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Supply and Demand

Outlook for the next weeks after really significant drop.Nasdaq fell because of the new concerns about the dominance of US´s AI. Spotlight was on Chinese startup DeepSeks latest AI model, which is cost-efficient and able to run on less advanced chips. This startup is challenging companies like Nvidia and ChatGPT. I was predicting some kind of drop after the weekend because the price reacted to the big supply zone, but the drop was more drastical and faster than i thought and i didnt catch it. I still feel like markets are going to heal from this drop, but it will take some time. I am looking for markets to fill the nearest imbalance and then going slowly up. Or the second scenario is going far more down and taking liquidity and acumulate/consolidate. Let me know your prediction :)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Filip_Kozak
XAGUSD - Silver on the verge of a big week?!Silver is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. If the correction continues, we could see a break of the channel bottom. A consolidation above $30.8 would provide a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell at a risk-reward ratio. According to the annual report by StoneX Financial, silver has been highlighted as one of the top-performing metals among both precious and industrial metals in 2025.Benefiting from its dual nature as a monetary and industrial asset, silver is set to gain from rising gold prices and strong industrial demand. In the report, Rhona O’Connell, Head of Market Analysis at StoneX, and Natalie Scott-Gray, Senior Base Metals Analyst, forecasted that silver, alongside copper and tin, will outperform other metals in 2025. Despite strong performance in 2024, with a 22% growth, silver is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2025 as the top-performing metal. This projection is based on robust market fundamentals and promising future prospects that have attracted the attention of investors. Part of this growth stems from the long-term outlook for the solar industry, although new U.S. government policies might slow this trend. Investment in silver is expected to remain strong, potentially even outpacing gold. While gold is predicted to peak this year, silver is anticipated to keep growing, with a price target of $33 by the end of 2025. Copper and tin have also garnered attention due to their critical roles in the transition to green energy and digitalization. On the other hand, aluminum has been identified as a metal requiring cautious investment. The report notes that silver has historically been recognized as a precious metal due to its history as a form of currency and its use in jewelry. According to the authors, “Silver’s relationship with gold has always played a key role in its price behavior, but in reality, this relationship is more complex.” They added, “Throughout much of last year, silver behaved like a precious metal during bullish trends and like a base metal during bearish ones. Statistical analysis confirms this. During U.S. economic recessions, silver’s price performance and correlation with gold and copper show that, more often than not, silver traded more in line with copper than gold. In inflationary periods, the opposite was true.” StoneX attributes this to two primary reasons. They explained, “Firstly, the nature of silver’s supply, which is predominantly derived as a byproduct of base metals or from industrial scrap, prevents it from having a clearly defined equilibrium price in the market. Secondly, a small group of investors sees silver as an accessible way to capitalize on gold’s price volatility.” They highlighted that “President-elect Trump’s suggestion that Mexico and Canada could face tariffs was enough to unsettle the market, even if these were likely negotiating stances rather than definitive decisions. Mexico accounts for approximately 25% of U.S. silver imports, and Canada accounts for 10%. Just the idea of such tariffs was enough to drive silver prices higher. However, as is often the case with silver, this movement was short-lived. This metal remains one of the most vulnerable to rapid and reactive price swings and should always be approached with caution.” They concluded, “Silver will continue to respond to any significant activity in the gold market and will also see further transitions this year due to the ongoing fundamental investment deficit growth. While it may face headwinds from European recession and potential oversupply of solar cells, its long-term outlook remains bright, likely continuing to attract investors and speculative funds.” Meanwhile, Lee Hardman, an analyst at MUFG Bank, noted that the depreciation of the dollar, following Trump’s statement that he would “prefer” not to impose new tariffs on China, might be limited. He argued that Trump is still likely to implement higher tariffs. Trump has called for lower interest rates and a weaker dollar to support the U.S. economy. However, his policies of higher tariffs, stricter immigration controls, and tax cuts, if enacted, “are likely to bolster U.S. yields and the dollar for a longer period.” In an interview with Fox News, Trump stated that he “prefers” not to impose new tariffs on China, suggesting the possibility of a trade deal.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
