Supply Zone
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09000 back downMy bias aligns closely with GU this week, focusing on selling from a comparable supply level evident on both charts. On EU, this manifests as the 4hr level around 1.09000, where I intend to sell. I'll await the current price to pull back into these zones to address the imbalance and form a redistribution pattern.
Similarly to GU, there's a minor 4hr supply below that I anticipate will fail due to the presence of the Asian high above it. Once this fails and reaches the major supply, I'll be more inclined to sell from there as it offers a premium price.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 4hr supply zone.
- Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows.
- Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside.
P.S. I observe the current price reacting to the existing demand. If this reaction fails, price might respond bullishly to the demand just below, potentially initiating an upward move towards the supply levels above.
Have a great trading week guys!
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27200 back downMy bias for GU is downward, expecting a minor retracement before a continuation of the downtrend. Currently, I'm monitoring for price to rise and reach the newly identified supply levels, particularly focusing on the 20-hour supply zone for its high quality.
Observing the reaction at the first 4-hour supply, I anticipate a possible minor reaction, though I foresee it ultimately failing due to the presence of an Asian high above. Once price reaches the 20-hour supply area, I'll be watching for signs of a Wyckoff distribution pattern to form, signaling a potential opportunity to sell back down.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 20hr supply zone.
- Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows.
- Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside.
P.S. While I anticipate further price drops, it's improbable without addressing the imbalances and supply levels above before further downward movement occurs.
Have a great trading week!
XAU/USD Longs back up towards 2185.000 or 2200.000Gold continues to exhibit bullish behavior this week, building on the momentum from last week's significant news event that propelled it to new all-time highs. With price maintaining its bullish stance, this aligns with the broader long-term bullish outlook for gold.
Buy positions have already been initiated, with an eye on the price reaching the 2185 level. At this point, we anticipate a potential retracement or a further upward move to address the imbalance above and potentially touch 2200, where a stronger supply level awaits. However, considering the presence of an Asian high above, there's a possibility of that 4hr failing. Nonetheless, I'll be awaiting confirmation on lower timeframes before taking action.
Confluences for Gold Buys are as follows:
- Price has taken ATHs and has also take break structure to the upside.
- Price has been very bullish in terms of the candle stick anatomy.
- Price has reacted off a strong demand zone that has caused this initial rally to take place.
- Wyckoff distribution has occurred on lower time frame as well.
- Imbalances and asian highs above that need to get taken.
P.S. As price dynamics shift to the downside, the current movement might be temporary. Sellers could gain favor, leading to a potential drop to lower levels.
Have a great trading week guys!
USD CADMy analysis on USD CAD, I use limit orders so I don't need to be in front of the chart all day.
To consider this a good entry there are certain criteria to follow:
1. Clean BoS with IMB.
2. * Look for areas where liquidity has been purged.
3. * Stochastic: long trades 0-15, in short trades 85-100.
( * ) = Not optional but increases our probability.
I use Fibonacci to get these extreme points and my preferred one is 75% retracement, with a risk-reward of 1:3.
Trade carefully
This is not financial advice, DYOR.
Bitcoin has recently fallen below the $60k area price pointBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P As mentioned earlier, Bitcoin (BTC) has recently fallen below the $60k area price point. This marks a critical support zone, where bulls must maintain control to prevent further declines. The market is now in an expectant state, let's watch closely to determine whether BTC will stay within this critical range or face further downward movement
US30 START OF A BEARISH MELTDOWN?Short positions on US30 appear compelling this week. We've observed significant bearish momentum lately, leading to a shift in character towards the downside, hinting at a potential trend reversal. Despite not having breached major structural levels yet, two robust supply zones remain, from which we can expect a bearish response.
The slowdown in price movement suggests distribution on higher time frames and hints at an impending reversal. Moreover, there's considerable liquidity to the downside, attracting price action, potentially resulting in a sweep of those equal lows.
Confluences for US30 Sells are as follows:
- Price has changed character on the 4-hourly time frame to the downside.
- Lots if liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows.
- Two good supply zones in which we can expect a major bearish reaction to take place.
- Price has been heavily bullish and its due for a retracement.
- On the higher time frame price has slowed down momentum, good sign for a reversal.
P.S. However, on the higher time frames, the price remains notably bullish, with equal highs recently established at the latest swing high. These highs represent significant liquidity points, and it wouldn't be surprising if the price retraces to take them out.
FOMC news this Wednesday, trade safe and have a great week!
Manipulation in BTC Supply Zone:
A supply zone occurs when the supply of a cryptocurrency exceeds the demand.
In this area, there is excess supply, leading to a falling price.
On a price chart, a supply zone is associated with a downtrend.
Traders often place sell orders in supply zones, expecting prices to decline further.
Imp : forming doji candles in weekly chart
Interpreting Doji Patterns:
Bearish Doji: When a Doji forms at a resistance area, it can signal indecision or a potential trend reversal.
However, the context matters:
If the preceding trend is upward, a bearish Doji may indicate a reversal.
If the preceding trend is downward, it could reinforce the existing bearish sentiment.
Copper Supply Zone Copper JUST missed our supply zone entry located above the opening range.
Very Clear DBD (drop base drop) formation on the 15 min chart.
We called this out today in the live room. Hopefully we get another shot at this. You never know what is going to work. You can only trade what you see taking place on the chart at that moment.
GBPUSD 10/3/24GU ran major highs on Friday, and we have seen that the markets what higher prices so we of course will follow this rally as we have from the major lows at 1.25400.
The ideal move for us here is the price to pullback into a lower areas and give us a nice long move out of said areas, we have seen a pretty big shift into our highs without pullback so this is what we are looking for, 50% pullback move lower to the demand that broke the highs and caused our HTF BOS and sweep of the same highs.
lets see if we are lucky enough to get this i am also looking for some low risk shorts from the liquid move that we have just seen take out the 4HR highs.
lets watch what price does and then act accordingly!
GOLD BULL TRAINGold swept the all-time high we expected it to sweep last week and now we would look for some kind of retracement for a new opportunity to buy. Often once price sweep major Liquidity, we tend to see a retracment!
Confluences for GOLD
- Very bullish price action with minimal retracements
- Demand being respected and supply disrespected
- Asia Lows left untouched means very bullish order flow
US BULL RODEOI expect US30 to continue its path up, which would mean respecting HTF Demand and disrespecting supply once HTF demand is respected! We can not see any strong bearishness which is a good sign of bullish, we can expect this bearish order flow to be a retracement after an impulse move to the upside
Confluences for US 30
- Very bullish price action
- Disrespecting supply
- Strong pushes to the upside and weak pushes to the downside
- Accumulation in Demand zones
- ASIA LOWs being mostly swept and leaving liquidity at the top
TOTAL3 Bullish OutlookAfter the previous CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 idea of mine invalidated (price breaks the consolidation area), Altcoin is ready to launch massively in 2024 bullrun.
Inverted Head & Shoulder spotted in weekly timeframe, this is also the case for CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI . My target is the resistance area around 660B-740B. Bitcoin dominance is also about to go down (will update more about this soon) so altcoin season is very close.
GBPUSD Pullback Pending (1.29500 back down)My bias for GU this week is centered around anticipating a pullback to address the imbalances left behind. This week has witnessed a significant bearish trend for the dollar, leading to increased bullish pressure on GU. Given this scenario, it's evident that price hasn't experienced a healthy pullback yet, which is overdue.
Therefore, I'll be patiently waiting for price to reach my 8hr supply zone, where I anticipate a wyckoff distribution to form. Once I receive confirmation on the lower time frames, I'll initiate sell positions. However, if price decides to drop before reaching the supply zone, I'll consider buying opportunities from the 6hr demand level back up to the designated supply zone.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price overall on the higher time frame like weekly and monthly is still bearish.
- Bullish pressure has been excessive and its due for a pullback.
- Nice supply zone on the 8hr that has caused recent break of structure.
- Lots of imbalances left below left from NFP event that needs filling.
P.S. Given the premium level of this supply zone, I prefer to observe price action slowing down. However, I'll exercise caution and focus on trading opportunities primarily on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Tuesdays and Thursdays are notably packed with significant economic events such as CPI & PPI.
Have a good week traders and preserve capital on those days!
📈 Aave's Weekly Analysis: Potential Breakout from Prolonged Con🔍Aave's price action in the weekly timeframe indicates the possibility of breaking out of its 658-day consolidation phase, potentially initiating an upward trend.
✅After breaking its trend line, the price has surged by 100%. Although it faced rejection from the 110-120 supply zone initially, a second attempt with significant volume and bullish candlestick patterns suggests a breakthrough.
⭐️The recent candlestick closure above this zone also validates the bullish sentiment, supported by Dow Theory principles.
💥Furthermore, the RSI oscillator entering the overbought zone indicates potential upward momentum, while the SMA25 indicator, alongside the price action, has bounced back after rejection from the supply zone.
🛒For investors considering adding Aave to their portfolio, setting a stop-loss at a minimum of $82 or a more conservative approach at $52 is recommended. As for targets, holding until the all-time high (ATH) could be a strategic option.
🧠💼This is not financial advice, and it is only my personal opinion on this cryptocurrency. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Short-term bullish run to target around 2045.00.Overall, we have been bearish. However, for the past few days, we have been making higher highs (HH). I'm looking for a continuation of a short-term bullish run to target around 2045.00.
We will plan accordingly with whatever the market shows us and stick to our trading plans.