Supplydemandtrading
USD-JPY idea! 💡💬
Hi traders.
I use the supply-demand method for my analysis.
Check the lower timeframes for confirmation and entry. (5m,1m)
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What do you think about this setup?
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Everything I share is how I trade personally. 😉
Enter the trade by checking yourself.☑️
Do not put more than 3% of your capital at risk! ❌
USD JPY - Departure awaits, series 8G'Day Traders and Analysts,
This will require further updates on a daily chart.. as Price has not yet confirmed a selling Imbalance.
Buying imbalances have been reached!
Congrats to those who purchased along the way, great overall results from 102.XX - 123.XX!!
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged neutral, until the opportunity for a close reaches the profit taking zone. This will be activated as long, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. However, note, at current we are awaiting confirmation of a Bearish move, price may move up to 125.XX the Scenario is not invalid, simply will await confirms again. This is built into the logical approach of an imbalance trader.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence.
Monthly chart
What is the monthly chart showing?
Price has now arrived at the Monthly imbalance, where it is now creating a base candle. The previous fresh level was created back in June, July 2015.
August saw a bi-monthly and monthly low tested upon the fresh level created. Confirming a four day continuous selling from the distal point and opportunities to sell from the proximal line .
As the current monthly chart shows a Fresh level test where March 2022 had wicked after netting out the 2015 August high. Price had immediately pivoted from the low and whip sawed back the following day.
Price then began to sell off back to a reverting back to the steep trendline formation which the daily chart shows at present .
Using the monthly timeframe still, USD JPY has previous created back in 2007 an original fresh level of the 123.XX zone. Now 15 years on, has retested the new imbalance as mentioned above in 2015. Analyzing the overall cycle, and looking at the example below to show how the original departure worked . Price successfully DBD from the departure supply imbalance.
Recapping the fresh level from 123.XX as mentioned, indicated a clear supply imbalance;
Price departed here with a perfect Departure candle scenario;
Where the highlighted candle (purple) shows a indecision candle upon a monthly setup.
The preceding month then has an engulfing candle which is double the height. From here the sell would be opportune position for three consecutive zones for profit taking.
Note using a DCA positional method. Adding positional sells are added at a rejection of any pivot point.
Daily Old Technical Analysis (positional buy)
Review more technical work in the links below.
Weekly;
Awaiting the departure level for confirmation - with reference to the previous distal and proximal lines within the OL Supply imbalance.
There is not enough evidence as yet to provide a clear selling imbalance.
What is clear though, is that from the weekly wick back into the Fresh level will show two things;
1. Retest of the high to confirm a double top or lower high formation
2. A daily confirm candle to show a clear indecision candle - but again, awaiting 123.X to become an area of clear proximal sells. Refer to the daily chart below. 1.1.
Weekly chart:
Figure 1.1.
This shows the Imbalance candle in relating to a strong move confirmation, >95% confidence of this being retested as per previous Original level.
Daily chart for a potential sell position
Await updates... in comments of new charts.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Position and swing trades
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXII
Less is more
SUPPLY vs DEMAND 📉📉📉✅1) Use longer time frames to identify supply and demand zones
By zooming out, traders are able to get a better view of areas where price had bounced off previously. Be sure to use the appropriate charts when altering the between multiple time frames. Draw a rectangular shape to denote this zone. Demand and supply zones do not necessarily have to appear together - often currency pairs can reveal one or the other.
✅ 2) Identify strong moves off the potential demand/supply zone
Certain price levels offer value to either bullish or bearish traders. Once institutional traders and big banks see this value, they will look to capitalize on it. As a result, price action tends to accelerate relatively quickly until the value has diminished or has been fully realized. Witnessing multiple instances of this at the same price level increases the probability that it is an area of value and therefore, a supply or demand zone.
✅ 3) Use indicators for confirmation of support and demand zones
Traders can incorporate daily or weekly pivot points to identify or confirm supply or demand zones. At DailyFX, we have a dedicated page showing relevant support and resistance levels for all major markets. Traders should look for support and resistance levels to line up with demand and supply zones for higher probability trades.
🏦 Often, a currency pair will climb to an area of resistance called a ‘selling zone’, where sellers perceive there to be great selling potential at a relatively overbought price. The reverse is also true for currency pairs that drop to relatively low levels, ‘demand zone’ where buyers perceive there to be great value to buy.