EURGBP - Euro is recovering!?The EURGBP pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The pair’s continued rise towards the supply zone will provide a selling position with a good risk-reward ratio. In case of a downside correction, we can buy in the demand zone. The Eurozone composite PMI rose from 49.6 to 50.2. Although this figure exceeds expectations, it still reflects a stagnant economy with the manufacturing sector in recession. While price pressures are once again on the rise, it appears that weak growth remains the primary concern, as the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares for further interest rate cuts. In the manufacturing sector, the production index increased from 44.3 to 46.8, which still indicates contraction but at a slower pace. Meanwhile, the services sector, which remains the main driver of growth, saw a slight dip in business activity PMI from 51.6 to 51.4. Overall, the Eurozone economy appears to be hovering near stagnation. Economic growth continues to face challenges due to weak international demand. Export orders are still declining, and with U.S. tariffs on Eurozone manufacturing rising again, the outlook remains bleak. Interestingly, however, optimism among manufacturers improved in January, suggesting businesses are counting on growth recovery throughout the year. We believe this expectation is reasonable but mainly driven by stronger domestic demand. The ECB has been gradually lowering interest rates since June 2024, and this trend is expected to continue into 2025. ECB President Christine Lagarde reiterated this gradual approach during the Davos summit this week. However, some investors are hoping for a 0.5% rate cut in January’s meeting. This scenario, though, seems unlikely, as inflation in the services sector remains around 4%, and wage growth has reached its highest level in three decades. At the same time, concerns about the Eurozone’s economic growth have increased due to political unrest in France and Germany, declining exports linked to China’s weak economy, and the potential for new tariffs imposed by Donald Trump. Nevertheless, the situation is not severe enough to prompt the ECB to accelerate rate cuts. The ECB is expected to lower rates by 0.25% in Thursday’s meeting, with Lagarde likely sticking to her recent policy stance. Investors will be watching closely for new clues about any disagreements within the ECB’s Governing Council and policymakers’ views on the neutral rate. If Lagarde does not rule out the possibility of more aggressive rate cuts in the future, the euro could face downward pressure. A larger potential risk lies in new developments on the tariff front, especially if Trump makes statements about imposing trade restrictions on the EU. Additionally, Thursday’s initial GDP estimate for Q4 2024 in the Eurozone could trigger market reactions. These figures could significantly influence market expectations and the euro’s trajectory.
Short
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis you will note a bullish iBOS marked in red. I have marked this is red as price did not pull back deep enough for me a validate, therefore, on this occasion I will apply my discretion. Price then continued bullish, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently in discount of 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal high priced at 2,786.060. Alternative scenario: As H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin continue its upward trend?Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Capital outflows from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to fall. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand zone. Donald Trump, the President of the United States, has signed an executive order establishing a task force on digital asset markets. The task force’s mission is to explore ways for the U.S. to lead in the cryptocurrency industry while evaluating the creation of a national strategic digital asset reserve. Many who are familiar with cryptocurrencies recognize Bitcoin as “digital gold” due to its unique characteristics. According to a recent study, an increasing number of Americans now prefer Bitcoin over gold. ChainPlay, in collaboration with Storible, conducted a survey asking 1,428 Americans about their views and investments in cryptocurrencies. The study reveals that over 68% of Americans currently own some form of cryptocurrency. Furthermore, 77% plan to increase their investments in the sector by 2025, while 60% believe the value of their assets will double by that year. Other sources indicate that only 13% of Americans owned cryptocurrency as of November 2024, though this discrepancy appears to depend on the methodology used. Another survey revealed that Trump’s election victory significantly influenced public perception of cryptocurrencies, with 38% of respondents deciding to invest in crypto after the election results. Notably, 84% of these individuals made their first purchase following Trump’s win, viewing him as a pro-crypto candidate. The idea of preferring Bitcoin over gold or stocks was once a marginal perspective during the bull market of 2017. Today, as governments worldwide announce plans to mine, store, or use Bitcoin for international payments, public opinion has shifted to view Bitcoin more favorably. Additionally, statistics indicate that many investors have not only bought Bitcoin but have sold their traditional assets to allocate funds to the cryptocurrency. According to the survey, over 51% of these individuals are based in the U.S., reflecting unprecedented optimism toward Bitcoin as “digital gold.” Mark Cuban, entrepreneur and TV personality, stated that Bitcoin has become a valuable asset and has reached a level of acceptance comparable to gold. Both he and Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, emphasize that Bitcoin offers easier transportability and control compared to gold. In the financial world, opinions on cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, remain divided. Some figures, like Warren Buffett, remain vocal critics of these assets. Following Elon Musk’s advocacy, CZ, former CEO of Binance, also expressed support for the idea of recording government expenditures on blockchain. In a tweet, he said: “All governments should record their spending on blockchain, creating a public and immutable ledger. After all, government spending is public spending.” According to a report from Street, Eric Trump, son of Donald Trump, recently stated that domestic cryptocurrency projects in the U.S., such as XRP and HBAR, will benefit from tax exemptions in the future, whereas foreign projects will face a 30% tax rate. Additionally, Senator Cynthia Lummis, a Republican and Bitcoin advocate from Wyoming, has been appointed as the first chair of the Senate’s new Digital Assets Committee. Operating under the Senate Banking Committee, this new body aims to pass bipartisan legislation supporting the crypto industry and protecting investors. Lummis announced that the committee will focus on three key areas: 1. Market Structure: Establishing a framework to improve the digital asset market structure. 2. Stablecoins: Regulating and supervising stablecoins as a crucial part of the crypto ecosystem. 3. Strategic Bitcoin Reserves: Strengthening the U.S. dollar by creating strategic Bitcoin reserves. In a statement, Lummis said: “Digital assets are the future, and if the United States wants to maintain its position as a global leader in financial innovation, Congress must urgently pass comprehensive bipartisan laws to regulate this space and strengthen the U.S. dollar by creating strategic Bitcoin reserves.” The committee will also oversee federal regulators to ensure compliance with laws and to prevent unjustified denial of banking services to legitimate participants.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
