#ES_F Friday 1.27.23 Overview Review of 1.26.23: Last night Globex opened and found support on our TPOC location from Monday-Tuesday right above our 4030-25 level. We used the volume from morning data to run the stops over 4046 and get us up against our resistance before RTH Open. RTH opened with the stop run over ON High into Supply area where we found our sellers which took us down and broke morning support but inability to break 4030-25 gave us clues that we have buyers below and we can see that below us on the left that we might have trapped some shorts on yesterdays move back out. We took in all of the supply above and made another run, I assume they might have waited until the end of the day to run it because we had so much supply above, even the push over it was slow and grindy which doesn't mean its weak but to me says lots of sellers and the buyers are just the unwilling shorts getting bought in. Besides the slow and grindy action levels held very nice and targets were hit, in the morning started thinking they might have the juice to get over 84 but with them having to first flush out supply was not enough gas but we hit 77.25 almost to the tick.
Overview for 1.27.23: We will have to see how Globex will set up before PCE Tomorrow but we are now in area of supply, our bigger time frame level above is 4084-4123 which is our pocket of resistance and supply. Since we are up here and covering they might need more liquidity to get covered and with tomorrows data they might try to use that to make a run at it. Depending on how they will play it out I think we can have a very tricky day because we are currently over T2 high, over Monday high but we are within range and willing buyers might be running out, do we flush everyone lower, trap shorts and use that to head over 4084 into supply, do we build a base here get over it and head for that then flush it back down? lots of questions for tomorrow and might be a difficult day. We have our potential support under 4061-56 and 4046-42 levels if we make a run for higher supply area and fail there and start taking out those supports the flush can can be big to the downside. Letting things open and show the way might be a smart thing to do tomorrow;
Levels to Watch: Resistance : 4143-37 // 4123-4119 // 4103-4099 // 4084-77 Potential Support 4046-42 // 4030-25 // 4013-08 // 3994-89
Area to watch is 4061-56 and 4084-77 Tonight and RTH Tomorrow
IF we do happen to get a big move down, better support areas below are 3957-53 // 3944-40 Which is our T2 Low area
Supply Zone
FTM / USDT 1D Interval - Support and ResistanceHello everyone, I invite you to review the FTM chart in pair to USDT, on a one-day interval. We will start by marking the downtrend line that the price has broken up. Next, we can define the lines of the current uptrend.
Now let's move on to marking the support that we should take into account after such dynamic increases. And here we have the first support at the price of $0.42, the second support at the price of $0.37, then we can mark a strong support zone to which the price may move back from $0.33 to $0.29, and then support at the price of $0.24.
Looking the other way, we can see that we are currently facing a very strong resistance at $0.52, but when we manage to overcome it and positively test it, we can see an increase to around $0.74.
It is worth paying attention to the EMA Cross 50 and 200, because we see that the 50 marked on the chart with the yellow line dynamically turns upwards and when it crosses the 200 marked with the blue line, we can see a bullish uptrend.
The Chop Index indicates that we are slowly regaining energy, the MACD indicates an ongoing uptrend, while the RSI has a slight rebound, but is still moving above the upper range, which may lead to a price correction.
SWING TRADING: SHORT EURGBP. TARGET 0.86600TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY
TRADE DIRECTION: SHORT
TIMEFRAME: DAILY
ENTRY PRICE: 0.88000
STOP LOSS: 0.89300
TAKE PROFIT: 0.86600
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the demand zone / support and is likely looking to aim for upcoming demand zone / support. stop loss ideally placed above supply zone / swing high
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading Outcome is Probability based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
simple forex strategy , effective so for this trade we had bearish market structure with new lows and lower highs, we then saw entering NY we had a area of supply where price had previously sold from , we now also saw a key area and physiological level where we was expecting to see price react off 130.000 zone , we had also a 50% retracement from the swing highs the the pull back into our area .
For this trade we didn't have a sell limit we had market executtion where we waited for price to reject the area and got into the short after the 5 min candle close
message my insta for questions , erikgtFX
POSITION TRADING: AUDNZD SELL LIMIT ORDER. TARGET 1.04650TRADE TYPE: SELL LIMIT
TRADE DIRECTION: SHORT
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.10500
STOP LOSS: 1.16000
TAKE PROFIT: 1.04650
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the demand zone / support and is likely looking to aim for upcoming demand zone / support. stop loss ideally placed above supply zone / swing high
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
POSITION TRADING: EURUSD BUY LIMIT ORDER. TARGET 1.10500TRADE TYPE: BUY LIMIT ORDER
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.07000
STOP LOSS: 1.03800
TAKE PROFIT: 1.10500
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading Outcome is Probability based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
EURUSDThe pair is approaching a fierce supply zone between 1.1076 and 1.1184 on DAILY frame.
The bullish run could continue to the supply zone OR stops and starts dropping from the current level sharply as shown. Either way we feel bearish on the pair Medium to Long-term.
All the love, Lacasafxfamily
EURCHF I Short from supply zone Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**EURCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
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AUDCHF I Will retest support area
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AUDCAD I Potential fall to support following BOC Rate StatementWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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POSITION TRADING: EURGBP BUY LIMIT ORDER. TARGET 0.89600TRADE TYPE: BUY LIMIT
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: WEEKLY
ENTRY PRICE: 0.87100
STOP LOSS: 0.85000
TAKE PROFIT: 0.89600
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading Outcome is Probability based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers