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Supply and Demand

GER40 (DAX 40) AnalysisThe German DAX 40 index (GER40) recently tested key support around 22,063.63 and exhibited a bullish reaction.​ 📈 Bullish Scenario: If GER40 sustains above 22,063.63, it may push towards the 22,775.84 resistance zone.​ A break above 22,775.84 could open the way for a break and retest, potentially leading to a continuation towards the 23,395.75 resistance level.​ 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 22,063.63, further downside towards 21,231.97 may be observed.​ ⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially in light of recent geopolitical developments. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
THINKMARKETS:GER40
by juniormoseki1
USOIL:The bullish momentum demonstrates strong performanceRecently, the United States has stepped up its sanctions against Iran. It also made threatening remarks indicating that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine fail to reach an agreement, it will further intensify sanctions against Russia. Such actions have heightened the market's concerns about the future supply side. Meanwhile, the short-term and phased decline in the United States' domestic oil production, combined with its temporary abstention from taking additional measures to suppress oil prices, has led to a certain increase in the supporting strength of the oil market recently. Yesterday, the upward trend of oil prices continued. Take a long position at $71.05 for the oil price. Set a stop-loss of 30 basis points and a take-profit at $72.70. Trading Strategy: buy@70.8-71.05 TP:72.20-72.50 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:USOILLong
by LeoBlackwood
XAUUSD: Long or short?Real-time trading.Does the continued rise of XAUUSD make you panic? Don't know how to make a good trade? This is correct, because you don't understand the market and are not in my analysis circle, so you can't capture the first real-time trading opportunity. As shown in the figure, the market is digesting bearish sentiment. Although there is some decline, the space is not large. The current trading opportunity is mainly buying, with the double support below plus geopolitical uncertainty and the certainty of tariffs. Under multiple supports, it is difficult for XAUUSD to achieve a substantial decline in the entity, so long is still the key. The trend shows signs of retracement, but we need to pay attention to the impact of market news. I have said this before. Under the influence of news, it is difficult for the trend to go out of the independent market, and trading must be in line with the trend. The key support of 3120-3100 will continue from today to tomorrow and there is still room for significant growth. If you are a seller, remember to stop loss in time. Control risks. If you are a buyer, remember the purpose of swing trading, make money and leave. Trading is simply to resell the difference to make a profit. So don't let your trading mentality and greed overcome your reason and cause your account to be cleared. If you can't control the profit growth of your account well. Remember to leave me a message. I am absolutely professional in this regard.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Confident_Step
Oil and Gas Markets: Price Pressures and Future OutlookPYTH:WTI3! ICEEUR:BRN1! NYMEX:RB1! FXOPEN:XNGUSD Market Overview: Supply, Demand, and Geopolitical Factors The oil and gas markets continue to experience significant volatility, driven by a combination of seasonal trends, production adjustments, and geopolitical developments. U.S. natural gas storage has decreased due to seasonal withdrawals, though inventories remain above the five-year average. Meanwhile, crude oil prices have struggled to find momentum, weighed down by concerns over demand growth and economic uncertainty. Global oil production has remained relatively stable, but market participants are closely monitoring potential disruptions. OPEC+ has maintained its commitment to output restrictions, aiming to support prices amid fluctuating demand. However, recent indications from major producers suggest potential shifts in supply strategies, particularly in response to changes in global consumption patterns. Price Trends and Market Pressures Oil prices have faced downward pressure, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) recently trading below $70 per barrel. Concerns over slowing demand, particularly in key economies like China and the Eurozone, have contributed to this decline. Additionally, rising interest rates in the United States have dampened economic activity, potentially reducing fuel consumption in the long term. Natural gas prices have also been volatile, reflecting shifts in supply and demand dynamics. While storage levels remain elevated compared to historical averages, colder-than-expected weather in certain regions has led to temporary price spikes. However, recent price movements indicate a broader downward trend, as fundamental supply-demand balances exert pressure on valuations. The price of the F26, which reached $5.9 two weeks ago, has since declined to $5.3, with further movement toward approximately $4.8 anticipated based on current market conditions. These dynamics reflect the ongoing adjustments in global gas markets amid changing consumption patterns and seasonal fluctuations. Corporate Performance The impact of these price movements has been felt unevenly across the oil and gas sector. Major integrated energy companies have managed to maintain profitability due to diversified revenue streams, while smaller, more vulnerable producers have faced greater challenges. Refining margins have fluctuated, with some refiners benefiting from lower crude prices while others struggle with narrowing spreads. Companies with strong exposure to liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports have seen continued demand, particularly in Europe and Asia, where energy security remains a priority. However, firms heavily reliant on upstream oil production have encountered profit pressures as crude prices remain subdued. The resilience of oilfield service providers has also been tested, with cost-cutting measures and efficiency improvements becoming necessary for a sustainable existence. Risks and Future Outlook The outlook for oil and gas markets remains uncertain, with multiple risk factors at play. Potential production policy changes by OPEC+, geopolitical tensions in key producing regions, and ongoing economic uncertainties all contribute to an unpredictable pricing environment. Additionally, regulatory shifts and climate policies could further impact the long-term trajectory of fossil fuel demand. While short-term volatility may deter some, long-term structural changes in energy consumption and supply dynamics will shape future investment strategies. As global economies navigate inflationary pressures and evolving energy policies, oil and gas markets will continue to adjust, presenting both risks and rewards for market participants.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by igorisaev
