NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/23/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21683.00
- PR Low: 21566.00
- NZ Spread: 262.25
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
Weekend gap up back to Friday's highs
- North of daily Keltner average cloud
- Friday session set pivot low, front running 21000
- QQQ gap below Dec 2 session filled
- Market sentiment, expecting low participation for Christmas week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:40 AM 12/23)
- Weekend Gap: +0.07% (open < 21552)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 370.87
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 237K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Supply Zone
$ NVDA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThe chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback.
Key Observations
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support.
Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level.
The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Dark Pool Prints:
Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity:
$136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance.
$124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance:
The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76).
Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07).
Support:
Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39).
The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias.
Volume Analysis:
The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution.
Potential Reversal Zone:
A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot).
Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance).
Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot).
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot).
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level).
Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level).
Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support).
Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance).
Additional Considerations
Dark Pool Reactions:
The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level.
Head-and-Shoulders Risk:
A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern.
Market Context:
NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21429.25
- PR Low: 21363.00
- NZ Spread: 148.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
Value decline continues below daily Keltner avg cloud
- QQQ gap filled
- Maintaining vols since FOMC triggered selling
- Next key pivot, 20920 zone from Nov 27
Session Open Stats (As of 12:40 AM 12/20)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 345.51
- Volume: 51K
- Open Int: 237K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/19/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21546.50
- PR Low: 21453.75
- NZ Spread: 207.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
GDP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
FOMC driven 960+ point value decline
- Return to daily Keltner avg cloud
- Auctioning between pivots from Nov 11 & Nov 25
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/19)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 338.33
- Volume: 50K
- Open Int: 226K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/18/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22309.25
- PR Low: 22206.00
- NZ Spread: 230.75
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections
- FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
AMP raised margins for expected FOMC volatility spikes
- Retraced 50% of Monday's ATH breakout range
- +100 point value decline at session open
- Auctioning long above previous session close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/18)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 287.63
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 196K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/17/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22412.50
- PR Low: 22376.50
- NZ Spread: 80.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
ATH raised nearly 250 points
- Volume shifting into contract month H25
- Holding previous session highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/17)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 290.00
- Volume: 14K
- Open Int: 145K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NVDA out of gas?H&S on the daily with 132.67 as the neckline. We also have another H&S that has played out and was followed by a double top, now failing once again under support. I'm in puts now with a stop-loss at 133. This is also where i would flip bias for potential squeeze at 133 after a backtest of 132.67
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21800.00
- PR Low: 21762.00
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI
S&P Global Services PMI
Contract rollover week
- Holding auction at 21800 zone, near ATH
- QQQ gap below 520 remains open
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/16)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 263.61
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 239K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down.
Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.05600 back downThis week, my analysis for EUR/USD aligns closely with GBP/USD, as both pairs have exhibited bearish momentum. However, there are subtle differences in price action as we approach the final month of the year. A key focus is the 4-hour supply zone around 1.05600, which initiated a break of structure to the downside.
Once price reaches this area, I’ll look for redistribution on the lower timeframes to confirm a potential sell. If the price moves higher, the 2-hour supply zone just above offers an even better opportunity for shorts.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
- Liquidity Below: Significant downside liquidity remains untapped.
- Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish for the past two weeks.
- Break of Structure: Key levels have broken to the downside on the higher timeframe.
- DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) supports this bearish setup.
- Key Supply Zone: The 4-hour supply zone caused the initial bearish move.
Note: If price mitigates the 5-hour demand zone, I may consider a counter-trend buy to take price back up toward the supply zone. However, if this demand zone fails, it will trigger another break of structure (BOS), prompting me to identify a new supply zone for potential shorts.
Stay disciplined and have a strong trading week—let’s close Q4 on a high note!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21752.50
- PR Low: 21716.75
- NZ Spread: 79.75
No key scheduled economic events
Strong session break gap up (details below)
- Maintaining week range in ATHs
- Index contract rollover week ahead
Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 12/13)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 269.29
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 268K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21767.00
- PR Low: 21747.75
- NZ Spread: 43.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
Continuing to march into new ATHs
- Holding auction inside previous session highs
- QQQ failed to close 520 daily gap before rolling into new highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 12/12)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 269.06
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 286K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21442.00
- PR Low: 21417.25
- NZ Spread: 55.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Break below 21430 support into inventory response off previous ATH breakout
- Daily print advertising rollover back to Keltner avg cloud
- Failed QQQ ATH breakout gap fill below 520
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 260.71
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21482.00
- PR Low: 21458.75
- NZ Spread: 51.75
No key scheduled economic events
+240 point fade from ATH back near Friday's low
- Nearing QQQ 520 daily gap
- Holding auction at previous session lows
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 12/10)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 262.31
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 282K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21670.75
- PR Low: 21626.75
- NZ Spread: 98.5
No key scheduled economic events
Holding auction in ATHs
- QQQ daily gap below 520
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/9)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 263.85
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 293K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
DOLLAR DROPPING?This week, I anticipate the DXY to retrace before continuing its recent bearish trend. Since reaching the weekly supply level, the price has consistently formed lower lows and lower highs. This bearish momentum aligns with the bullish trends seen in pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, which I use as additional confluence.
I’ll be watching for the price to retrace to around 106.400, a key area for potential sell opportunities on the dollar. This level aligns well with points of interest (POIs) in my other forex pairs, adding further confidence to this setup.
Note: As we approach the final month of the quarter and year, market conditions may become less predictable due to lower volume. Stay alert, but manage expectations accordingly.
Stay vigilant, and trade safe!
EUR/USD Short term short to long idea pending...This week, my focus for EUR/USD is on the supply zone near 1.05800. I anticipate a reaction from this level, making it a key area for potential sells at the start of the week. Following this initial move, I expect a bullish rally to develop midweek.
If the price drops to 1.05200, aligning with my 11-hour demand zone, I’ll shift my focus to potential buys. After receiving valid lower-timeframe confirmations, I plan to target the nearest liquidity pool to the upside as the price resumes its bullish trend.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
Shift in Market Character: Price has shown signs of a downside reversal, suggesting a potential sell-off.
Unmitigated Supply Zone: A clean 2-hour supply zone remains untapped.
Liquidity Below: There’s significant liquidity to the downside that price may target.
Trend Recalibration: Despite the overall bullish trend, a pullback is necessary for continuation.
Note: If the supply zone at 1.05800 fails to hold, it will further confirm bullish momentum. In this case, I’ll wait for a nearby demand zone to form, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the move to the upside. Patience will be key in this scenario.
XAU sells to push lower?We have surprisingly been seeing a steady ongoing short of Gold over the past weeks and anticipate it to continue pushing lower to the downside. We have two scenarios that could play out this week:
Scenario A being price pushes down taking the ASL from last week and reacting from the daily demand zone to push up. However, I don't believe that this will have gold pushing past the previous high but rather grabbing liquidity in order to continue in it's downtrend.
Scenario B we see market open price may validate the CHOCH to the downside before taking the ASH and the consolidation that's created pools of liquidity to both the upside and the downside and reacting from the 3H supply zone and continue melting taking liquidity from below that has been building up over the past months.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21458.50
- PR Low: 21424.75
- NZ Spread: 75.25
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
AMP raised margin requirements overnight for pre-RTH jobs numbers
- ATH continue to march higher
- Retraced nearly 50% of Wednesday range
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 12/6)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 267.49
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 291K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096 (updated)
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone