Get started

Supply and Demand

NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here again. We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and I’ll be looking for short setups from the zone again. 🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously. But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside. Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
Short
by TrendDiva
25
Plata’s Bond Debut: A Bet on Mexico’s Digital Banking BoomMexico’s digital banking industry is gaining momentum, and Plata, a fast-emerging fintech player, is making waves with its debut bond issuance. Targeting $120 million (with the potential to scale up to $200 million) marks a turning point for a company transitioning from a credit card issuer to a full-fledged digital bank. For us, it’s a chance to tap into the growth of financial inclusion in Latin America’s second-largest economy. But with high rewards come risks we must note, as usual. So, here’s what we need to know about Plata and its latest move. From Credit Cards to Banking: Plata’s Evolution Plata started in 2023 as a credit card issuer, focusing on Mexico’s underbanked population—a segment that makes up roughly 60% of the country’s 130 million people. By December 2024, Plata secured a banking license from Mexican regulators, a game-changer that allows it to issue loans directly from its balance sheet and, starting in 2026, accept deposits upon meeting specific conditions. The change has undoubtedly expanded the company's scope of activity and its revenue potential. The company’s flagship product, the Plata Card, offers an average credit limit of $10,000 at interest rates exceeding 30%, targeting small loans averaging $200 per customer. With 1.5 million cardholders by mid-2025, Plata has built a diversified portfolio designed to be manageable for its target market. Backed by $450 million in equity financing, including a hefty 70% stake from Baring Fintech Private Equity Americas Fund, Plata also boasts a management team with roots from Tinkoff Bank—a fintech known for its innovative, customer-first approach. For a more convenient analogy, this business model is very similar to that used by the American bank Capital One NYSE:COF , allowing customers to manage their finances entirely through digital channels, from opening an account to investing, without visiting branches. Most services are digitally oriented. The Bond Offering: Terms and Appeal Plata’s bond issuance introduces a three-year, senior unsecured note featuring a callable structure, designed to stimulate its growth ambitions while offering investors a compelling opportunity. The offering begins at $120 million, with the flexibility to expand to $200 million, indicating confidence in its market reception. The bond carries a tenor of three years, with call options kicking in after 18 months at 106% of par value, gradually declining to 101% near maturity, signaling the issuer’s optimism about achieving early repayment as the business scales. Initially marketed with a 16% coupon rate, investor demand briefly pushed expectations toward 12%, though the final rate is anticipated to stabilize between 15% and 16%, paid semi-annually, which underlines the bond’s high yield potential, stemming from Mexico’s emerging market dynamics and Plata’s nascent stage. A put option further enhances its appeal, allowing bondholders to exit at 101% if a change of control occurs, providing a safety net against ownership uncertainties. While this structure attracts yield-hungry investors, liquidity poses a challenge, as the minimum trading lot of $125,000 and settlement through a Norwegian central securities depository—linked to Euroclear via Scandinavian banks—may restrict secondary market activity. Financial Snapshot: Growth at a Cost Plata’s financials reflect the classic fintech tradeoff: heavy upfront investment for long-term gains. The company has burned through $260 million of its $450 million equity raise over three years, a planned cash burn to fuel customer acquisition and technology development. Despite this, Plata’s loan portfolio yields a net contribution margin of around 2%, and it’s on track to break even by Q2 2028. Credit quality is improving, too. In June 2023, 33% of new cardholders defaulted after their first payment—a steep learning curve. By 2025, sharper underwriting has slashed non-performing loans (NPLs) to 15%, a manageable level given the 70% gross yield on its products. With an equity ratio projected at 22%, Plata’s capital cushion looks robust for a growth-stage bank. Mexico’s Underbanked Opportunity Mexico’s banking sector is ripe for disruption. Traditional banks have been slow to serve the underbanked, leaving room for digital players like Plata to step in. Leveraging an app-only platform and rapid credit card delivery, Plata follows successful footsteps of Tinkoff’s or the more well-known Capital One model, adapted for Mexico’s unique market. The company’s IT backbone, partly based in Cyprus at the upscale Trinity building, underscores its tech-driven approach. The company’s IT backbone, partly based in Cyprus at the upscale Trinity building, underscores its tech-driven approach. Competition is intensifying, with established banks and other fintechs vying for the same customers. Yet Plata’s early traction—1.5 million users in two years—and its focus on small, accessible loans give it an edge. If it can scale while keeping NPLs in check, Plata could capture a sizable slice of this underserved market. Risks to Watch The allure of high yields comes with significant uncertainties, given Plata’s short operational history and heavy reliance on rapid expansion. The company faces potential threats from Mexico’s economic volatility, where currency fluctuations and macroeconomic instability could erode profitability, alongside the risk of regulatory shifts in banking or fintech that might upend its business model. Credit risk remains a concern, as a surge in possible defaults could pressure its balance sheet despite recent improvements in loan performance, while the bond’s modest $120 million size and reliance on a Norwegian depository could deter some investors and limit liquidity in the secondary market. Nevertheless, Plata’s credibility is bolstered by its backers at Baring Fintech, a firm with a successful track record supporting companies like Kaspi NASDAQ:KSPI and Revolut, which lends a degree of reassurance. Additionally, the bond’s flexible structure, with call and put options, helps mitigate some of these risks, offering both the issuer and investors strategic adaptability in navigating this high-stakes venture. The Verdict: A High-Yield Play with Caveats Plata’s bond debut is a pretty well entry point into Mexico’s digital banking surge. A 15-16% yield is hard to ignore, especially with a clear path to profitability and strong equity support. For investors comfortable with emerging market risk, it’s an opportunity to support a fintech with it big digital potential in a market begging for innovation. But look first, then leap as some say. Thin liquidity and credit uncertainties mean this isn’t a casual investment. Those considering it should weigh the upside—growth in an underbanked hotspot—against the downside of a young bank in a volatile region. For the right portfolio, Plata’s bonds could be a calculated win. Just don’t expect a smooth ride.
CBOE:CEMBLong
by juliakhandoshko
TSLA: Don't Sleep on the PullbackTesla’s bullish momentum is still in control – the weekly chart shows we’re still in an uptrend, and the trend is still our best friend. After a strong bounce from support a couple weeks ago, price is now rejecting off a weak resistance zone. Ideally, this pulls it back into my entry zone to retest the bottom or the 50% mark of the current swing. I’m using trend lines for guidance and expecting the next swing to push up into that confluence area. My golden zone is set between $367–$390, with partial profits be taken at $367 (top of the channel) and the rest near $390, where we meet the trend line. Stop loss is placed at $241, just below the level where momentum would likely shift.
PEPPERSTONE:TSLA.US_24Long
by Tolga_Sema
BTC: Price to 134,500$ , FVG, Fib 0.5 and 0.618 ratio ?Price to 134,500$: Bitcoin is now moving in a triangle pattern, which is getting smaller. The price is around $107,758. Here is possible move is a breakout to the downside first, where the price may drop to fill the "Fair Value Gap" area, which is marked in purple. This area is between the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 and 0.618. After that, Bitcoin could go up again and reach the price of $134,000. Trade Ideas: I marked 2 areas with arrow let the price reach here and wait for confirmation in both areas. Specially in Fair Value Gap area. Trade Signal: I will provide both trade signal here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Long
by rayhanrafi7
XAUUSD – Gold at a Key AreaGold is now in a crucial zone with short potential. If the market provides a valid bearish signal, I’ll take the short. But if this zone breaks and confirms with a pullback, I’ll switch bias and go long. 💡 Remember: We don’t control the market — we just try to profit using structure, setups, and solid risk management. 📌 Always risk max 1% per trade. If the market goes against your bias, you only lose 1% — not your whole account. 🧠 One trade won’t make you rich, But one reckless trade can destroy everything. No gambling. Just discipline, structure, and smart execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexCSP
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again. But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TrendDiva
25
BankNifty levels - Jul 03, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Jul 03, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
inj swing trade setupInj has broken downside, expecting more downfall before any leg up, wait for the entries to be filled, these are swing trades based on 1 day TF, so here wick doesn't matter wait for the closing, you can hold them without SL if entry achieved, take 1st entry on mentioned points 2nd entry below SL, and then wait for the closing, IF any entry achieved and candle closed above the short then wait for the pullback and close on entry points if long entry achieved then hold the trade 2nd entry take from previous wick low and wait for the tp this leg down will be the final shakeout before any major move. That's why giving you some short entries. BTC will take a final leg down sooner or later, then Boom your alt season starts.
by mejazkhanm
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: We said we would stick with the plan and look for the higher levels on Gold, which we did and worked well. Once we approached the red box however, you'll notice we broke straight through it. The indicators then gave us numerous long signals which meant we either got in with the madness of the move, or, simple waited for the red box target to hit and then attempt the short on the RIP, which is moving nicely at the moment. Now resistance is on the flip 3350 with support below 3333-5 which is we're we are looking for a potential bounce. We have made a big move today so not expecting much towards the end of the session. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅ Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
BTCUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨 Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period. Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation. Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred. Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events. Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss. Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading. Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses. This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading. Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region. thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal. About me : "I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
Short
by ydnldn
3
XAU/USD 02 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GBP/JPY Shifts to Bearish Trend – Key Levels to MonitorGBP/JPY Shifts to Bearish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor The GBP/JPY pair has entered a confirmed bearish trend structure, with the formation of a lower low signaling increasing selling pressure. This technical development suggests the currency pair may continue its downward trajectory in upcoming trading sessions, presenting potential shorting opportunities for traders. Bearish Confirmation The recent lower low formation serves as a classic technical confirmation of bearish momentum. This pattern indicates sellers are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. The breakdown follows what appears to be exhaustion of the prior bullish trend, with bears now taking control of market direction. Downside Targets The pair now eyes potential support levels at: - 196.300 (immediate target) - 194.300 (secondary objective) These levels may provide temporary support, but a decisive break below could accelerate the decline. Traders should watch for potential bearish continuation patterns or reversal signals around these zones. Key Resistance The 198.900 level now stands as critical resistance. Any corrective rallies toward this zone: - May attract fresh selling pressure - Could offer potential short entry opportunities - Would need to be decisively broken to invalidate the bearish outlook Market Considerations Several factors could influence GBP/JPY's movement: - Bank of England vs. Bank of Japan policy divergence - Risk sentiment in global markets - UK economic data releases Trading Strategy With the bearish structure confirmed, traders might consider: - Short positions on rallies toward resistance - Tight stop-losses above 198.900 - Profit-taking near support levels The bearish outlook remains valid unless price reclaims and sustains above the 198.900 resistance level. As always, proper risk management is essential when trading this volatile currency pair.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
