Supply Zone
40R EURUSD Long Swing Trade (Smart Money Concepts)Testing one of my smart money concepts swing trading strategies using an early entry based on day trading setup. The setup normally involves a sweep of a 4h choch/MSS deep in premium/discount, then a daily pin bar or hammer, or a 4h choch.
Previous Day Opening Gap has been filled on DXY as well as three months of liquidity swept.
This early entry utilizes a long from a trendline following another strategy of mine. If successful, will take the majority of the position off after daily FVG fills and leave some on to run as a swing trade.
Short of ABX Barrick Gold #ABXA clear setup; with the long-term chart (M) month. in downtrend. The Current-chart (W) Week is also in downtrend. the (W) is in clear move up, lots of buying to support this momentary fake uptrend. How do I know it is fake. Well one never knows anything as a disclaimer for any trading position; we stack up odd Enhancers in our favour.
So, why did I take the SHRT at $26 while price was rallying (fake rally); the red line on the right hand (W) chart. the price met a Supply Zone, and this SZ happens to be Lower High of the (W) downtrend. a technical downtrend is marked by a series of Lower Lows and Lower High(LH), as long as the LH are not violated the downtrend continue.
Once a price rally into a Lower High Supply zone, am looking for a tight SHORT entry, with a low-er risk STP loss just above the SZ & plenty of room below for the price to fall into & thats exactly what happened here. remembering the long-term is in my favour. thats a great off enhancer.
I Shorted at 26.xx and price fell into my Profit-Target 1, where I closed 2/3 of the position at $5 profit per share. and I moved my STP loss down; today, with price opening well above my last STP Loss, after a weak end of speculation on fallout of banks, the Gold price goes up and so does ABX, no surprise here
AUDJPY: Buyers IncomingPhase 1 has now been completed from my previous analysis.
Price pierced the zone I wanted and pushed even lower to manipulate the order block.
Now we have had liquidation from both sellers and buyers, the true move can enter the market.
My gut tells me the true move is a buy but only the market knows.
GBPAUD I Short & long opportunity this week!💰Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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EURAUD I Potential correction downward from supply zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Ethereum Important supply & demand zonesI am a time traveler and I come from the future. This is a story that is told to our children.
Once upon a time, there was a cryptocurrency called Ethereum. People who traded Ethereum watched the price carefully. They noticed that when the price reached $2300, it would go down, and when it reached $800 (if $1200 didn't hold), it would go up. But something strange was happening. Banks were playing games with the money, and the range wasn't behaving normally. People watched and waited for a big change. Finally, the price went down a lot, and people who were watching carefully made some money. They learned that it's important to pay attention to the price and the key levels, even when things are strange.
We are in this range now. As long as $1200-$1350 holds, I believe will get to the $2300-2500 target this year. If that $1200 level fails, I think ETH can drop quickly to $800 which would be a 33% drop. Watch that weekly hidden bearish divergence (in white). It may be a significant sign of weakness if we don't get back into the diamond I've been discussing for a week or so.
USDMXN continuation shorts down to demand on dailywe should by now understand the game of probabilities when it comes to our trading edge. so with that being said lets go over this USDMXN. The peso’s strength reflects a relatively optimistic outlook for the Mexican economy, with 2022 growth surpassing expectations. Having grown 4.8% in 2021, the World Bank expects it to grow by 2.1% in both 2022 and 2023. As Far as the US Dollar Over the last 12 months, its price rose by 5.50 percent. Looking ahead, we forecast Dollar Index to be priced at 106.0575 by the end of this quarter and at 110.8027 in one year, according to Trading Economics global macro models projections and analysts expectations. However with recession fears and DXY being close to a weekly supply/order lock we may see a bearish spike on the dollar soon which will give us the EDGE we need to take this setup.
📊 DBR & Demand Zone📍 What is Drop Base Rally in Trading?
