($136 billion). Sales performance has been weak, reflecting the broader industry downturn. Sunac’s contracted sales for 2024 reached RMB 104 billion ($14.5 billion), down from RMB 523 billion ($73 billion) in 2021, highlighting the impact of regulatory crackdowns and reduced consumer demand. However, its cash balance improved slightly to RMB 38 billion ($5.3 billion), aided by asset disposals and government easing measures. Market Conditions and Government Support China’s property sector remains fragile, but recent government policies offer some support. Mortgage rates have been lowered, and restrictions on home purchases in key cities have eased, which could provide a demand boost. Sunac, with its extensive portfolio, stands to benefit from these policy adjustments, though recovery will be gradual. Stock Performance and Investment Risks Sunac’s stock has been highly volatile. Trading at HKD 1.80 in early 2025, it remains far below its peak of HKD 42 in 2020. Despite restructuring, Sunac’s high debt burden and ongoing project delays pose significant risks to investors. Credit rating agencies still classify Sunac’s bonds as distressed, with yields reflecting continued default concerns. Investment Outlook For high-risk investors, Sunac presents a speculative opportunity. If China’s property sector stabilizes and Sunac can improve sales, there is upside potential. However, liquidity risks remain high, and its ability to meet long-term obligations is uncertain. Investors should approach with caution, considering the ongoing financial and regulatory challenges.
HKEX:1918
by juliakhandoshko
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!” He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order. On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline. However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin. These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior. Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024. Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets. Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality. Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Let us Swing GBPUSD !!!Hello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!! First of, fundamentals are heavy on the pounds this week, coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals). Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling more bearish momentum. This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 40 pips from the H4 Order Block but if you need a tighter Stop, you definitely can go sharpen the entry in a lower timeframe. Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account. Most especially, do your own analysis !
Short
by LaBOSS_FX
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off. The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors. Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth. This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before. Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year. In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs. Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot. Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach. This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSD|Bitcoin Rallies on Trump’s Crypto Reserve – What's Next?Bitcoin's price surged on Sunday following President Donald Trump's announcement of the establishment of a strategic crypto reserve for the United States, which will include Bitcoin and Ethereum. Aside from technical chart analysis, we must remain prepared for any potential decision by Donald Trump that could significantly impact Bitcoin’s direction. Bitcoin Price Analysis: 4H Timeframe Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a strong support zone. The price recently touched 91.607 as a correction, from which it is expected to push upwards and stabilize above 93.666 if not long correction phase to 88.730 and below it. If it successfully holds above this strong support zone 91.607–93.666, it could continue rising towards 96.721. To confirm a further bullish trend, the price needs to break out of the current channel and establish stability above it with at least a 4-hour candle closure. If this occurs, the next key target will be 99.139, confirming the activation of a bullish trend above the resistance zone. However, there is also a possibility that the price will extend its correction phase down to 88.730 before beginning an uptrend. If Bitcoin breaks below 88.730, it could fall further to 86.041. Bearish Target: 91.607, 88.730, 86.041. Bullish Treaget: 93.666, 96.721, 99.139.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
EURGBP at Key Demand Zone - Rebound Toward 0.83000?OANDA:EURGBP has reached a critical demand zone, marked by previous price reactions and strong buying pressure. Historically, this area has acted as a significant support level, leading to bullish reversals. If buyers step in and confirm a rejection, we could see a move toward the 0.83000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21036.25 - PR Low: 20949.00 - NZ Spread: 195.25 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Weekend gap up quickly filled - Holding above Friday's high - Advertising rotation back into previous 3 month range - 21200 key level remains zone of interest - Busy economic week ahead Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/3) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 397.27 - Volume: 53K - Open Int: 291K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by mv3trader5