Nifty50 Analysis Based on Today's ClosingThe Nifty 50 index closed at ₹23,165.70 on April 1, 2025, down by 354 points (-1.50%) Analysis Based on Today's Closing Key Support Levels Immediate Support: ₹23,100 This level aligns with the 20-day EMA and is a critical short-term support. A breakdown below this could lead to further downside. Next Support: ₹22,900 If ₹23,100 is breached, the next significant support lies at ₹22,900, which could act as a strong demand zone. Key Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: ₹23,400 This level, which was previously a support, now acts as resistance. A recovery above this level could indicate a reversal. Next Resistance: ₹23,650 Sustaining above ₹23,650 could lead to a test of ₹23,800, which is a critical resistance for bullish momentum. Scenario Analysis Bearish Breakdown If Nifty 50 falls below ₹23,100, it could test ₹22,900. A breakdown below ₹22,900 could lead to further weakness, targeting ₹22,700 or lower. Bullish Recovery If Nifty 50 reclaims ₹23,400, it could target ₹23,650. A breakout above ₹23,650 could lead to ₹23,800, signaling a potential trend reversal. Market Sentiment The market sentiment remains cautious due to global headwinds, including concerns over U.S. tariff policies. Sectors like IT and banking faced significant pressure, contributing to today's decline. NOTE: Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by darshakssc
Potential GBPJPY Trade Setup News event for the week JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Index at Tuesday 350am (Over) Long-term Chart Major long-term trendline (Jan 23 - Current) uptrend line is still holding Shorter trendline: LH and LL have been set since Oct. Technical analysis Prices are currently in no-man's land and there's no reason to enter from a technical perspective now I want to enter Long positions if they reach 191-190 price range -- Daily level SL: 188 -- Daily level TP: 195 Price Action for entry -- Price to hit zone, then breakout to the downside out of the zone. To take trade on the retracement candle with SL above the highs within the zone. -- TF to view candle: H1 And I want to enter a Short position if price reaches around 196 and does not have a strong volume breakout to the upside. -- Daily level SL: 198 (Top of zone + Daily ATR) -- Daily level TP: 190.6 (Major trendline level) Price Action for entry -- Price to hit zone then breakout to the upside of the zone. To take trade on the retracement candle with SL below the lows within the zone -- TF to view candle: H1 Fundamental Divergence in monetary policies, favouring a downtrend of the GBPJPY. This is THE major driver, and until economic news changes this, I favour selling GBPJPY whenever it reaches a premium level. BOE expected to continue to cut interest rates due to bad economic outlook JPY expected to continue to hike interest rates to strengthen the yen Overall If price reaches SHORT zone. I expect to hold the trade longer to take advantage of the fundamental downtrend. And I may scale into the trade if price starts a major downmove. If price reaches the LONG zone and Price Action permits, I expect to have a scalp of the Long position(s) to take advantage of the supply zone. I do not want to hold a Long position in GBPJPY for an extended time. This is under the assumption that the monetary policy divergence holds. Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Short
by yuhaocooper
FLYING MORE PROFITS FROM EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - As you can see this second trade has taken off and is performing really well for us, allowing us to bank more profits from this market. I am expecting a TP hit by the end of the day. With us adding to our original trade it is important we are partialing and applying safety measures with our trades to make the most from them whilst keeping our risk at a minimum. The original trade is running + 40 pips. (+ 2.5%) 2.5R The second trade is currently running + 20 pips. (+ 2%) 2RR A big well done to all those involved in this market, ensure you are managing your trades correctly and taking partials throughout. If you have any questions with regards to the trades I have placed over the course of the past two days or the analysis I have provided then please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible!
Long
by Lukegforex
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Quiet day on the markets today, while we wanted gold to reject the resistance level it breached giving the move upside completing the bias levels. It's a move we ideally wanted to take from below, but nothing ventured nothing gained as they say. Now we have support below at the 3115 region with resistance in a potential order region 3130-35, which could be the potential level they target for the close or during the Asian session. It's the last day of the month and the first day of a new month tomorrow. For that reason we're taking it lightly trading the red boxes only for scalps up here. 3135 is the level to watch we feel. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level. Intraday Expectation: Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
UPDATE ON EUR/USD TRADEEUR/USD 15M - As you can see I have gone ahead and added to my original position here on this pair as price has traded into the area of interest I marked out for you all yesterday and reacted well. I am now wanting to see price hold this low set and go on to create a new higher high, using this low to do that. This as a result would confirm that our original entry is protected and the low set at our new trade should be as well. The original trade is running + 22 pips. (+ 1.3%) 1.3RR If you have not yet taken a partial on the first trade and you have entered in on the second I would look to take a partial on it to bank some profits and remove risk from the market. A big well done to all of you involved in these trades, we have had some great opportunities this week, I feel this could be one of the busiest weeks so far this year should price continue to play out as it is. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
Long
by Lukegforex
1
James Hardie Industries Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # James Hardie Industries Plc Stock Quote - Double Formation * ((Triangle Structure)) | Completed Survey * (Resistance Area)) | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * 0.5 & 0.236 Retracement Area | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 40.500 AUD * Entry At 37.000 AUD * Take Profit At 31.500 AUD * (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:JHX.AUShort
by TradePolitics