EURJPY Ascending channel and bullish fvg 🚨 EURJPY Trade Setup 🚨
4H Timeframe Analysis by Livia 😜
💹 Pair: EURJPY
📈 Structure: Ascending Channel respected ✅
📊 Breakout: Confirmed above Bullish FVG – retest successful 🔥
📍 Entry Zone: 163.200 (Minor Support Holding)
🚀 Bias: Strong Bullish Momentum in play
🎯 Technical Target:
1️⃣ 165.000 – Next Key Resistance Level
🔒 Risk Managed – Watching PA for continuation or pullback setups.
#EURJPY #ForexSignals #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #FVG #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #4HChart #LiviaTrades
Supply and Demand
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPX⚠️ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging – A Closer Look
I haven’t seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while — and it’s definitely not a pretty one 😬. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market:
📍 Massive upside expectation:
It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000.
🛑 Limited downside protection:
Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place — especially unusual with Friday’s expiry approaching.
🔻 Current Key Zone: 5925-5930
The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot.
Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower.
Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900–5925 range, which includes ITM puts — not OTM, as you’d typically expect from retail.
🧠 Institutional Footprint vs. Retail
This hedging pattern — closer to ATM rather than deep OTM — suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision.
In contrast, retail traders don’t seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this.
🔼 What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout
If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone.
From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push 📈.
The details show the same picture when examining more details:
SPX conclusion
😬 In short: we’re at a tipping point.
Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional.
Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 — but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector.
The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence.
📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation.
🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows.
Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market.
Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140.
The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print.
🔴 Downside risk scenario:
In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support.
💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea
ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy.
Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option.
Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing:
-Support (squeeze zone) around $125
-Call resistance around $140
-A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150
These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive.
How would I personally start this:
Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops.
If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares.
Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium.
If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV.
👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession.
I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well.
💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
AUDUSD consolidation phase bullish from supportOANDA:AUDUSD Analysis 🦘💵 | 4H Timeframe
Pair is currently consolidating, creating a solid base around 0.63400 – key support level holding strong. Entered long from support, targeting 0.65400 resistance zone.
📈 Trend bias: Bullish
🟢 Entry: 0.63400 (Support zone)
🎯 Target: 0.65400 (Key resistance)
🔐 Invalidation: Break and close below 0.63000
Also keeping eyes on the bullish Order Block at 0.59500 on higher timeframe – strong liquidity area if price revisits.
Let the market breathe, plan your trade, and trade your plan. Patience pays 💅
— Livia 😜📊
#Forex #PriceAction #AUDUSD #TradeSetup #SmartMoney #FXQueen
GBPJPY Ascending channel breakdown selling from supply zone📉 GBPJPY Analysis – 4H Timeframe
by Livia 😜
We’ve seen GBPJPY break below the ascending channel, confirming downside momentum. Price has already completed a textbook retest of the supply zone around 196.000, showing strong rejection.
🟢 Sell Entry Activated: 195.800
This level aligns perfectly with the breakdown structure and prior support turned resistance.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ First Target – 192.600 (key structural support)
2️⃣ Second Target – 190.600 (major swing low & potential demand area)
🔍 Outlook:
Bias remains bearish while price holds below 196.200. Expect increased volatility near 193.000 but momentum favors continued downside.
Risk wisely, trade smart.
Let’s ride this wave 🌊
#GBPJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #LiviaTrades
FATCOIN – Eyeing Sub-$1 Accumulation
Liking what I’m seeing—early signs of weakness showing up at key levels across a number of alts.
This opens up the chance for a healthy market retrace before any continuation.
As for $FATCOINUSDT, I’m expecting sub-$1 levels over the next couple of weeks. That’s where I plan to accumulate a substantial position.
$FARTCOIN
Xauusd up trend breakdown ahead sell stron📉 OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – 1H Timeframe
Gold has broken below the uptrend structure, signaling a strong bearish momentum. We're now entering a SELL position at 3296, aligned with current technical signals.
🎯 Target Levels:
▫️ 1st TP: 3255
▫️ 2nd TP: 3220
▫️ 3rd TP: 3170
▫️ 4th TP: 3135
🔍 Price action confirms the shift, and momentum indicators support downside continuation. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly.
Trade smart,
– Livia 😉
EURUSD Follow Ascending channel bullish strong from supportFX:EURUSD Technical Outlook – 1H Time Frame
✨ By Livia
FX:EURUSD has been respecting a strong ascending channel, demonstrating bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.12600. Price action continues to make higher highs and higher lows, confirming buyer control within the current structure.
📈 Key Highlight:
The pair is steadily approaching the 1.14000 level, a notable supply zone where previous selling pressure emerged. This level marks the next potential target for bulls, with possible resistance or profit-taking interest around that area.
💡 Outlook:
As long as price remains above the midline of the channel and holds above 1.12600, the bullish bias remains intact. Watch for potential consolidation or reaction at 1.14000.
USDJPY Breakout the down trend bullish strong now📈 FX:USDJPY Technical Update
Timeframe: 1H
By Livia 💹
FX:USDJPY has officially broken out of the downtrend, confirmed by a strong bullish candle — momentum is on the buyers' side.
✅ Entry Zone: Support retest at 144.000
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 145.500
• TP2: 148.300
🔍 Price action and structure support continuation to the upside. Wait for clean confirmation on the retest before entering for maximum probability.
Trade smart. Risk managed.
#Forex #USDJPY #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingSetup #LiviaFX
GBPJPY up trend and resistance breakout bullish strong now📈 GBPJPY Trade Alert – Strong Bullish Momentum!
Timeframe: 1H
Trend: Uptrend 🔼
Status: Resistance Breakout Confirmed 💥
OANDA:GBPJPY has broken through key resistance at 194.200, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. Price is now retracing back to the breakout zone — a textbook retest-entry opportunity for swing and intraday traders. 🧠
🔹 Entry Zone: 194.200 (Previous Resistance Turned Support)
🔹 Technical Target #1: 196.200
🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish
🔹 Confirmation: Breakout + Retest Setup
🔹 Risk Management: SL just below 193.800 (structure support)
📊 This setup aligns with momentum and market structure — watch for bullish candlestick confirmation before entering. Patience pays!
Trade smart,
Livia 😉✨
#GBPJPY #ForexSetup #BreakoutRetest #PriceAction #ForexSignals
HEDERAset up LONG 1:1 quick
Disclaimer on Money Management for Trading in the Futures MarketFutures trading carries high risks and may result in the loss of your entire capital. Only use funds you can afford to lose, set risk limits, and understand the market and leverage. Diversification does not guarantee profits. Consult a financial advisor before trading. All decisions and losses are your sole responsibility.
EURUSD: Breaks Down : Is 1.11000 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD continues to follow its bearish trajectory after rejecting resistance within a clearly defined descending channel. At this key level, price formed a converging triangle pattern and has now broken to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure.
If sellers maintain control at this zone, we could see price fall toward 1.11000, a key support level that aligns well as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential recovery.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing sell volume before entering short positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area.
If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure.
However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
GOLD(XAUUSD): Very Bearish Pattern📉GOLD formed a notable head and shoulders pattern at a significant daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
A bearish breakout from its horizontal neckline indicates strong selling pressure.
It is likely that the price will continue to decline, potentially reaching the 3219 level.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the day with us hitting not only the red box target we wanted but completing the Excalibur target that was active giving a nice long. After that, we identified the pull back into the bias level 3305 which only gave us a 50pip bounce into the target. We then said price shouldn't go back to 3310, if it did we would break, which consequently happened, thankfully we had stopped trading and called it a day by then.