If you haven’t learned the basics of the supply and demand, or would like a refresher, read our guide on the forces of supply and demand.
🏦 Supply and demand zones are observable areas on a chart where price has approached many times in the past. Unlike lines of support and resistance, these resemble zones more closely than precise lines. Traders can customize charts to identify the demand and supply zones
Do you use this concept ? 🔥
US30 - Where we can see buy pressure on the way down 😋Technical Overview: - Dow Jones
We like to see price react to our buy zones providing intraday/scalps as they are not meant to be strong as the lower zone marked :)
Simple, whoever tells you short is selling you lies, you want to be on the safe side? stay bullish on US markets simple as that.
Wait for dips if they happen don't chase the market :)
Analysis is only 1 piece of the puzzle 🧩
Our analysis is a sentiment for the upcoming week, month.
Use this as a weather forecast, you are the person that has to put on a jacket when it’s raining.
Trade this sentiment based off your own entry strategy at the right time.
Flow with the Devil 😈
Trade with the manipulation👾
GBP/USD - Next Potential Buy ZonesTechnical Overview: - GBP/USD
Check out our previous posted analysis
Analysis is only 1 piece of the puzzle 🧩
Our analysis is a sentiment for the upcoming week, month.
Use this as a weather forecast, you are the person that has to put on a jacket when it’s raining.
Trade this sentiment based off your own entry strategy at the right time.
Flow with the Devil 😈
Trade with the manipulation👾
S&P GOOD fundamental but huge sell offS&P had really good fundamental news today with Margins increasing by 13%. The sell off comes all the way down to seek liquidity at a Gap i had marked for some time now. This gap provided a fantastic rejection zone and im expecting a rebound. looking for a rebound to the 50% level and really hoping to get to the 4600 61% area.
NAS100 rejection off 14800 zone 88% level and 100SMANAS100 took a nice dive today plowing through zones and levels. we got a few nice reactions form a couple key areas but nothing substantial. Before daily close we pierced through the 88% level and tapped the 14800 zone and had a proper rejection. This was a very aggressive sell off and looking for a rebound headed into the fomc meeting where data will reveal the true direction. Expecting gyrating the rest of the week...Buy the dips sell the rallies follow your rules for reversal entry or continuation entries/holds/addons....Good trading.
NAS100 tested highs again...NAS100 started the day with downward pressure but hit a nice pocket of liquidity and had a nice late in the day rally. once again NAS pierced previous day high but failed to close above. This leads me to believe this will remain rangebound so for now Im interested in shorting the highs and buying the dips until further notice.
US30 - Dirty liquidity grab coming😋😈Technical Overview: - Dow Jones
Previous analysis -
We also caught this move from the bottom -
We like to see price react to our buy zones providing intraday/scalps as they are not meant to be strong as the lower zone marked :)
Simple, whoever tells you short is selling you lies, you want to be on the safe side? stay bullish on US markets simple as that.
Wait for dips if they happen don't chase the market :)
Analysis is only 1 piece of the puzzle 🧩
Our analysis is a sentiment for the upcoming week, month.
Use this as a weather forecast, you are the person that has to put on a jacket when it’s raining.
Trade this sentiment based off your own entry strategy at the right time.
Flow with the Devil 😈
Trade with the manipulation👾
Gold - Buy/Sell Pressure Zones (Targeting Liquidity) 😋Technical Overview: XAU/USD
Previous Analysis:
Original long position:
This is a high-time frame analysis meaning within small range price will give many long/short opportunities
we share this free analysis to public.
React to price, only gurus can predict price
Use our analysis as a sentiment
Analysis is only 1 piece of the puzzle 🧩
Our analysis is a sentiment for the upcoming week, month.
Use this as a weather forecast, you are the person that has to put on a jacket when it’s raining.
Trade this sentiment based off your own entry strategy at the right time.
Flow with the Devil 😈
Eg.2: Viewing Break of Market Structures as Broken Expectations Another example of how market structure breaks can be viewed from a perspective of broken expectations of either parties (buyers or sellers). If you were a buyer or seller, where would you be getting involved? Had you gotten involved, would your expectations have been met? If not, how violently were they broken?