How to Trade Liquidity Sweep in Forex Market (SMC Trading) I will show you a real example of trading liquidity sweep with Smart Money Concepts. You will learn the essential SMC liquidity basics, a simple and profitable strategy to identify and trade liquidity sweep. I will share with you an accurate entry confirmation signal that works perfectly on any Forex pair. Liquidity Basics In order to trade liquidity sweeps profitably, you should learn to identify significant liquidity zones. To spot them, analyze a historic price action and find clusters of important historic key levels. Examine a price action on EURUSD on an hourly time frame. I underlined multiple horizontal key levels. The price respected each level, found support on them, and rebounded. What is so specific about these levels is that they are lying close to each other, composing a liquidity cluster. That fact that EURUSD strongly bounced from these levels suggests that buying interest and high buying volumes were concentrated around them. We can unite these levels and treat them as a single demand zone that has just been broken and turned into a supply zone. After we found a valid liquidity zone, we can look for a liquidity sweep. First, we should let the price approach that area and look for a specific price behavior then. That is a perfect example of a liquidity sweep. You can see that the price formed a wide range candle with a long tail. Its high went way beyond the underlined area, but its body closed within. In order to understand, why a liquidity sweep occurred, let's zoom in our chart and try to understand a behavior of the market participants. Our supply zone concentrated selling orders , we assume that sellers were placing their orders across its entire length. Their stop losses were presumably lying above that area. Smart Money know that and with a liquidity sweep they manipulate the market, making sellers close their positions in a loss (buying back their positions from the market) and providing a liquidity for big players. After a formation of a such a candlestick, a reliable confirmation of a saturation of the Smart Money is a formation of a strong bearish candle - a clear sign of strength of the sellers. A bearish engulfing candle above confirmed a completion of a liquidity sweep and indicates a highly probable bearish continuation. Your perfect sell entry is immediately after a close of such a candlestick. Stop loss should strictly lie above the high of a liquidity sweep. Take profit is based on a local low. Look, how quickly the price reached the goal. Your strategy of trading liquidity sweeps of demand zones is absolutely the same. Let the price test a demand zone, wait for a formation of wide range bearish candle with a tail going below its lows. Wait for a bullish imbalance candle and buy immediately then. Stop loss will be below the low of a liquidity sweep, take profit - a local high. This SMC strategy works on any time frame and can be applied for trading any Forex pair, Gold, Silver, Crypto and commodities. Try it by your own and let me know your results. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education
by VasilyTrader
14
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREBITCOIN SHOWS SIGNS OF BEARISH REVERSAL – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH After an extended bullish run, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of a potential trend reversal as the market begins forming a bearish structure. The formation of a lower low on the price chart indicates weakening bullish momentum and suggests that sellers may be gaining control. This development comes after a sustained upward trend, signaling that a corrective phase could be underway in the cryptocurrency market. Bearish Confirmation: Lower Low Formation The appearance of a lower low is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a trend reversal. This pattern demonstrates that bears are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. While this doesn't necessarily confirm a long-term bear market, it does suggest that Bitcoin could face further downside pressure in the near term. Traders should watch for confirmation through follow-through selling or additional bearish candlestick patterns. Downside Target: $99,000 in Focus If the bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin could test the $99,000 support level in upcoming trading sessions. This level represents a psychologically important zone where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a decisive break below this support could accelerate declines, potentially leading to deeper corrections. Traders should monitor volume and price action around this level for signs of either consolidation or continuation of the downtrend. Resistance Level: $12,000 as Key Barrier On the upside, $12,000 now acts as a critical resistance level. Any short-term rallies toward this zone could attract renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For the current downtrend to be invalidated, Bitcoin would need to reclaim and sustain above this resistance with strong buying volume. Until then, traders may consider selling into strength near this level while maintaining tight risk management. Market Outlook: Correction Expected After Prolonged Rally Given Bitcoin's history of volatile price swings, this potential reversal should not come as a complete surprise after its extended bullish run. Market participants should watch for: - Increasing trading volume on downward moves (confirming bearish conviction) - Potential bearish continuation patterns (like descending triangles or flag formations) - Macro factors that could influence crypto markets (regulatory news, ETF flows, or macroeconomic shifts) Conclusion Bitcoin appears to be entering a corrective phase, with $99,000 as the next key downside target and $12,000 serving as major resistance. While the broader uptrend may still be intact long-term, short-term traders should prepare for potential bearish continuation. As always, proper position sizing and stop-loss strategies remain crucial in navigating Bitcoin's inherent volatility. A break above $12,000 would require reassessment of the bearish outlook.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Brillant_Capital