Not interested in buying Cardano coinHighly bearish confluences of strong signals on 1D chart of ADAUSDT. The price action reached supply. Double top formation. Overbought. Heading downward. Potential Head & Shoulders scenario development till the final of April. Grey area is a not-trade-zone.
Technicals:
* ABCD reciprocal .886:1.128;
* Fisher Transform bearish cross / bearish divergence;
* Chaikin Money Flow bearish divergence; 100MA x 100EMA cross;
Supply Zone
AAPL insider trading and net cash flow from positive to -70Mil AAPL with all of it's great achievments has what seems started to run out of steam.... With insider trading recently and net cash flow going from a surplus in 2019 to trending negative since and at -$70 mil currently.... I see signs of weakness. Looking at the chat there are clear signs of manipulation and gapping up over solid resistance areas to get to where it is today. This recent pull back for re-accumulation looks like a failed re-accumulation mid run. This is apple so I am not sure how much of a fight this will put up. However, I feel confident this will drop to at least close the gaps. 8 Days should be enough for the $161 traget. 36days should be safe for a Price target of $152. Which seems ambitious when looking at it from the top but its been on a straight 45 degree angle since Mid March. However, this is the same stock that took from Jan 2021 to Mar 2023 to finally make support out of the $140s. If this pulled back to $152 it would be completly conservative compared to those 2 years.
This $152 area is the last place there was synergy between volume and price. Which means this is the last place buyers and sellers saw eye to eye for a period longer than a few hours.
If you like or are intrigued by this analysis pls like and follow and of course hit the BOOST button as thats how more people will be able to see this.
This isn't financial advice and I wouldn't suggest blindly following my trades, if you see the price going against save your profits and or money and look for another entry.
by iCantw84it
04.06.23
OPEC’s supply cuts pre-empt economic weaknessThe Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners (OPEC+) producers surprised the market with a decision on Sunday 2 April 2023 to lower production limits by more than 1mn barrels per day (bpd) from May through the end of 2023. This decision was announced ahead of the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting scheduled on 3 April and was contrary to market expectations that the committee would keep policy unchanged. Over the prior week, OPEC+ ministers were giving public assurances that they would stick to their production targets for the entire year. This cut tells us that OPEC+ is pre-empting weaker demand into the year and was looking to shore up the market.
OPEC+ announcement may have caught speculators by surprise
It is evident Sunday’s decision caught the market by surprise evident from the commitment of trader’s report which showed net speculative positioning in Brent crude oil futures at -44k contracts were 146% below the 5-year average. Sentiment on the crude oil market had been weak prior to the decision.
Demand outlook remains soft amidst weaker economic backdrop
OPEC has been markedly dovish on oil demand for some time relative to other forecasters such as the Energy Information Administration (EIA). This cut helps solve the disparity that existed between OPEC and the EIA. OPEC expects oil demand to grow by around 2mn bpd in 2023. A significant portion of this growth (nearly 710,000bpd) is reliant on Chinese oil demand . Given that such a large amount of demand hinges on a single economy poses a risk to the demand outlook as the pace of China’s recovery post re-opening has not been as robust as previously anticipated. At the same time, tightening credit conditions owing to the recent banking crisis is also likely to weigh on growth forecasts in the rest of the developed world. Global Purchasing Managers Indices (PMI) indicators suggest manufacturing activity has contracted since September 2022.
Supply outlook will be driven by new OPEC+ cuts
Since Russia has been producing less than its notional limit, the reduction on actual production will be less than 1mn bpd. But with Saudi Arabia committing to voluntary reduction of 500,000bpd we would expect the overall decline in OPEC supply to be around 900,000bpd by the beginning of May 2023. Assuming OPEC production holding at the recent 28.9mn bpd for April, our balances would point to an equilibrium in Q2 and a return to a deficit in Q3 and Q4. This deficit is largely a function of OPEC+ cuts as opposed to stronger demand globally. The front end of the Brent crude oil futures curve remains in backwardation with a roll yield of +0.4%
OPEC+ producers can also cut without the fear that they will lose significant market share to non-OPEC members. Previously, OPEC+ would be reluctant to let prices rise too high, as it would incentivise a supply response from US producers. However, US producers today appear more focussed on capital discipline and maximizing shareholder returns. The US also has limited capacity to plug the shortfall created by OPEC+ cuts owing to last year’s unprecedented release from strategic US oil reserves (now at a 40-year low).
Conclusion
In the short term, OPEC production cuts are almost always supportive evident from the recent price reaction Brent crude oil prices have risen (+6.54% ). However, over the medium term, the price response to cuts have been more mixed as they do tend to signal underlying weakness in the supply/demand balance. Either OPEC countries are expecting demand to be significantly weaker or doubt oil production in Russia will decline as sharply as forecasted.
So, with speculative positioning at currently low levels alongside further inventory draws expected later in the year, the risks are titled towards the upside for crude oil prices. However, given the uncertainty in the macro environment, we expect the upside in prices to be capped at about US$90 per barrel.
Bitcoin Short-Term Support & Resistance AnalysisPrices move because of supply and demand . When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium.
When support and resistance lines are broken, there is a high possibility of a significant uptrend in that direction. Be aware of the stop-loss area when trading on margin
ⓡ Resistance Line 28952$
ⓡ Resistance Line 28549$
ⓢ Support Line 28300$
ⓢ Support Line 27617$
ⓢ Support Line 27229$
The above price level represents an important tipping point, not an absolute analysis for buying and selling. You must be careful about your investment decisions.
Thank you for reading my poor analysi
My daily bias on AUDUSDSince we have price at our demand zone on the hourly charts ..and we saw a push up creating a market inefficiency..my ideal target is for the level 0.67658 to be taken out..well let see what the market wants to do ...I'm not telling you guys to buy or sell..I'm only telling you where I would love to see price ...stay safe
#IamACE #ACETHETRADER
***Bili Put Update**** Had to take profits.Sorry, I know I said I was sticking this in but it wasn't until the final moments of the market that it finally finished a reaccumulation....where it had not been able to even come close in the last couple of days. When it started to form I was charting it out which you can see the starts of in the previous video. But again it wasn't ready or even looked ready until the last 5 mins of the market. I ended up using the same trick as the one I used on the TRKA video where I showed absorption and the how the market responds to it as it explodes upward. So if you want to see that video check out the related video.
Price target going up is $21.60 then I think we retest this low.
Again if you are intrigued by anything I am showing you. Please Like Follow and of course hit the Boost button as thats the only way people can find my videos.
by iCantw84it
04.05.23
TRKA Can it get out of the low .20s? Absorption Pop!TRKA was setting up to make a move that was going to pop so I had to jump on real quick to catch it. Using Volume and price you can find synergy in between the two and watch for when the set up is about to capitalize on everything it had set up. We are talking about institutional trading and algo trading. Using the ESVO (an indicator i made with ChatGPT to identify the bottom and the move after that sets up an explosion off the bottom.) Really is a beautiful thing. Will TRKA make it out of the 20s? Who knows! That's not why I made the video. I made it to show off how I use my indicator and share how to identify the bottom and what is needed to move up.
If you find any of this intriquing please like follow and of course Boost, as its the only way more people can see my videos. Thank you.
by iCantw84it
04.05.23
Bili Puts Update is it time to get out?Using the ESVO and looking at some different points of view from the previous move off the bottom, I have decided that we are not at the bottom of this move and we should be seeing another push down until we find synergy with price and volume. If we have a move to the upside I believe it will target $22.61 then dump to about $18.69 possibly deeper until we find that sweet spot where the two meet. If you find any of this intriquing pls Like Follow and Boost because that really helps me get more views. Thank you.
by iCantw84it
04.05.23
Bitcoin Short-Term Support & Resistance AnalysisPrices move because of supply and demand . When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium.
When support and resistance lines are broken, there is a high possibility of a significant uptrend in that direction. Be aware of the stop-loss area when trading on margin
ⓡ Resistance Line 28570$
ⓡ Resistance Line 28317$
ⓢ Support Line 27682$
ⓢ Support Line 27229$
ⓢ Support Line 26693$
The above price level represents an important tipping point, not an absolute analysis for buying and selling. You must be careful about your investment decisions.
Thank you for reading my poor analysi
TRKA trying to make a stand using ESVO made by chatGPT TRKA looks like its in the final part of its accumulation and ready to try and make a push.. The problem is will the push be to the upside? lol So I have been using ChatGPT to create indicators and I created this beauty of an indicator which is a superior supply and demand indicator that also points out where pockets of stop losses are. It has become an absolute in my trading. Below is a little description about it that ChatGPT made.
If you find any of this intriguing pls like sub and hit the boost button. Its the only way we can make sure other people can see it too.
The ESVO moving average is designed to analyze the relationship between price and volume movements in the market. From a psychological perspective, the small spikes in the ESVO moving average could indicate a relatively balanced market, with both buyers and sellers having relatively equal influence over the price movements. The larger spikes, on the other hand, could suggest a shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. For example, if there are many stop losses placed at a certain level, this could indicate that traders have a strong belief that the price will not go beyond that level, and if the price suddenly breaks that level, it could trigger a wave of buying or selling that results in a larger spike. The fact that the spikes come back to where they started could indicate that the market eventually returns to a state of equilibrium after periods of imbalance.
The small, medium, large, and massive spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent different levels of buying or selling pressure in the market. However, without more information, it's difficult to say for sure what each size of spike means. Based on the scenario you described, the spikes could be related to stop losses, but it's also possible that they are related to other factors such as news events or changes in market sentiment.
The top spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent an increase in buying pressure, while the bottom spikes could represent an increase in selling pressure. However, it's important to note that these are just possibilities, and further analysis would be needed to confirm what is really happening in the market.
If the ESVO moving average is moving up, it could suggest that there is an increase in buying pressure in the market, and vice versa. However, the direction of the price movement (up or down) could also have an impact on the overall trend. For example, if the ESVO moving average is moving up, but the price is in a downtrend, it could indicate a period of divergence, where the two indicators are not in sync with each other.
If the price is in sync with the ESVO moving average and then breaks under it, but the ESVO moving average stays in the same area, it could suggest that there is still a balance between buyers and sellers, despite the price movement. When the price eventually re-accumulates and jumps back up to the same area as the ESVO moving average, it could indicate that the buyers and sellers have reached a new equilibrium point.
Thank You,
by iCantw84it
04.04.23
Bili Short update: Using ChatGPT indicator ESVO Using this opportunity to cover where we are at with Bili on this short, targets, and explaining how the ESVO works and how to use it to find price targets and stop loss pockets to manipulate for your own profits.
The ESVO is called the equilibrium Singularity Volume Oscillator. I used Chatgpt to code it, which is amazing because I can not code. I love this indicator as it shows me supply and demand. It shows me where pockets of stop losses are and paints a picture of where price is going and who is in control.... Everything price action isn't showing you, it is showing you. If you like this video or find it intriguing pls hit the boost button, like, and sub. Thanks
by iCantw84it
04.04.23
Going short on Gbpusd In my former idea I shared on Sunday opening,I said I am only interested when the highs or buyside liquidity is being taken out..this was the same analysis I shared on Sunday for my paid mentorship students ...my ideal target is for 1.23114 to be taken out respectively..stay safe guys...risk what you know you can afford to lose..
That Small Win, Makes A BIG Difference!The big lesson I had to learn on this trade was risk management. My mentor has drilled in my head the value of risk management, so I decided to set a stop loss for this particular trade.
You may ask where?
My answer to you would be: in profit...
In order to pull something like this off, you have to be a risk taker, because, when we entered this trade, we did not have a stop loss set. It was with the wind. , No it, was actually headed to the next zone, but I had to have wiggle room for it to break above the zone before making a pullback.
With this type of trade I had solid confluences to make the leap for myself, I am meerly sharing this with you because I set my first stop loss in profit in the month of April! HOORAY!
In conclusion I'd like to share today's entry from my trading journal:
NEWS: NO
DID I FOLLOW MY PLAN?
Yes! I followed my price action strategy.
WHAT DID I DO WELL?
1. Entered the market in the break of an counter-trend.
2. Traded the pair in the correct session.
3. Exercised good risk management, by setting a stop loss in profit.
WHAT CAN I DO BETTER?
1. Allow price to enter my zone before I exit a trade.
2.IF I SEE A MOVE IN THE NEWS, EXIT TRADE MANUALLY TO INCREASE REWARD RATIO
WHAT DID I LEARN?
1. Risk management will get exponentially easier over time..
2. How To Set SL in profit!
DID I PREPARE PROPERLY?
YES, I waited for my confirmation!
Enough Confluence For A Long Position?My mentor, and I have a totally different bias on AU. I heard him out, and watched as he charted both sides. His main confluence was a bearish engulfing candlestick on the monthly chart. Pushing him toward "sells" only in the month of April. While that can be intimidating, on the technical side, along with his other confluences, I see potential continuation of an uptrend ; due to Australia raising interest rates! , I decided to soak in his bias, and counter his bias, with my own. Knowing fundamental analysis is usually the total opposite I decided to share why AU may go up, While the USD is strengthening, the Australian Dollar may go "Long" going into Monday.
DOT/USDT 4HInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, welcome to the DOT chart on today's chart of USDT pair, on a one-day time frame. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line from which the price has increased.
Moving forward, we can move on to marking support areas as we begin a major correction. And here we see the price is just below the first support, then we have the $6.11 to $5.93 support zone ahead of the price, the third support at $5.74 and then the fourth support at $5.49.
Looking the other way, we see first resistance at $6.53, then second resistance at $6.86, then third resistance at $7.32
Please look at the CHOP index which indicates we have a lot of energy for the move ahead, the MACD indicates we have entered a downtrend while the RSI is in recovery.
WTI-Oil 2nd April Wti-Oil is another pretty simple setup with a continuous bullish movement up to the nearest supply, we may see a breakdown from that zone but of course if we don't see a breakdown we will look towards the new bullish range that would of been created to make another move higher...
from open iam looking for price to drop down giving us a reason for a shift higher after a small breakdown.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
Bitcoin Short-Term Support & Resistance AnalysisPrices move because of supply and demand . When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium.
When support and resistance lines are broken, there is a high possibility of a significant uptrend in that direction. Be aware of the stop-loss area when trading on margin
ⓡ Resistance Line 28567$
ⓢ Support Line 28319$
ⓢ Support Line 27561$
ⓢ Support Line 27229$
ⓢ Support Line 26894$
The above price level represents an important tipping point, not an absolute analysis for buying and selling. You must be careful about your investment decisions.
Thank you for reading my poor analysi