The range continues and price is accumulating, this range now with support 3290 and resistance 3310 could be the play towards the end of the session, so anyone long, we would say watch this levels on the red boxes for a break either side.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
How to draw support and resistance levels the right way?
1️⃣ Why Are Support and Resistance Levels So Important?
Support and resistance levels show where price has reacted strongly in the past. These are zones where many traders including large players have placed buy or sell orders.
Support = where buyers step in and push price up
Resistance = where sellers step in and push price down
These levels are important because they act like decision zones:
- Price might bounce from these levels
- Or break through and start a new move
- Or even fake out traders before reversing again
Knowing where these levels are gives you an edge:
- You can better time your entries and exits
- You avoid chasing price in the middle of nowhere
- You prepare for market reactions not random guesses
Think of them like traffic lights for the market when price hits them, something important usually happens.
2️⃣ Three Main Types of Support and Resistance
There are 3 key types of support and resistance levels traders commonly use:
- Level-Based: Horizontal zones drawn from key highs and lows
- Pattern-Based: Support/resistance found in chart patterns like triangles, flags, etc.
- Channel-Based: Diagonal trendlines showing support and resistance in a channel
Today, we focus on level-based support and resistance horizontal lines drawn on key price zones.
3️⃣ How to Draw Support and Resistance Levels
Use daily, weekly, or monthly timeframes to find major zones. These higher timeframes give you stronger, more respected levels.
Look for:
- Candle bodies that close and open around the same price
- Strong wicks rejecting a certain level
- Zones where price has bounced multiple times in the past
I often pick:
- The close of a red candle
- The open of the next green candle
These spots usually show where sellers lost control and buyers stepped in — or vice versa.
4️⃣ Timeframes and Their Strength
The higher the timeframe, the stronger the level:
- Monthly = very strong, long-term zones
- Weekly = strong and reliable
- Daily = useful for swing trading
- Lower timeframes (15m, 5m) = more noise, less reliable unless you're day trading or scalping
Pick levels based on your strategy:
- Swing traders = use daily/weekly/monthly
- Scalpers = lower timeframes with extra confluence (volume, structure)
5️⃣ Don’t Use Support/Resistance Alone
Support and resistance are helpful — but not enough by themselves. Always combine them with:
- Market structure (higher highs/lows)
- Volume confirmation
- Indicators or price action signals
You want to watch how price reacts at your levels. Wait for confirmation before making decisions.
6️⃣ Common Mistakes Traders Make
Mistake 1: Drawing too many levels clutters your chart and creates confusion.
Mistake 2: Keeping old levels that have already been broken or invalidated.
Mistake 3: Ignoring volume. Just because price hits a level doesn’t mean it will reverse. You need volume to back the move.
Also:
Don’t enter blindly on breakout, breakouts can fail. Wait for confirmation.
Don’t assume a level is strong just because it’s touched once — look for multiple rejections.
7️⃣ Example: How I Draw Support/Resistance
Let’s say I’m looking at a daily chart.
- I find a red candle that closes at 42,000
- Then a green candle opens at 42,000 and pushes higher
That tells me buyers stepped in at 42,000 — this is a potential support.
I draw my horizontal line across that level.
Then I zoom into 30m or 15m charts to watch price behavior when it comes back to that level.
If price respects it again, I may enter a trade based on the reaction.
This technique gives me more confidence and clarity.
I know where liquidity might be waiting.
I can combine it with indicators or volume tools.
I avoid random trades.
🔄 Summary
Identify a timeframe – Use the monthly, weekly, or daily chart.
Look for two candles – Draw your support or resistance line at the point where one candle closes and the next one opens.
Make sure the level hasn’t been hit yet – This helps you spot areas where liquidity grabs might happen.
Wait for price to reach the level – Once price touches the support or resistance zone, watch how it reacts.
After price touches the level, remove it – Once tested, that level is no longer fresh and should be cleared from your chart.
Support and resistance isn’t magic — but used with confluence, it becomes a powerful guide.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
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