EUR/USD 4H Timeframe AnalysisEUR/USD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/USD is in a major downtrend, with sellers dominating after breaking the significant key support level at 1.04300. This break allowed bearish momentum to push the price closer to the next minor key support at 1.01000. However, buyers stepped in near this level, driving the price upward and forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a potential reversal. The bullish momentum resulted in the break of the major key resistance at 1.04300. Notably, a Head and Shoulders pattern has started to emerge after the breakout, strengthening the bias for a potential bullish shift. The price has now entered a phase of accumulation, gathering buy orders as it climbs toward the second minor resistance at 1.05000. After a minor breakout at this resistance level, the price retraced and retested the 1.04300 major key support, further validating its role as a support level. Price Action Expectation: Currently, the price is hovering within a liquidity zone, where it is expected to consolidate further. Our objective is to wait for the price to make another downward move, grabbing liquidity within this zone. Once liquidity is formed, we anticipate a bullish breakout, with the price moving back up to break the next minor resistance level. Trade Setup Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry: 1.04620 (after price confirms upward momentum and breaks above the liquidity zone) Stop Loss: 1.04090 (below the liquidity zone to protect against false breakouts) Take Profit: 1.05990 (targeting the next minor key resistance level) This setup leverages the Head and Shoulders pattern, the break of key levels, and liquidity zone dynamics to capture the next bullish move. Fundamental Outlook The EUR is supported by a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Eurozone, while the USD shows strength amid ongoing Federal Reserve monetary tightening. However, recent signs of stabilization in the Eurozone's economic performance could attract more buying interest for the EUR, especially at discounted levels. Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a 1:2+ risk-to-reward ratio for optimal returns. Position Sizing: Adjust position sizes to match your risk tolerance and account equity. False Breakout Caution: Monitor price behavior around the 1.05000 minor resistance level to avoid being caught in a false breakout. Conclusion: The EUR/USD setup is targeting a continuation of the bullish correction within the larger downtrend. The Head and Shoulders pattern forming after the breakout of 1.04300 further supports a potential bullish shift. This pattern, combined with the accumulation phase and liquidity zone dynamics, strengthens the probability of an upward breakout. Once the price breaks through 1.05000, we anticipate strong momentum toward the 1.05990 target. This setup capitalizes on key technical signals while maintaining a sound risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade idea. Trading involves risks. Always ensure proper risk management and consult a financial professional when in doubt.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
USD/JPY H1 Prediction for 27/01/2025📊 FXFOREVER USD/JPY Analysis The price is trading near a key Support-Becomes-Resistance (SBR) zone between 156.944 - 157.156. If this level holds, a bearish move back toward the major support at 154.420 is possible. However, a breakout above the SBR zone could open the door to retesting the A+ Selling Area at 157.885 or even the Double Top at 158.527. Wait for confirmation before executing trades! 🚀 💡 Key Levels: 📉 Support: 154.420 📈 Resistance: 156.944 - 157.156, 157.885, 158.527 #FXFOREVER #USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #CurrencyTrading
Short
by FXFOREVER_87
EUR/USD H1 Prediction for 27/01/2025📊 FXFOREVER EUR/USD Analysis The price is currently consolidating near a key support zone between 1.03725 - 1.03980. A bullish move towards 1.04575 or 1.05178 is possible if this area holds. However, a breakdown could see the price testing new lows. Wait for confirmation before making a trade decision! 🚀 💡 Key Levels: 📉 Support: 1.03725 - 1.03980 📈 Resistance: 1.04575, 1.05178 #FXFOREVER #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #CurrencyTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexMarket
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
PALLADIUM - In a significant resistance levelOANDA:XPDUSD is approaching a significant resistance level that has previously seen bullish momentum. This area aligns with a notable supply zone and could present a potential selling opportunity. If bearish signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, appear, the price may decline toward 993,000. Crossing above this resistance zone would diminish the bearish perspective and indicate bullish continuation. Key Takeaway: Monitor price action closely at this level and prioritize strong risk management. What’s your perspective on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XPDUSDShort
by TrendDiva
1
Brent Crude Oil At Key Resistance - Will It Drop to 78.00?ICMARKETS:XBRUSD is at a key resistance area, marked by historical price reactions and strong selling pressure. This zone has been a reliable turning point for bearish reversals in the past. If bearish confirmation emerges, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 78.00. A breakout above this resistance, however, would invalidate the bearish scenario. Traders should remain cautious and use proper risk management when approaching this level.
