Supply Zone
BTC ANALYSIS 21/7/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Hey guys just a quick update on BTC... it's boring yes. that's why I'm staying patient and just risking 1% here and there so not trading much at all at the moment. So obviously you can see we are hanging at a bearish type of order block and the chart overall does look quite bearish for the time being or 'in consolidation' or as I like to call it, the patience zone! this is a time for your best performance with being patient. Instead of a technical analysis update today I just want to make this about what you could be doing instead of sitting there starring at the charts all day and all night.
- Make this time a perfect opportunity to study your craft.
- Practice things like meditation
- Fitness is key, switch your mindset and focus on what you are eating and take control of a physical goal.
Just these simple things will harden your armor, use time wisely.
Thanks guys.
A possible Long Scenario As it's shown we have a possible QM setup at the lower extreme point. As always two types of entry could be taken into consideration.
Risky Trade : Enter upon, price reaching the entry level and set the SL and TP accordingly. This method is riskier because it might ignore the level and hit the SL.
Confirmed Trade: Upon reaching the entry level, Check the lower time frame like 1 or 5 and spot reversal ( CHOCH) to the upside.
AUDUSD: Key Levels to Watch This Week 🇦🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for AUDUSD.
Resistance 1: 0.689 - 0.690 area
Support 1: 0.669 - 0.672 area
Support 2: 0.659 - 0.660 area
Support 3: 0.646 - 0.651 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading this week.
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GBPUSD: Short still in play at extremesAfter getting taken our of my previous trade by a hair. Im back in again after short structural breaks.
I also have the H2 on my side as it's in the 1st phase of signifying the start of the swing pullback.
So let's try again.
What could go wrong?
1. Another LQS...boring...hehehe
2. Another extended move to the upside
3. This is very complex PA I could have missed something, but I've navigated this as best I can with my current understanding of this new structural method I'm testing.
Let's see how it plays out
EURUSD - IMPORTANT BREAKOUT📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame, The EURUSD Price Reached a Strong Resistance Level (1.11849 - 1.10512).
Currently, This Key Level is Broken (Resistance Level Becomes new Support Level)🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 1.14000🎯
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📊 Navigating The Trading Range📌What Is a Trading Range?
A trading range is a period during which an asset consistently fluctuates between high and low prices. The upper limit of the range acts as a resistance level, meaning it tends to hinder further price increases. The lower limit of the range serves as a support level, providing a barrier against significant price declines. When an asset breaks through or falls below its trading range, it usually means there is momentum (positive or negative) building. A breakout occurs when the price of a security breaks above a trading range, while a breakdown happens when the price falls below a trading range.
Typically, breakouts and breakdowns are more reliable when they are accompanied by a large volume, which suggests widespread participation by traders and investors. Many investors look at the duration of a trading range. Large trending moves often follow extended range-bound periods.
📌Support and Resistance
If an asset is in a well-established trading range, traders can buy when the price approaches its support and sell when it reaches the level of resistance only if there is confluence and signs for it. Using volume is a good indication of spotting continuation or reversals. If the price is approaching a support level with high sell-side volume, its a good indication it might just break down and continue the downtrend to the next support zone. You can define major support/resistance zones where there was clear reaction in the past and use them as major pivots to guarantee safer entries.
Always remember two key things about S/R. The first is, the more times a S/R zone is tested the higher the change a breakout/breakdown will occur. Once a S/R breaks, it will automatically turn into the opposite of what it was, the price break out of the resistance and range above. That previous resistance will act as a support level next time the price action touches it.
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Tricky Times, I'm Counter-Trend Now!💲 Despite my Dollar Bias, all eyes are on US Secretary Treasure, Ms. Janet Yellen's upcoming speech in Bloomberg. Analyzing her insights could confirm the dollar's bullishness for the year ahead.
📈 On the Daily Chart (right), there's an outside bar on the support line. Patient traders await one more day's candlestick before deciding their next move.
📉 If you're determined to short USDJPY, keep an eye on the 1-hourly chart (left) at 138.89, as long as the market stays within the sell zone. It's worth considering.
📈 On the other hand, if you're bullish, pay attention to the key level at 138.21 for a potential head and shoulders pattern, indicating a buying opportunity.
⚖️ If you're torn between shorting and buying, observe how the market behaves at 138.21. A violation confirms your short, while no violation means a tough decision awaits.
BTC ANALYSIS 15/7/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Goodmorning people its currently 11:29am here in AUS on a fine Saturday and I've just been looking through all the charts and other things and couldn't help but notice that all Thursday's gains on BTC got eaten up. But for a trader like me we are on the way to our next support SO what to do now? what you need to do now is use your patience and focus on your self-control. Wait for the market to find this support and not just the first wait for a double or triple bttm even. this drop comes from the ripple news after a court hearing. I don't get into news at much, but I do like to know why the market dropped.
