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Supplydemandanalytics

$USDCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences: - Price action is at a Demand Zone that has seen Demands for USD a few times - Price is also supported by a descending support trendline - Stochastics is in Oversold conditions in the H4 Timeframe Fundamental Confluences: - Market seems to have overdone their expectation of many rate cuts and based on how FED normally reacts, they are more reactive than pre-emptive. - In that sense, the Jackson Hole event this Friday may disappoint markets if Powell sticks to his affirmation that Sept cut is highly likely but any other cuts will remain data-dependent (If I'm wrong, then we will cut it if it breaks the 2024 low) ----- Taking an entry into long FX:USDCHF here. Will have interest to add on as long as price remains within in my Orange Position area. -----
Long
by weekendanalyst
2
$GBPUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - The previous Supply Zone broke and have moved up towards the next Fibo Retracement level at 100% - Stochastics have started to reversed off the Overbought conditions - Resistance Trendline present - Another Interest Zone is right above the Price Action; should see price consolidating or bounce off this zone Fundamental Confluences: - No difference from previous posting ----- Previous positioning got stopped out after market continued the Soft Landing narrative which sent the USD lower and GBP went higher. Will take a new entry here with SL levels above the Interest Zone and will consider the Support trendline and the 78.60^ Fibo levels as the starting TP levels. -----
Short
by weekendanalyst
$PFE | Allocation/Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - Price is in Oversold Conditions in D1 timeframe - Price action bouncing off 150% Fibo Extension - Price is trying to go back above the Interest Zone to give some bullish momentum to the stock Fundamental Confluences: -Regardless how bad the negative rumours are ongoing about the side-effects from Pfizer; they are still considered a strong market leader in the Pharma industry - They had a good response on a testing of their recent respiratory drug - Value? ---- Health sector in your Portfolio will never be wrong with the global aging population. I am putting this trade on as either into my Long-Term Portfolio or Swing trade for $PFE. Depending on how market develops, I may decide to hold this bag and allocate more into it at the 178% Fibo Extension levels or cut my Buy position as shown. -----
NYSE:PFELong
by weekendanalyst
$CADCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - Price action is close to the 50% Fibo extension from the beginning of time - Price action is bouncing off a strong Demand Zone to prevent a new all-time low Fundamental Confluences: - Higher interest rate environment compared to CHF will induce re-opening of carry trade positioning - Canada being an oil commodity nation, will have the strength of oil to keep their GDP sustainable - Even if the global economy weakens, oil will likely maintain it's pricing with OPEC and OPEC+ holding back supply ________________________________ Putting on a Long position in OANDA:CADCHF (1st Entry) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Long
by weekendanalyst
GBPJPY ( BELOW FVG ) (4H)GBPJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 199.493 & 197.879 . TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 199.493 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) . TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 197.879 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) . RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 201.419 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) . RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 203.814 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 195.223 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) . SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 191.917 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) . CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.286 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1). TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 201.419 , 203.814 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 195.223, 191.917.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
EUR/GBP potential shortContext: • Market broke through monthly lows and stayed below • Built a weekly FVG down • On the daily, market builds a creeping trend into the weekly FVG • The weekly FVG is supported by lower timeframe FVGs on the daily and 4h chart Idea: • Look for shorts in the area 0.8465 to 0.85 (i.e. lower bound of weekly FVG up to las broken low) • Preferred entry timeframe: 4h Caution / Scenario invalidated: • Caution if market closes above 0.8484 • If market goes into 0.85, a sharp reversal should occur • If the market accepts higher prices and builds up a bullish dynamic, returning into its previous range, I skip this one Target: • Low around 0.84 Stop: • Above your entry signal • Last resort: 0.8541 Watch for your CRV Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
EUR/USD ShortContext: • DXY has upwarts potential: Supports short in EUR/USD • Monthly neutral • Weekly neutral to bearish bias • Daily one confirmed bearish swing, respected daily FVG and disrespected bullish FVGs. Broke through prev. day low and took out weekly demand. Closed below these lows Ideas / Entry: • Short in the 4h-FVG → Shown with black arrow • Preferred: Short around 1.072 which is in the area of the broken lows with 1h Reversal setup 1) Blue arrows: Reversal with respecting lower 1h-FVG. Look for entry on LTF, for example 5min-15min 2) Orange arrows: Last resort and higher risk! Needs strong and confirmed reversal on preferred 15min. Scenario invalidated: • 4h Close above 4h FVG • Break above 1.0745 • High caution if 4h close above broken lows around 1.072! Immediate reversal needed (confirm on LTF), otherwise cancel trade Stop • Above your entry signal or 1.0745 if traded on 4h Take Profit(s) • 1st at daily low around 1.067 • 2nd around 1.065 • 3rd around 1.06 (optimistic) Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
CL / Crude Oil ShortContext: • Monthly: First signs of bearish orderflow. Bearish FVG in the making • Weekly: Bearish FVGs getting respeced • Daily: Rejection and break below prev. day low. Caution because of two bullish FVGs Idea: • 1h-4h Mitigation Block with 1h close below prev day low. • Respecting 1h FVgs • Inside current 1h candle on 15min closed last 15min bullish FVG • Potentially building a balanced price range on 15min → Long around prev. day low about 77.88 Target: • 1st would be currend day low • 2nd: Upper limit of daily FVG at 77.22 Entry / Stop: • Reversal Setup with stop above the entry signal • Or at 77.88 with stop about 78.05 Signal invalidated: • breaking lower withoug looking back • Prive going above 78.05 I want the current 15min-Candle to close inside the range of the previous 15min candle. Be careful about News in about 30minutes! Please feel free to comment
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by MichaelBw
EUR/CHF ShortContext: • Monthly Rejection confirmed • Weekly build a RBD with FVGs • Daily consolidated for 3 days below Swing Low and left that base Idea: • Short on 4h-Supply Entry Area: • 0.9642 - 0.9670 Entry Signal: Two options • LMT on 4h Supply • Reversal on lower timeframe like 1h Stop: • Above Supply or entry setup Target: • 0.9565 (last bullish montly candle low) Scenario invalidated: • Bullish Reversal into breakout-Range, i.e. above 0.967 • If we build up momentum and create another base → would be new scneraio Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
USD/JPY LongContext: • W and M showing (yet to be confirmed) rejections: Neutral with bullish touch • Respecting Daily FVGs • 2h big bullish FVG, 4h close above equal Highs Idea: • Entry in area between 156.600 - 156.15 with LTF reversal (e.q. 1h) Scenario: • Entry area should be approached without bearish FVGs • 4h close below 156.49 (Equal Highs): Caution! Scenario terminated: • 4h Retracement below 156.15: Trade is off Stop: • Determined by your entry setup Please feel free to comment with other ideas or questions.
Long
by MichaelBw
1
AUD/NZD ShortContext: • Monthly neutral / sideways • Weekly bearish FVGs, ignored bullish order block • Clearly bearish Idea: • Short at daily FVG Entry: • Entry Range: 1.0774 to 1.0787 • Entry Signal: Reversal Setup on 30min - 1h Scenario: • Liquidity sweep above 1.0774 (dashed line) • Avoid building a FVG on 4h Stop: • Above your Reversal Setup / Entry Setup Scenario invalidet • 4h Close above 1.0771 → Next location would then be 1.0806 Please leave a comment if you have any suggestion or question.
Short
by MichaelBw
LINKUSDT | MT Long H4 | Chainlink's Supply-Demand ZonePair: HTX:LINKUSDT Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Price have bounced off 61.8% Fibo retracement levels - Price action is within two different parallel channels; 1 acts as a bottom channel support and the other is within a supply-demand zone channel - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Chainlink's progress has been remarkable and their latest application, Transporter allows users to move crypto assets and data across multiple networks. - Further escalation of war risk may see risk assets get affected Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 12.90 - 13.50 SL @ 11.59 TP 1 @ 14.48 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 16.03 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.26 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
SOLUSDT | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 & H1 time-frame to activate our trade idea - Entry level will be a Demand Zone for Solana - Price action is in a consolidation zone - Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement after trade is activated Suggested Trade: Buy Limit @ 123.15 SL @ 110.24 TP 1 @ 143.74 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 169.42 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.26 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Long
by weekendanalyst
AUDUSD | MT Long H4 | Middle of Parallel ChannelPair: FX:AUDUSD Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action is now at the middle of a parallel channel - Price is at 61.8% Fib Extension Level - Aiming for the 50% Fibo Retracement which the horizontal line shows a supply-demand zone. Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Higher commodity prices is a positive for Australia economy - Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and affect this trade Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6390 - 0.6415 SL @ 0.6351 TP 1 @ 0.6448 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.6516 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.09 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
USDCAD Daily downtrend continuationAt this moment in time price is demonstrating weakness, however, need to take into consideration that it has just touched an unmitigated area of demand, to which it has reacted strongly, with that said, we could see a deeper pullback into the 1.3546 area of supply to make a run for 1.3045. Conversely, we've just mitigated an area of refined H4 Supply, causing the H4 to change the character and possibly go for a run at this reaction from the equilibrium point of Daily structure down to 1.03045.
Short
by GonzeeTrading
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/14/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 16817.25 - PR Low: 16774.00 - NZ Spread: 96.75 Key economic events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Retail Sales (x2) Continuing to push supply into ATH - ATH marker 17700 Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 12/13 +0.08% (open <16765) - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 224.46 - Volume: 48K - Open Int: 252K - Trend Grade: Bull - From ATH: -4.6% (Rounded) (adjusted for contract changes) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 17700 - Mid: 16391 - Short: 15819 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQH2024Long
by mv3trader5