MNQ!/NQ1! (EARLY) Day Trade Plan for 01/10/25MNQ!/NQ1! (EARLY) Day Trade Plan for 01/10/25
📈 21560
📉 20930
1/2 way mark 📈 21406 & 📉 21090
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Supplyandemandzones
Textbook Reversal Setup: Liquidity Zone + Channel BreakReversal Setup Analysis: HTF Liquidity Zone + Ascending Channel Breakdown
This chart highlights a high-probability bearish reversal setup based on key technical confluences. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the analysis:
1. High-Timeframe (HTF) Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
- The red zone marks a major HTF supply area where price previously rejected with a strong impulsive move downward. This liquidity zone is critical as it represents an area where institutional players have shown activity, creating a high-probability region for a potential reversal.
- As price approached this zone again, it did so in a corrective manner (via an ascending channel), which indicates weakening bullish momentum.
2. Impulsive vs. Corrective Structures:
- Impulsive Move: The strong move away from the HTF LQZ (highlighted earlier in the chart) confirms bearish intent, serving as a key reference point for this trade idea.
Corrective Structure: The price forms an ascending channel on the way back to retest the HTF LQZ, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
- The third touch of the channel’s trendline coincides with the HTF LQZ, adding confluence for a potential bearish reversal.
3. Liquidity Zones in Play:
- HTF Liquidity Zone (Supply): Serves as the key resistance level and primary rejection zone.
- 15-Minute Liquidity Zone (Demand): Acts as a potential target for bearish momentum post-breakdown.
- This multi-timeframe liquidity alignment strengthens the trade idea by providing clear areas of interest for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit placement.
4. Breakdown Entry and Structure:
- Entry Trigger: The trade is triggered on the break of structure, where price falls through the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum resuming after the corrective phase.
- Stop-Loss Placement: Ideally placed above the HTF liquidity zone and beyond the third touch of the channel to account for potential fake-outs.
- Take-Profit Levels: Targets can be set near the 15M liquidity zone or prior swing lows for a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Key Takeaways:
- This setup offers an excellent example of combining HTF liquidity zones, structural patterns, and market context to develop a high-probability trade idea. The rejection from the HTF LQZ aligns with the broader bearish narrative, while the ascending channel acts as a corrective structure leading to a continuation of the downward move.
- By focusing on confluence factors like liquidity zones, impulsive vs. corrective moves, and structural breaks, this trade idea demonstrates a disciplined and strategic approach to trading reversals.
Educational Insights:
- Always zoom out to identify HTF zones of significance to ensure alignment with the larger market context.
- Differentiate between impulsive and corrective structures to gauge the strength and intent of price movements.
- Use pattern confluences (e.g., ascending channels) in combination with key zones to identify high-probability entries.
- Prioritize patience and discipline by waiting for clear structural breaks to confirm your setup.
*BA UPDATE* 2 weeks into the trade (21MAR24 200C) Original Chart
STATUS UPDATE: If you got into the $200-205 C EXP 21MAR25 on 02DEC2024 you're probably sitting at around 65%-75% in the green. BA has moved roughly 40 points since its most recent low $137.03 on 15NOV2024, and roughly 15 points since we entered on 02DEC2024.
I suspect we keep that same trajectory for the next 30 days and that will take us to our target with 2 months to spare. Alot of good catalyst have come out recently surrounding BA's production and employee strike settlements. We may have another pop here this week coming up due to potential FED rate cuts, sending us even closer to our target of $200 per share by 21MAR24. Upon looking at the charts I noticed BA actually formed more of a triple bottom which is even more bullish than a double bottom.
The neckline break of around the $265 area could run us up into the $320 area, once the options chain opens up deeper in price I will take a look at calls deeper OTM. I have found major monthly resistance at the $320 area so if you decide to diamond hands through the break our next trajectory will take us into the $380 area. At the point I would be all out when price starts to enter Monthly supply from $384-447 expect a major rejection off this area and DONT BE A BAG HOLDER.....
- I got caught bag holding PLTR after making good money on them the week before. Keep in mind were looking to make money on BA all year. Keep your eye on the prize, as I hop into more calls in the future I will inform you all of the strike price, Date of EXP and entry price
P.S. dont get caught up in the little intra day moves and little losses here and there, "When in doubt, Zoom out"
2025 DHI Long Term BuyWatching a long-term buy opportunity on NYSE:DHI in 2025
The Jeanius Indicator give me the following buy signals:
Testing an uptrend line from the 3M timeframe
Took out liquidity at an untested low
Structural uptrend
The Jeanie also gives signals on the chart every time this combination happened in the past!
Top Reasons to Buy Simon’s Cat Token Meme CoinWelcome to the purr-fect intersection of memes and crypto: Simon’s Cat Token! As we leap into the end of 2024, digital currencies are evolving faster than ever, and among them stands a true contender that combines humour with investment potential. Imagine a world where your love for adorable feline antics can also lead you toward financial gains—sounds enticing, right?
