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Supply and Demand

USD/CHF: The Next Big Impulse Down? Here's The PlanHello, traders! Let's break down a high-probability short setup that could potentially form on USD/CHF. 📉 Overall Bias & Context After another powerful bearish impulse, the price entered a correction, mitigating the previous range and reaching the maximum 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. From this level, a potential continuation of the next impulse has begun. The first confirmation was an impulsive reaction from the 4h order block that formed after interacting with the 78.6% Fib level. This reaction, in turn, created a 1h order block, which now acts as a magnet for price and is a key condition for the bearish trend to continue. A mitigation and reversal from this 1h OB will confirm the bearish order flow and could initiate the next strong impulse down, with a minimum target of taking the low at 0.80384 . Why This Setup is High-Potential High Risk/Reward: This potential short setup could offer a very high RR. The deep corrective move has built up a significant amount of liquidity, which can fuel a fast and powerful move towards our target. DXY Confluence: The Dollar Index (DXY) provides an additional trigger for this scenario. After its own bearish impulse, the DXY has also corrected to a 78.6% Fib level, bounced off a daily order block, and after a small pullback, looks ready to continue its fall, dragging the USDCHF pair with it. The Entry Plan: Two Scenarios to Watch We have two potential areas for a reaction. We must try not to miss this with-trend setup once we get an entry confirmation. 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Primary POI * I'll be watching for a reaction from the aforementioned 1h order block, which aligns with the local 78.6% Fib level around 0.81840. 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab * If the first level is broken and the "whales" need additional liquidity, we could see a sweep of the 1h swing high at 0.81937, followed by a mitigation of the 1h FVG (Fair Value Gap) just above it. The potential short entry zone will be within these two levels, after a clear reversal reaction. Price is approaching the POI zone! Follow for live updates on every step of this trade idea as the price reaches the zone. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, TP, stop) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ► Follow me on X @TheWhaleSM for DAILY watchlists with more pairs, live setups, and trade ideas. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Short
by TheWhaleSM
12
Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure: Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025. Institutional Demand Holds the Line: Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend. Momentum Reset, Base Building: This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $100,000–$105,000 Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds Investor Opportunity: With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
Potential Bullish Scenario for DXY, target objective is 99.392Higher timeframe analysis As discussed in last week's analysis of the DXY, the higher timeframe draw on liquidity is the bearish monthly Fair value gap set at 101.977. This warrants a higher timeframe bullish bias until this level has been achieved. Intermediate timeframe analysis We note the relative equal highs on the daily and 1H chart at 99.392. This serves as a intermediate timeframe draw on liquidity and target objective. Also note that the buyside of the curve of the market maker buy model has commenced which further fuels bullish sentiment. Scenario 1 On the 1H chart, note the relative equal lows at 98.482. These lows are expected to be ran to serve as a liquidity primer for the bullish 1H order block at 98.436 which is expected to be respected and held. This poses a rather handsome risk to reward ratio. Scenario 2 Should price push past the invalidation point of the bullish 1H order block we could see it head to the bullish 1H order block at the initial accumulation at 98.219. The reward on this setup would make up for the loss of scenario 1. Disclaimer The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
TVC:DXYLong
by Th3L1qu1d1ty
GBPUSD - Technical Outlook (Long + Short Term)In this article, I’ll share my current outlook on GBPUSD, highlighting both higher time frame (HTF) and intraday considerations. Higher Time Frame Analysis The overall trend remains bearish. Price is still trading within the previous structural leg, with the key level at 1.42500. Unless we see a decisive break above this level, my bias will remain bearish for this pair. Recently, we’ve witnessed what looks like institutional manipulation to the upside, followed by a sharp bearish reaction from the weekly supply zone. This price action aligns with a classic Wyckoff distribution cycle, which often signals that the prevailing trend is likely to continue. Intraday Advice For short-term traders, it’s best to wait for lower time frame (LTF) pullbacks and signs of manipulation before considering short positions. If price continues to push lower, there should be opportunities to ride the trend down over the coming weeks, with multiple entry points along the way. Trading Considerations If this analysis plays out, there’s potential to maximize gains through both swing and intraday trades. However, patience and risk management are key. Losses are inevitable - what matters is managing risk and staying disciplined. Key Points to Remember: Wait for clear pullbacks before entering trades. Stick to your risk management plan. Stay patient and let the market come to you. This is an exciting time to trade FX:GBPUSD , but always assess if the risk is worth the reward before entering any position. Happy hunting predators... Apex out!
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations? Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation. Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains. When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter. In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices: Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark. This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
#GBPJPY: 600+ Pips Swing Move, JPY To Drop! GBPJPY has successfully rejected the area previously identified in our analysis of GJ. We had anticipated a price rejection and reversal with a strong bullish impulse, which has materialised. Following the positive candle close on Friday, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend and potential reaching of the 200 mark. When trading, it is crucial to prioritise risk management. Conduct your own analysis and utilise this information solely for educational purposes. Three potential targets have been identified: 198, 200, and 202. A stop loss can be positioned below our buying zone, as indicated by the black-marked zone. Your support, expressed through likes, comments, and shares, is greatly appreciated and encourages us to continue providing valuable content. ❤️🚀 Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
34
GOLD TAKEOFF anticipation Price has broken out of the descending trendline, showing early signs of strength after tapping into a 4H demand zone. I’m watching for a rounded retest (possible liquidity grab) near the breakout zone, with the next leg targeting a strong bullish continuation. 🔑 Confluences: Break of structure + Trendline Break Demand zone reaction ✅ FVG + Minor OB support below = stacked liquidity Bullish fundamentals: Weakening dollar + Middle East tensions → safe haven demand 📍 Target Zone: Above $3,400 📍 Invalidation: Clean break below $3,344 🚀 "Takeoff in progress... patiently waiting for market to fuel the move."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by sam_trades_smc
EURUSD | m15 supply playPrice broke structure with a clean CHoCH, then pulled back into a refined M15 supply zone. After rejecting the imbalance area, I executed a short aiming for the next liquidity pool below 1.14250. 🧩 Confluences: CHoCH + Lower High confirmation 🔁 Supply zone entry + FVG rejection 3-candle mitigation + bearish pressure returning 🎯 Target: 1.14050 ❌ SL above: 1.14830 “Structure breaks first, then price tells the story. Patience pays.” 🔥📉
Short
by sam_trades_smc
1
Bearish momentum to meet support on USDCAD: Looking for a bounceEvening, just wanted to share what I’m seeing on the USDCAD chart Price on USDCAD has been in clear bearish momentum, but we’re now approaching a strong support zone, that’s held firm multiple times before, as I marked it on my chart. Price is approaching the zone again and I am taking it into account for a potential bounce. I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation as usual requirement before entering. If that support holds, I’m targeting 1.38400 , totally achievable if momentum shifts. BUT, if this zone breaks with momentum, I’ll reassess it and stay flexible. 💡 Reminder: Patience is power, no entry until price shows me something worth reacting to. This is not financial advice.
Long
by TrendDiva
57