BankNifty levels - May 29, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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Supply and Demand
FURTHER SHORT POSITIONSXAU/USD 1H - I am looking for further short opportunities on this market as well this week. Waiting for price to trade us up and into the area of Supply I have gone ahead and marked out for you all.
As soon as we see price trade us up and into the Supply Zone above, we have means to look to short assuming price breaks down nicely and delivers us with the confluence we need in order to enter.
I want to see price trade up, trade in and break structure to the downside fractally, in doing so we the confirmation needed to actually add to our short positions, riding price down and into the Demand Zone below.
Once we have all pieces of confluence, I will let you all know and if the trading opportunity presents itself I will be sure to keep you posted and send out the trade I am placing myself.
USD/CHF POTENTIAL SHORTSUSD/CHF 4H - As you can see from this market, price has been continuing to trade us lower longer term, delivering us with a higher timeframe break of structure to the downside recently.
This as we know confirms an end to the corrective wave that has traded price up and into the higher timeframe Supply and confirms the start of the next impulse to trade price lower. This is a market I will be looking to take part in shortly.
As soon as price has trade into this fractal area of Supply that has been found by looking at the impulsive wave that broke structure initially we can begin looking to take the market short.
This is a case of waiting for price to trade into the area, giving us a more refined trade and one at a better price, as soon as I have something I will be sure to let you all know.
EUR/USD POTENTIAL TRADE SETUPEUR/USD 30M - As you can see price has recently come to clear an area of Demand, we have since seen price trade us to the upside suggesting enough Demand has been introduced to potential flip the balance.
We will get confirmation of this once we see price break the last protected high within the bearish move that traded price down and into the Demand Zone in the first place, once we have been delivered with that we have means to look to buy.
When delivered with this break in structure I will be looking at the impulsive wave that has broken structure for areas to enter in long on this market. I will be looking for key areas of Demand that have been left as a footprint.
Once we see price trade down and into the area of Demand after breaking the structure this is when I will be looking to get involved in this market with those buys, simply waiting for a penetration and rejection before entering.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Pullback From Support📈GOLD appears to be bullish following a test of crucial horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a cup and handle pattern on an hourly.
Its neckline was violated with a strong bullish momentum.
I anticipate the price will continue to rise, reaching at least 3340 soon, and potentially up to 3362.
EURJPY: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke a significant resistance cluster on a daily.
We see its retest now.
I think that the price will start rising from that and reach
at least 164.5 level.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
It's been a fantastic start to the week with the red box holding nicely to give traders the short trade using the red boxes and KOG's target levels, which are all completed for the week here.
We now have support below at the 3285 level which if continues to hold, should give traders another opportunity into that 3306-10 region. We've already taken one into 3304, so for us no more trading until tomorrow. That's the level to watch in our opinion for a potential flip.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Telegram’s Bonds: A Tech Investment OpportunityTelegram, celebrated for its privacy-first messaging platform, has stepped into the spotlight with its latest bond offering, presenting a compelling case for investors. In 2021, the company raised $2.3 billion through bonds carrying a 7% coupon, set to mature in 2026, with a unique feature: the option to convert into shares at a 20% discount if Telegram goes public. Now, Telegram has returned to the bond market with a new issuance, offering a higher 9% coupon and a 2030 maturity, while retaining the same conversion rights in the event of an IPO.
A significant milestone bolstering confidence in these bonds is Telegram’s newfound profitability. In 2024, the company reported a $540 million profit, a remarkable shift from its earlier losses. The success stems from two primary revenue streams. First, its premium subscription service, launched in 2022, has grown to 13 million subscribers, each contributing an average of $2.8 monthly. Second, advertising revenue has surged, rising from $100 million in 2023 to $245 million in 2024, with projections of $350 million in 2025, driven by plans to introduce video ads in public channels, much like YouTube’s model.
Telegram’s expansive user base further underpins its financial strength. From just 20 million active users in 2013, the platform has soared to over 1 billion users in 2025, with 500 million engaging daily. This vast audience provides a robust foundation for monetization, with even modest increases in premium subscribers promising substantial revenue growth.
The new bonds stand out for their attractive terms. The 9% coupon offers a strong yield in today’s low-interest-rate environment, while the potential to convert into shares at a 20% discount aligns investors with Telegram’s growth trajectory. The company’s profitability and massive user base mitigate risks, positioning these bonds as a rare opportunity to invest in a thriving tech firm. Telegram’s bonds offer a unique blend of high yield and growth potential, backed by a company that has proven its financial viability and commands a global audience.
DXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental AnalysisDXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental Analysis
DXY has reclaimed momentum, trading at 99.300, after strong U.S. economic data and a hawkish tone from Fed officials signaled policy stability — boosting short-term confidence in the U.S. dollar. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing a bullish structure reinforced by clean liquidity manipulation and institutional flow.
Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking above minor key resistance at 99.250, triggering a wave of buy-side momentum. A brief liquidity hunt below 99.250 followed — a textbook manipulation phase — before buyers stepped back in.
DXY then formed Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating a well-supported uptrend. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, where smart money often positions for the next leg up.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 99.140 (Buy Limit)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 98.990 (Below liquidity grab and minor support)
🎯 Take Profit: 99.610 (Next minor resistance / 1:3 RR)
This setup aligns with institutional behavior, offering a high-probability entry for short-term trend continuation.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇺🇸 USD Strength Backed by Short-Term Fundamentals
Resilient U.S. Data: Retail sales and durable goods orders beat forecasts, signaling economic strength and limiting downside for the dollar.
Fed Stays Hawkish: Policymakers have reiterated their "higher for longer" stance, reducing expectations for rate cuts and supporting the dollar.
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical concerns and weak economic data abroad have driven flows back into the USD as investors seek stability.
Yield Support: Elevated U.S. bond yields continue to attract foreign capital, giving additional strength to DXY.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Pair: GBPNZD Bias: Bullish (contingent on breakout or support hoPrice has repeatedly rejected resistance at 2.27286 and is now consolidating between this key level and 2.25282. With this week being month-end, it’s likely we could see a pullback before a larger move into June.
Trade Zones:
Buy from 2.25282 if we pull back and hold as support
Buy above 2.28114 if we get the breakout
Targets:
First: 2.29580
Extended: 2.31200
Invalidation:
Break and close below 2.25282 with bearish follow-through
Notes:
Wait for price action confirmations.
Be mindful of low volume and false moves during month-end flow.
15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap!Gold Price Technical Analysis.
At present, gold is exhibiting signs of continued bearish momentum as it trades below the 50% retracement level of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG). The fact that this critical level has been broken suggests a weakening of bullish strength in the short-term timeframe, and reinforces the likelihood of further downward pressure on the price.
Moreover, on the 15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap just below the current market level, which is offering minor support for the time being. This area has been acting as a temporary cushion, slowing the pace of decline; however, its sustainability remains uncertain under the current market sentiment.
Should gold decisively break below the 15-minute FVG as well, it would indicate a deeper structural weakness and open the possibility for an extended bearish move. In such a scenario, the next potential support level lies around the 3293 mark, which could act as a short-term target for sellers and a critical level for buyers to watch for possible reversal signals.
Traders and investors are advised to monitor price action closely around these key levels, as further developments could define the next major move in gold's short- to medium-term trend.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21480.00
- PR Low: 21453.50
- NZ Spread: 59.5
Key scheduled economic events:
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Follow-through on daily print value increase rotation
- Closing in on 21600 front run pivot from previous week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/28)
- Session Open ATR: 450.12
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 274K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
🇬🇧 GBPAUD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇬🇧 GBPAUD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
GBP/AUD is currently facing resistance around the 2.0969 level , a zone where price has previously reversed. While this level has historically acted as a ceiling, the market has been printing higher highs and higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum leading into this resistance.
However, this rally may not be as simple as it appears. We are observing signs of silent accumulation, potentially from market makers, along with pending buy orders being triggered by retail traders at this level. This sets up a classic scenario for a liquidity hunt — a move intended to liquidate buyers' stop-losses placed below a nearby minor key level.
🕵️ Strategic Plan: Wait for Manipulation
📌 Step 1: Wait for liquidity to be formed below the minor key level — this will signal possible manipulation (fakeout/liquidity grab).
📌 Step 2: Watch for price to reclaim the key level with momentum.
📌 Step 3: Entry will be considered at 2.09460 after confirmation of liquidity and break back above the minor key.
We are now watching for a manipulation move — price breaking below the minor key level to collect liquidity, followed by a re-break above as confirmation of smart money re-entry.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 2.09460
🛡 Stop-Loss: 2.08300 (below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 2.13270 (next potential resistance zone)
📐 Risk–Reward: 1:3
This setup is ideal for traders watching for smart money reversal patterns and liquidity plays on higher timeframes.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇬🇧 GBP Strength – Supported by Positive Data
Strong UK Economic Data: Recent releases show higher-than-expected GDP growth, low unemployment, and resilient retail sales — reinforcing GBP bullish sentiment.
Sticky Inflation: Inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, keeping the possibility of future rate hikes or at least delayed rate cuts alive.
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness – Dragged by Dovish RBA
RBA Dovish Stance: The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a cautious tone amid softening domestic growth and falling inflation expectations, increasing the likelihood of future rate cuts — a bearish driver for AUD.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
SSVUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $8.232
Take Profit; $9.016
Stop Loss; $7.980