The daily timeframe is trending up. New daily demand levels are being created and respected. A new imbalance is being created. Watch the video below to learn more about Simon’s Cat Meme Coin projections for 2024 and 2025. Let's see if it drops to the new daily imbalance being created at 0.000044.
BTCUSD | Trade ideaBTCUSD is trading weak ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, having hit a low of $55,282 and currently hovering around $55,958.
The number of large investors holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC has reached a one-month high of 16,120, indicating that whales are buying BTC at lower levels.
BTC ETFs have experienced an outflow of $211 million, marking the seventh consecutive day of withdrawals.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has dropped to 57% from 70% a week ago.
US Markets:
NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC): Bearish but neutral for BTC, trading weak ahead of the NFP data. A close above 20,000 could push the index to 20,500.
Technical Analysis:
BTCUSD is trading below the short-term 34-EMA and 55-EMA, as well as the long-term 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating weakness.
On the daily chart, BTC remains below both short- and long-term moving averages, confirming minor weakness.
Support Levels:
Minor support at $54,000. A break below could push BTC to $53,000/$50,000/$46,000.
Bullish Scenario:
Primary supply zone: $57,000. A break above this level could confirm intraday bullish momentum with potential targets of $60,000/$61,800/$63,000/$65,000/$67,000/$70,000.
Secondary barrier: $70,000. A close above could target $75,000/$80,000.
GBP/USD Sells from 1.2700 back downThis week, I expect GBP/USD to continue its downtrend, following a clear change in character and a break of structure on the higher timeframe, signaling bearish momentum. My primary plan is to wait for a retest of the 2-hour supply zone, located above the Asia high. Once the Asia high is taken, I’ll look for confluences to execute potential sell trades.
If the 2-hour supply zone fails to hold, I’ll shift my focus to the 10-hour supply zone, which represents a significant structural point. Should price distribute in this area, I’ll look for major sells to align with the prevailing bearish trend.
Confluences for GBP/USD Sells:
- Liquidity Below: There’s substantial liquidity to the downside waiting to be taken.
- Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish over the past two weeks.
- Break of Structure: Price has broken key levels to the downside on the higher timeframe.
- DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) is aligning with this bearish setup.
- Key Supply Zone: A well-defined supply zone caused the initial downside move.
Note: As price approaches the 8-hour demand zone, I’ll also consider any long opportunities to take price up to the supply zone for a countertrend move, rather than waiting for bearish setups exclusively.
December 11 2024 - Buy Limit Activated GBPJPY TRADEAs I checked one of my favorite pair in forex, I noticed that gbpjpy moving a bullish direction. One thing is certain here I will ride the pullback if supply was introduced in this market aiming for buy limit pending order in important swing low with demand. If you will noticed my chart during london session supply was introduced to mitigate Demand zone with validity. I like to trade demand and supply area with "PROOF". Please check my charts for additional information.
RR: 1:4
Intraday (London-New york Session )
ATR: during that time = 10
#wyckoff
#supplyand demand
GBP/USD drop to 1.282We can predict that this week the pound will continue to fall as it directly goes against the dollar and we all know the dollar is on a rally up as of now after the elections. I have 2 scenarios that will play out for the pound to continue dropping.
Scenario A: Market open price pushes down to take the EQL liquidity and breaking structure to the downside in order to validate the hourly order block and react from it in order to come down towards the weekly demand where I believe it will then have a bullish reaction over the next couple of weeks.
Scenario B: Market open price pushes up taking Thursdays high and the ASH that remains tapping off the 3H supply left at the last swing high before melting to the weekly demand.
Note: It is very possible that price may drop without reacting from any of these zones but is also very unlikely as price structure follows and repeats patterns and needs to take liquidity in order to move.
Technical Analysis on Visa (V)Visa's stock ( V ) shows a clear long-term uptrend.
Following a decline in 2022, it regained its 2021 highs in early 2024, breaking through resistance and continuing its upward trend.
The stock reached new highs around the $290 area, then retraced, forming a bullish flag pattern, down to a support area near $250.
Currently, it is testing the highs again in the $290 area, reached via a gap up after positive earnings and revenue announcements. If it confirms a breakout above resistance, with a potential retest, the stock could continue its bullish trend.
Gold Out LookAs we had a rally upward last week and got tons of Profits following Technicals as well as this week is concerned still bullish in GOLD
Confluences
Price is following a bullish channel and show some rejection from channel last week
50 SMA on H1 is also bullish
From Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 to M30 to M15 gold is all bullish
Geopolitical situations are also in favour of Gold price as Iran and Israel tension has escalated last week closing we can see a rally upwards
So gold is bullish and we are too bullish on Gold if Price breaks above 2752 level of previous ATH it will go bullish to its physiological level
XAUUSD SELL& BUYHi Guys, New analysis for gold, the market is still bullish and demand levels are going to be supporting. Our current buying level is 2728 which is risky by nature and confirmation needed.
Should price fall, 2720 is Asia session's low which can be taken out. below Asia's low, level 2714 and 2709 are safe levels to buy.
In case you want to go short, 2737, 2744 and ... are levels to go short from but only booking small profits.
Be honorable