ICMARKETS:XBRUSDShort
by DanieIM
COTTON: Buy Setup at Key Support ZonePEPPERSTONE:COTTON is trading within a significant demand zone, marked by prior price reactions and a strong historical support area. This zone has previously acted as a pivot point for bullish reversals, suggesting a high-probability area for buyer interest. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection within this demand zone, the market may move upward toward the 6,824 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. If you have any additional insights or a different perspective, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
FOREXCOM:COTTONLong
by DanieIM
FOUR IDEAS ON EURUSD 1H CHARTGood morning ladies and gentlemen hope you had a wonderful weekend. We start off the week with this setup on EU which I see four possible outcomes. I would prefer seeing a deeper pullback into the 50% first before we start seeing bullish action but if that does not happen I will flow with the market towards the high. We have three key areas to look for confirmation from and that's the 1H FVG above the OBs, the 4H OB and the 1H OB. Skilled traders can look to trade with the internal structure, counter the 1H swing, into the key areas. Hope this helps you out, follow your plan and keep good risk management
Long
by Keyserfx
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21771.00 - PR Low: 21633.00 - NZ Spread: 308.0 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | New Home Sales Full economic calendar for the last week of the month - Wide weekend gap down, yet to retrace - Continued rotation off 22090s long-term pivot - Value decline back below daily Keltner average cloud - Nearing Jan 21 low (wick intraday rotation) Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 1/27) - Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 384.07 - Volume: 93K - Open Int: 253K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -4.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by mv3trader5
SEI/USDT | 4-Hour Reversal SetupThis SEI/USDT 4-hour chart highlights a potential buy setup at a key demand zone: Entry: $0.3160, anticipating a bounce from the current consolidation. Stop-Loss: Placed at $0.2590, below the order block (OB) zone for risk management. Take-Profit: Targeting the $0.3200-$0.3400 range for potential gains. The highlighted OB zone reflects strong historical support, making this a high-reward trade with manageable risk. Confirmation from volume and candlestick patterns is recommended before entering the trade.
Long
by cRyPt0N008
EURUSD 27 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday - EU Lagarde / US Home SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Tariffs will remain a key driver of market volatility, heavily influenced by Trump's shifting tone. While the market initially welcomed a "risk-off" sentiment following his announcement of a modest 10% tariff on China—interpreted as avoiding a full-blown trade war—Trump has since shaken markets by imposing a 25% tariff on Colombia. There are also rumors circulating that similar measures could target Canada and Mexico as early as Saturday, February 1. Tariffs are likely to be the primary market mover for the foreseeable future, so it's essential to stay vigilant and mindful of potential rumors. Trump’s unpredictability isn’t going anywhere 😁—adapt accordingly! 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start. 🔹Currently price at a Daily Supply Zone that can initiate at least INT Structure Pullback and may extend to Swing Pullback to at least Swing EQ (50%)/Daily and Weekly Demand. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is price to initiate a pullback for the Bullish INT structure and then continue bullish from demand to target the Daily INT High/Weekly Liquidity. 🔹With today market open, price created a Bearish CHoCH to initiate the INT Structure Pullback. 🔹More development required on LTFs/Intraday Analysis. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bullish iBOS we expect a Swing Pullback, INT structure turned bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback. 🔹With the bearish iBOS, a pullback is expected during the session today. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is set to bearish to facilitate the Swing pullback to at least the Swing EQ/4H-Daily demand zone which is well positioned in Swing Discount. I’m looking for: 🔹Shorts from the INT structure Supply Zone positioned within the 4H Supply Zone only if we didn’t mitigate the 4H Demand. 🔹Longs from the 15m Demand within the 4H Demand zone for the 15m Bullish Swing and 4H Bullish INT Structure continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
VOLTAMP Trading Within Demand Zone VOLTAMP is currently trading at ₹7310.75, within the demand zone ranging from ₹7394.95 (baseHigh) to ₹7131 (baseLow), identified on 23rd February 2024. This zone could act as a support level, presenting a possible opportunity for investors to explore. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:VOLTAMPLong
by rush12799