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Supply and Demand

EUR/USD LONG POSITION ANALYSIS (1H) | GO READ THE CAPTIONEUR/USD Trade Alert (1H Chart) SIGNAL Type: Long (Buy) Entry Zone: 1.1345 – 1.1355 -Stop Loss: 1.1275 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 1.1475 🎯 Target 2: 1.1530 🎯 Target 3: 1.1566 Analysis: Price is bouncing from a key support zone and forming a bullish structure. Clean higher lows suggest a potential continuation to the upside. Risk Management: Use proper lot size – risk only 1-2% per trade. Consider trailing stop or partial profit booking as targets are reached. NOTE: Do trade at your risk and Stay sharp and manage your trade wisely!
Long
by Alex_gold_trader
Corn Export Boom: Trading Opportunities in a Competitive MarketThe US corn market is experiencing a notable export boom in April. The WASDE report shows to us a 100 million bushel increase in US corn exports, driven by competitive pricing, though this comes at the expense of ending stocks, which are down 75 million bushels to 1.5 billion. With the season-average price steady at $4.35 per bushel, traders have a unique opportunity to capitalize on this export-driven momentum in corn futures. US Corn Market: Exports Surge, Stocks Tighten The WASDE report paints a dynamic picture for the US corn market in the 2024/25 season. Exports are raised by 100 million bushels to 2.098 billion, reflecting a strong pace of sales and shipments, underpinned by relatively competitive US prices in the global market. This export surge is particularly notable given the broader context of the US-China trade war, which has imposed tariffs on US agricultural goods, yet demand from other regions—like the EU, Mexico, Turkey, and Peru, where corn imports are up—has bolstered US shipments. However, this export boom has tightened domestic supplies, with ending stocks lowered by 75 million bushels to 1.5 billion, as feed and residual use is cut by 25 million bushels to 5.8 billion. Despite these supply adjustments, the season-average corn price remains unchanged at $4.35 per bushel, signaling market stability even as stocks tighten. This price resilience suggests that demand is absorbing the export-driven supply reduction without immediate upward pressure on prices, creating a balanced yet potentially bullish setup for traders in the near term. Global Context: A Tightening Supply Landscape Globally, the corn market is also under pressure, adding a layer of complexity for traders. The WASDE report forecasts global corn ending stocks at 287.7 million tons, down 1.3 million tons from the prior estimate, reflecting a tighter supply picture. Foreign corn production is slightly up, with increases in the EU (up 0.5 million tons, driven by larger crops in Poland, Croatia, France, and Germany), Tanzania (up 0.2 million tons), and Honduras (up 0.1 million tons), but these gains are offset by declines in Moldova (down 0.2 million tons), Cambodia (down 0.1 million tons), and Kenya (down 0.1 million tons). Global trade sees higher US exports, but a reduction in Pakistan’s exports (down 0.1 million tons) partially offsets this, while foreign corn ending stocks rise in South Korea and Pakistan, further tightening the global supply-demand balance. This global stock decline to 287.7 million tons, combined with the US export boom, introduces a bullish undercurrent for corn prices, particularly if export demand continues to outpace supply growth or if weather disruptions affect key producing regions like the EU or South America. Trading Signals and Strategies The corn market’s export-driven momentum, with US exports surging by 100 million bushels and ending stocks tightening to 1.5 billion bushels, still suggests potential upside in the longer term, especially as global stocks decline to 287.7 million tons. However, recent price action indicates a shift in short-term sentiment for Chicago Board of Trade Corn Futures CBOT:ZC1! . As of April 23, ZC futures are trading at $4.722 per bushel having recently peaked at $4.874 and showing a significant decline from that level. The WASDE’s season-average price of $4.35 per bushel remains a key support level, but technical indicators like the MACD, which shows a recent bearish crossover with the MACD line at -1.2 and the signal line at -1.0, signal downward momentum in the near term. Given this updated price action, a bearish strategy emerges as the primary short-term opportunity. As we may see, the chart shows ZC futures have broken below the recent support of $4.80, a level where prices briefly consolidated, and are now testing $4.722. A continued decline toward the next support at $4.65 as a prior consolidation zone—could offer a 1-2% downside in the short term. For those eyeing a reversal play, the global stock decline to 287.7 million tons and the US export boom still provide a bullish backdrop. If ZC futures hold above $4.65 and reclaim $4.80 with strong volume and a MACD crossover above the signal line, prices could target a return to $4.874, a 3-4% gain. This setup would require a shift in momentum, potentially driven by renewed export demand or supply disruptions in key producing regions. Risks to Watch Trading corn futures carries risks, particularly given the export-driven nature of the current rally. The US-China trade war, with tariffs impacting agricultural exports, could dampen demand if economic growth slows in key importing regions like Mexico or the EU, where imports are up but remain sensitive to global conditions. The WASDE’s historical data indicates a 6.7% root mean square error for US corn export forecasts, with differences ranging up to 7.2 million bushels, suggesting potential volatility in future reports. Additionally, the global stock decline to 287.7 million tons could reverse if production in the EU or South America exceeds expectations, easing supply concerns and pressuring prices downward.
CBOT:ZC1!
by juliakhandoshko
Long trade 15min TF Overview 📈 Buyside Trade – AUDUSD 🗓 Date: Thursday, 22nd April 2025 🕖 Time: 7:10 AM (New York Time) 📊 Session: London Session AM ⏱ Structure Timeframe: 1 Hour 📉 Entry Timeframe: 5 Minutes 🔹 Entry Price: 0.64045 🔹 Take Profit: 0.64381 (+0.52%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64015 (-0.05%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 11.2 🧠 Trade Rationale & Execution Notes: (Market Context) This setup aligned with the ongoing bullish momentum visible on the 1-hour structure. Price had recently swept short-term liquidity and returned into a fresh demand zone, indicating potential accumulation. 5min TF Overview
Long
by davidjulien369
XAU/USD - H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 23-04-2024⚙️ Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 🧭 Current Market Bias (H1) Check if price is above or below 50 EMA and 200 EMA Above both = bullish bias Below both = bearish bias Between = range / indecision ✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Buy the Dip) Entry Zone: $2,340 – $2,350 (recent demand zone) Entry Signal: Bullish engulfing / hammer / RSI bounce from 40 Stop Loss: $2,325 (below recent swing low) Take Profit 1: $2,370 Take Profit 2: $2,390 Risk:Reward: At least 1:2 ❌ Bearish Trade Setup (Sell the Rally) Entry Zone: $2,390 – $2,400 (strong resistance) Entry Signal: Bearish engulfing / shooting star / RSI rejection from 70 Stop Loss: $2,415 (above previous swing high) Take Profit 1: $2,360 Take Profit 2: $2,340 📌 Extra Tips Use MACD crossovers or RSI divergence for confirmation. Avoid entering during high-impact news (e.g., FOMC, CPI, NFP). Consider partial closes and trailing stops if price action moves in your favor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexcryptowithjohn
Long trade 15min TF Overview 📈 Buyside Trade – GBPUSD Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025 🕘 Time: 8:55 AM (New York Time) 📊 Session: London Session AM ⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5 Minutes 🔹 Entry Price: 1.33029 🔹 Take Profit: 1.33829 (0.60%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.32958 (0.05%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 11.27 🧠 Trade Rationale & Execution Notes: (Market Context) Identified a strong bullish structure in the LND session with price respecting prior demand zones. 📉 Volume & Price Spread Insight: Medium to higher volume consistency shows on the Volume spread analysis indicator, providing additional validation of buying interest to add confluence to the directional bias. 5min TF
Long
by davidjulien369
FIL RectangleBINANCE:FILUSDT has been trading in a rectangle since August 2022. It recently below the demand zone, swept liquidity to $2 and regained support. Key Levels to Watch • $2.4-$3.0: Support and multi-year demand zone, recently tested and regained. • $10.5-$11.8: Resistance and multi-year supply zone. Measured Rectangle Targets • Breakout: $20.0, also a support dating back to December 2020. • Breakdown: $0.5 Filecoin is still lagging behind other alts, but, if you're looking for something you don't need to chase, it could already offer a nice long entry, with interesting R/R and a clear invalidation (lower low below $2.0).
by AliferCrypto
The Gold is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000