The drop base rally pattern in technical analysis is a chart pattern that appears when the market falls, then enters a period of sideways price action, and finally, shows explosive upward movements. Market makers open buy orders from demand zones to have a long position in trading. This is some kind of study for technical analysis known as DBR. These patterns are the basis of supply/demand logics. In the showcased example, after a steep drop, the sale finally stopped, leaving bulls the option of buying at lower prices. However, purchasing power at that point was insufficient to reverse the market. Instead, the market starts moving sideways because neither buyers nor sellers could defeat the other party. Eventually, the price action entered the demand zone that was formed and recovered back to higher prices.
📍 How to identify Drop Base Rally pattern?
The drop base rally pattern contains three waves. As shown in the figure above.
🔹 Bearish wave: Drop
🔹 Sideways wave: Base.
🔹 Bullish wave (rally).
📍 Demand Zone
A demand zone is a price level where a significant amount of buying interest or demand for an asset is believed to exist. Traders use demand zones as potential areas of support where buying pressure could increase, causing the price to rebound or reverse. As shown in the example above, we entered a long trade once the price action reached that demand zone, with the entry being inside the zone and the stop loss below the zone.
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AXSUSDT is testing the key level!AXSUSDT is testing the weekly support at the $9.9 area, which is a crucial level for traders and investors.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level is also in close proximity, which is a key level for traders who use Fibonacci retracements to identify potential areas of support. It is expected that the price will bounce off this level, as it has done in the past, as traders look to enter long positions.
However, in order for this bounce to occur, the price needs to break out from the descending channel and static resistance, which has been acting as a significant barrier to upside movement. Once this breakout occurs, it is likely that we will see a strong move to the upside, potentially towards the $12.5 area.
According to Plancton's rules, a new long position should be opened once the breakout occurs and the price closes above the resistance level. This is because the breakout is a strong indication that the trend has shifted in favor of the bulls, and that further upside movement is likely. As such, traders who follow Plancton's rules may look to enter long positions in anticipation of a strong move higher.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
POSITION TRADING: SHORT AUDUSD. TARGET 0.58000TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY SHORT
TRADE DIRECTION: SHORT
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 0.66550
STOP LOSS: 0.73400
TAKE PROFIT: 0.58000
RISK TO REWARD: >1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the demand zone / support and is likely looking to aim for upcoming demand zone / support. stop loss ideally placed @ 78.6% SWING FIB RETRACEMENT.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
EURAUD I Strong supply zone for a short Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
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AAPL Aims to Reach $160 Target in Near FuturePrice action in financial markets often gravitates towards key supply zones, which are areas where selling pressure has previously been strong enough to drive prices lower. Traders and investors often use supply zones as important levels to watch for potential price reversals or to enter short positions.
AAPL is no stranger to this, and when looking at the price action mixed with the key indicators on this 4h timeframe, we can see the last few times that the wave master indicator called a buy and sell:
DEC 10 2021: SELL: 179.50 (-6%)
DEC 30 2021: SELL: 178.19 (-14%)
FEB 03 2022: SELL: 173.00 (final warning -14% before -27%)
JUN 14 2022: BUY: 133.25 (+32%)
JAN 05 2023: BUY: 126.50 (+22.4% so far)
We're not geting a solid sell signal yet, but we're darn close. Look at ALL the waves. red, yellow, white are all overbought and the green wave is almost there. That will be the first time we've seen this since Feb 03 2022 but the chart formation looks more like the DEC 30 sell signal.
I'd be very cautious as a drop is likely to occur over the next 1-2 weeks. Probably won't be super deadly like other drops have been but it'll be enough to kill some late bulls for sure.
Fibonacci Retracement on TeslaNASDAQ:TSLA
Fibonacci Retracement on NASDAQ:TSLA implies that it may take support on fib level of 0.236 of 176-177 dollar.
Current price structure shows that it has taken resistance of 0.38 of 222 dollars, therefore, it may go down towards 146 to fill the gap. At this level, its RSI will also be oversold which will trigger bullish rally towards 177.
Tesla takes doesn't retain 196-176 with strength and falls below this price level.