Things to take out of today:
*Patience for me comes in now more than ever.
*Emotionally I feel tired after a night shift and a big day of trading and training! so I'll take today off to spend with my beautiful family.
*Keep an eye on that 200EMA for a support (alerts)
Thanks guys.
GOLD/XAUUSD BUY AND THEN SELL or BUY?🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD
🔰 Time Frame : 1 HOUR
🔰 Scale Type : MID SCALE
🔰 Direction: BUY THEN SELL
During the US 4th of July bank holiday, Gold experienced minimal price movement. On Monday, the price reached $1930.76, which corresponds to the Fibonacci level, and then spent the following two days retesting the 78.6% Fibonacci level within the range of $1922.64. If you are uncertain about trading within channels, it may be beneficial to analyze demand and supply zones, as well as Fibonacci tools.
Currently, Gold exhibits a robust bullish momentum towards the Fibonacci level at $1938.99, precisely aligned with its recent one-hour key high. With the imminent release of the FOMC minutes later today, we expect the Gold price to continue rising towards the $1938.99 area, representing the Fibonacci extension level of 121.7%. However, there is a possibility of a false breakout occurring at the key high level, leading to the extraction of remaining liquidity that has accumulated over the past week and a half. Subsequently, we may witness a decline towards at least $1930.76, followed by $1926.43 at the Fibonacci levels of 100% and 88.6% respectively. Depending on market conditions, there is a chance that the price may either drop further to $1892 or rise to the Fibonacci extension level of 161.8% to address the significant market imbalance between the $1939 to $1950 range.
The subsequent price action will heavily depend on the outcome of the FOMC meeting tonight and any significant news announcements expected tomorrow. We recommend staying updated with our team's insights and analysis.
AUDUSD - BULLISH FALLING WEDGE📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The AUDUSD Formed a Falling Wedge Pattern📉
Currently, The Price Broke The Resistance Line of The Wedge
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
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TARGET: 0.69545🎯
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EURCAD - NEW BULLISH MOVE📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The EURCAD Price Reached a Resistance Level (1.46028 - 1.46496).
Currently, This Key Level is Broken (Resistance Level Becomes new Support Level)🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 1.47200🎯
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NZDCAD - Bearish Head and Shoulders📉Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The NZDCAD Price Reached A Strong Resistance Level📈
Currently, The Price Formed a Head and Shoulders Pattern📉
The Neckline is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 0.80770🎯
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GOLD/ XAUUSD LONG/BUY🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD
🔰 Time Frame : 4H
🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale
🔰 Direction : SELL THEN BUY
Undoubtedly, Gold remains subjected to significant selling pressure. Nonetheless, considering the technical aspects, it is crucial to emphasize that Gold is presently in the process of rebalancing the market through the accumulation of liquidity within the range of 1937-1940. As the price nears the 1921 level and subsequently retests the manipulation zone of 1909-1910, it indicates that Gold is likely prepared to capitalize on the liquidity available at the 1H Supply Zone, specifically around its hourly key high near 1937. This situation presents a favorable opportunity for a retracement, aiming to rectify the market imbalances that have developed over recent weeks. Based on our projections, the potential price target is expected to reside within the range of 1937-1940.
Considering these observations, it is paramount to exercise caution and make well-informed trading decisions, while maintaining a vigilant approach to the dynamics of the market.
CRWD - opportunity to buy this dipCRWD broke up both above its neckline @ 139 as well as it's 200 day moving averge on 18 May. Traded to a hgh of 162.25 before retracing all the way to retest it's neckine. It formed a mini pin bar right at the neckline, affirming that the neckline is now the "support" in the near term.
This is a 2nd opportunity to long if we had missed the breakup, with an initial stop loss just slightly below the neckine of $139.
Expect some resistences should it able to rise towards old supply zones around 167,181,195 and 205 etc).
Take partial profits and also trail stops up along the way according to one's risk appetite and trading style (short or longer term).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
My trading tactic and journal XAUUSDI place limit short selling order at the resistance level
because i think at the end of this month the price of gold will close at the lower price in order to rebound next month (September)
therefore, i am bearish on gold from today 10 Jul until at the end of this month.
Example of grid trading
I place limit sell order at 1930$ and STOPLOSS at 1960$ Target 1900$
risk 30$ reward 30$
I place buy limit oder at 1893 and STOPLOSS at 1860$ Target 1940$
my second order is at 1940$ / STOPLOSS at 1972$ Target 1900$
(0.618 fibonacci retracement resistance level)
risk 32$ x 2 = 64$
reward 72$ x 2 = 144$
My third order is at 1952 / Stoploss at 1972$ Target 1900$
(0.782 fibonacci retracement resistance level)
risk 20$ x 3 = 60$
reward 52$ x 3 = 156$