NVDA out of gas?H&S on the daily with 132.67 as the neckline. We also have another H&S that has played out and was followed by a double top, now failing once again under support. I'm in puts now with a stop-loss at 133. This is also where i would flip bias for potential squeeze at 133 after a backtest of 132.67
Supply Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21800.00
- PR Low: 21762.00
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI
S&P Global Services PMI
Contract rollover week
- Holding auction at 21800 zone, near ATH
- QQQ gap below 520 remains open
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/16)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 263.61
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 239K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down.
Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.05600 back downThis week, my analysis for EUR/USD aligns closely with GBP/USD, as both pairs have exhibited bearish momentum. However, there are subtle differences in price action as we approach the final month of the year. A key focus is the 4-hour supply zone around 1.05600, which initiated a break of structure to the downside.
Once price reaches this area, I’ll look for redistribution on the lower timeframes to confirm a potential sell. If the price moves higher, the 2-hour supply zone just above offers an even better opportunity for shorts.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
- Liquidity Below: Significant downside liquidity remains untapped.
- Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish for the past two weeks.
- Break of Structure: Key levels have broken to the downside on the higher timeframe.
- DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) supports this bearish setup.
- Key Supply Zone: The 4-hour supply zone caused the initial bearish move.
Note: If price mitigates the 5-hour demand zone, I may consider a counter-trend buy to take price back up toward the supply zone. However, if this demand zone fails, it will trigger another break of structure (BOS), prompting me to identify a new supply zone for potential shorts.
Stay disciplined and have a strong trading week—let’s close Q4 on a high note!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21752.50
- PR Low: 21716.75
- NZ Spread: 79.75
No key scheduled economic events
Strong session break gap up (details below)
- Maintaining week range in ATHs
- Index contract rollover week ahead
Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 12/13)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 269.29
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 268K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21767.00
- PR Low: 21747.75
- NZ Spread: 43.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
Continuing to march into new ATHs
- Holding auction inside previous session highs
- QQQ failed to close 520 daily gap before rolling into new highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 12/12)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 269.06
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 286K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21442.00
- PR Low: 21417.25
- NZ Spread: 55.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Break below 21430 support into inventory response off previous ATH breakout
- Daily print advertising rollover back to Keltner avg cloud
- Failed QQQ ATH breakout gap fill below 520
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 260.71
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21482.00
- PR Low: 21458.75
- NZ Spread: 51.75
No key scheduled economic events
+240 point fade from ATH back near Friday's low
- Nearing QQQ 520 daily gap
- Holding auction at previous session lows
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 12/10)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 262.31
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 282K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21670.75
- PR Low: 21626.75
- NZ Spread: 98.5
No key scheduled economic events
Holding auction in ATHs
- QQQ daily gap below 520
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/9)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 263.85
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 293K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
DOLLAR DROPPING?This week, I anticipate the DXY to retrace before continuing its recent bearish trend. Since reaching the weekly supply level, the price has consistently formed lower lows and lower highs. This bearish momentum aligns with the bullish trends seen in pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, which I use as additional confluence.
I’ll be watching for the price to retrace to around 106.400, a key area for potential sell opportunities on the dollar. This level aligns well with points of interest (POIs) in my other forex pairs, adding further confidence to this setup.
Note: As we approach the final month of the quarter and year, market conditions may become less predictable due to lower volume. Stay alert, but manage expectations accordingly.
Stay vigilant, and trade safe!
EUR/USD Short term short to long idea pending...This week, my focus for EUR/USD is on the supply zone near 1.05800. I anticipate a reaction from this level, making it a key area for potential sells at the start of the week. Following this initial move, I expect a bullish rally to develop midweek.
If the price drops to 1.05200, aligning with my 11-hour demand zone, I’ll shift my focus to potential buys. After receiving valid lower-timeframe confirmations, I plan to target the nearest liquidity pool to the upside as the price resumes its bullish trend.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
Shift in Market Character: Price has shown signs of a downside reversal, suggesting a potential sell-off.
Unmitigated Supply Zone: A clean 2-hour supply zone remains untapped.
Liquidity Below: There’s significant liquidity to the downside that price may target.
Trend Recalibration: Despite the overall bullish trend, a pullback is necessary for continuation.
Note: If the supply zone at 1.05800 fails to hold, it will further confirm bullish momentum. In this case, I’ll wait for a nearby demand zone to form, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the move to the upside. Patience will be key in this scenario.
XAU sells to push lower?We have surprisingly been seeing a steady ongoing short of Gold over the past weeks and anticipate it to continue pushing lower to the downside. We have two scenarios that could play out this week:
Scenario A being price pushes down taking the ASL from last week and reacting from the daily demand zone to push up. However, I don't believe that this will have gold pushing past the previous high but rather grabbing liquidity in order to continue in it's downtrend.
Scenario B we see market open price may validate the CHOCH to the downside before taking the ASH and the consolidation that's created pools of liquidity to both the upside and the downside and reacting from the 3H supply zone and continue melting taking liquidity from below that has been building up over the past months.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21458.50
- PR Low: 21424.75
- NZ Spread: 75.25
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
AMP raised margin requirements overnight for pre-RTH jobs numbers
- ATH continue to march higher
- Retraced nearly 50% of Wednesday range
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 12/6)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 267.49
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 291K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096 (updated)
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Resistance and support zonesI drew these support and resistance zones or supply zones and buy zones that I think are good places to put sell positions and buy positions when price does touch these areas, the timeframe is 1 hour so these should be pretty respected zones and great areas to sell and buy from.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/5/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21523.75
- PR Low: 21504.50
- NZ Spread: 43.25
Key scheduled economic event
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
ATH march continues, pausing inside previous session highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 12/5)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 276.30
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 297K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/4/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21336.50
- PR Low: 21305.75
- NZ Spread: 68.75
Key scheduled economic events: (busy day)
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:45 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Auctioning into new ATHs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/4)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 282.51
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 289K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/3/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21224.50
- PR Low: 21203.75
- NZ Spread: 46.25
Key scheduled economic event:
10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings
Teasing ATH breach
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/3)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 288.13
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 285K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
EUR/CHF Trade Setup1️⃣ Market Context:
EUR/CHF recently tapped into a supply zone between 0.9330–0.9335, where sellers showed clear dominance. The current structure suggests a bearish bias as the price begins to reject this zone, indicating a potential downside move.
2️⃣ Liquidity Grab:
The move above 0.9330 likely cleared liquidity from previous highs, trapping buyers and providing fuel for a bearish continuation. This strengthens the short bias.
3️⃣ Supply Zone:
The rejection from the supply zone highlights this area as a high-probability region for initiating short trades. It aligns with a previous imbalance and liquidity pocket.
4️⃣ Volume Confirmation:
The Volume Profile indicates significant activity near 0.9330, where price has struggled to break higher. This confirms strong sell-side interest at these levels.
5️⃣ Fibonacci Confluence:
This zone also aligns with the premium retracement area from a larger downtrend, adding confluence for a potential reversal.
6️⃣ Trade Idea:
Looking for a short position targeting the next demand zone around 0.9300. This is where significant buy-side interest previously emerged.
Entry: Around 0.9330
Target: 0.9300
Stop Loss: Above 0.9345
This setup leverages clear technical confluences, including supply rejection, liquidity grabs, and strong volume areas.
EURGBP BUY SETUPKey Observations:
Liquidity Zone (Confirmation): The highlighted liquidity area represents a critical zone for confirmation. I need the market to grab this liquidity before validating my long entry setup.
Demand Zone: The area around 0.83172 acts as a significant demand zone. This is where buyers have previously stepped in, and I anticipate bullish momentum to emerge again.
Key Level at 0.83350: This is an important reaction zone, which could act as the first target for the trade or a consolidation point.
Imbalance Fill: The market is currently filling an imbalance (highlighted zone). I’ll monitor for bullish price action once this imbalance is mitigated.
Fibonacci Confluence (Premium Zone): My demand zone aligns with a Fibonacci retracement level in my premium area, adding confluence to the long trade setup.
Demand in Volume Profile: This demand zone also aligns with a high-volume area in the volume profile, suggesting strong interest from buyers, making this an ideal entry point.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Bias:
Entry Area: Around 0.83172 (demand zone).
Target Levels:
TP1: 0.83350 (key level).
TP2: 0.83650 (higher liquidity zone).
Stop Loss: Below 0.83050, to protect against demand zone failure.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Wait for the liquidity grab and signs of bullish momentum (e.g., bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick) at the demand zone before entering.
Volume, liquidity grabs, and Fibonacci align perfectly in my EUR/GBP long setup. Do you see the same bullish potential, or do you expect a bearish breakdown? Let’s discuss below!👇
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/27/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20998.75
- PR Low: 20967.75
- NZ Spread: 69.5
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
- GDP
- Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | Chicago PMI
10:00 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Holding inside previous 2 session range near the highs
- Busy schedule ahead of holiday market close
Session Open Stats (As of 2:25 AM 11/27)
- Weekend Gap: +0.24 (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 294.01
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone